MLB - Thursday, 8/9/12

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    MLB - Thursday, 8/9/12
    1 MLB Play Thursday


    Blue Jays / Rays UNDER 7.5 -120 (5 Dimes)


    YTD: 238-195-16, +53.72
  • jagaf22
    SBR MVP
    • 01-22-08
    • 2932

    #2
    Love it! Rays seem to be a good under bet every day. With their pitching staff and lack of bats it's always worth a look.
    Comment
    • LT Profits
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-27-06
      • 90963

      #3
      Originally posted by jagaf22
      Love it! Rays seem to be a good under bet every day. With their pitching staff and lack of bats it's always worth a look.
      Did you read my piece? http://www.sbrforum.com/mlb-baseball...under-a-26008/
      Comment
      • Winner211
        SBR Rookie
        • 11-23-11
        • 30

        #4
        Hey LT been following for awhile now...learning from you...would you mind referring me to an article or explaing what FIP is and how you use it for capping...thanks man!
        Comment
        • LT Profits
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-27-06
          • 90963

          #5
          Originally posted by Winner211
          Hey LT been following for awhile now...learning from you...would you mind referring me to an article or explaing what FIP is and how you use it for capping...thanks man!
          I will update this tomorrow for August but FIP is explained. http://www.sbrforum.com/mlb-baseball...board-a-24680/
          Comment
          • Brock Landers
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 06-30-08
            • 45359

            #6
            LT, you live in Florida pal?
            Comment
            • LT Profits
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 10-27-06
              • 90963

              #7
              Originally posted by Brock Landers
              LT, you live in Florida pal?
              No, PA. Native New Yawker.
              Comment
              • italianbandit
                SBR MVP
                • 05-17-11
                • 2622

                #8
                Fip:

                Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) measures what a player’s ERA would look like over a given period of time if the pitcher were to have experienced league average results on balls in play and league…
                Comment
                • LT Profits
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-27-06
                  • 90963

                  #9
                  3 MLB Plays

                  Originally posted by LT Profits
                  1 MLB Play Thursday


                  Blue Jays / Rays UNDER 7.5 -120 (5 Dimes)


                  YTD: 238-195-16, +53.72
                  Adding:

                  Marlins UNDER 3 -105 (Team Total) (Rebate Wager)
                  Astros +160 (Rebate Wager)

                  There I go pissing some people off by taking the Astros again! There might be one more update.
                  Comment
                  • Vinnie Paz
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 03-27-12
                    • 12177

                    #10
                    Lt ill admit i whimped out the other night and took the +1.5.......
                    Comment
                    • LT Profits
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-27-06
                      • 90963

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Vinnie Paz
                      Lt ill admit i whimped out the other night and took the +1.5.......
                      I think you are losing out on value there but we shall see.
                      Comment
                      • leetreaper
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 10-23-10
                        • 34841

                        #12
                        astros lolz...hope u win tonight finally...
                        Comment
                        • NewYorkKnicks87
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 08-31-11
                          • 410

                          #13
                          lets get them LT, followed on the 3 Royal bets yesterday BOOM! GL for today
                          Comment
                          • altieriflyers
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 07-23-12
                            • 777

                            #14
                            Astros are going to win today.
                            Comment
                            • Vinnie Paz
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 03-27-12
                              • 12177

                              #15
                              Originally posted by leetreaper
                              astros lolz...hope u win tonight finally...
                              Finally?????
                              Comment
                              • LT Profits
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 10-27-06
                                • 90963

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Vinnie Paz
                                Finally?????
                                He means finally with Astros. The last three times I took them, they blew ninth inning leads on back to back nights and the third time lost in extra innings, all obviously at nice prices.
                                Comment
                                • Primet76
                                  SBR Rookie
                                  • 12-07-10
                                  • 46

                                  #17
                                  Well we are at 7 with 2 innings to go. Hopefully, we can hold on.
                                  Comment
                                  • jjaycuny
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 07-01-11
                                    • 1617

