Cards/cubs over 7.5 huge!!

[sportsguy04]

Under 7.5 with Travis wood on the mound? With a number of 7.5 this better be 2 top pitchers like wainwright and dempster not Travis wood. Cards could hit 8 by themselves, especially vs a leftie. Cubs should be able to muster up atleast 2-3. The rest is history!

Let's go!

[EC4THREE10]

Love it! ... Software likes it too!

[jimmyg2727]

SportsInsights has 60% on the Over. I think you're right Cards can hit 8 themselves. goodluck

[El Nino]

Beltran and Freese both sitting. Just a heads up.

[sportsguy04]

SportsInsights has 60% on the Over. I think you're right Cards can hit 8 themselves. goodluck

Vegas insider had 75% on under ?

Edit: now they have 67% on over. What a change.

[No coincidences]

Vegas insider had 75% on under ?

Edit: now they have 67% on over. What a change.

The number was just released a few hours ago. No surprise in the fluctuation.

Under 7.5 is a "square" play with Lynn and Wood pitching? How do you figure? Don't you think the number is set low (opened at 8) for a reason?

[keel44]

I think the wind has something to say.

[sportsguy04]

The number was just released a few hours ago. No surprise in the fluctuation.

Under 7.5 is a "square" play with Lynn and Wood pitching? How do you figure? Don't you think the number is set low (opened at 8) for a reason?

You know it's square when all of sbr is on cardinals and under.

[No coincidences]

You know it's square when all of sbr is on cardinals and under.

Who's on the under?

[ridims]

going to be a low scoring game. in that case, cubs have a shot at a W

[ridims]

i got 65% on the over yet the O/U drops to 7.5

[CHAZ]

Do you wanna depend on the Cards to get 8 runs whose sitting a few of there hitters? Can't expect to much help from the Cubs here the way Lynn is pitching.

[ridims]

wood gave up 6 ER in 6, Lynn no runs. These guys played recently. 7-0 final.

line opens at 8. down to 7.5.

books arent giving you free money. people are going to want to pound the over. and majority has.

you got a lefty who's era lately is awful against the best hitting team in mlb that smokes them

either you think about it or not and just go with the favourite and over here

[EC4THREE10]

Total will be 8

[sportsguy04]

Do you wanna depend on the Cards to get 8 runs whose sitting a few of there hitters? Can't expect to much help from the Cubs here the way Lynn is pitching.

Wont need Cards to get 8 runs. Cubs will get 2-3 here to push it over.

[PerfectGrape]

Not a hot day, cloudy, wind blowing in kind of, not the best conditions for an over at Wrigley.

[sportsguy04]

Who's on the under?

Look around all the various threads and comments. Everyone likes the Under, (Wind, Lynn)

[JMon]

We have a unique situation in this matchup involving revenge, specially 2, 3 and 4 game revenge which based on a historical stand point highlights the Cubs and somewhat toward the under.

Since the 2010 season

The Cubs are 7-0 revenging two straight loses of 6 or more, with an average win margin of 3 runs. Cubs were 4-0 in this situation last year with a win margin of 3 runs. (Dempster out dueled Westbrook 6-3 on 7/31/2011.

Since the 2011 season

Cubs are 23-11 at home revenging two straight loses. The under is 23-9 (average total 8.7). They are 8-5 this year with an average line of +117. Garza out dueled Garcia on 4/23/12. The under is 7-5

Cubs are 14-3 at home revenging three straight loses. The under is 12-4 (average total 8.4) They are 6-2 this year with an average line of +114. Average win margin is 2.5 runs. The over is 4-3.

Since 6/13/10

Cubs are 9-1 at home revenging four straight loses. The under 7-2 (average total 8.3). They are 5-1 this year with an average line of +115. Average win margin is 2.8 runs. The under is 3-2.

Not going to mess with the total, but @+152 I'll make a 2% wager. GL

[yisman]

Beltran and Freese both sitting. Just a heads up.

Freese is injured.

Berkman will likely be back though.

[JamesBrown]

I liked the over at first, but something tells me the Cubs win this game 3-2 or something similar. I'm going with a Cubs +150/U8 Parlay.

[Antibet]

2-Team Parlay.				Pending
1. 27-Jul-12 Baseball/MLB (Money Line) St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs for Game (+150) Pending L. Lynn must start / T. Wood must start 2. 27-Jul-12 Baseball/MLB (Total) St. Louis Cardinals/Chicago Cubs (U 7.5) for Game (-105) Pending L. Lynn must start / T. Wood must start

[sportsguy04]

This is going to be a WTF Lynn, game.

[sportsguy04]

There's one run.

[No coincidences]

I liked the over at first, but something tells me the Cubs win this game 3-2 or something similar. I'm going with a Cubs +150/U8 Parlay.

Not sure about the total -- seems suspiciously low to me -- but you have to nibble on the Cubs for Ron Santo day.

[yisman]

over looking good early, I'm rooting on the Cubs.

[sportsguy04]

This is going to be a WTF Lynn, game.

Spot on. 3 runs 1st inning given up by Lynn no runs. 3-1

[No coincidences]

Spot on. 3 runs 1st inning given up by Lynn no runs. 3-1

Good start. Takes balls to go over on a low public total like this (which completely rejects the original thought process of the thread, but I digress).

[yisman]

Spot on. 3 runs 1st inning given up by Lynn no runs. 3-1

how did you know? I bet on the Cubs but I was nervous because Lynn's career ERA vs. the Cubs is under 1.

[yisman]

entering today:

Lance Lynn 3-0, .84 ERA, .984 WHIP, 21.1 IP, 14 H, 7 BB, 19 Ks

[sportsguy04]

Played cardinals ml small so hoping for a 6-3 cardinals win lol

[sportsguy04]

how did you know? I bet on the Cubs but I was nervous because Lynn's career ERA vs. the Cubs is under 1.

Honestly. Just a hunch and gut feeling. Can't continue dominance forever. Especially if your lance Lynn?

[No coincidences]

Honestly. Just a hunch and gut feeling. Can't continue dominance forever. Especially if your lance Lynn?

Lance Lynn is very good, and will continue to be in the near future. He's no fluke.

With that being said, he's a rookie and it's late July. Regression is inevitable.

[Madison]

This is going to be a WTF Lynn, game.

Nice call. He's other near unhittable or a gas can. Seems there's no middle ground with this guy.

[No coincidences]

Weird opening number, and even stranger line drop. Not sure what that was all about.

[Madison]

Over in the 2nd inning? WOW. Nice call.