2012 Basaballa Guesses

[Night-Tripper]

im from mexico ,i have the mountain time , i lke your style to post .

Thanks...

[Night-Tripper]

6-1-12 Recommendations:

• Marlins/Phillies over 8.5 (-115)
• Phillies (-110)
• Braves (+151)
• Blue Jays (-132)
• Reds (-132)
• Athletics/Royals over 8 (-105)
• Mariners (+109)
• Rockies (-115)
• Diamondbacks (-128)
• Angels (+107)
• Cubs (+152)

For those that are interested/Run Line (-1.5) Recommendations:

• Phillies (+177)
• Blue Jays (+155)
• Reds (+130)
• Rockies (+170)
• Diamondbacks (+140)

Late and Final Recommendations:

• Mariners (+109)
• Reds (-123)
• Reds -1.5 (+130)
• Cubs (+152)

[figue]

Usually... I consider all of my plays to be of equal value/based on the same probablity of coming in... so I normally wouldn't be able to select one over another. (If I could... I'd remove the other one.) But tonight/a few minutes ago while I was turning them in... I actually felt the Toronto Run Line was the strongest of the three Run Line plays posted (so far). However, just before I saw your post... while checking through my Pending Wagers... I couldn't help but notice that I'd accidentally(?) played the Colorado Run Line twice. So, philosophically... while I personally feel that the Blue Jay (+155) Run Line is my strongest.... realistically... the Rockies (+170) is my strongest/largest play.

Having said all of this... give me your thoughts.

rockies cash

[Night-Tripper]

rockies cash

I got lucky... you know the saying: "even a blind squirrel can find an acorn once in a while"?

[figue]

I got lucky... you know the saying: "even a blind squirrel can find an acorn once in a while"?

[figue]

another winning day

[figue]

[figue]

tripper, as you put your games early I assume no attention to the movement of the line,for the games later you post ,do you it?? or does matter in mlb for you ??

[Night-Tripper]

6-1-12 Recommendations:

• Marlins/Phillies over 8.5 (-115)
• Phillies (-110)
• Braves (+151)/Postponed
• Blue Jays (-132)
• Reds (-132)
• Athletics/Royals over 8 (-105)
• Mariners (+109)
• Rockies (-115)
• Diamondbacks (-128)
• Angels (+107)
• Cubs (+152)

For those that are interested/Run Line (-1.5) Recommendations:

• Phillies (+177)
• Blue Jays (+155)
• Reds (+130)
• Rockies (+170)
• Diamondbacks (+140)

6-1-12 Overall Results: 8-7-0/100%/+2.19 units
6-1-12 Moneyline Results: 4-4-0/50%/-0.53 units
6-1-12 Totals Results: 1-1-0/0%/-0.05 units
6-1-12 Run Line Results: 3-2-0/60%/+2.77 units


Season to Date (All Wager Types): 178-174-1/50%/+23.03 units
Moneyline: 86-80-0/52%/+18.10 units
Totals: 25-29-1/49%/-4.05 units
Additional Bets/Run Line Recommendations: 58-71-0/45%/+8.98 units

6-2-12 guesses/fades coming in a bit...

[Night-Tripper]

tripper, as you put your games early I assume no attention to the movement of the line,for the games later you post ,do you it?? or does matter in mlb for you ??

I try to go with the early line movement in hopes of catching better numbers... but sometimes it has worked against me. If the later movement does go against me... I simply hope for the best. Friday for example... the money was coming in on the Marlins... but the Phillies still came through for me. Should I start getting consistently hammered by the late movement... I'll change my betting strategy.

[figue]

what site do you use to watch the line movement ??

[Night-Tripper]

what site do you use to watch the line movement ??

Sports Insights

[Night-Tripper]

6-2-12 Recommendations:

• Royals (-123)
• Marlins (+145)
• Mets (+103)
• Orioles (+146)
• Pirates (+129)
• Pirates/Brewers over 7.5 (-105)
• Diamondbacks (-110)
• Reds (-127)

For those that are interested/Run Line (-1.5) Recommendations:

• Royals (+165)
• Rockies (+140)
• Giants (+145)
• Reds (+135)
• Diamondbacks (+162)
• Indians (+145)

That's it for now...

[figue]

and your best RL+ ??

