2012 Basaballa Guesses
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Night-TripperSBR MVP
- 12-14-09
- 3205
#141Comment -
Night-TripperSBR MVP
- 12-14-09
- 3205
#1426-1-12 Recommendations:- Marlins/Phillies over 8.5 (-115)
- Phillies (-110)
- Braves (+151)
- Blue Jays (-132)
- Reds (-132)
- Athletics/Royals over 8 (-105)
- Mariners (+109)
- Rockies (-115)
- Diamondbacks (-128)
- Angels (+107)
- Cubs (+152)
For those that are interested/Run Line (-1.5) Recommendations:- Phillies (+177)
- Blue Jays (+155)
- Reds (+130)
- Rockies (+170)
- Diamondbacks (+140)
Late and Final Recommendations:- Mariners (+109)
- Reds (-123)
- Reds -1.5 (+130)
- Cubs (+152)
Comment -
figueSBR MVP
- 07-23-10
- 2524
#143Usually... I consider all of my plays to be of equal value/based on the same probablity of coming in... so I normally wouldn't be able to select one over another. (If I could... I'd remove the other one.) But tonight/a few minutes ago while I was turning them in... I actually felt the Toronto Run Line was the strongest of the three Run Line plays posted (so far). However, just before I saw your post... while checking through my Pending Wagers... I couldn't help but notice that I'd accidentally(?) played the Colorado Run Line twice. So, philosophically... while I personally feel that the Blue Jay (+155) Run Line is my strongest.... realistically... the Rockies (+170) is my strongest/largest play.
Having said all of this... give me your thoughts.Comment -
figueSBR MVP
- 07-23-10
- 2524
#146another winning dayComment -
figueSBR MVP
- 07-23-10
- 2524
#147Comment -
figueSBR MVP
- 07-23-10
- 2524
#148tripper, as you put your games early I assume no attention to the movement of the line,for the games later you post ,do you it?? or does matter in mlb for you ??Comment -
Night-TripperSBR MVP
- 12-14-09
- 3205
#1496-1-12 Recommendations:- Marlins/Phillies over 8.5 (-115)
- Phillies (-110)
- Braves (+151)/Postponed
- Blue Jays (-132)
- Reds (-132)
- Athletics/Royals over 8 (-105)
- Mariners (+109)
- Rockies (-115)
- Diamondbacks (-128)
- Angels (+107)
- Cubs (+152)
For those that are interested/Run Line (-1.5) Recommendations:- Phillies (+177)
- Blue Jays (+155)
- Reds (+130)
- Rockies (+170)
- Diamondbacks (+140)
6-1-12 Overall Results: 8-7-0/100%/+2.19 units
6-1-12 Moneyline Results: 4-4-0/50%/-0.53 units
6-1-12 Totals Results: 1-1-0/0%/-0.05 units
6-1-12 Run Line Results: 3-2-0/60%/+2.77 units
Season to Date (All Wager Types): 178-174-1/50%/+23.03 units
Moneyline: 86-80-0/52%/+18.10 units
Totals: 25-29-1/49%/-4.05 units
Additional Bets/Run Line Recommendations: 58-71-0/45%/+8.98 units
6-2-12 guesses/fades coming in a bit...
Comment -
Night-TripperSBR MVP
- 12-14-09
- 3205
#150
I try to go with the early line movement in hopes of catching better numbers... but sometimes it has worked against me. If the later movement does go against me... I simply hope for the best. Friday for example... the money was coming in on the Marlins... but the Phillies still came through for me. Should I start getting consistently hammered by the late movement... I'll change my betting strategy.
