2012 Basaballa Guesses

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  • Night-Tripper
    SBR MVP
    • 12-14-09
    • 3205

    #141
    Originally posted by figue
    im from mexico ,i have the mountain time , i lke your style to post .
    Thanks...
    Comment
    • Night-Tripper
      SBR MVP
      • 12-14-09
      • 3205

      #142
      Originally posted by Night-Tripper
      6-1-12 Recommendations:
      • Marlins/Phillies over 8.5 (-115)
      • Phillies (-110)
      • Braves (+151)
      • Blue Jays (-132)
      • Reds (-132)
      • Athletics/Royals over 8 (-105)
      • Mariners (+109)
      • Rockies (-115)
      • Diamondbacks (-128)
      • Angels (+107)
      • Cubs (+152)

      For those that are interested/Run Line (-1.5) Recommendations:
      • Phillies (+177)
      • Blue Jays (+155)
      • Reds (+130)
      • Rockies (+170)
      • Diamondbacks (+140)


      Late and Final Recommendations:
      • Mariners (+109)
      • Reds (-123)
      • Reds -1.5 (+130)
      • Cubs (+152)
      Comment
      • figue
        SBR MVP
        • 07-23-10
        • 2524

        #143
        Originally posted by Night-Tripper
        Usually... I consider all of my plays to be of equal value/based on the same probablity of coming in... so I normally wouldn't be able to select one over another. (If I could... I'd remove the other one.) But tonight/a few minutes ago while I was turning them in... I actually felt the Toronto Run Line was the strongest of the three Run Line plays posted (so far). However, just before I saw your post... while checking through my Pending Wagers... I couldn't help but notice that I'd accidentally(?) played the Colorado Run Line twice. So, philosophically... while I personally feel that the Blue Jay (+155) Run Line is my strongest.... realistically... the Rockies (+170) is my strongest/largest play.

        Having said all of this... give me your thoughts.
        rockies cash
        Comment
        • Night-Tripper
          SBR MVP
          • 12-14-09
          • 3205

          #144
          Originally posted by figue
          rockies cash
          I got lucky... you know the saying: "even a blind squirrel can find an acorn once in a while"?
          Comment
          • figue
            SBR MVP
            • 07-23-10
            • 2524

            #145
            Originally posted by Night-Tripper
            I got lucky... you know the saying: "even a blind squirrel can find an acorn once in a while"?
            Comment
            • figue
              SBR MVP
              • 07-23-10
              • 2524

              #146
              another winning day
              Comment
              • figue
                SBR MVP
                • 07-23-10
                • 2524

                #147
                Comment
                • figue
                  SBR MVP
                  • 07-23-10
                  • 2524

                  #148
                  tripper, as you put your games early I assume no attention to the movement of the line,for the games later you post ,do you it?? or does matter in mlb for you ??
                  Comment
                  • Night-Tripper
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-14-09
                    • 3205

                    #149
                    Originally posted by Night-Tripper
                    6-1-12 Recommendations:
                    • Marlins/Phillies over 8.5 (-115)
                    • Phillies (-110)
                    • Braves (+151)/Postponed
                    • Blue Jays (-132)
                    • Reds (-132)
                    • Athletics/Royals over 8 (-105)
                    • Mariners (+109)
                    • Rockies (-115)
                    • Diamondbacks (-128)
                    • Angels (+107)
                    • Cubs (+152)

                    For those that are interested/Run Line (-1.5) Recommendations:
                    • Phillies (+177)
                    • Blue Jays (+155)
                    • Reds (+130)
                    • Rockies (+170)
                    • Diamondbacks (+140)


                    6-1-12 Overall Results: 8-7-0/100%/+2.19 units
                    6-1-12 Moneyline Results: 4-4-0/50%/-0.53 units
                    6-1-12 Totals Results: 1-1-0/0%/-0.05 units
                    6-1-12 Run Line Results: 3-2-0/60%/+2.77 units


                    Season to Date (All Wager Types): 178-174-1/50%/+23.03 units
                    Moneyline: 86-80-0/52%/+18.10 units
                    Totals: 25-29-1/49%/-4.05 units
                    Additional Bets/Run Line Recommendations: 58-71-0/45%/+8.98 units

                    6-2-12 guesses/fades coming in a bit...






                    Comment
                    • Night-Tripper
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-14-09
                      • 3205

                      #150
                      Originally posted by figue
                      tripper, as you put your games early I assume no attention to the movement of the line,for the games later you post ,do you it?? or does matter in mlb for you ??

