MLB System Strategies

**Spartacuss** · 05-30-12, 05:47 AM

Whatever happened to Formulawiz?????

**ShivaBowl** · 05-30-12, 06:20 AM

Originally posted by Spartacuss

Whatever happened to Formulawiz?????

MIA

Spartacuss; how are you doing with the NBA Playoffs? I can use some help.
Thanks

**ShivaBowl** · 05-30-12, 06:29 AM

H/A Plays went 1-0 YDA
YTD 21-13 +4.10u
DET No Play > -150
FLA W

P/T Plays went 1-0 YDA
YTD 43-29 +14.92u
DET No Play > -150
FLA W

Plays I like went 1-0 YDA
SFO W +$125.00
YTD 7-3 +$817.00

**joeytunes** · 05-30-12, 07:38 AM

Freeplay no play yesterday.....YTD .8 in the positive

Complimentary Selection for 5/30/2012Take Toronto W/Morrow over Baltimore W/Hammel NO PLAY if > -130

**joeytunes** · 05-30-12, 07:39 AM

nice sf play shiv

**joeytunes** · 05-30-12, 07:42 AM

look two below

**ShivaBowl** · 05-30-12, 07:59 AM

Today’s H/A Plays
No play if > -150
PIT ½ u

Today’s P/T Plays
No play if > -150
STL ½ u
PHI ½ u
COL ½ u
LAD N/P L-2 Nice numbers

Plays I like today. Based on early lines.
DET (D Smyly) +125 1u
SFO (T Lincecum) -115 1u

**joeytunes** · 05-30-12, 08:05 AM

SA 5/29
YTD 51-83 -22.74u
yesterday -2.5 units 1-3

Det -1.5u
Stl -1.0
Wash-1.0
Sf+1.0

Today 5/30

Cubs
Cin
Tor
Stl
Phl <-132

**joeytunes** · 05-30-12, 08:06 AM

shiv pedroia is out also..

**HoulihansTX** · 05-30-12, 10:39 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

May 15 - Current
Overall
(41-31) +11.75Units

May 29
Bullpen Proj Sys
SF (-120) 6.26 W
Philly (-110) 4.95 L
Angels (-130) 2.98 W
LAD (-140) 2.40 L

___________________________
Overall
(40-45) -12.55Units

TPR
StL (+100) 1.5 L
Minny (-105) 1.2 W
Bos (+145) 1.1 W

May 15 - Current
Overall
(43-33) +11.25Units

May 30
Bullpen Proj Sys
SF (-110) 6.26
Philly (-140) 4.95
AtL (-115) 3.13
LAA (-110) 2.98
Pitt (+110) 1.12

No Play
Oak npL7 5.43
Det npL2 3.73
TX np>-150 2.69
Colo np>-150 2.08

___________________________
Overall
(42-46) -11.10Units

TPR
Cincy (-120) 1.7
StL (+105) 1.5
Minny (-110) 1.2
Bos (-125) 1.1

No Play
TX np>-150 2.6
Yanks npL2 1.7
Colo np>-150 1.2

**Tommygunn** · 05-30-12, 10:51 AM

Moneyline System

(28/05/12) 3-0 + 3 units (Det did not qualify)
YTD April 24-Current - 43-44 for -5.25 units

L2W2 - Yesterday NP's
YTD(May 21 start) 4-4, 0 units

Today's Plays (30/05/12)

BUSY DAY!!!

Minn +115 to -150

Cinn if Pitt +120 or >

Tor if +100 to -150

Bos if -115 to -150

Atl if -110 to -150

Phi if NYM +105 or >

LAA if +100 to -150

Mil if LAD -175 or <

SF if -130 to -150

**Tommygunn** · 05-30-12, 10:55 AM

Originally posted by joeytunes

SA 5/29
YTD 51-83 -22.74u
yesterday -2.5 units 1-3

Det -1.5u
Stl -1.0
Wash-1.0
Sf+1.0

Today 5/30

Cubs
Cin
Tor
Stl
Phl <-132

Joey, Cubs game both pitchers way below IP criteria. Thanks

**ShivaBowl** · 05-30-12, 01:34 PM

Working on something new with P/R Runs I'm only tracking it right now.
P/T Predicted Runs System calculates the number of runs the starting pitcher
and bullpen is expected to give up.
Calculate the number of home and away runs, home teams are expected to give up 66 runs away teams 52, reverse that number and play on the away teams. Use a 5 run overlay.
Today’s play,
MLB Grand Pepperoni
Away Team Runs +130

Tommygunn; I have the Fastball Program up and running
and I have a few questions about it? I will send you an email.
Thanks

**JimmyG_415** · 05-30-12, 03:29 PM

Originally posted by Tommygunn

SF if -130 to -150

I've been trying to follow this thread, and it is real impressive, and I've seen the stickies, so I will try reading it again,
but is this saying to take the Giants only if they get up to 130, and since they are only like 110, don't play it?

