LTA's MLB Plays

[Love The Action]

MLB 2012 Regular Season 6/1/2012 Recap

3 - 2 - 1 = +1.87x

MLB 2012 Regular Season

126 - 121 - 16 = -0.62x

Sorry boys but I'm pretty fuking pissed this morning. I can't fuking believe the Giants gave up three runs in the top the 9th to the shit cubs to blow our winner and push the -1RL. Not to mention the white sox bullpen collapse and the Arizona bullpen collapse. We should have been no worse than 4-2 last night and back in the black. It's just unreal with these fuking bullpens that they continue to fuk me whether on the under or the side. The giants have one of the best pens too....what can you do....still a positive day but should have been much better. Wish I would have seen that last night instead of ruing my morning though....

[pacocn]

Lta, lets shake it off, and get back to what you do best,
lets tear the books up today

[Love The Action]

Lta, lets shake it off, and get back to what you do best,
lets tear the books up today

Always....good luck buddy.

[Squirrel Kokomo]

I can't fuking believe the Giants gave up three runs in the top the 9th to the shit cubs to blow our winner and push the -1RL. Not to mention the white sox bullpen collapse and the Arizona bullpen collapse. We should have been no worse than 4-2 last night and back in the black. It's just unreal with these fuking bullpens that they continue to fuk me whether on the under or the side.

With all respect, the Rays game had 5 runs in the 1st inning and cashed you an under, and the Dbacks scored one run. Cheers, good luck today.

[Derty D]

We both have been betting baseball for over 40 years collectively and with experience comes the fact that everything that could possibly happen, on rare occasions, happens! The analogy of the guy getting upset in poker because he got a bad beat on the river and acts as if that should never happen is, in my opinion, has his head in the sand. The more you play, bad beats are common, and I respect LTA for handling this rough patch with relative grace and dignity. Many players would be going nuts after repeated bad beats.

LTA and I know that they're going to come no matter what, and whether they come in bunches or consistently spread out over time, they happen! Many people would quit or give up or be angry all day....not the experienced. Disappointed, yes. But the one who does this regularly moves on....

I think once LTA gets over this very rough patch, he will get on a streak like never seen before. Just think, with all these bullpens blowing it, he STILL is hovering around the break even point! Most bettors would be down HUGE! Not LTA.

So hang in there LTA, and bring your chin up. You never have to explain any loss to me.

I look very forward when these bad beats slow down and you get on the gravy train.

With respect,

Derty D

[Vasco]

Brutal way to push with SF. Today I like the unders in Mets/Card, Brewers/Pirates and Reds/Stros. Also leaning Boston and NYY. GL today let's have another winning day.

[Love The Action]

With all respect, the Rays game had 5 runs in the 1st inning and cashed you an under, and the Dbacks scored one run. Cheers, good luck today.

Good luck to you as well. My comments were the initial frustration of seeing that push upon waking up. No on can deny the amount of recent bad beats far outnumbers the "lucky" ones.

If I cannot express my frustration here, where can I? This is my outlet for expressing frustration and is one of the main reasons for being here. No one in my real life knows I invest in sports outside of a few, so this is where I get my camaraderie in tough losses.

While Dbacks scored 1 run, my frustration was in yet another bullpen collapse. I have suffered an inordinate amount of bullpen collapses over the last month.....way more than I have won in "lucky" fashion....so excuse me for expressin what is nothing more than a natural reaction.

[Love The Action]

MLB 2012 Regular Season 6/2/2012

Play #1

Athletics/Royals over (8) 1x (Locked)

Good luck.

[Love The Action]

We both have been betting baseball for over 40 years collectively and with experience comes the fact that everything that could possibly happen, on rare occasions, happens! The analogy of the guy getting upset in poker because he got a bad beat on the river and acts as if that should never happen is, in my opinion, has his head in the sand. The more you play, bad beats are common, and I respect LTA for handling this rough patch with relative grace and dignity. Many players would be going nuts after repeated bad beats.

LTA and I know that they're going to come no matter what, and whether they come in bunches or consistently spread out over time, they happen! Many people would quit or give up or be angry all day....not the experienced. Disappointed, yes. But the one who does this regularly moves on....

I think once LTA gets over this very rough patch, he will get on a streak like never seen before. Just think, with all these bullpens blowing it, he STILL is hovering around the break even point! Most bettors would be down HUGE! Not LTA.

So hang in there LTA, and bring your chin up. You never have to explain any loss to me.

I look very forward when these bad beats slow down and you get on the gravy train.

With respect,

Derty D

I really didn't think my comments should be an issue. As I mentioned, I woke up, saw the score and immediately posted my record with the comments. I see no problem with my expression of frustration. I understand the reality of bad beats, but that doesn't mean I can't get mad about them. Once an hour passes, I am over it.

Geez....as if I should not be allowed to get mad after a tough stretch. I am human and it's a good thing to express your feelings, especially frustration. What you can't do is allow that frustration to affect your decisions and I NEVER allow that to happen. Good luck buddy.