                      I try to go with the early line movement in hopes of catching better numbers... but sometimes it has worked against me. If the later movement does go against me... I simply hope for the best. Friday for example... the money was coming in on the Marlins... but the Phillies still came through for me. Should I start getting consistently hammered by the late movement... I'll change my betting strategy.
                      Comment
                      • figue
                        SBR MVP
                        • 07-23-10
                        • 2524

                        #151
                        what site do you use to watch the line movement ??
                        Comment
                        • Night-Tripper
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-14-09
                          • 3205

                          #152
                          Originally posted by figue
                          what site do you use to watch the line movement ??

                          Sports Insights
                          Comment
                          • Night-Tripper
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-14-09
                            • 3205

                            #153
                            6-2-12 Recommendations:
                            • Royals (-123)
                            • Marlins (+145)
                            • Mets (+103)
                            • Orioles (+146)
                            • Pirates (+129)
                            • Pirates/Brewers over 7.5 (-105)
                            • Diamondbacks (-110)
                            • Reds (-127)

                            For those that are interested/Run Line (-1.5) Recommendations:
                            • Royals (+165)
                            • Rockies (+140)
                            • Giants (+145)
                            • Reds (+135)
                            • Diamondbacks (+162)
                            • Indians (+145)

                            That's it for now...
                            Comment
                            • figue
                              SBR MVP
                              • 07-23-10
                              • 2524

                              #154
                              and your best RL+ ??
                              Comment
                              • figue
                                SBR MVP
                                • 07-23-10
                                • 2524

                                #155
                                my book has arizona -101 and RL+1.5 -250 san diego is -1.5 +210
                                Comment
                                • Night-Tripper
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-14-09
                                  • 3205

                                  #156
                                  Originally posted by figue
                                  my book has arizona -101 and RL+1.5 -250 san diego is -1.5 +210
                                  Mine has now gone to Arizona (-106) and (+1.5/-240). They fell into the same category as the Phillies did last night. I wanted them to become a favorite... so I could catch them on a sweet + money Run Line. They did... and we cashed even though everyone was betting on the Marlins. Same thing's happening tonight. I managed to catch the D-Backs while they were + money on the RL... and now they're a dog. It's simply me rolling the dice... wouldn't have been interested in Arizona at all had I not caught them as a + money RL favorite.
                                  Comment
                                  • Night-Tripper
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-14-09
                                    • 3205

                                    #157
                                    Originally posted by figue
                                    and your best RL+ ??
                                    It would have been Arizona... but since they're no longer at + money... it's a toss up between Indians @ +145 and Rockies @ +140. (Tonight I didn't screw up and put in a double bet like I did last night with the Rockies.)
                                    Comment
                                    • Night-Tripper
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-14-09
                                      • 3205

                                      #158
                                      Originally posted by Night-Tripper
                                      6-2-12 Recommendations:
                                      • Royals (-123)
                                      • Marlins (+145)
                                      • Mariners (+149)
                                      • Mets (+103)
                                      • Orioles (+146)
                                      • Pirates (+129)
                                      • Pirates/Brewers over 7.5 (-105)
                                      • Diamondbacks (-110)
                                      • Reds (-127)



                                      For those that are interested/Run Line (-1.5) Recommendations:
                                      • Royals (+165)
                                      • Rockies (+140)
                                      • Giants (+145)
                                      • Reds (+135)
                                      • Diamondbacks (+162)
                                      • Indians (+145)

                                      That's it for now...

                                      Final Recommendation:
                                      • Mariners (+149)
                                      Comment
                                      • figue
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 07-23-10
                                        • 2524

                                        #159
                                        thanks lets cash
                                        Comment
                                        • Night-Tripper
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-14-09
                                          • 3205

                                          #160
                                          Originally posted by Night-Tripper
                                          6-2-12 Recommendations:
                                          • Blue Jays (-102)
                                          • Royals (-123)
                                          • Marlins (+145)
                                          • Mariners (+149)
                                          • Mets (+103)
                                          • Orioles (+146)
                                          • Pirates (+129)
                                          • Pirates/Brewers over 7.5 (-105)
                                          • Diamondbacks (-110)
                                          • Reds (-127)
                                          • Angels (-112)
                                          For those that are interested/Run Line (-1.5) Recommendations:
                                          • Royals (+165)
                                          • Rockies (+140)
                                          • Giants (+145)
                                          • Reds (+135)
                                          • Diamondbacks (+162)
                                          • Indians (+145)
                                          • Angels (+180)


                                          Final Recommendation:
                                          • Mariners (+149)
                                          Okay... so I lied.