                                    #18
                                    any chance of a scoreless last 3 innings for the blue jays game?
                                    Comment
                                    • 1Time!
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 12-24-08
                                      • 588

                                      #19
                                      You 2 above jinxed it! Let the game play out & hope for the best! Don't count down innings!!(was last leg of a 4 day game parlay.. Shattered)
                                      Comment
                                      • LT Profits
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 10-27-06
                                        • 90963

                                        #20
                                        2 Night Additions

                                        Originally posted by LT Profits
                                        Blue Jays / Rays UNDER 7.5 -120 (5 Dimes)
                                        Marlins UNDER 3 -105 (Team Total) (Rebate Wager)
                                        Astros +160 (Rebate Wager)


                                        YTD: 238-195-16, +53.72
                                        Adding:

                                        Indians UNDER 4 -125 (Team Total) (Heritage)
                                        Royals / Orioles UNDER 8.5 -105 (5 Dimes)


                                        MLB Card complete
                                        Comment
                                        • El Nino
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 05-03-12
                                          • 18426

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by LT Profits
                                          Adding:

                                          Indians UNDER 4 -125 (Team Total) (Heritage)
                                          Royals / Orioles UNDER 8.5 -105 (5 Dimes)


                                          MLB Card complete
                                          Good find on the Indians TT, LT. I'm tailing. I like Doubront here a lot.
                                          Comment
                                          • jagaf22
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-22-08
                                            • 2932

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by LT Profits
                                            No I hadn't read your article. It is spot on and the statistics back it up.
                                            Comment
                                            • acl123
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 03-17-11
                                              • 5896

                                              #23
                                              Brutal day
                                              Comment
                                              • pattymayo
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 05-19-09
                                                • 10221

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by acl123
                                                Brutal day
                                                Gambling is such a fukkin ride its crazy. You could go 5-1 and feel like a fukkin gambling god and then go 1-5 the next day and be clueless again.
                                                Comment
                                                • leetreaper
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 10-23-10
                                                  • 34841

                                                  #25
                                                  LT i dont mind playing stros back in the season but right now its just plain unhealthy...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • No coincidences
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 01-18-10
                                                    • 76300

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by leetreaper
                                                    LT i dont mind playing stros back in the season but right now its just plain unhealthy...
                                                    I was on Houston as well. Harrell has been outstanding for them this year, and Zimm has a history of struggling at MMP.

                                                    Play made sense to me at the time as well given the price, but obviously in retrospect, it was awful and I guess Houston is going to go 36-126.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • LT Profits
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 10-27-06
                                                      • 90963

                                                      #27
                                                      Meh no biggie. 1-4, -3.50. Had a nice night in NFLX.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • clting08
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 05-27-12
                                                        • 1259

                                                        #28
                                                        LT, I always take your pick on unders most of the games. Unfortunately the under you pick sometimes way out. most of my parlay killed by the under that I follow. Maybe we will have better luck on your next pick. Anyway keep on posting I'll keep on tailing. Thanks...
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Ace_of_Spades
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 10-14-09
                                                          • 13518

                                                          #29
                                                          YTD: 238-195-16, +53.72

                                                          Nice record.

                                                          Keep posting them picks.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • fitguy67
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 03-13-11
                                                            • 5082

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Ace_of_Spades
                                                            YTD: 238-195-16, +53.72

                                                            Nice record.

                                                            Keep posting them picks.
                                                            ditto
                                                            Comment
                                                            • scottsins
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 12-05-11
                                                              • 103

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by clting08
                                                              LT, I always take your pick on unders most of the games. Unfortunately the under you pick sometimes way out. most of my parlay killed by the under that I follow. Maybe we will have better luck on your next pick. Anyway keep on posting I'll keep on tailing. Thanks...
                                                              The obvious solution for you is to not cherry pick one or two of LT's plays and use them as part of a parlay. The picks are not recommended for that. If you want the +unit results that he's gotten, you play all of the picks the way he plays them, on a flat, straight bet.

                                                              What you describe is 100% your problem and nothing to do with the recommended plays.
                                                              Comment
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