**joeytunes** · 05-30-12, 03:33 PM

take a look again i think tg...cubs are still on...

**ShivaBowl** · 05-30-12, 03:35 PM

Why no cubs today?

**joeytunes** · 05-30-12, 03:35 PM

wait they both pitched 50 innings?..i think ur looking at tb chw?

**ShivaBowl** · 05-30-12, 03:40 PM

Originally posted by JimmyG_415

I've been trying to follow this thread, and it is real impressive, and I've seen the stickies, so I will try reading it again,
but is this saying to take the Giants only if they get up to 130, and since they are only like 110, don't play it?

Right with the money system you need a .25 overlay SFO is a play if a majority of casinos are in agreement 15 minutes before game start SFO if >. -130
we have a no play filter on all systems if the play is on a fav over -150
thank you

**Tommygunn** · 05-30-12, 03:43 PM

Originally posted by JimmyG_415

I've been trying to follow this thread, and it is real impressive, and I've seen the stickies, so I will try reading it again,
but is this saying to take the Giants only if they get up to 130, and since they are only like 110, don't play it?

You are correct. The moneyline system basis it's plays on which way the public is betting so SF is a play at -130,-131,-132.......-150. We cap our plays at -150 since we do not like to lay more than that to win 1 unit.
Hope this helps.

Haha Shiv you posted right as I was typing. Oh well maybe both descriptions will help.

**Tommygunn** · 05-30-12, 03:47 PM

Originally posted by joeytunes

wait they both pitched 50 innings?..i think ur looking at tb chw?

Oh sorry your right I was looking at CWS. My bad.

**ShivaBowl** · 05-30-12, 05:02 PM

***

**ShivaBowl** · 05-30-12, 08:01 PM

Detroit looks god awful it will be a miracle if they come back and win this game tonight they look fat and slow and totally outclassed by the Red Sox
I hope I am wrong, with any luck we can get to the Red Sox bullpen that's are only shot.

**ShivaBowl** · 05-31-12, 06:25 AM

H/A Plays went 1-0 YDA
YTD 22-13 +5.10u
PIT ½ u +110 W

P/T Plays went 1-1 YDA
YTD 44-30 +14.82
STL ½ u +122 L
PHI ½ u -148 W
COL ½ u No Play > -150 W

Plays I like today went 0-2 YDA
YTD 7-5 +$602.00
DET (D Smyly) +125 1u L
SFO (T Lincecum) -115-1u L

Tracking MLB Grand Pepperoni
Away Team Runs +130 W
1-0 +1.30u

Today’s H/A Plays
No play if > -150
No Plays

Today’s P/T Plays
MLW ½ u
HOU N/P L-5

**joeytunes** · 05-31-12, 07:47 AM

SA
YTD 53-85 -22.90u
yesterday -.2 units 2-2

yesterday 5/30

Cubs+1.0
Cin-1.2
Tor+1.0
Stl-1.0
Phl <-132..np

**HoulihansTX** · 05-31-12, 09:08 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

May 15 - Current
Overall
(43-33) +11.25Units

May 30
Bullpen Proj Sys
SF (-110) 6.26 L
Philly (-140) 4.95 W
AtL (-115) 3.13 W
LAA (-105) 2.98 L
Pitt (+110) 1.12 W

