MLB - Wednesday, 8/15/12

LT Profits · 08-15-12, 10:43 AM

MLB Triple Play

Originally posted by LT Profits

2 MLB Plays Wednesday

Phillies / Marlins UNDER 7 +100 (5 Dimes)
Mets / Reds UNDER 8 -105 (5 Dimes)

YTD: 251-216-16, +45.00

Adding:

Twins +145 (Heritage)

.
MLB Card complete

riffraff24 · 08-15-12, 10:45 AM

On the Twins as well.. GL LT!

Dtown66 · 08-15-12, 03:32 PM

Good luck LT

cboogie · 08-15-12, 04:55 PM

0-2 So far.

LT Profits · 08-15-12, 05:01 PM

Originally posted by cboogie

0-2 So far.

Yep,

Luckily both at +odds so no bigs. Could salvage a -1.00 day with a win tonight and I got a great number.

Seto · 08-16-12, 12:56 AM

unreal how many losses you've had of late with only a few outs left and a couple runs to spare on unders.

still up around 44 units and you're due a run of luck

jbart28 · 08-16-12, 12:57 AM

LT what is your unit size? Nice season so far.

LT Profits · 08-16-12, 01:00 AM

Originally posted by Seto

unreal how many losses you've had of late with only a few outs left and a couple runs to spare on unders.

still up around 44 units and you're due a run of luck

Almost surprised it didn't happen with Mets too.

I'll take the -1.00 day, now exactly +44.00

LT Profits · 08-16-12, 01:00 AM

Originally posted by jbart28

LT what is your unit size? Nice season so far.

Usually 2.5% of BR.

jbart28 · 08-16-12, 01:02 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Usually 2.5% of BR.

Thanks- I see you

LT Profits · 08-16-12, 01:08 AM

Originally posted by jbart28

Thanks- I see you

That's TO WIN 2.5%, so dogs have less risk

Seto · 08-16-12, 05:52 AM

So all of your plays are "to win"?

I assumed - lines were to win and + lines were risk but i guess i may have gotten it wrong

Great job either way

LT Profits · 08-16-12, 05:59 AM

Originally posted by Seto

So all of your plays are "to win"?

I assumed - lines were to win and + lines were risk but i guess i may have gotten it wrong

Great job either way

For grading purposes, you are right, all plays are BASE of one unit. Real life application is a tad different, but I use the conventional grading method here.

Seto · 08-16-12, 07:11 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

For grading purposes, you are right, all plays are BASE of one unit. Real life application is a tad different, but I use the conventional grading method here.

Okay I get it

Anyway, as long as you're making +ev plays, you should benefit long term whichever method you use, as long as you don't make dumb moves like all-in plays... What would you consider a "max" play on something you have GREAT confidence in? Around 10-15%?

LT Profits · 08-16-12, 07:29 AM

Originally posted by Seto

Okay I get it

Anyway, as long as you're making +ev plays, you should benefit long term whichever method you use, as long as you don't make dumb moves like all-in plays... What would you consider a "max" play on something you have GREAT confidence in? Around 10-15%?

I have made maybe 5 10% plays in my life and never more. Last one was a loser so I may be a bit gun shy

Seto · 08-16-12, 07:45 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

I have made maybe 5 10% plays in my life and never more. Last one was a loser so I may be a bit gun shy

Yeah - anyway no need to put too much on the line for 1 play. I'm not operating on too high a bankroll currently, and actually had a 25% play (heat to win finals +150), but retrospectively regardless of how confident i was (and i was VERY confident), i wouldn't do it with a bigger bankroll, or maybe wouldn't do it again at all. But £500 with £2000 of my money dedicated to gambling didn't seem like it was unaffordable so i took a shot

Don't think I'd do it again, too many long-term consequences (unit size reduction) if it loses

Good luck on your plays today, looking forward to them, I'd still a newbie as far as baseball goes