[taxe91]

moving on from analysing how LTA reacts to his plays in his own thread:

any leans in the cardinals/mets matchup? two pitchers with very good records matching up, one with superior numbers and a superior offense backing him in lance lynn.

[Love The Action]

Brutal way to push with SF. Today I like the unders in Mets/Card, Brewers/Pirates and Reds/Stros. Also leaning Boston and NYY. GL today let's have another winning day.

Good luck buddy.

[Love The Action]

moving on from analysing how LTA reacts to his plays in his own thread:

any leans in the cardinals/mets matchup? two pitchers with very good records matching up, one with superior numbers and a superior offense backing him in lance lynn.

Both pitchers have really solid numbers. Dickey has that knuckleball working better than ever before. You don't want to fade a good knuckler on a hot streak. I think the under would have been the play if the wind was not blowing out at gusts of 16-20 mph and the Cards weren't coming off a no hitter. For me, as much as I want to make a play here, I think I have to pass....

Good luck on whatever you decide.

[mitch51]

LT, absolutely no complaints from me. I have wagered approximately 40k (at least) since the first of the year, probably 45k. Due to this baseball season, I am down $150. Since wagering is how I derive my income, wagering 45k and being down 1.5 units is not good. Felt like throwing a show through the TV yesterday. Since we have been at this for years, we can say thank God for variance, it'll turn around. But it IS painful, and I feel your pain. But, feel free to express yourself however you want, buddy. If people don 't like it, hey, that isn't a problem. Water off a ducks back. Just move forward, we know it'a going to turn around.

[Love The Action]

MLB 2012 Regular Season 6/2/2012

Play #1

Athletics/Royals over (8) 1x (Locked)

Play #2

Phillies -1RL (-106) 1x (Locked)

Good luck.

[Love The Action]

any leans in the cardinals/mets matchup? two pitchers with very good records matching up, one with superior numbers and a superior offense backing him in lance lynn.

The more I look at this play I like it. The wind blowing out actually helps Dickey's knuckler flutter more and the ump is Barksdale. Cards/Mets are two huge over teams, but this number and cheap price at 7.5 (+100) may be too good to pass up.

[Love The Action]

MLB 2012 Regular Season 6/2/2012

Play #1

Athletics/Royals over (8) 1x (Locked)

Play #2

Phillies -1RL (-106) 1x (Locked)

Play #3

Cardinals/Mets under (7.5)(+100) 1x (Locked)

Good luck.

[Les_Nuts]

The more I look at this play I like it. The wind blowing out actually helps Dickey's knuckler flutter more and the ump is Barksdale. Cards/Mets are two huge over teams, but this number and cheap price at 7.5 (+100) may be too good to pass up.

Yeah it looks very appealing at the current price, if you do play it I will be expecting a 4 0 game going into the 9th, then frank Francisco gets lit up and it turns into a 4 4 game. As the mets bullpen has burnt us quite a bit and with the recent bad beats in mind, took first 5 under 4 a few mins ago and may add a bit on under 7.5 +100. GL today, time to get back into the black

[Love The Action]

MLB 2012 Regular Season 6/2/2012

Play #1

Athletics/Royals over (8) 1x (Locked)

Play #2

Phillies -1RL (-106) 1x (Locked)

Play #3

Cardinals/Mets under (7.5)(+100) 1x (Locked)

Play #4

Orioles/Devil Rays over (7)(-120) 1x (Locked)

I may add to this one. Good luck.

[meader99]

I really didn't think my comments should be an issue. As I mentioned, I woke up, saw the score and immediately posted my record with the comments. I see no problem with my expression of frustration. I understand the reality of bad beats, but that doesn't mean I can't get mad about them. Once an hour passes, I am over it.

Geez....as if I should not be allowed to get mad after a tough stretch. I am human and it's a good thing to express your feelings, especially frustration. What you can't do is allow that frustration to affect your decisions and I NEVER allow that to happen. Good luck buddy.

Nothing wrong with a little venting and letting off some steam. Better than the alternative. Say, you may have answered this at some point before, but I missed it if you did. Do you ever play -1.5 Rl's, or do you simply play the -1 RL to stay +EV? I just don't recall ever seeing you play -1.5. Thanks for your input.

[SlickRick1382]

Missed the line at 7 for the Orioles / Tampa Bay Game.

Would you still consider the game at +110 / + 105 for 7.5 LTA? Figure you would since you may consider adding to it so you expect it to win and thus eliminates some of my concern over the push. Just looking to get some more insight

[BeardedTaco]

Missed the line at 7 for the Orioles / Tampa Bay Game.

Would you still consider the game at +110 / + 105 for 7.5 LTA? Figure you would since you may consider adding to it so you expect it to win and thus eliminates some of my concern over the push. Just looking to get some more insight

o7.5 +110 is the same as o7 -120 bro

I had u8 -119 locked in overnight but gl to LTA

[Catchn_Picks]

Missed the line at 7 for the Orioles / Tampa Bay Game.