[figue]

my book has arizona -101 and RL+1.5 -250 san diego is -1.5 +210

[Night-Tripper]

my book has arizona -101 and RL+1.5 -250 san diego is -1.5 +210

Mine has now gone to Arizona (-106) and (+1.5/-240). They fell into the same category as the Phillies did last night. I wanted them to become a favorite... so I could catch them on a sweet + money Run Line. They did... and we cashed even though everyone was betting on the Marlins. Same thing's happening tonight. I managed to catch the D-Backs while they were + money on the RL... and now they're a dog. It's simply me rolling the dice... wouldn't have been interested in Arizona at all had I not caught them as a + money RL favorite.

[Night-Tripper]

and your best RL+ ??

It would have been Arizona... but since they're no longer at + money... it's a toss up between Indians @ +145 and Rockies @ +140. (Tonight I didn't screw up and put in a double bet like I did last night with the Rockies.)

[Night-Tripper]

6-2-12 Recommendations:

• Royals (-123)
• Marlins (+145)
• Mariners (+149)
• Mets (+103)
• Orioles (+146)
• Pirates (+129)
• Pirates/Brewers over 7.5 (-105)
• Diamondbacks (-110)
• Reds (-127)

For those that are interested/Run Line (-1.5) Recommendations:

• Royals (+165)
• Rockies (+140)
• Giants (+145)
• Reds (+135)
• Diamondbacks (+162)
• Indians (+145)

That's it for now...

Final Recommendation:

• Mariners (+149)

[figue]

thanks lets cash

[Night-Tripper]

6-2-12 Recommendations:

• Blue Jays (-102)
• Royals (-123)
• Marlins (+145)
• Mariners (+149)
• Mets (+103)
• Orioles (+146)
• Pirates (+129)
• Pirates/Brewers over 7.5 (-105)
• Diamondbacks (-110)
• Reds (-127)
• Angels (-112)

For those that are interested/Run Line (-1.5) Recommendations:

• Royals (+165)
• Rockies (+140)
• Giants (+145)
• Reds (+135)
• Diamondbacks (+162)
• Indians (+145)
• Angels (+180)

Final Recommendation:

• Mariners (+149)

Okay... so I lied.

Additional Recommendations:

• Blue Jays (-102)

• Angels (-112)

• Angels -1.5 (+180)

Unfortunately... there may be a few more later. (Maybe the whole damn card?)

[Night-Tripper]

6-2-12 Recommendations:

• Blue Jays (-102)
• Royals (-123)
• Marlins (+145)
• Mariners (+149)
• Mets (+103)
• Orioles (+146)
• Pirates (+129)
• Pirates/Brewers over 7.5 (-105)
• Diamondbacks (-110)
• Reds (-127)
• Angels (-112)

For those that are interested/Run Line (-1.5) Recommendations:

• Royals (+165)
• Rockies (+140)
• Giants (+145)
• Reds (+135)
• Diamondbacks (+162)
• Indians (+145)
• Angels (+180)

6-2-12 Overall Results: 9-9-0/50%/+2.10 units
6-2-12 Moneyline Results: 7-3-0/70%/+5.18 units
6-2-12 Totals Results: 0-1-0/0%/-1.05 units
6-2-12 Run Line Results: 2-5-0/40%/-2.03 units

Season to Date (All Wager Types): 187-183-1/50%/+25.13 units
Moneyline: 93-83-0/53%/+23.28 units
Totals: 25-30-1/45%/-5.10 units
Additional Bets/Run Line Recommendations: 60-76-0/44%/+6.95 units

It wasn't pretty... but I'll take it/6-3-12 guesses/fades coming in a bit...

[figue]

another wining day

[figue]

totals are eating the profit

[Night-Tripper]

another wining day

True... but not one that I am going to want to remember.

At the moment I'm a little irritated because my sportsbooks website is down... so I can't get in to see what the lines are for potential plays. So... I'm gonna sit here with a mug of coffee and a pack of Marlboro Menthol 100's and sat around here listening to classic rock until they decide to bring it back online.

[Night-Tripper]

totals are eating the profit

That's just me being hard-headed... I don't wanna have a negative balance...so I keep playing what I consider to be the total with the best value. If I can ever get to even in the Totals category... I'll probably never post another one. (Wished I had never posted one to begin with.)