Comment -
figueSBR MVP
- 07-23-10
- 2524
#151what site do you use to watch the line movement ??Comment -
Night-TripperSBR MVP
- 12-14-09
- 3205
#1536-2-12 Recommendations:- Royals (-123)
- Marlins (+145)
- Mets (+103)
- Orioles (+146)
- Pirates (+129)
- Pirates/Brewers over 7.5 (-105)
- Diamondbacks (-110)
- Reds (-127)
For those that are interested/Run Line (-1.5) Recommendations:- Royals (+165)
- Rockies (+140)
- Giants (+145)
- Reds (+135)
- Diamondbacks (+162)
- Indians (+145)
That's it for now...Comment -
figueSBR MVP
- 07-23-10
- 2524
#154and your best RL+ ??Comment -
figueSBR MVP
- 07-23-10
- 2524
#155my book has arizona -101 and RL+1.5 -250 san diego is -1.5 +210Comment -
Night-TripperSBR MVP
- 12-14-09
- 3205
#156Mine has now gone to Arizona (-106) and (+1.5/-240). They fell into the same category as the Phillies did last night. I wanted them to become a favorite... so I could catch them on a sweet + money Run Line. They did... and we cashed even though everyone was betting on the Marlins. Same thing's happening tonight. I managed to catch the D-Backs while they were + money on the RL... and now they're a dog. It's simply me rolling the dice... wouldn't have been interested in Arizona at all had I not caught them as a + money RL favorite.Comment -
Night-TripperSBR MVP
- 12-14-09
- 3205
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Night-TripperSBR MVP
- 12-14-09
- 3205
#1586-2-12 Recommendations:- Royals (-123)
- Marlins (+145)
- Mariners (+149)
- Mets (+103)
- Orioles (+146)
- Pirates (+129)
- Pirates/Brewers over 7.5 (-105)
- Diamondbacks (-110)
- Reds (-127)
For those that are interested/Run Line (-1.5) Recommendations:- Royals (+165)
- Rockies (+140)
- Giants (+145)
- Reds (+135)
- Diamondbacks (+162)
- Indians (+145)
That's it for now...
Final Recommendation:- Mariners (+149)
Comment -
figueSBR MVP
- 07-23-10
- 2524
#159thanks lets cashComment -
Night-TripperSBR MVP
- 12-14-09
- 3205
#1606-2-12 Recommendations:- Blue Jays (-102)
- Royals (-123)
- Marlins (+145)
- Mariners (+149)
- Mets (+103)
- Orioles (+146)
- Pirates (+129)
- Pirates/Brewers over 7.5 (-105)
- Diamondbacks (-110)
- Reds (-127)
- Angels (-112)
- Royals (+165)
- Rockies (+140)
- Giants (+145)
- Reds (+135)
- Diamondbacks (+162)
- Indians (+145)
- Angels (+180)
Final Recommendation:- Mariners (+149)
Additional Recommendations:- Blue Jays (-102)
- Angels (-112)
- Angels -1.5 (+180)
Unfortunately... there may be a few more later. (Maybe the whole damn card?)Comment -
Night-TripperSBR MVP
- 12-14-09
- 3205
#1616-2-12 Recommendations:- Blue Jays (-102)
- Royals (-123)
- Marlins (+145)
- Mariners (+149)
- Mets (+103)
- Orioles (+146)
- Pirates (+129)
- Pirates/Brewers over 7.5 (-105)
- Diamondbacks (-110)
- Reds (-127)
- Angels (-112)
For those that are interested/Run Line (-1.5) Recommendations:- Royals (+165)
- Rockies (+140)
- Giants (+145)
- Reds (+135)
- Diamondbacks (+162)
- Indians (+145)
- Angels (+180)
6-2-12 Overall Results: 9-9-0/50%/+2.10 units
6-2-12 Moneyline Results: 7-3-0/70%/+5.18 units
6-2-12 Totals Results: 0-1-0/0%/-1.05 units
6-2-12 Run Line Results: 2-5-0/40%/-2.03 units
Season to Date (All Wager Types): 187-183-1/50%/+25.13 units
Moneyline: 93-83-0/53%/+23.28 units
Totals: 25-30-1/45%/-5.10 units
Additional Bets/Run Line Recommendations: 60-76-0/44%/+6.95 units
It wasn't pretty... but I'll take it/6-3-12 guesses/fades coming in a bit...Comment -
figueSBR MVP
- 07-23-10
- 2524
#162another wining dayComment -
figueSBR MVP
- 07-23-10
- 2524
#163totals are eating the profitComment -
Night-TripperSBR MVP
- 12-14-09
- 3205
#164True... but not one that I am going to want to remember.
At the moment I'm a little irritated because my sportsbooks website is down... so I can't get in to see what the lines are for potential plays. So... I'm gonna sit here with a mug of coffee and a pack of Marlboro Menthol 100's and sat around here listening to classic rock until they decide to bring it back online.Comment -
Night-TripperSBR MVP
- 12-14-09
- 3205
#165That's just me being hard-headed... I don't wanna have a negative balance...so I keep playing what I consider to be the total with the best value. If I can ever get to even in the Totals category... I'll probably never post another one. (Wished I had never posted one to begin with.)
