MLB - Thursday, 8/9/12

jagaf22 · 08-09-12, 06:58 AM

Love it! Rays seem to be a good under bet every day. With their pitching staff and lack of bats it's always worth a look.

LT Profits · 08-09-12, 07:44 AM

Originally posted by jagaf22

Love it! Rays seem to be a good under bet every day. With their pitching staff and lack of bats it's always worth a look.

Did you read my piece?

http://www.sbrforum.com/mlb-baseball...under-a-26008/

Winner211 · 08-09-12, 09:10 AM

Hey LT been following for awhile now...learning from you...would you mind referring me to an article or explaing what FIP is and how you use it for capping...thanks man!

LT Profits · 08-09-12, 09:22 AM

Originally posted by Winner211

Hey LT been following for awhile now...learning from you...would you mind referring me to an article or explaing what FIP is and how you use it for capping...thanks man!

I will update this tomorrow for August but FIP is explained. http://www.sbrforum.com/mlb-baseball...board-a-24680/

Brock Landers · 08-09-12, 09:23 AM

LT, you live in Florida pal?

LT Profits · 08-09-12, 09:26 AM

Originally posted by Brock Landers

LT, you live in Florida pal?

No, PA. Native New Yawker.

italianbandit · 08-09-12, 10:08 AM

Fip:

FIP

http://www.fangraphs.com/library/index.php/pitching/fip/

Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) measures what a player’s ERA would look like over a given period of time if the pitcher were to have experienced league average results on balls in play and league…

LT Profits · 08-09-12, 10:20 AM

3 MLB Plays

Originally posted by LT Profits

1 MLB Play Thursday

Blue Jays / Rays UNDER 7.5 -120 (5 Dimes)

YTD: 238-195-16, +53.72

Adding:

Marlins UNDER 3 -105 (Team Total) (Rebate Wager)
Astros +160 (Rebate Wager)

There I go pissing some people off by taking the Astros again!

There might be one more update.

Vinnie Paz · 08-09-12, 10:22 AM

Lt ill admit i whimped out the other night and took the +1.5

.......

LT Profits · 08-09-12, 10:24 AM

Originally posted by Vinnie Paz

Lt ill admit i whimped out the other night and took the +1.5

.......

I think you are losing out on value there but we shall see.

leetreaper · 08-09-12, 10:37 AM

astros lolz...hope u win tonight finally...

NewYorkKnicks87 · 08-09-12, 10:41 AM

lets get them LT, followed on the 3 Royal bets yesterday BOOM! GL for today

altieriflyers · 08-09-12, 11:11 AM

Astros are going to win today.

Vinnie Paz · 08-09-12, 01:10 PM

Originally posted by leetreaper

astros lolz...hope u win tonight finally...

Finally?????

LT Profits · 08-09-12, 02:02 PM

Originally posted by Vinnie Paz

Finally?????

He means finally with Astros. The last three times I took them, they blew ninth inning leads on back to back nights and the third time lost in extra innings, all obviously at nice prices.

Primet76 · 08-09-12, 02:20 PM

Well we are at 7 with 2 innings to go. Hopefully, we can hold on.

jjaycuny · 08-09-12, 02:20 PM

any chance of a scoreless last 3 innings for the blue jays game?

1Time! · 08-09-12, 04:48 PM

You 2 above jinxed it! Let the game play out & hope for the best! Don't count down innings!!(was last leg of a 4 day game parlay.. Shattered)

LT Profits · 08-09-12, 05:07 PM

2 Night Additions

Originally posted by LT Profits

Blue Jays / Rays UNDER 7.5 -120 (5 Dimes)
Marlins UNDER 3 -105 (Team Total) (Rebate Wager)
Astros +160 (Rebate Wager)

YTD: 238-195-16, +53.72

Adding:

Indians UNDER 4 -125 (Team Total) (Heritage)
Royals / Orioles UNDER 8.5 -105 (5 Dimes)

MLB Card complete

El Nino · 08-09-12, 05:20 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Adding:

Indians UNDER 4 -125 (Team Total) (Heritage)
Royals / Orioles UNDER 8.5 -105 (5 Dimes)

MLB Card complete

Good find on the Indians TT, LT. I'm tailing. I like Doubront here a lot.

jagaf22 · 08-09-12, 06:41 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Did you read my piece?

http://www.sbrforum.com/mlb-baseball...under-a-26008/

No I hadn't read your article. It is spot on and the statistics back it up.

acl123 · 08-09-12, 09:13 PM

Brutal day

pattymayo · 08-09-12, 09:29 PM

Originally posted by acl123

Brutal day

Gambling is such a fukkin ride its crazy. You could go 5-1 and feel like a fukkin gambling god and then go 1-5 the next day and be clueless again.

leetreaper · 08-09-12, 09:31 PM

LT i dont mind playing stros back in the season but right now its just plain unhealthy...

No coincidences · 08-09-12, 10:06 PM

Originally posted by leetreaper

LT i dont mind playing stros back in the season but right now its just plain unhealthy...

I was on Houston as well. Harrell has been outstanding for them this year, and Zimm has a history of struggling at MMP.

Play made sense to me at the time as well given the price, but obviously in retrospect, it was awful and I guess Houston is going to go 36-126.

LT Profits · 08-09-12, 10:18 PM

Meh no biggie. 1-4, -3.50. Had a nice night in NFLX.

clting08 · 08-10-12, 02:16 AM

LT, I always take your pick on unders most of the games. Unfortunately the under you pick sometimes way out. most of my parlay killed by the under that I follow. Maybe we will have better luck on your next pick. Anyway keep on posting I'll keep on tailing. Thanks...

Ace_of_Spades · 08-10-12, 02:25 AM

YTD: 238-195-16, +53.72

Nice record.

Keep posting them picks.

fitguy67 · 08-10-12, 06:26 AM

Originally posted by Ace_of_Spades

YTD: 238-195-16, +53.72

Nice record.

Keep posting them picks.

ditto

scottsins · 08-10-12, 11:10 AM

Originally posted by clting08

LT, I always take your pick on unders most of the games. Unfortunately the under you pick sometimes way out. most of my parlay killed by the under that I follow. Maybe we will have better luck on your next pick. Anyway keep on posting I'll keep on tailing. Thanks...

The obvious solution for you is to not cherry pick one or two of LT's plays and use them as part of a parlay. The picks are not recommended for that. If you want the +unit results that he's gotten, you play all of the picks the way he plays them, on a flat, straight bet.

What you describe is 100% your problem and nothing to do with the recommended plays.