MLB System Strategies

**HoulihansTX** · 09-23-12, 08:49 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

May 15 - Current
Overall
(325-304) +23.04

September 22
Bullpen Proj Sys
Zona (-110) 4.72 W
Hou (+110) 4.57 W
Balty (+) 3.05 W
Cubs (+140) 2.01 L
Cincy (-160) 1.71 NP>-150
Sea (+155) 1.36 W
Twins (+190) 1.25 L
NYY (-150) 1.02 NP>-150
Philly (-120) 1.02 L

No Play
SD npSFW5 3.69
Mia npL2 1.66

_________________________

ML System
(174-129) +20.95

NYY -145 to -150 NP>-150
StL if Cubs +125 to +140 NP>-150
Mets -135 to -150 Np >-150
Philly -120 to -150 L

May 15 - Current
Overall
(329-307) +24.49

September 23
Bullpen Proj Sys
Balty (-130) 8.05
Zona (-140) 4.72
Hou (+125) 4.57
Sea (+130) 1.71
SF () 1.40
Atl (+140) 1.04

No Play
Mia npL3 2.24
NYY np>-150 2.00
Cleve npL2 1.89
Twins npL2 1.38
LAA np>-150 1.03
Rays np>-150 1.02
_________________________

ML System
(174-130) +19.75

Brew if Was +110 to +140
Philly +105 to -150
Zona if Col +140

**ShivaBowl** · 09-24-12, 10:12 AM

No P/T Plays today.

ST Comp Play
Last 26 Plays 18-8 +$915.00

I will have the new NFL thread, up this week.
HoulihansTX thanks for posting the MLB plays.

Complimentary Selection for 9/24/2012

Take Arizona W/Cahill over Colorado W/Chatwood NO PLAY if ARI > -145

**HoulihansTX** · 09-24-12, 12:09 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

May 15 - Current
Overall
(329-307) +24.49

September 23
Bullpen Proj Sys
Balty (-130) 8.05 L
Zona (-140) 4.72 W
Hou (+125) 4.57 L
Sea (+130) 1.71 L
SF (+140) 1.40 L
Atl (+140) 1.04 W

No Play

_________________________

ML System
(174-130) +19.75

Brew if Was +110 to +140 W
Philly +105 to -150 NP>-150
Zona if Col +140 np<-150

May 15 - Current
Overall
(331-311) +22.59

September 24
Bullpen Proj Sys
Mets (-110) 5.89
Zona (-145) 4.91
KC (+220) 1.12
Twins (+160) 1.04

No Play
Balty np>-150 3.05 GM1
CWS np>-150 2.25
TX np>-150 1.83
_________________________

ML System
(175-130) +20.75

Brew if Was -120 to +140

**HoulihansTX** · 09-24-12, 01:48 PM

Points Awarded:
ShivaBowl gave HoulihansTX 25 SBR Point(s) for this post.

Thanks Bud

**ShivaBowl** · 09-25-12, 08:58 AM

Today’s P/T Plays
Strong numbers on ATL, but ATL is > -175
The same for TB, No Play If TB > -175

ST Comp Play dropped out yesterday ARI > -150
Last 26 Plays 18-8 +$915.00

Complimentary Selection for 9/25/2012

Take San Fran W/Lincecum over Arizona W/Collmenter NO PLAY if SFO > -150

**ShivaBowl** · 09-25-12, 09:44 AM

SBR NFL Thread
Plays are up

SBR Forum - Sports Betting Talk - Sportsbook Review Forum

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nfl-betting/1919652-advanced-system-strategies-nfl-cfb.html

Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.

**HoulihansTX** · 09-25-12, 10:38 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

May 15 - Current
Overall
(331-311) +22.59

September 24
Bullpen Proj Sys
Mets (-110) 5.89 W
Zona (-160) 4.91 NP>-150
KC (+220) 1.12 L
Twins (+160) 1.04 L

No Play

_________________________

ML System
(175-130) +20.75

Brew if Was -120 to +140 NP since Wash was -145

May 15 - Current
Overall
(332-313) +21.59

September 25
Bullpen Proj Sys
Mets (+1 00) 3.48
Wash (+140) 3.39
Cincy (-140) 3.26
Zona (+140) 3.02
LAD (-110) 1.60

No Play
Cubs npL2 5.75
Balty np>-150 4.17
CWS np>-150 2.44
LAA np>-150 1.70
Rays np>-150 1.88
Hou npL2 1.28
_________________________

ML System
(175-130) +20.75

Cards if Hou +130 to +140
SF if -135 to -150

**ShivaBowl** · 09-25-12, 10:54 PM

No P/T Plays today.