                                          Additional Recommendations:
                                          • Blue Jays (-102)
                                          • Angels (-112)
                                          • Angels -1.5 (+180)


                                          Unfortunately... there may be a few more later. (Maybe the whole damn card?)
                                          Comment
                                          • Night-Tripper
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-14-09
                                            • 3205

                                            #161
                                            Originally posted by Night-Tripper
                                            6-2-12 Recommendations:
                                            • Blue Jays (-102)
                                            • Royals (-123)
                                            • Marlins (+145)
                                            • Mariners (+149)
                                            • Mets (+103)
                                            • Orioles (+146)
                                            • Pirates (+129)
                                            • Pirates/Brewers over 7.5 (-105)
                                            • Diamondbacks (-110)
                                            • Reds (-127)
                                            • Angels (-112)


                                            For those that are interested/Run Line (-1.5) Recommendations:
                                            • Royals (+165)
                                            • Rockies (+140)
                                            • Giants (+145)
                                            • Reds (+135)
                                            • Diamondbacks (+162)
                                            • Indians (+145)
                                            • Angels (+180)



                                            6-2-12 Overall Results: 9-9-0/50%/+2.10 units
                                            6-2-12 Moneyline Results: 7-3-0/70%/+5.18 units
                                            6-2-12 Totals Results: 0-1-0/0%/-1.05 units
                                            6-2-12 Run Line Results: 2-5-0/40%/-2.03 units

                                            Season to Date (All Wager Types): 187-183-1/50%/+25.13 units
                                            Moneyline: 93-83-0/53%/+23.28 units
                                            Totals: 25-30-1/45%/-5.10 units
                                            Additional Bets/Run Line Recommendations: 60-76-0/44%/+6.95 units

                                            It wasn't pretty... but I'll take it/6-3-12 guesses/fades coming in a bit...
                                            Comment
                                            • figue
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 07-23-10
                                              • 2524

                                              #162
                                              another wining day
                                              Comment
                                              • figue
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 07-23-10
                                                • 2524

                                                #163
                                                totals are eating the profit
                                                Comment
                                                • Night-Tripper
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-14-09
                                                  • 3205

                                                  #164
                                                  Originally posted by figue
                                                  another wining day
                                                  True... but not one that I am going to want to remember.

                                                  At the moment I'm a little irritated because my sportsbooks website is down... so I can't get in to see what the lines are for potential plays. So... I'm gonna sit here with a mug of coffee and a pack of Marlboro Menthol 100's and sat around here listening to classic rock until they decide to bring it back online.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Night-Tripper
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 12-14-09
                                                    • 3205

                                                    #165
                                                    Originally posted by figue
                                                    totals are eating the profit
                                                    That's just me being hard-headed... I don't wanna have a negative balance...so I keep playing what I consider to be the total with the best value. If I can ever get to even in the Totals category... I'll probably never post another one. (Wished I had never posted one to begin with.)

                                                    Comment
                                                    • figue
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 07-23-10
                                                      • 2524

                                                      #166
                                                      Originally posted by Night-Tripper
                                                      That's just me being hard-headed... I don't wanna have a negative balance...so I keep playing what I consider to be the total with the best value. If I can ever get to even in the Totals category... I'll probably never post another one. (Wished I had never posted one to begin with.)

                                                      you are rigth ,i think totals are unpredictibles .
                                                      Comment
                                                      • figue
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 07-23-10
                                                        • 2524

                                                        #167
                                                        with alot of RL+ i think is hard to take a profit
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Night-Tripper
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 12-14-09
                                                          • 3205

                                                          #168
                                                          Originally posted by figue
                                                          you are rigth ,i think totals are unpredictibles .

                                                          They're a crap-shoot. I will no longer play any unders. If/When I post a total... it is 100% guaranteed that it'll be an over.

