How do you not take Texas on Friday?

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    How do you not take Texas on Friday?
    Harrison's been solid all season, Ranger bats are in a zone (well, other than vs. Weaver), White Sux are mediocre at best against lefties, Sux coming off another underachieving series where they could have made a move, Peavy has a 5.16 home ERA....

  • southpaw74
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 12-21-09
    • 7104

    #2
    Well can't argue the price or situation...now we just need a result to match!
    Comment
    • LovetoSpooge
      SBR Sharp
      • 11-20-10
      • 426

      #3
      Texas 10-1 on fridays and 7-1 last 8 road games I think you may have convinced me.
      Comment
      • SOUP
        SBR MVP
        • 11-02-09
        • 1325

        #4
        Took the home dog..... hoping Peavy can revert to old ways haha..... and Carlos Quentin to drop bombs lol
        Comment
        • mngambler
          SBR MVP
          • 08-01-11
          • 2890

          #5
          Originally posted by SOUP
          Took the home dog..... hoping Peavy can revert to old ways haha..... and Carlos Quentin to drop bombs lol
          didn't you fade the Yanks yesterday as well?
          Comment
          • guil0000
            SBR Sharp
            • 01-18-11
            • 472

            #6
            I'm on this one also. Just going with the better team here
            Comment
            • jjgolf
              SBR MVP
              • 12-08-09
              • 1705

              #7
              texas off west coast trip and now to chicago and didn't arrive into chicago until early monring hour. the game in la didnt get over until almost 1am est . i think the whitesoxs are the play looks to easy to take texas at -125
              Comment
              • God1
                Restricted User
                • 07-18-11
                • 848

                #8
                Originally posted by No coincidences
                Harrison's been solid all season, Ranger bats are in a zone (well, other than vs. Weaver), White Sux are mediocre at best against lefties, Sux coming off another underachieving series where they could have made a move, Peavy has a 5.16 home ERA....

                White Sox are far above mediocre when u remove the 3-80 from the cleanup spot. Dunn sits against lefties now. Why you are including that in your opinion of the sox against lefties I have no idea. You haven't learned anything if you are still mentioning ERA...Peavy is a much better pitcher period

                I don't understand what you think the line should be? Looks to me like it's already accounting pretty heavily for the rangers offensive advantage at -119 especially considering the white sox pitching advantage. -119 away is a pretty big favorite
                Comment
                • No coincidences
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-18-10
                  • 76300

                  #9
                  Originally posted by God1
                  White Sox are far above mediocre when u remove the 3-80 from the cleanup spot. Dunn sits against lefties now. Why you are including that in your opinion of the sox against lefties I have no idea. You haven't learned anything if you are still mentioning ERA...Peavy is a much better pitcher period

                  I don't understand what you think the line should be? Looks to me like it's already accounting pretty heavily for the rangers offensive advantage at -119 especially considering the white sox pitching advantage. -119 away is a pretty big favorite
                  Where did I say the line was off?



                  Peavy may have better stuff, but whether or not he's a better "pitcher" is debatable. And if you take overall teams into account, this one is no contest. Texas is better in nearly all facets. Whether or not that translates to a win tonight I don't know, but I think I'll take my chances.
                  Comment
                  • sushikillah
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 03-15-10
                    • 20

                    #10
                    White sox take this

                    The Pale Hose and Rangers open a three game series at Comiskey Park where Jake Peavy takes on Matt Harrison Friday night. Peavy enters in rock-solid KW form with two walks and 16 strikeouts in his last three starts. He's also 14-6 in his last 20 home team starts during the month of August. With that look for Peavy to improve to 3-0 against the A.L West here this evening. We recommend a 1-unit play on the White Sox. Thank you and good luck as always.
                    Comment
                    • JT OZ
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-16-10
                      • 2076

                      #11
                      Love Texas at that price, may not win but taking that team at anything less than -130 is a bargain.
                      Comment
                      • God1
                        Restricted User
                        • 07-18-11
                        • 848

                        #12
                        Originally posted by No coincidences
                        Where did I say the line was off?
                        If you think Texas is a clear bet, that means you think the line is off. If the line is correct(-119/+112 meaning -116 is true line) then you are making a losing bet at -119.

                        Peavy may have better stuff, but whether or not he's a better "pitcher" is debatable.
                        Not at all debatable, Peavy is almost a half run better in xFIP this year and over a full run last year. Harrison was terrible before this season and this season he's been about average.

                        And if you take overall teams into account, this one is no contest. Texas is better in nearly all facets. Whether or not that translates to a win tonight I don't know, but I think I'll take my chances.
                        lol of course they are the much better team that's why they're favored on the road
                        Comment
                        • jashtonrich
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 03-16-09
                          • 536

                          #13
                          well well well i wonder if i will get a few points for this post
                          Comment
                          • pacocn
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 07-05-10
                            • 12934

                            #14
                            God 1 what line is off the most today?
                            Comment
                            • JA's Winners
                              Restricted User
                              • 06-26-10
                              • 304

                              #15
                              Phil/Wash Under 8.5 is probably the best pick of the day
                              Comment
                              • God1
                                Restricted User
                                • 07-18-11
                                • 848

                                #16
                                Originally posted by pacocn
                                God 1 what line is off the most today?
                                astros, mariners
                                Comment
                                • HoulihansTX
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 02-12-09
                                  • 30566