Would you still consider the game at +110 / + 105 for 7.5 LTA? Figure you would since you may consider adding to it so you expect it to win and thus eliminates some of my concern over the push. Just looking to get some more insight

I had the same dilemma Rick. For me, because 7 is the most common total in baseball (followed by nine)...I decided to lay off the game. It is too important a number to miss.

Ps. I finally really looked at your avatar for the first time...lol. I must of seen it a thousand times but never noticed it before.

Quite a farm you got there.

[absolutkaos]

nice cash in OAK/KC to start the day....GL the rest of the day everyone!

[SlickRick1382]

o7.5 +110 is the same as o7 -120 bro

I had u8 -119 locked in overnight but gl to LTA

My issue isn't with the price but the hook. 7.5 +110 and 7-120 are very different especially with the total of 7 being one of the most common results in baseball .... Appreciate the help tho....

[SlickRick1382]

Ps. I finally really looked at your avatar for the first time...lol. I must of seen it a thousand times but never noticed it before.

Quite a farm you got there.

Been wondering why my rooster doesn't get more love out here. Guess it's not big enough. Who would of thought !!! lol

thanks bro ...

[BeardedTaco]

they are identical bets brah

If you don't have the heart to play o7.5 at 30 cents or better you should not be gambling

[SlickRick1382]

they are identical bets brah

If you don't have the heart to play o7.5 at 30 cents or better you should not be gambling

Yep, identical on one of the most common baseball totals....

Cool story bro, I'll let you tell it ....

[Love The Action]

MLB 2012 Regular Season 6/2/2012

Play #1

Athletics/Royals over (8) 1x (Locked)

Play #2

Phillies -1RL (-106) 1x (Locked)

Play #3

Cardinals/Mets under (7.5)(+100) 1x (Locked)

Play #4

Orioles/Devil Rays over (7)(-120) 1x (Locked)

Play #5

Rangers ML (-101) 1x (Locked)


Just able to post so odds have changed a bit. Good luck.

[Catchn_Picks]

they are identical bets brah

If you don't have the heart to play o7.5 at 30 cents or better you should not be gambling

Congrats on your win Taco, but it is not about heart. Sports betting is not a game of chicken. It is about value. It might be about the heart to lay off of a bad number tho.

No way LTA releases this game at over 7.5, imo...for a reason.

I'm sure many cappers played it over 7.5 today and were happy with the number. I preferred to lay off a number that is bad. I know you can buy down the number with juice. But the reason the books make you pay an extra 20 cents on the bet is because they know how important the number 7 is to their bottom line.

Anyway, congrats again. You got a great number to go under on and it paid off.

BOL

[Love The Action]

MLB 2012 Regular Season 6/2/2012 Recap

2 - 3 = -1.27x

MLB 2012 Regular Season

128 - 124 - 16 = -1.89x

Another late inning loss on Texas and a missed opportunity not playin the cubs/giants under provides for another frustrating day. GL on Sunday.

[Love The Action]

MLB 2012 Regular Season 6/3/2012

Play #1

Cardinals ML (-106) 1x (Locked)

Good luck.

[Love The Action]

MLB 2012 Regular Season 6/3/2012

Play #1

Cardinals ML (-106) 1x (Locked)

Play #2

White Sox -1RL (-123) 1x (Locked)

Good luck.

[Love The Action]

MLB 2012 Regular Season 6/3/2012

Play #1

Cardinals ML (-106) 1x (Locked)

Play #2

White Sox -1RL (-123) 1x (Locked)

Play #3

Twins/Indians under (9)(-115) 1x (Locked)

Good luck.

[Love The Action]

Just finishing up all of today's research and missed a lot of line moves. Would have played Toronto and Pittsburgh but there is no value left. Perhaps we get creative. Oakland also looked good but has lost 10 cents in value.

Still a nice price on Balty....thinking about them despite the loss of Markakis and Roberts....hard to fade my boy Moore though. Atlanta provides an interesting play as well, but no McCann and it's tough to fade Gio in that one. In addition, they just started to drop.

We still have some possible totals as well....but a lot of wind blowing out on the east coast. Decisions, decisions....

[meader99]

Just finishing up all of today's research and missed a lot of line moves. Would have played Toronto and Pittsburgh but there is no value left. Perhaps we get creative. Oakland also looked good but has lost 10 cents in value.

Still a nice price on Balty....thinking about them despite the loss of Markakis and Roberts....hard to fade my boy Moore though. Atlanta provides an interesting play as well, but no McCann and it's tough to fade Gio in that one. In addition, they just started to drop.

We still have some possible totals as well....but a lot of wind blowing out on the east coast. Decisions, decisions....

How about the under with your boy Moore and the loss in the O's lineup?