MLB System Strategies

Tommygunn · 06-01-12, 09:52 AM

Originally posted by JimmyG_415

I'm confused on the ones that are based on the underdog (i.e. Cinn if Pitt +120 or >)

So are you saying this day ended up 6-1 + 4.95?
(((Today's Plays (30/05/12)

BUSY DAY!!!

Minn +115 to -150 W + 1.0

Cinn if Pitt +120 or >

Tor if +100 to -150 W +1.0

Bos if -115 to -150 W +1.0

Atl if -110 to -150 W +1.0

Phi if NYM +105 or >

LAA if +100 to -150 L -1.05

Mil if LAD -175 or <

SF if -130 to -150 NP line didn’t get high enough))))

Now how do you get + 2.0 out of the other 3 games? (If I’m even right on the ones I did mark)
NP on Mil and +1.0 on Cinn and on PHI?

EDIT: Isee now that Cincy lost, so that was the other NP?
then 6-1 w/4-1 from above
Phi was a + 1.0, but Mil was +1.4, so wouldn't it be 6-1 +5.35?

Cinn if Pitt +120 or > NP as Pitt line didn't get to 120 or higher
Play PHI as Mets line did go over 105 and play Mil as line on LAD was lees than 175.

Hey Jimmy no prob. Both Phi and Mil were both plays and wins as well. LAD's line finished less then -175 so Mil was a play. Phi was a play and win since the NYM's line was greater than +105. You are correct that Cinn was a NP since Pitt did not get to +120 or greater (I just forgot to include it in the NP list with SF).

Hope this helps Jimmy

Tommygunn · 06-01-12, 10:48 AM

Moneyline System

(31/05/12) 1-1 for - 0.33 units
YTD April 24-Current - 50-46 for -0.63 units

L2W2 - Yesterday NP's
YTD(May 21 start) 4-4, 0 units

Today's Plays (1/06/12)

Tor if -120 to -150

Cinn if Hou +105 or >

KC if +105 to -150

W2L2

CWS if -145 to -150

ShivaBowl · 06-01-12, 12:05 PM

HoulihansTX should I drop CWS as you did?
Also, thanks for all the extra work you put in, on the no plays.
it's appreciated!

HoulihansTX · 06-01-12, 12:11 PM

Originally posted by ShivaBowl

HoulihansTX should I drop CWS as you did?
Also, thanks for all the extra work you put in, on the no plays.
it's appreciated!

The angle is the game being played directly after their last road game. CWS/SD both had off days.

I like the Cincy Bullpen play even more, with Houston playing its first game back after a road trip.

HoulihansTX · 06-01-12, 12:19 PM

Since May 23 BP is (16-12) +3.35U

Since May 24 TPR is (11-7) +3.45U

Tommygunn · 06-01-12, 12:57 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

The angle is the game being played directly after their last road game. CWS/SD both had off days.

I like the Cincy Bullpen play even more, with Houston playing its first game back after a road trip.

Yeah Houli I followed suit and moved Mil into a NP but put CWS in my separate W2L2 category.

ShivaBowl · 06-01-12, 04:40 PM

Thanks guys, but I was referring to, never bet against a team on a two game win streak Seattle W/2 - Chicago W/8CWS at - 124
I'm just going to leave them in, the numbers are good.
thanks

JimmyG_415 · 06-01-12, 05:13 PM

Originally posted by Tommygunn

Hey Jimmy no prob. Both Phi and Mil were both plays and wins as well. LAD's line finished less then -175 so Mil was a play. Phi was a play and win since the NYM's line was greater than +105. You are correct that Cinn was a NP since Pitt did not get to +120 or greater (I just forgot to include it in the NP list with SF).

Hope this helps Jimmy

Yes, thank you.

HoulihansTX · 06-01-12, 10:47 PM

Originally posted by ShivaBowl

Thanks guys, but I was referring to, never bet against a team on a two game win streak Seattle W/2 - Chicago W/8CWS at - 124
I'm just going to leave them in, the numbers are good.
thanks

Great job

ShivaBowl · 06-02-12, 06:52 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

Great job

Thanks HoulihansTX: How about Sam at Sportrends.