Complimentary Selection for 9/26/2012

Take Philly W/Kendrick over Washington W/Lannan NO PLAY if PHI > -140

**HoulihansTX** · 09-26-12, 10:15 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

May 15 - Current
Overall
(332-313) +21.59

September 25
Bullpen Proj Sys
Mets (+1 00) 3.48 L
Wash (+140) 3.39 L
Cincy (-140) 3.26 W
Zona (+140) 3.02 W
LAD (-110) 1.60 L

No Play

_________________________

ML System
(175-130) +20.75

Cards if Hou +130 to +140 W
SF if -135 to -150 L

May 15 - Current
Overall
(334-316) +21.59

September 26
Bullpen Proj Sys
Twins (+225) 5.70
Rays (-130) 5.60
Cincy (-130) 4.21
Zona (+135) 2.09
Wash (+120) 1.84
Mets (-110) 1.62
TX (-140) 1.62
LAA (-140) 1.04

No Play
Cubs npL3 8.97
Balty npL2 4.74
KC npL3 2.85
CWS np>-150 1.98
LAD npSDW2 1.60
_________________________

ML System
(176-131) +20.25

Philly if +105 to -150
Mets if -115 to -150
TX if -125 to -150
LAA if -145 to -150

I recommend that followers of both systems make sure the ML Sys take precedent over the BP sys when placing wagers. Therefore I will be betting Philly ,and ignoring BP's recommendation to play Was.

**panikpoker** · 09-26-12, 11:07 AM

seems like a lot of games i am new to this thread so hopefully it goes well!

let me get this straight if the line on BP is lower say rays is -120 its a no play?

**bigelv** · 09-26-12, 12:00 PM

Originally posted by panikpoker

seems like a lot of games i am new to this thread so hopefully it goes well!

let me get this straight if the line on BP is lower say rays is -120 its a no play?

It's a no play if its higher that 1.50

**panikpoker** · 09-26-12, 12:56 PM

god im confused i need to read page 1 again

**ShivaBowl** · 09-27-12, 09:23 AM

I never do parlays. But I just like the odds on this one.

Line	Competition		Match			Forecast	Odds
1	MLB Lines		MIL (W Peralta) v CIN (M Latos)			MIL (W Peralta) +1½	-150
2	MLB Lines		PIT (K Correia) v NYM (R Dickey)			PIT (K Correia) +1½	-135
3	MLB Lines		WAS (G Gonzalez) v PHI (T Cloyd)			PHI (T Cloyd) +1½	-140
Stake					100 USD
Accumulated Odds				+397
Potential win		497.55 USD

**ShivaBowl** · 09-27-12, 09:28 AM

No P/T Plays
DET N/P > -175

ST Comp Play
Last 27 Plays 18-9 +$793.00

Complimentary Selection for 9/27/2012

Take Tampa Bay W/Shields over Chi W Sox W/Peavy NO PLAY if TB > -110

**HoulihansTX** · 09-27-12, 10:04 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

May 15 - Current
Overall
(334-316) +21.59

September 26
Bullpen Proj Sys
Twins (+225) 5.70 L
Rays (-130) 5.60 W
Cincy (-130) 4.21 W
Zona (+135) 2.09 L
Wash (+120) 1.84 W
Mets (-110) 1.62 W
TX (-140) 1.62 L
LAA (-140) 1.04 W

No Play

_________________________

ML System
(176-131) +20.25

Philly if +105 to -150 L -125
Mets if -115 to -150 NP -110
TX if -125 to -150 L -130
LAA if -145 to -150 NP >-150

May 15 - Current
Overall
(339-319) +22.79

September 27
Bullpen Proj Sys
NYY (-130) 5.75
Cincy (-150) 2.09
LAD (-110) 2.09
Zona (+100) 1.51

No Play
Cubs npL4 6.59
KC npL4 5.62
TX npL2 3.10
Mets np>-150 1.18
_________________________

ML System
(176-132) +17.70

Col @-150
Philly if +115 to -150

**ShivaBowl** · 09-27-12, 04:25 PM

Originally posted by ShivaBowl

I never do parlays. But I just like the odds on this one.