                                                          Comment
                                                          • Night-Tripper
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-14-09
                                                            • 3205

                                                            #169
                                                            Originally posted by figue
                                                            with alot of RL+ i think is hard to take a profit

                                                            My Run Line plays are an addition to my moneyline plays. You don't have to hit a high perentage to come out ahead.... about42% will put you at + money. You've probably noticed that I won't play any favorite that is more that -1.40 on the moneyline. Anything above that means you have to hit a really high percentage of your plays to stay ahead. For the most part... I play dogs and favorites that are less than -1.20. If they're above -140... I'll only play them on the Run Line if the value is there. But... that's my system.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • figue
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 07-23-10
                                                              • 2524

                                                              #170
                                                              talkin about totals pirates are a under team :

                                                              All Games 14-31-3 31.1% 68.9%
                                                              After A Win 5-16-3 23.8% 76.2%
                                                              After A Loss 9-15-0 37.5% 62.5%
                                                              As Home Team 5-17-2 22.7% 77.3%
                                                              As Away Team 9-14-1 39.1% 60.9%
                                                              As Favorite 3-9-0 25.0% 75.0%
                                                              As Underdog 11-22-3 33.3% 66.7%
                                                              As Home Favorite 3-9-0 25.0% 75.0%
                                                              As Home Underdog 2-8-2 20.0% 80.0%
                                                              As Away Underdog 9-14-1 39.1% 60.9%
                                                              No Rest 11-28-2 28.2% 71.8%
                                                              1 Day Off 3-3-1 50.0% 50.0%
                                                              Division Games 6-12-1 33.3% 66.7%
                                                              Non-Division Games 8-19-2 29.6% 70.4%
                                                              League Games 14-28-3 33.3% 66.7%
                                                              Non-League Games 0-3-0 0.0% 100.0%
                                                              Pittsburgh Pirates

                                                              Comment
                                                              • Night-Tripper
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-14-09
                                                                • 3205

                                                                #171
                                                                Originally posted by figue
                                                                talkin about totals pirates are a under team :

                                                                All Games 14-31-3 31.1% 68.9%
                                                                After A Win 5-16-3 23.8% 76.2%
                                                                After A Loss 9-15-0 37.5% 62.5%
                                                                As Home Team 5-17-2 22.7% 77.3%
                                                                As Away Team 9-14-1 39.1% 60.9%
                                                                As Favorite 3-9-0 25.0% 75.0%
                                                                As Underdog 11-22-3 33.3% 66.7%
                                                                As Home Favorite 3-9-0 25.0% 75.0%
                                                                As Home Underdog 2-8-2 20.0% 80.0%
                                                                As Away Underdog 9-14-1 39.1% 60.9%
                                                                No Rest 11-28-2 28.2% 71.8%
                                                                1 Day Off 3-3-1 50.0% 50.0%
                                                                Division Games 6-12-1 33.3% 66.7%
                                                                Non-Division Games 8-19-2 29.6% 70.4%
                                                                League Games 14-28-3 33.3% 66.7%
                                                                Non-League Games 0-3-0 0.0% 100.0%
                                                                Pittsburgh Pirates

                                                                Well... that's where I may be a little different than most handicappers out there/on this site. I'm not a big believer in trends and I do my best to avoid them... prefer to not have my judgement clouded. If I had followed trends during football season... I never would have bet on UAB to beat Southern Mississippi straight up. I'm more of a *seat of the pants* type of guy.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • figue
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 07-23-10
                                                                  • 2524

                                                                  #172
                                                                  Originally posted by Night-Tripper
                                                                  Well... that's where I may be a little different than most handicappers out there/on this site. I'm not a big believer in trends and I do my best to avoid them... prefer to not have my judgement clouded. If I had followed trends during football season... I never would have bet on UAB to beat Southern Mississippi straight up. I'm more of a *seat of the pants* type of guy.
                                                                  good point.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Night-Tripper
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 12-14-09
                                                                    • 3205

                                                                    #173
                                                                    6-3-12 Recommendations:
                                                                    • Yankees (+158)
                                                                    • Blue Jays (-123)
                                                                    • Orioles (+125)
                                                                    • Royals (-126)
                                                                    • Twins (+120)
                                                                    • Rockies (-128)
                                                                    • Angels (-112)
                                                                    • Cubs (+126)
                                                                    • Padres (+103)
                                                                    • Mets (-107)


                                                                    For those that are interested/Run Line (-1.5) Recommendations:
                                                                    • Blue Jays (+162)
                                                                    • Royals (+162)
                                                                    • Rockies (+160)
                                                                    • Angels (+180)
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • figue
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 07-23-10
                                                                      • 2524

                                                                      #174
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • balls2wall
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 12-20-09
                                                                        • 2642

                                                                        #175
                                                                        good luck today tripper

                                                                        just now looking at games

                                                                        hopefully I will be on a couple with ya


                                                                        Comment
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