LAA +108/TEX -115 -- Who ya got?

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    LAA +108/TEX -115 -- Who ya got?
    Weaver vs. Lewis.

  • figue
    SBR MVP
    • 07-23-10
    • 2524

    #2
    weaver
    Comment
    • AlwaysDrawing
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 11-20-09
      • 657

      #3
      I guess weaver at that price. Let's see if playing on short rest affects him.
      Comment
      • broadway6
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 11-14-09
        • 13337

        #4
        better question is why is the total 8.5 when just last week weaver pitched against Texas and won 3-2
        Comment
        • firehoyt
          SBR MVP
          • 12-02-10
          • 3569

          #5
          Weaver.
          Comment
          • LolsMcwinsey
            SBR MVP
            • 06-08-10
            • 2660

            #6
            lewis
            Comment
            • HoulihansTX
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 02-12-09
              • 30566

              #7
              Originally posted by broadway6
              better question is why is the total 8.5 when just last week weaver pitched against Texas and won 3-2
              Ranger Ballpark vs Angels Stadium

              Think Petco Park vs Coors field....
              Comment
              • Sportsbetting123
                SBR MVP
                • 03-01-08
                • 1400

                #8
                Lewis and Texas for me. Best of luck
                Comment
                • God1
                  Restricted User
                  • 07-18-11
                  • 848

                  #9
                  Wind tunnel in full effect and weaver one of the lowest groundball rates in baseball. I'll texas and over
                  Comment
                  • Mybologne
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 09-20-09
                    • 13507

                    #10
                    Tex rangers
                    Comment
                    • No coincidences
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-18-10
                      • 76300

                      #11
                      Originally posted by God1
                      Wind tunnel in full effect and weaver one of the lowest groundball rates in baseball. I'll texas and over
                      I think that's why you see both the line and the total where it is.

                      I projected Weaver to be -115 and the O/U at 8.
                      Comment
                      • broadway6
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 11-14-09
                        • 13337

                        #12
                        Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                        Ranger Ballpark vs Angels Stadium

                        Think Petco Park vs Coors field....

                        haha good point.
                        Comment
                        • LolsMcwinsey
                          SBR MVP
                          • 06-08-10
                          • 2660

                          #13
                          Weaver on 3 days rest for first time in his career
                          Comment
                          • bostonboss
                            SBR MVP
                            • 02-04-09
                            • 3169

                            #14
                            texas
                            Comment
                            • God1
                              Restricted User
                              • 07-18-11
                              • 848

                              #15
                              Originally posted by No coincidences
                              I think that's why you see both the line and the total where it is.

                              I projected Weaver to be -115 and the O/U at 8.
                              You just have no clue how to price anything then if thats what you had minus the wind tunnel
                              Comment
                              • No coincidences
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-18-10
                                • 76300

                                #16
                                Originally posted by God1
                                You just have no clue how to price anything then if thats what you had minus the wind tunnel
                                Because I had the O/U at 8 instead of 8.5? It's not like I said I thought it should be 7.

                                How many times has a total been 8.5 for a Weaver start ever (especially facing a guy like Colby Lewis)?
                                Comment
                                • God1
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 07-18-11
                                  • 848

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                                  Because I had the O/U at 8 instead of 8.5? It's not like I said I thought it should be 7.

                                  How many times has a total been 8.5 for a Weaver start ever (especially facing a guy like Colby Lewis)?
                                  No because you had the game at angels -115. I have no idea what the total should be without the wind tunnel but 8 sounds about right. I could be under or overestimating estimating the effects, it's only 6 mph but you saw what 5 mph did with the homeruns last night. But I think I can remember 1 game this year in texas with a total under 8 and i'm sure it was CJ vs another ace.