                                  #17
                                  White Sox got on a winning streak vs bad teams recently. Then they played Cleveland, which is their equal, and stopped winning.
                                  Comment
                                  • SOUP
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-02-09
                                    • 1325

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by mngambler
                                    didn't you fade the Yanks yesterday as well?
                                    Yes i did fade them ysterday
                                    Comment
                                    • ShogunRua
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-23-09
                                      • 4668

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by God1
                                      Peavy is a much better pitcher period


                                      fail
                                      Comment
                                      • HoulihansTX
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 02-12-09
                                        • 30566

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by ShogunRua
                                        fail
                                        No he is right. Peavy is the better pitcher.
                                        Comment
                                        • ShogunRua
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-23-09
                                          • 4668

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                                          No he is right. Peavy is the better pitcher.
                                          career yes, but not right now
                                          Comment
                                          • God1
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 07-18-11
                                            • 848

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by ShogunRua
                                            career yes, but not right now
                                            right now yes, and it's not close. go back to betting sbr points
                                            Comment
                                            • thebestthereis
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 03-01-09
                                              • 11459

                                              #23
                                              Long win steaks followed by a loss results in a win the following game. At this price I agree. If Adam Dunn is in the line Up for the Sux triple your wager.
                                              Comment
                                              • ShogunRua
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-23-09
                                                • 4668

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by God1
                                                right now yes, and it's not close. go back to betting sbr points
                                                Says the non pro ghost.

                                                Hey, maybe I'm mistaken, but aren't you that troll from GGs thread who tried to talk about the betting market and made a complete fool of himself?
                                                Comment
                                                • No coincidences
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 01-18-10
                                                  • 76300

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by God1
                                                  If you think Texas is a clear bet, that means you think the line is off. If the line is correct(-119/+112 meaning -116 is true line) then you are making a losing bet at -119.
                                                  Not true at all.


                                                  Not at all debatable, Peavy is almost a half run better in xFIP this year and over a full run last year. Harrison was terrible before this season and this season he's been about average.
                                                  Do you watch games or just go by stats?


                                                  lol of course they are the much better team that's why they're favored on the road
                                                  I'll take the better team with the more stable pitcher every time.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • No coincidences
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 01-18-10
                                                    • 76300

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by God1
                                                    astros, mariners
                                                    I remember a while back you said you were going to start betting Astro games because they were being undervalued. How's that working out for you?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • JT OZ
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 08-16-10
                                                      • 2076

                                                      #27
                                                      While the White Sox OBP vs. lefties isn't bad they still are near the bottom in scoring runs, obviously that has something to do with where Dunn is in the lineup but I still have to go with Texas in this one.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • God1
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 07-18-11
                                                        • 848

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                        I remember a while back you said you were going to start betting Astro games because they were being undervalued. How's that working out for you?
                                                        They were, I probably bet them 4 or 5 times the past few weeks. I don't know off hand my record on those, 1 of those was bud norris the other night
                                                        Comment
                                                        • God1
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 07-18-11
                                                          • 848

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                          Not true at all.
                                                          i give up, you just don't understand betting. IF THE CORRECT TRUE LINE IS -116 AND YOU BET IT AT -119 YOU ARE LOSING EVERY SINGLE TIME YOU MAKE THE BET

                                                          Do you watch games or just go by stats?
                                                          do you choose to just ignore statistics that predict future performance far better than any idiot eyeballing a pitcher can?

                                                          I'll take the better team with the more stable pitcher every time.
                                                          and if they were -130 would you also just take the better team with more stable pitcher? how about -170? You just don't get it, -115 could be a winning bet while -119 could be losing
                                                          Comment
                                                          • No coincidences
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 01-18-10
                                                            • 76300

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by God1
                                                            i give up, you just don't understand betting. IF THE CORRECT TRUE LINE IS -116 AND YOU BET IT AT -119 YOU ARE LOSING EVERY SINGLE TIME YOU MAKE THE BET





                                                            do you choose to just ignore statistics that predict future performance far better than any idiot eyeballing a pitcher can?



                                                            and if they were -130 would you also just take the better team with more stable pitcher? how about -170? You just don't get it, -115 could be a winning bet while -119 could be losing
                                                            You just argue for the sake of arguing. Like everyone else, I'm officially done with you.

                                                            You're right -- I don't understand betting. Check my thread, idiot. Must just be really lucky.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • God1
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 07-18-11
                                                              • 848

                                                              #31
                                                              harrison is a stud no doubt
                                                              Comment
                                                              • LockPickMaster
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 02-15-09
                                                                • 1943

                                                                #32
                                                                harrison fukking sucks
                                                                Comment
                                                                • hezawizard
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 06-23-11
                                                                  • 250

                                                                  #33
                                                                  lol, he will lose this game in 1st inning
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • God1
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 07-18-11
                                                                    • 848

                                                                    #34
                                                                    through 3 innings we have 1 pitcher with a no hitter and 1 pitcher who has given up 3 runs. guess which is which?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • No coincidences
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 01-18-10
                                                                      • 76300

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by God1
                                                                      through 3 innings we have 1 pitcher with a no hitter and 1 pitcher who has given up 3 runs. guess which is which?
                                                                      Comment
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