[figue]

That's just me being hard-headed... I don't wanna have a negative balance...so I keep playing what I consider to be the total with the best value. If I can ever get to even in the Totals category... I'll probably never post another one. (Wished I had never posted one to begin with.)

you are rigth ,i think totals are unpredictibles .

[figue]

with alot of RL+ i think is hard to take a profit

[Night-Tripper]

you are rigth ,i think totals are unpredictibles .

They're a crap-shoot. I will no longer play any unders. If/When I post a total... it is 100% guaranteed that it'll be an over.

[Night-Tripper]

with alot of RL+ i think is hard to take a profit

My Run Line plays are an addition to my moneyline plays. You don't have to hit a high perentage to come out ahead.... about42% will put you at + money. You've probably noticed that I won't play any favorite that is more that -1.40 on the moneyline. Anything above that means you have to hit a really high percentage of your plays to stay ahead. For the most part... I play dogs and favorites that are less than -1.20. If they're above -140... I'll only play them on the Run Line if the value is there. But... that's my system.

[figue]

talkin about totals pirates are a under team :

All Games	14-31-3	31.1%	68.9%
After A Win	5-16-3	23.8%	76.2%
After A Loss	9-15-0	37.5%	62.5%
As Home Team	5-17-2	22.7%	77.3%
As Away Team	9-14-1	39.1%	60.9%
As Favorite	3-9-0	25.0%	75.0%
As Underdog	11-22-3	33.3%	66.7%
As Home Favorite	3-9-0	25.0%	75.0%
As Home Underdog	2-8-2	20.0%	80.0%
As Away Underdog	9-14-1	39.1%	60.9%
No Rest	11-28-2	28.2%	71.8%
1 Day Off	3-3-1	50.0%	50.0%
Division Games	6-12-1	33.3%	66.7%
Non-Division Games	8-19-2	29.6%	70.4%
League Games	14-28-3	33.3%	66.7%
Non-League Games	0-3-0	0.0%	100.0%

Pittsburgh Pirates

[Night-Tripper]

talkin about totals pirates are a under team :

All Games	14-31-3	31.1%	68.9%
After A Win	5-16-3	23.8%	76.2%
After A Loss	9-15-0	37.5%	62.5%
As Home Team	5-17-2	22.7%	77.3%
As Away Team	9-14-1	39.1%	60.9%
As Favorite	3-9-0	25.0%	75.0%
As Underdog	11-22-3	33.3%	66.7%
As Home Favorite	3-9-0	25.0%	75.0%
As Home Underdog	2-8-2	20.0%	80.0%
As Away Underdog	9-14-1	39.1%	60.9%
No Rest	11-28-2	28.2%	71.8%
1 Day Off	3-3-1	50.0%	50.0%
Division Games	6-12-1	33.3%	66.7%
Non-Division Games	8-19-2	29.6%	70.4%
League Games	14-28-3	33.3%	66.7%
Non-League Games	0-3-0	0.0%	100.0%

Pittsburgh Pirates

Well... that's where I may be a little different than most handicappers out there/on this site. I'm not a big believer in trends and I do my best to avoid them... prefer to not have my judgement clouded. If I had followed trends during football season... I never would have bet on UAB to beat Southern Mississippi straight up. I'm more of a *seat of the pants* type of guy.

[figue]

Well... that's where I may be a little different than most handicappers out there/on this site. I'm not a big believer in trends and I do my best to avoid them... prefer to not have my judgement clouded. If I had followed trends during football season... I never would have bet on UAB to beat Southern Mississippi straight up. I'm more of a *seat of the pants* type of guy.

good point.

[Night-Tripper]

6-3-12 Recommendations:

• Yankees (+158)
• Blue Jays (-123)
• Orioles (+125)
• Royals (-126)
• Twins (+120)
• Rockies (-128)
• Angels (-112)
• Cubs (+126)
• Padres (+103)
• Mets (-107)

For those that are interested/Run Line (-1.5) Recommendations:

• Blue Jays (+162)
• Royals (+162)
• Rockies (+160)
• Angels (+180)

[figue]

[balls2wall]

good luck today tripper

just now looking at games

hopefully I will be on a couple with ya