                                  how are you coming to angels -115?
                                  Comment
                                  • thebestthereis
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 03-01-09
                                    • 11459

                                    #18
                                    Weaver has a rubber arm, 3 days rest isn't going to matter with that freak
                                    Comment
                                    • lunchbawks
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 01-31-10
                                      • 12873

                                      #19
                                      Halos and tigers and rays let's go
                                      Comment
                                      • Twerp
                                        SBR Hustler
                                        • 02-08-11
                                        • 92

                                        #20
                                        This is simple, why on earth would vegas set Weaver at + money. This line makes no sense, so its either texas or no bet.
                                        Comment
                                        • lunchbawks
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 01-31-10
                                          • 12873

                                          #21
                                          weaver on short rest. . texas is the better team
                                          Comment
                                          • God1
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 07-18-11
                                            • 848

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Twerp
                                            This is simple, why on earth would vegas set Weaver at + money. This line makes no sense, so its either texas or no bet.
                                            of course the line makes sense, texas' offense is miles and miles better
                                            Comment
                                            • BigDeem5
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 02-26-11
                                              • 17191

                                              #23
                                              Weaver's sick take the + money and sit back and watch.
                                              Comment
                                              • Sawyer
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 06-01-09
                                                • 7761

                                                #24
                                                Halos
                                                Comment
                                                • kbryant24
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 09-13-08
                                                  • 164

                                                  #25
                                                  Texas all the way! The Blue Jays scored 7 runs the other day against Weaver, I don't see how in the world the Rangers won't score tonight at home against Weaver. Keep in mind, the Angels are the most overrated team in MLB.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • DDT
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 03-22-09
                                                    • 3757

                                                    #26
                                                    I really like U9 in this game
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BigDofBA
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 09-30-09
                                                      • 19313

                                                      #27
                                                      I've taken Texas against Weaver twice this season and lost both times.

                                                      Maybe the third time is a charm....
                                                      Comment
                                                      • bostonboss
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 02-04-09
                                                        • 3169

                                                        #28
                                                        weaver is a head case....dont trust him on national tv on 3 days rest in a big game.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Coming Back!
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-09-09
                                                          • 1470

                                                          #29
                                                          Here's something to chew on. Weaver imploded againt Toronto on extra days rest. After the game he admitted that it hurt him. Could less rest mess him up? He could be a creature of habit. However, Lewis is far more likely to blow up, regardless.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • lunchbawks
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 01-31-10
                                                            • 12873

                                                            #30
                                                            betting aggainst weaver is a proven way to lose your money

                                                            same thing with doc
                                                            Comment
                                                            • lolguy999
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-28-10
                                                              • 3070

                                                              #31
                                                              Texas... plain and simple
                                                              Comment
                                                              • 7secondsOrLess
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 03-26-10
                                                                • 1576

                                                                #32
                                                                shawshank redemption was a really good movie
                                                                Comment
                                                                • illfuuptn
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 03-17-10
                                                                  • 1860

                                                                  #33
                                                                  I have the Angels. I hate betting on teams that are hot and pitchers that are overrated. But I think Colby Lewis is actually worse than his already bad numbers suggest. And I think the books give too much linear credit to bad pitchers. IOW if an offense is 3.9 rpg and a pitching line for a game is 5.4 I think the number is actually like 5 as opposed to the mean of the two numbers.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • starfire
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 03-24-10
                                                                    • 17045

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Fuuuuuuuuuuck!
                                                                    All the Squares on Halos...
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • alexn
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 11-06-10
                                                                      • 258

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Twerp
                                                                      This is simple, why on earth would vegas set Weaver at + money. This line makes no sense, so its either texas or no bet.
                                                                      Good point, but the Rangers are one of those public favorite teams (Yankees, Red Sox, Rangers, Phillies) that Vegas loves to bank on.

                                                                      The question is not "why would Vegas set Weaver at + money," but rather "why would vegas set Texas as a measly -115 at home against a team they generally own."

                                                                      86% of the public on Texas so I think Vegas has done their job.

                                                                      If I'm wrong I'll be back with an apology after the game.

                                                                      Weaver and the Halos for the win.

                                                                      BOL
                                                                      Comment
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