His free P/T System picks the first no-hitter in Mets history
and it was against one of the hottest hitting teams in MLB.
He may be on to something?

Free Pitching and Team Overall Power Ratings for 6/1/2012
Play the NYM With J. Santana WIN

joeytunes · 06-02-12, 08:13 AM

nice work on brewers!!! stay away

HoulihansTX · 06-02-12, 08:16 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

May 15 - Current
Overall
(47-35) +13.30Units

June 1
Bullpen Proj Sys
Cincy (-125) 3.60 W
LAA (+110) 2.89 W

___________________________
Overall
(45-49) -11.65Units

TPR
KC (-140) 1.6 W
Zona (-120) 1.0 L

May 15 - Current
Overall
(49-35) +15.30Units

June 2
Bullpen Proj Sys
Philly (-150) 5.56
Cleve (-135) 3.60
Pitt (+130) 1.94
Cincy (-130) 1.86

No Play
StL npL3 2.89
CWS np>-150 2.16
Det npNYYW2 2.10
Oak npL9 1.68
Tampa np>-150 1.44

___________________________
Overall
(46-50) -11.85Units

TPR
KC (-120) 1.6
Bos (-110) 1.3

No Play
TX npL3 2.1
Brew npPittW2 1.4
StL npL3 1.1
CWS np>-150 1.0

joeytunes · 06-02-12, 08:16 AM

SA

YTD 55-86 -25.70u
yesterday -1.4 units 2-3

yesterday 6/1

mia L -1.0
tor L -1.2
mets<-122 W +1.0
ariz L -1.2
KC W +1.0

SFO No play CHC W-3
Plus No Play If SFO > -150

joeytunes · 06-02-12, 08:31 AM

SA
Today 6/2

pit>+119BOS If < -138
ATL If < -146
PHI If < -150
CWS If < -150
TAM If < -150
MIN
NYY
HOU If < -130
SDP If < -125

Filters
Stl L3
Oak L9
Hou L7
Tex L3

ShivaBowl · 06-02-12, 09:04 AM

joeytunes, check your Inbox, when you have the time.
Thanks

Why is MIA only a +135 dog at PHI today?
Something smells fishy about this line, I would take MIA if I could get > +140
I would hold off just before game starts and may get it?

joeytunes · 06-02-12, 10:26 AM

u got your wish on miami....it seems like the fishy games dont pay off in mlb..its hard to go against cole train

ShivaBowl · 06-02-12, 11:17 AM

H/A Plays went 1-0 YDA
YTD 23-13 +6.10u
CWS W

P/T Plays went 2-2 YDA
YTD 47-32 +14.75
FLA L
NYM W
CWS ½ u W
ARZ L

Today’s H/A Plays
No play if > -150
PHI ½ u
CWS ½ u
CLE ½ u
SFO ½ u

Today’s P/T Plays
No play if > -150
BOS ½ u
PHI ½ u
CWS ½ u
SDP ½ u
SFO ½ u

Tracking MLB Grand Pepperoni
1-0 +1.30u
MLB Grand Pepperoni
Home Team Runs -135

Tommygunn · 06-02-12, 11:39 AM

Moneyline System

(1/06/12) 2-1 for + 1.00 unit
YTD April 24-Current - 52-47 for +0.37 units

L2W2 - Yesterday NP's (CWS did not qualify)
YTD(May 21 start) 4-4, 0 units

Today's Plays (2/06/12)

Another Busy Day!

KC if +115 to -150

Phi if -140 to -150

CWS if -145 to -150

Col if -125 to -150

TB if -135 to -150

Cinn if Hou +125 or >

SD if -105 to -150

CHC if SF -160 or <

LAA if -105 to -150

W2L2

Mil -115 to -150

joeytunes · 06-03-12, 01:56 AM

SA
Today 6/2

2-6 -4.7 units

YTD 57-92 -30.40u
pit>+119 NP
BOSIf < -138 W +1.0
ATL If < -146 L -1.0
PHI If < -150 NP
CWS If < -150 L -1.5
TAM If < -150 L -1.5
MIN W +1.3
NYY L -1.0
HOU If < -130 L -1.0
SDP If < -125 L-1.0

joeytunes · 06-03-12, 08:47 AM

SA 6/3

Bos<-135
phl <-141
Bal<-142
Cin <-150
Min<-150
Sd<-110

Filter

cws<-150
Tex L4
Det<-150

ShivaBowl · 06-03-12, 09:12 AM

H/A Plays went 0-3 YDA –2.08
YTD 23-16 +4.02
PHI ½ u L
CWS ½ u L
CLE ½ u L
SFO ½ u N/P >-150