Line	Competition		Match			Forecast	Odds
1	MLB Lines		MIL (W Peralta) v CIN (M Latos)			MIL (W Peralta) +1½	-150
2	MLB Lines		PIT (K Correia) v NYM (R Dickey)			PIT (K Correia) +1½	-135
3	MLB Lines		WAS (G Gonzalez) v PHI (T Cloyd)			PHI (T Cloyd) +1½	-140
Stake					100 USD
Accumulated Odds				+397
Potential win		497.55 USD

Fortunately I'm 2-0 on my parlay, so now I have to take down some Nationals and with any luck they will only win by one. But I am worried about the Nationals bull pen, from what I'm hearing, they have tired arms.

**HoulihansTX** · 09-28-12, 09:56 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

May 15 - Current
Overall
(339-319) +22.79

September 27
Bullpen Proj Sys
NYY (-130) 5.75 L
Cincy (-150) 2.09 NP>-150
LAD (-110) 2.09 W
Zona (+100) 1.51 L

No Play

_________________________

ML System
(176-132) +17.70

Col @-150 W
Philly if +115 to -150 NP +125

May 15 - Current
Overall
(340-321) +21.49

September 28
Bullpen Proj Sys
SF (-105) 4.31
Sea (+165) 3.64
Cincy (-130) 3.19
LAA (+100) 1.24

No Play
Balty np>-150 10.96
LAD npColW4 8.59
KC npL5 6.07
NYY np>-150 4.88
Minny npDetW4 3.56
Hou NP(b/c its Hou) 2.99
Atl np>-150 2.99
Zona np>-150 2.68

_________________________

ML System
(177-132) +18.70

Cincy if Pitt +125 to +140
Det if Twins +135 to +140

**ShivaBowl** · 09-28-12, 12:31 PM

ST Comp Play
Last 28 Plays 19-9 +$893.00

P/T Plays
126-90 +$2,857.00

Shiva Plays
51-44 +$1,239.00

H/A Over Plays
26-15-3 +$950.00

Today’s PT Plays
BAL N/P > -175

Today’s H/A Over Plays
WAS (E Jackson) v STL (A Wainwright)
Game Total OVER 7½ -105

CHC (T Wood) v ARI (I Kennedy)
Game Total OVER 9 -105

Complimentary Selection for 9/28/2012

Take Philly W/Lee over Miami W/Buehrle NO PLAY if PHI > -150

**ShivaBowl** · 09-28-12, 12:36 PM

Two Plays I like today.

CIN (H Bailey) v PIT (A Burnett)
CIN (H Bailey) -133
133/100

KAN (W Smith) v CLE (D Huff)
KAN (W Smith) +103
125/128

**ShivaBowl** · 09-28-12, 05:06 PM

[quote=HoulihansTX;[I]
No Play[/I]
Balty np>-150 10.96

quote=ShivaBowl;
Today’s PT Plays
BAL N/P > -175

Hey TX: I'm going to give BAL a ride tonight.
BOL

**HoulihansTX** · 09-29-12, 01:27 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

May 15 - Current
Overall
(340-321) +21.49

September 28
Bullpen Proj Sys
SF (-105) 4.31 W
Sea (+165) 3.64 L
Cincy (-130) 3.19 W
LAA (+100) 1.24 W

No Play

_________________________

ML System
(177-132) +18.70

Cincy if Pitt +125 to +140 Np -115
Det if Twins +135 to +140 NP -135

May 15 - Current
Overall
(343-322) +23.49

September 29
Bullpen Proj Sys

Cleve (-125) 7.03
Twins (+205) 4.91
Hou (+225) 2.89
Cincy (-140) 2.13
StL (-115) 1.77
Sea (+150) 4.91
CWS (-125) 1.18
SF (-125) 1.02

No Play
LAD np>-150 9.03
Balty np>-150 9.01
NYY np>-150 4.92
Atl np>-150 2.78
Philly npL3 1.74
_________________________

