James Shields as a road dog vs. the hot winning Athletics

[JMon]

Something I have followed since the 2010 season, is simply fade the Rays when Shields is on the road vs a winning team..teams that have have won 54 to 62% of their games on the season. Dating back to Shields' rookie campaign (2006), the Rays are an remarkable 4-21 SU in this situation, losing by an average of 2.1 runs. This situation is 1-0 on the season thus far (Shields vs. Pettitte May 6th). When Vegas lists Shields has a dog in this role, the Rays are 2-17 since 2006- only beating this trend on Aug. 8th 2007 vs. Tigers and Aug. 31 2011 vs. the Rangers. *Note the month of August.

It is also interesting to note...that in the month of July, the Rays are 0-10 SU when Shields starts as a 100+ road dog, against since 2006 (rookie campaign).




Anyone have additional thoughts on this game? I am backing the Athletics here tonight.

[Cappinpicks]

A's are due to drop 1 to a decent pitcher though, Rays win

[Jeff Grant]

Shields' career ERA in July is his worst of any month - nearly a run higher than any other

[dshaffe4]

Great Stats JMon. Went large on OAK earlier

[JMon]

^ interesting...Jeff. Didn't know that!

[Cappinpicks]

wont matter tonight rays spank A's

[JMon]

wont matter tonight rays spank A's

I have seen you around the forum today touting the Rays, can you convince me to buy back my bet other than the A's will get spanked? I am interested in your view of the game.

[JMon]

wont matter tonight rays spank A's

your spanked theory is working rather well tonight...nice job. .