P/T Plays went 1-3 YDA –1.38
YTD 48-35 +13.37
BOS ½ u W
PHI ½ u L
CWS ½ u L
SDP ½ u L
SFO ½ u N/P >-150

Today’s H/A Plays
No play if > -150
DET
WAS
BAL
TOR N/P L-2

Today’s P/T Plays
No play if > -150
DET
WAS
CIN ½ u IP DIF >-20
CWS
MIN

Tracking MLB Grand Pepperoni
1-1 –0.05
MLB Grand Pepperoni
Home Team Runs -135 L

Plays I like today.
YTD 8-5 +$748.00
MIA (R Nolasco) +146 W

joeytunes · 06-03-12, 09:36 AM

yesterday was the worst day i had in one day betting ...lol

HoulihansTX · 06-03-12, 11:51 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

May 15 - Current
Overall
(49-35) +15.30Units

June 2
Bullpen Proj Sys
Philly (-155) 5.56 NP>-150
Cleve (-140) 3.60 L
Pitt (+130) 1.94 L
Cincy (-130) 1.86 W

___________________________
Overall
(46-50) -11.85Units

TPR
KC (-140) 1.6 L
Bos (-110) 1.3 W

May 15 - Current
Overall
(50-37) +13.90Units

June 3
Bullpen Proj Sys
Philly (+100) 3.94
S F (-120) 3.15
Cincy (-140) 3.01
Wash (-130) 1.92
Oak (+100) 1.53
Bos (+120) 1.26
Minny (+120) 1.17
Zona (-120) 1.09

No Play
StL npL4 2.55
CWS np>-150 1.79
___________________________
Overall
(47-51) -12.25Units

TPR
KC (-110) 1.6
Brew (-105) 1.5
Bos (+120) 1.4
Zona (-120) 1.0

No Play
TX npL4 2.2
StL npL4 1.0

HoulihansTX · 06-03-12, 11:52 AM

Too many BP plays

I narrowed down to Oak/Wash/Bos/Zona

GL

Tommygunn · 06-03-12, 12:05 PM

Sorry guys, I need someone to post ML plays.

HoulihansTX · 06-03-12, 12:14 PM

ML

June 3

Cleve if -125 to -150

LAA if +100 to -150

No Play
Detroit np>-150
CWS np>-150
Colo IP<20
KC IP<20

ShivaBowl · 06-03-12, 05:27 PM

Bet Summary - Good Luck!

03 June 2012 18:20:05 GMT-4

STL (J Westbrook) v NYM (J Niese) Straight Up Winner	Odds	Stake	*Win
NYM (J Niese)	-105	USD210.00	USD200.00

TOTALS	Stake	*Win
	USD210.00	USD200.00
*Inclusive of stake amount.
Please note that it may take a few minutes for your bet to be displayed in your account history.

joeytunes · 06-04-12, 07:52 AM

SA 6/3

1-5 -4.3u

YTD 58-97 -34.70u

Bos<-135 L-
phl <-141 L
Bal<-142 L
Cin <-150 L
Min<-150 W
Sd<-110 L

joeytunes · 06-04-12, 08:00 AM

6/4

SA

Lad<-129
Col<-136
Sea
Tex<-150

filter
Stl L5

HoulihansTX · 06-04-12, 08:05 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

May 15 - Current
Overall
(50-37) +13.90Units

June 3
Bullpen Proj Sys
Philly (+100) 3.94 L
SF (-120) 3.15 W
Cincy (-140) 3.01 L
Wash (-130) 1.92L
Oak (+100) 1.53 L
Bos (+120) 1.26 L
Minny (+120) 1.17 W
Zona (-120) 1.09 W
___________________________
Overall
(47-51) -12.25Units