Comment -
figueSBR MVP
- 07-23-10
- 2524
#166That's just me being hard-headed... I don't wanna have a negative balance...so I keep playing what I consider to be the total with the best value. If I can ever get to even in the Totals category... I'll probably never post another one. (Wished I had never posted one to begin with.)
Comment -
figueSBR MVP
- 07-23-10
- 2524
#167with alot of RL+ i think is hard to take a profitComment -
Night-TripperSBR MVP
- 12-14-09
- 3205
#169
My Run Line plays are an addition to my moneyline plays. You don't have to hit a high perentage to come out ahead.... about42% will put you at + money. You've probably noticed that I won't play any favorite that is more that -1.40 on the moneyline. Anything above that means you have to hit a really high percentage of your plays to stay ahead. For the most part... I play dogs and favorites that are less than -1.20. If they're above -140... I'll only play them on the Run Line if the value is there. But... that's my system.
Comment -
figueSBR MVP
- 07-23-10
- 2524
#170talkin about totals pirates are a under team :
Pittsburgh PiratesAll Games 14-31-3 31.1% 68.9% After A Win 5-16-3 23.8% 76.2% After A Loss 9-15-0 37.5% 62.5% As Home Team 5-17-2 22.7% 77.3% As Away Team 9-14-1 39.1% 60.9% As Favorite 3-9-0 25.0% 75.0% As Underdog 11-22-3 33.3% 66.7% As Home Favorite 3-9-0 25.0% 75.0% As Home Underdog 2-8-2 20.0% 80.0% As Away Underdog 9-14-1 39.1% 60.9% No Rest 11-28-2 28.2% 71.8% 1 Day Off 3-3-1 50.0% 50.0% Division Games 6-12-1 33.3% 66.7% Non-Division Games 8-19-2 29.6% 70.4% League Games 14-28-3 33.3% 66.7% Non-League Games 0-3-0 0.0% 100.0%
Comment -
Night-TripperSBR MVP
- 12-14-09
- 3205
#171talkin about totals pirates are a under team :
Pittsburgh PiratesAll Games 14-31-3 31.1% 68.9% After A Win 5-16-3 23.8% 76.2% After A Loss 9-15-0 37.5% 62.5% As Home Team 5-17-2 22.7% 77.3% As Away Team 9-14-1 39.1% 60.9% As Favorite 3-9-0 25.0% 75.0% As Underdog 11-22-3 33.3% 66.7% As Home Favorite 3-9-0 25.0% 75.0% As Home Underdog 2-8-2 20.0% 80.0% As Away Underdog 9-14-1 39.1% 60.9% No Rest 11-28-2 28.2% 71.8% 1 Day Off 3-3-1 50.0% 50.0% Division Games 6-12-1 33.3% 66.7% Non-Division Games 8-19-2 29.6% 70.4% League Games 14-28-3 33.3% 66.7% Non-League Games 0-3-0 0.0% 100.0%
Well... that's where I may be a little different than most handicappers out there/on this site. I'm not a big believer in trends and I do my best to avoid them... prefer to not have my judgement clouded. If I had followed trends during football season... I never would have bet on UAB to beat Southern Mississippi straight up. I'm more of a *seat of the pants* type of guy.
Comment -
figueSBR MVP
- 07-23-10
- 2524
#172Well... that's where I may be a little different than most handicappers out there/on this site. I'm not a big believer in trends and I do my best to avoid them... prefer to not have my judgement clouded. If I had followed trends during football season... I never would have bet on UAB to beat Southern Mississippi straight up. I'm more of a *seat of the pants* type of guy.
Comment -
Night-TripperSBR MVP
- 12-14-09
- 3205
#1736-3-12 Recommendations:- Yankees (+158)
- Blue Jays (-123)
- Orioles (+125)
- Royals (-126)
- Twins (+120)
- Rockies (-128)
- Angels (-112)
- Cubs (+126)
- Padres (+103)
- Mets (-107)
For those that are interested/Run Line (-1.5) Recommendations:- Blue Jays (+162)
- Royals (+162)
- Rockies (+160)
- Angels (+180)
Comment -
figueSBR MVP
- 07-23-10
- 2524
#174Comment -
balls2wallSBR MVP
- 12-20-09
- 2642
#175good luck today tripper
just now looking at games
hopefully I will be on a couple with ya
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