___________________________
Overall
(42-46) -11.10Units

TPR
Cincy (-120) 1.7 L
StL (+105) 1.5 L
Minny (-110) 1.2 W
Bos (-125) 1.1 W

May 15 - Current
Overall
(46-35) +12.30Units

May 31
Bullpen Proj Sys
Colo (-115) 2.71

No Play
Det npL3 2.21

___________________________
Overall
(44-48) -11.30Units

TPR
Colo (-115) 1.4
Bos (-140) 1.1

**joeytunes** · 05-31-12, 10:54 AM

SA
YTD 53-85 -22.90u
yesterday -.2 units 2-2

today 5/31
bos under -150

**joeytunes** · 05-31-12, 11:16 AM

easy day

**ShivaBowl** · 05-31-12, 12:30 PM

thank you JT

**joeytunes** · 05-31-12, 12:55 PM

Originally posted by ShivaBowl

What`s up JT? I think you posted this in the wrong forum, could you delete bro.
thank you

there was a tout that wrote in here lol not directed at any of u guys

**joeytunes** · 05-31-12, 01:02 PM

Freeplay no play

today no play ....YTD .8 in the positive

**Tommygunn** · 05-31-12, 02:13 PM

Moneyline System

(28/05/12) 6-1 for + 4.95 units (SF, and Cinn did not qualify)

YTD April 24-Current - 49-45 for -0.30 units

L2W2 - Yesterday NP's
YTD(May 21 start) 4-4, 0 units

Today's Plays (31/05/12)

Bos if -130 to -150

Mil if LAD -125 or <

**JimmyG_415** · 05-31-12, 11:00 PM

Originally posted by Tommygunn

Moneyline System

(28/05/12) 6-1 for + 4.95 units (SF did not qualify)

I'm confused on the ones that are based on the underdog (i.e. Cinn if Pitt +120 or >)

So are you saying this day ended up 6-1 + 4.95?
(((Today's Plays (30/05/12)

BUSY DAY!!!

Minn +115 to -150 W + 1.0

Cinn if Pitt +120 or >

Tor if +100 to -150 W +1.0

Bos if -115 to -150 W +1.0

Atl if -110 to -150 W +1.0

Phi if NYM +105 or >

LAA if +100 to -150 L -1.05

Mil if LAD -175 or <

SF if -130 to -150 NP line didn’t get high enough))))

Now how do you get + 2.0 out of the other 3 games? (If I’m even right on the ones I did mark)
NP on Mil and +1.0 on Cinn and on PHI?

EDIT: Isee now that Cincy lost, so that was the other NP?
then 6-1 w/4-1 from above
Phi was a + 1.0, but Mil was +1.4, so wouldn't it be 6-1 +5.35?

Cinn if Pitt +120 or > NP as Pitt line didn't get to 120 or higher
Play PHI as Mets line did go over 105 and play Mil as line on LAD was lees than 175.

**ShivaBowl** · 06-01-12, 07:29 AM

H/A Plays went 0-0 YDA
YTD 22-13 +5.10u
No Plays

P/T Plays went 1-0 YDA
YTD 45-30 +15.32
MLW ½ u W

Today’s H/A Plays
No play if > -150
CWS

Today’s P/T Plays
No play if > -150
MIA
NYM
CWS ½ u
ARI

**joeytunes** · 06-01-12, 07:56 AM

SA

YTD 53-86 -24.30u
yesterday -1.4 units 0-1

Today 6/1
mia
tor
mets<-122
ariz

SFO No play CHC W-3
Plus No Play If SFO > -150
KC out IP <-20

**HoulihansTX** · 06-01-12, 08:35 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

May 15 - Current
Overall
(46-35) +12.30Units

May 31
Bullpen Proj Sys
Colo (-115) 2.71 W

___________________________
Overall
(44-48) -11.30Units

TPR
Colo (-115) 1.4 W
Bos (-135) 1.1 L

May 15 - Current
Overall
(47-35) +13.30Units

June 1
Bullpen Proj Sys
Cincy (-125) 3.60
LAA (+110) 2.89

No Play
Philly np MiaW3 5.35
Cleve npMinny 4.55
Det npTravel 3.37
Oak npL8 3.16
CWS npSeaW2 2.95
Tampa npL:3 2.84
Pitt npBrewW4 2.19
SD npL6 1.95
SF np>-150 1.46
Bos npTorW3 1.28

"Try to stay away from teams traveling long distances in their first game."
Det npTravel 3.37 -- This is Det first home game, directly after a ten-game road trip.
___________________________
Overall
(45-49) -11.65Units

TPR
KC (-140) 1.6
Zona (-120) 1.0

No Play
TX npL2 2.2
Brew npTravel 1.6
StL npL2 1.3
Bos npTor W3 1.2
CWS npSeaW2 1.0

"Try to stay away from teams traveling long distances in their first game."
Brew npTravel 1.6 -- This is Brew first home game, directly after a seven-game road trip.