TPR
KC (-110) 1.6 W
Brew (-105) 1.5 L
Bos (+120) 1.4 L
Zona (-120) 1.0 W

May 15 - Current
Overall
(53-42) +11.40Units

June 4
Bullpen Proj Sys
SF (-135) 3.34
LAD (-120) 3.33
KC (-140) 2.22
LAA (-145) 2.01
TX (-135) 2.08

No Play
Colo ZonaW2 2.68
StL npL5 1.11

___________________________
Overall
(49-53) -12.30Units

TPR
TX (-135) 3.2

No Play
Colo npZonaW2 1.0

ShivaBowl · 06-04-12, 09:19 AM

H/A Plays went 0-2 YDA –2.32
YTD 23-18 +1.70
DET N/P > -150
WAS L
BAL L

P/T Plays went 1-2 YDA –0.77
YTD 49-37 +12.60
DET N/P >-150
WAS L
CIN ½ u IP DIF >20 L
CWS N/P >-150
MIN W

Today’s H/A Plays
No play if > -150
No Plays

Today’s P/T Plays
No play if > -150
SEA ½ u
OAK ½ u

Shiva Plays Went 1-0 YDA +$200.00
YTD 9-5 +$948.00
NYM (J Niese) –105 W

Plays I like today.
All ½ u
SFO (Vogelsong) -128
LOS (C Kershaw) -114
ARI (J Saunders) -121
TEX (S Feldman) -128
GL

Tommygunn · 06-04-12, 03:34 PM

Moneyline System

(2/06/12) 0-6 for - 7.83 units
YTD April 24-Current - 52-53 for -7.46 units

L2W2 - 1-0
YTD(May 21 start) 5-4, +1 unit

(3/06/12) - 0-2 -2.40 units
YTD April 24-Current - 52-55 for -9.86 units

Today's Plays (3/06/12)

Ari if -120 to -150

LAA if -125 to -150

Oak if +115 to -150

joeytunes · 06-05-12, 07:09 AM

Yesterday 6/4 results
3-1 +2.2 units

YTD 61-98-32.50u

Lad<-129 W +1.0
Col<-136 W +1.1
Sea W +1.4
Tex<-150 L-1.3

ShivaBowl · 06-05-12, 08:10 AM

H/A Plays went 0-0 YDA
YTD 23-18 +1.70u
No Plays

P/T Plays went 2-0 YDA +1.33u
YTD 49-37 +13.93u
SEA ½ u W
OAK ½ u W

Personal Plays Went 2-2 YDA -$24.50
YTD 11-7 +$923.50

Plays I’m on today, all ½ u
NYY (A Pettitte) -125
MIN (F Liriano) +113
CWS (P Humber) -104
COL (J Guthrie) +133

HoulihansTX · 06-05-12, 08:29 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

May 15 - Current
Overall
(53-42) +11.40Units

June 4
Bullpen Proj Sys
SF (-135) 3.34 W
LAD (-120) 3.33 W
KC (-140) 2.22 L
LAA (-145) 2.01 L
TX (-135) 2.08 L

___________________________
Overall
(49-53) -12.30Units

TPR
TX (-135) 3.2 W

May 15 - Current
Overall
(53-45) +10.20Units

June 5
Bullpen Proj Sys
SF (-105) 10.00
CWS (-105) 3.67
StL (-135) 2.94
Yanks (-120) 2.69
Brew (-145) 2.65
Cincy (-145) 2.48
LAD (+165) 2.24

No Play
Det np>-150 5.57
KC npMinnyW3 2.03
LAA npL2 1.81
Atl npMiaW2 1.80
Wash np>-150 1.72
TX np>-150 1.67

___________________________
Overall
(49-54) -13.65Units

TPR
Yanks (-120) 1.5
Cincy (-145) 1.5
StL (-135) 1.4
Colo (+130) 1.1
Bos (-150) 1.0

No Play
TX np>-150 3.0