I just liked the line on the over for that fight, somewhat for the reasons that Gabe said.
If Chael can actually manage to secure a tight top position from a takedown, which I think he is certainly capable of doing, and somehow control, or failing that, just lie on Jones for a few minutes and hold him down, this can make it into round 2.
My concern is the fact that Jones may be able to literally pummel him from the bottom, but its a risk I am willing to take.
I think Chael folds here in the distance but I'm hoping it will not be in round 1. The last 2 Jones fights against Belfort and Evans, if nothing else, showed us that he is fighting a lot more cautiously then he has in previous fights.
Granted, part of that was due to a ****** up arm in the Vitor fight, but still.
If Chael can actually manage to secure a tight top position from a takedown, which I think he is certainly capable of doing, and somehow control, or failing that, just lie on Jones for a few minutes and hold him down, this can make it into round 2.
My concern is the fact that Jones may be able to literally pummel him from the bottom, but its a risk I am willing to take.
I think Chael folds here in the distance but I'm hoping it will not be in round 1. The last 2 Jones fights against Belfort and Evans, if nothing else, showed us that he is fighting a lot more cautiously then he has in previous fights.
Granted, part of that was due to a ****** up arm in the Vitor fight, but still.