ML System
(177-132) +18.70

Dark

**HoulihansTX** · 09-30-12, 10:48 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

May 15 - Current
Overall
(343-322) +23.49

September 29
Bullpen Proj Sys

Cleve (-125) 7.03 L
Twins (+205) 4.91 L
Hou (+225) 2.89 L
Cincy (-125) 2.13 L
StL (-115) 1.77 L
Sea (+150) 4.91 L
CWS (-125) 1.18 L
SF (-125) 1.02 L

No Play

_________________________

ML System
(177-132) +18.70

Dark

May 15 - Current
Overall
(343-330) +17.59

September 30
Bullpen Proj Sys
Twins (+160) 4.56
Cleve (-135) 4.32
StL (-135) 3.41
Hou (+200) 2.87
Cincy (-135) 2.45
CWS (+150) 1.53
SF (+100) 1.52

No Play
Balty np>-150 8.60
LAD np>-150 7.48
Atl np>-150 2.45
Philly np>-150 1.58
NYY np>-150 1.39
_________________________

ML System
(177-132) +18.70

Cleve if -125 to -150

**ShivaBowl** · 09-30-12, 11:00 AM

Hey TX Friday was my last day for the BPR.
I'm only following teams that have something to play for because I know who they will be using in the relief.
Teams like Cleveland, Minnesota, Houston and Seattle. I don't know who the relief pitchers are? I've never even heard of some of them before.

**ShivaBowl** · 09-30-12, 11:13 AM

P/T Plays
126-90 +$2,857.00

Shiva Plays
53-45 +$1,339.00

H/A Over Plays
28-15-3 +$1,150.00

Today’s PT Plays
No Play If > -175
NYY
CIN
MLW
DET
TEX GM 2
No play if TEX loses GM 1

Today’s H/A Over Plays
HOU (J Lyles) v MIL (M Fiers)
Game Total OVER 8½ -115

ST Comp Play
Last 29 Plays 19-10 +$758.00

Complimentary Selection for 9/30/2012

Take Cleveland W/Mcallister over Kansas City W/Hochevar NO PLAY if CLE > -120

**HoulihansTX** · 09-30-12, 11:40 AM

Originally posted by ShivaBowl

Hey TX Friday was my last day for the BPR.
I'm only following teams that have something to play for because I know who they will be using in the relief.
Teams like Cleveland, Minnesota, Houston and Seattle. I don't know who the relief pitchers are? I've never even heard of some of them before.

Yea, yesterday was hard to swallow. If the poor performance continues today. I will pull the plug on the BP sys.

**ShivaBowl** · 10-01-12, 09:56 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

Yea, yesterday was hard to swallow. If the poor performance continues today. I will pull the plug on the BP sys.

That's fine bro do whatever you think is best. I just don't want to see you give back $ all your hard work.
Please keep posting the plays, I do need them.
PT is just an unbelievable system. I have no idea how Sam came up with this system but everything is hitting.
If you take a look at those strong numbers a few days ago on Baltimore -200 which is not a big deal for me BPR & PT nailed it.

**airattackers** · 10-01-12, 10:54 AM

@shivabowl..what does p/t stand for?

**ShivaBowl** · 10-01-12, 10:57 AM

P/T Plays went 3-0 yesterday
129-90 +$3,457.00
No Play If > -175
NYY W
CIN W
MLW N/P > -175
DET W
TEX GM 2
No play if TEX loses GM 1
N/P TEX L-2

H/A Over Plays went 0-1 –115.00
28-16-3 +$1,035.00

Today’s PT Plays
No Plays

Today’s H/A Over Plays
BOS (C Buchholz) v NYY (C Sabathia)
Game Total OVER 8 -110

ST Comp Play on CLE dropped out > -120
Last 29 Plays 19-10 +$758.00

Complimentary Selection for 10/1/2012

Take San Fran W/Cain over LA Dodger W/Harang NO PLAY if SFO > -115

**ShivaBowl** · 10-01-12, 11:01 AM

Originally posted by airattackers

@shivabowl..what does p/t stand for?

Pitching and Team Overall Power Ratings

One Play I like today.

