What do you make of the Reds/Mets matchup tonight? I like the Reds, but they have been underachieving all year and shown an inability to string wins together. They have Leake going who has been good lately but Votto is out of the lineup. Do they finally get a small winning streak going?
What about the line movement?
Huge RLM in this game. Line dropped 17 points. Granted some of that is because Votto is out of the lineup, but that is very substantial especially because there is a majority of money on Cincy. I'm not sold on Leake yet, despite some good recent performances. I'm liking the Mets as a dog tonight. GL with whatever side you take.
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grind4moneyz
SBR High Roller
07-07-11
239
#773
Originally posted by bea$tmode
Huge RLM in this game. Line dropped 17 points. Granted some of that is because Votto is out of the lineup, but that is very substantial especially because there is a majority of money on Cincy. I'm not sold on Leake yet, despite some good recent performances. I'm liking the Mets as a dog tonight. GL with whatever side you take.
Well, I have to tail you because I was already worried and thinking about going against my team for the reasons I said. Votto out, RLM, the Reds inability to put together a streak. On paper it looks like an easy bet on the Reds, but as I looked at it more and more it seemed like the Mets small were the way to go.
Thanks for explaining your thoughts.
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bea$tmode
SBR Wise Guy
12-09-09
795
#774
Originally posted by grind4moneyz
Well, I have to tail you because I was already worried and thinking about going against my team for the reasons I said. Votto out, RLM, the Reds inability to put together a streak. On paper it looks like an easy bet on the Reds, but as I looked at it more and more it seemed like the Mets small were the way to go.
Thanks for explaining your thoughts.
NP bro. GL
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grind4moneyz
SBR High Roller
07-07-11
239
#775
Originally posted by bea$tmode
NP bro. GL
BTW, why are you not sold on Leake? Is it because he doesn't have overpowering stuff and a "high ceiling"? I don't think he'll ever be a #1(or #2 for that matter) but I think he can be a good #3 for a few years.
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snapperman2
SBR MVP
08-19-10
2078
#776
Good Luck with your plays tonight!
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benandjerry
SBR Wise Guy
07-01-11
697
#777
Lets hope the angels can turn this around in the last couple of innings...
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benandjerry
SBR Wise Guy
07-01-11
697
#778
You getting a little streak going here now. Are you selecting your picks a little differently or is it more of a coincidence that you're swallowing less juice atm?
Keep on losin rockies!
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wade1
SBR Sharp
04-14-11
379
#779
Tailing beast but playing first 5 inn. NYM-Cinn were 0-0 after 5inn I missed out on a win
TB 4 Oak 2 after 5 inn another loss
all other games there was no differance. Thank God for the Dodgers
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bea$tmode
SBR Wise Guy
12-09-09
795
#780
Originally posted by bea$tmode
Here we go, I'm ready to start a new streak tonight:
LAD -114 (9u) LAA -126 (6u) NYM +119 (5u)
OAK +105 (5u) DET +125 (4u)
MIN +168 (3u)
SEA +190 (1u)
July 25: 3-4, +4.64 units
Last 3: 13-20 (39.39%), +5.52 units
Last Week: 39-41 (48.75%), -11.04 units
YTD: 238-200 (54.34%), +200.2 units
Winning Days %: 67.57%
Current Streak: W2
Back over 200 units. Looking to continue the streak tonight.
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grind4moneyz
SBR High Roller
07-07-11
239
#781
Originally posted by bea$tmode
July 25: 3-4, +4.64 units
Last 3: 13-20 (39.39%), +5.52 units
Last Week: 39-41 (48.75%), -11.04 units
YTD: 238-200 (54.34%), +200.2 units
Winning Days %: 67.57%
Current Streak: W2
Back over 200 units. Looking to continue the streak tonight.
Good day and close to a real good day if LAA didn't blow it
Looking forward to the games tonight and a good winning streak
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bea$tmode
SBR Wise Guy
12-09-09
795
#782
Originally posted by grind4moneyz
Good day and close to a real good day if LAA didn't blow it
Looking forward to the games tonight and a good winning streak
Yeah, that Angels game was hard to watch...I'm excited for tonight. Liking the slate so far.
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bea$tmode
SBR Wise Guy
12-09-09
795
#783
Originally posted by benandjerry
You getting a little streak going here now. Are you selecting your picks a little differently or is it more of a coincidence that you're swallowing less juice atm?
Keep on losin rockies!
I am selecting games slightly differently. But I am going to try and avoid any very high juice games. Yesterdays card had so much juice, it was stupid. I'll still be taking juice on, but I am going to try and avoid laying big juice unless I am very confident in the play.
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bea$tmode
SBR Wise Guy
12-09-09
795
#784
I am going to also start posting some parlays with the plays I am most confident in for anyone interested in laying a little down on em. We'll see how they do. I recommend playing them as Round Robins if at all possible to increase profitability but if not, laying a fraction of a unit on em won't hurt you much. Be back in a little with the plays.
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bea$tmode
SBR Wise Guy
12-09-09
795
#785
Originally posted by wade1
Tailing beast but playing first 5 inn. NYM-Cinn were 0-0 after 5inn I missed out on a win
TB 4 Oak 2 after 5 inn another loss
all other games there was no differance. Thank God for the Dodgers
Rough man. While I was following the games, I was thinking about your plays, seeing how they did. Only one night though, may work out in the long run. GL
ill have the later games in a little bit. Here are parlay/Round Robin picks:
STL
ARI
LAD
LAA
TOR
BOS
GL
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cashville03
SBR Sharp
06-13-11
306
#789
good luck beast!!! have boston and angels as my biggest plays too, but the only other early game i have is detroit, i decided to go with verlander since his last outing vs white sox he didnt go to well. hopefully today is the beginning of a new streak!
