How do you not take Texas on Friday?

LockPickMaster · 08-19-11, 08:16 PM

And Peavy now sucks ass

og4667 · 08-19-11, 08:18 PM

what happened to peavys no hitter? his xfip didn't predict the hr he just gave up.

ShogunRua · 08-19-11, 08:19 PM

Originally posted by God1

through 3 innings we have 1 pitcher with a no hitter and 1 pitcher who has given up 3 runs. guess which is which?

Where's the update now fukkstick?

LockPickMaster · 08-19-11, 08:57 PM

FU Peavy

SOUP · 08-19-11, 08:59 PM

What a joke.

hardball · 08-19-11, 10:14 PM

Originally posted by God1

If you think Texas is a clear bet, that means you think the line is off. If the line is correct(-119/+112 meaning -116 is true line) then you are making a losing bet at -119.

True

Originally posted by God1

Not at all debatable, Peavy is almost a half run better in xFIP this year and over a full run last year. Harrison was terrible before this season and this season he's been about average.

Here lies your problem. Let me know if I need to explain the fallacy of using xFIP as a leading factor to determine market value.

Originally posted by God1

lol of course they are the much better team that's why they're favored on the road

Stick to totals, your model seems to fit better. We both know the market is significantly more inefficient. This I'll give you.

No coincidences · 08-19-11, 10:46 PM

HoulihansTX · 08-20-11, 12:24 AM

TX is good, and CWS are mediocre.

That simple.