I don't understand where those odd come from regarding BJ Penn vs Rory MacDonald and Jon Fitch vs Eric Silva. If I recall the BJ Penn vs Jon Fitch match up, it is a majority draw. If Penn didn't gass in the the 3rd round some might score it 30-27 for Penn.
Now if you make a poll who wins between Eric Silva vs Rory MacDonald, I willing to bet the poll likely close to dead even or no more than 55% favor to either fighter. So if public perceive BJ Penn is same level as Jon Fitch, and Rory MacDonald is also in the same level as Eric Silva. Why is the odd open +230/-270 in favor of Rory MacDonald and Eric Silva vs Jon Fitch open dead even -120/-120. What am I missing? Because PJ Penn announce his retirement? PJ Penn looks out of shape? Rory demolish Che Mills in the 2nd round? How come it is not that a big deal when Eric Silva submitted the Spaniard in the first round, and the Spaniard never been submit before in his whole mma career. If people believe Jon Fitch have a unbelievable suffocate top game, than how can 34yr Fitch suffocate a beast like Eric Silva if he can't even suffocate 32yr BJ Penn for the first 2 round when BJ Penn is only 5'9 and a natural 155 lber. Eric is 5'11 likely weight 185-190lbs at fight time with incredible athleticism. Eric Silva is a f@cking beast against a 34yr old who constantly get sideline by injuries, the odd is dead even? Come on!
Now if you make a poll who wins between Eric Silva vs Rory MacDonald, I willing to bet the poll likely close to dead even or no more than 55% favor to either fighter. So if public perceive BJ Penn is same level as Jon Fitch, and Rory MacDonald is also in the same level as Eric Silva. Why is the odd open +230/-270 in favor of Rory MacDonald and Eric Silva vs Jon Fitch open dead even -120/-120. What am I missing? Because PJ Penn announce his retirement? PJ Penn looks out of shape? Rory demolish Che Mills in the 2nd round? How come it is not that a big deal when Eric Silva submitted the Spaniard in the first round, and the Spaniard never been submit before in his whole mma career. If people believe Jon Fitch have a unbelievable suffocate top game, than how can 34yr Fitch suffocate a beast like Eric Silva if he can't even suffocate 32yr BJ Penn for the first 2 round when BJ Penn is only 5'9 and a natural 155 lber. Eric is 5'11 likely weight 185-190lbs at fight time with incredible athleticism. Eric Silva is a f@cking beast against a 34yr old who constantly get sideline by injuries, the odd is dead even? Come on!