Couple questions on your picks tonight. What did you make of the line movement on BoSox?
What did you make of the line movement on the Mets/Reds?
Did the line movements play into your picks on those 2 picks specifically?
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bea$tmode
SBR Wise Guy
12-09-09
795
#791
Originally posted by grind4moneyz
Couple questions on your picks tonight. What did you make of the line movement on BoSox?
What did you make of the line movement on the Mets/Reds?
Did the line movements play into your picks on those 2 picks specifically?
The line movement on the Reds game played big into my Mets play. Big RLM in both but with Boston, it was more that I was more comfortable taking the Red Sox in that position than the Royals (looking like the line movement should have played more into the decision right now haha)...lots of time left in the Sox game. Hoping for a turn around.
I use the line movement as one part of my capping process. The Sox play was more of a feel play despite the huge movement.
GL bud.
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benandjerry
SBR Wise Guy
07-01-11
697
#792
You looking to play any of the late games? If so, are you leaning on dodgers (maybe RL to avoid some of the juice?)? Although I guess the rockies gotta get a win eventually.
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bea$tmode
SBR Wise Guy
12-09-09
795
#793
Here are the late games:
LAD -1 RL [-109] (6u)
OAK +114 (6u)
ARI +108 (4u)
GL boys.
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bea$tmode
SBR Wise Guy
12-09-09
795
#794
Originally posted by benandjerry
You looking to play any of the late games? If so, are you leaning on dodgers (maybe RL to avoid some of the juice?)? Although I guess the rockies gotta get a win eventually.
I am going with the Dodgers (as you can see from my post). Kershaw is really hot. Chacin is super cold. Rockies are super cold. Lots of line movement for the Dodgers. Rockies are due for a win, but I don't think tonight is the night that Chacin gets back on track.
GL
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bea$tmode
SBR Wise Guy
12-09-09
795
#795
Walden isn't gonna screw me again tonight right?
Unreal.
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benandjerry
SBR Wise Guy
07-01-11
697
#796
Originally posted by bea$tmode
I am going with the Dodgers (as you can see from my post). Kershaw is really hot. Chacin is super cold. Rockies are super cold. Lots of line movement for the Dodgers. Rockies are due for a win, but I don't think tonight is the night that Chacin gets back on track.
GL
Yeah I like it, somehow it just feels like the RL wont be a factor whichever way it goes considering rockies the results of rockies recent games.
Originally posted by bea$tmode
Walden isn't gonna screw me again tonight right?
Unreal.
lol man I was soo annoyed too, thankfully not another late letdown, GL the rest of the night.
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bea$tmode
SBR Wise Guy
12-09-09
795
#797
Originally posted by benandjerry
Yeah I like it, somehow it just feels like the RL wont be a factor whichever way it goes considering rockies the results of rockies recent games.
lol man I was soo annoyed too, thankfully not another late letdown, GL the rest of the night.
Yeah, thats why I just took the -1 RL. I took that simply cause I didn't feel comfortable laying the juice. I just didn't wanna lose all the juice if the Dodgers lose. I won't mind a push.
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BigDofBA
SBR Posting Legend
09-30-09
19313
#798
I knew I should have tailed. Nice night.
Any lean for tomorrow? I would really like to play the early game.
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bea$tmode
SBR Wise Guy
12-09-09
795
#799
Originally posted by BigDofBA
I knew I should have tailed. Nice night.
Any lean for tomorrow? I would really like to play the early game.
Taking a quick look, I'm leaning Angels but I won't be sure til tomorrow. I like to finalize the plays closer to game time to take into account all line behavior and everything. It would be best to get on tomorrow morning and check the thread for the play. I post them on twitter too if that works better for you.
Beast, you killed it for the past couple days. Nice going.
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cashville03
SBR Sharp
06-13-11
306
#801
Seems like a pretty good day. Nice work!!
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benandjerry
SBR Wise Guy
07-01-11
697
#802
Nice day indeed, should be almost +30u if I'm not completely mistaken.
3 days streak and counting, lets keep it going to set a new best!
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grind4moneyz
SBR High Roller
07-07-11
239
#803
Originally posted by bea$tmode
The line movement on the Reds game played big into my Mets play. Big RLM in both but with Boston, it was more that I was more comfortable taking the Red Sox in that position than the Royals (looking like the line movement should have played more into the decision right now haha)...lots of time left in the Sox game. Hoping for a turn around.
I use the line movement as one part of my capping process. The Sox play was more of a feel play despite the huge movement.
GL bud.
I thought so.
Did the Live Movement play into the late A's pick also? I noticed the line movements on the 3 games I asked you about and definitely took notice.
Nice night again Beast! Let's keep on rolling!
Looking forward to the early picks today. Will Seattle finally win with Felix on the hill in a day game?
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wade1
SBR Sharp
04-14-11
379
#804
First 5 inning plays tailing Beast. Big 7 unit play on LAA was tied after 5inn.
The losing pitt play was tied after 5. saved 2 units there
CWS 2-1 after 5 CINN led METS 5-4 after 5 lost 1 unit total on those two plays
sure could have used those 7 units on LA. GL today
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bea$tmode
SBR Wise Guy
12-09-09
795
#805
Recap soon. Great night last night. Here are two small plays on the early games:
CLE +111 (4u)
SEA +135 (2u)
GL. be back soon with a recap and likely with a play on the White Sox game