BAL (W Chen) v TAM (A Cobb)
BAL (W Chen) +117
100/117

**HoulihansTX** · 10-01-12, 12:24 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

May 15 - Current
Overall
(343-330) +17.59

September 30
Bullpen Proj Sys
Twins (+160) 4.56 L
Cleve (-135) 4.32 W
StL (-135) 3.41 W
Hou (+200) 2.87 W
Cincy (-135) 2.45 W
CWS (+150) 1.53 L
SF (+100) 1.52 W

No Play

_________________________

ML System
(177-132) +18.70

Cleve if -125 to -150 W -135

May 15 - Current
Overall
(348-332) +20.59

October 1
Bullpen Proj Sys
Atl (-140) 2.69
Hou (-105) 2.69
Oak (-135) 2.23
StL (-150) 1.82
SD (+140) 1.03

No Play
Zona np>-150 6.18
NYY np>-150 4.62
Twins npL2 4.21
Rays npBaltyW4 2.67
Sea npL3 2.59
CWS npL2 2.46

_________________________

ML System
(178-132) +19.70

Tor if -125 to -150
Brew if -150
StL if -115 to -150
LAD if -105 to -150

**ShivaBowl** · 10-02-12, 10:22 AM

H/A Over Plays went 1-0 yesterday +100.00
29-16-3 +$1,135.00

Today’s PT Plays
CWS L-2 In
CWS (J Peavy) v CLE (Masterson)
CWS (J Peavy) +112
100/112

Today’s H/A Over Plays
SFO (B Zito) v LOS (C Capuano)
Game Total OVER 7½ -115

**ZigZagMan** · 10-02-12, 10:37 AM

Hey Shiva,

I'm new to the forum and am glad to have found the MLB Betting System thread. I'm still trying to figure out the Sportrends PT system.

For example in today's game I see why CWS-Peavy is the play. I understand that while NYN-Dickey's pitcher and team ratings lean toward a play, he shouldn't be a play because the Mets exceed the recommended -130 limit.

My question is why is HOU-Norris not a play? Is it because of the team runs projection?

Thanks for your help!

**HoulihansTX** · 10-02-12, 10:44 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

May 15 - Current
Overall
(348-332) +20.59

October 1
Bullpen Proj Sys
Atl (-140) 2.69 L
Hou (-105) 2.69 W
Oak (-135) 2.23 W
StL (-150) 1.82 W
SD (+140) 1.03 L

No Play

_________________________

ML System
(178-132) +19.70

Tor if -125 to -150 W -140
Brew if -150 NP>-150
StL if -115 to -150 W-140
LAD if -105 to -150 NP +100

May 15 - Current
Overall
(351-334) +21.19

October 2
Bullpen Proj Sys
Hou (+100) 2.69
Atl (-105) 2.69
Rays (-145) 2.67
CWS (+110) 2.46
Oak (+130) 2.23
StL (-130) 1.82

No Play
Zona npL2 6.18
NYY np>-150 4.62
Twins npL3 4.21
Sea npL4 2.59
SD npL2 1.03

_________________________

ML System
(180-132) +21.70

Pitt if -110 to -150
Hou if Cubs -115 to +140
Cleve if -115 to -150
Tor if -140 to -150
Rays if -130 to -150

**ShivaBowl** · 10-02-12, 11:04 AM

Originally posted by ZigZagMan

Hey Shiva,

I'm new to the forum and am glad to have found the MLB Betting System thread. I'm still trying to figure out the Sportrends PT system.

For example in today's game I see why CWS-Peavy is the play. I understand that while NYN-Dickey's pitcher and team ratings lean toward a play, he shouldn't be a play because the Mets exceed the recommended -130 limit.

My question is why is HOU-Norris not a play? Is it because of the team runs projection?

Thanks for your help!

ZigZagMan
Take a look at the innings pitched, Dickey versus Turner. Dickey has 227 innings pitched versus Turner who has only 35 innings pitched. Though the numbers are good on Dickey, I dont think you're not getting a true play due too the innings pitched Differential.
The same goes for Norris and Volstad.

BOL, Thanks for posting.

**cash$bro91** · 10-02-12, 11:09 AM

Houli,

The team streaks on ST Proj ML Team Stats pg are incorrect, they changed the format. I think the Rays and Rockies may have been the only plays affected but it appears as if you caught it already.