Bea$t Mode MLB Season Thread (Started 6/16/11)

[bea$tmode]

I thought so.

Did the Live Movement play into the late A's pick also? I noticed the line movements on the 3 games I asked you about and definitely took notice.

Nice night again Beast! Let's keep on rolling!

Looking forward to the early picks today. Will Seattle finally win with Felix on the hill in a day game?

Nice noticing the line moves, a lot of them were very telling yesterday. Line movement played big into the A's play as well.

I do think (and hope) the M's finally break through today. Can't bring myself to put more than a couple units on it cause they're so bad, but I do think this is the best opportunity for them to get a win. If they lose this, I'm pretty sure they will lose the next 4 until King Felix hops back on the mound. Let's get it. GL today bud.

Recap soon.

[bea$tmode]

First 5 inning plays tailing Beast. Big 7 unit play on LAA was tied after 5inn.
The losing pitt play was tied after 5. saved 2 units there
CWS 2-1 after 5 CINN led METS 5-4 after 5 lost 1 unit total on those two plays
sure could have used those 7 units on LA. GL today

Damn bro. I feel like if you did this last week, you would be hitting every one. Haha. GL going forward, if you keep doin it.

[bea$tmode]

Here's yesterday's recap. Passed the former YTD peak by about 15 units. As I said before, I am treating any pushes as no action for simplicity. I don't have my spreadsheet set up to deal with pushes and don't feel like adding that because I shouldn't have many pushes since I don't play totals.

I hope some of you hopped on the parlay picks last night with a round robin. 5 of 6 hit, made for a nice round robin profit. Will have some more parlay picks for anyone who wants em tonight.

I don't plan on keeping a detailed record of parlay picks unless you all want me to. I will mention them in each recap, and I figure you guys following me will see if they are doing well or not. I just don't feel like calculating parlay odds and all. The parlay picks I provide are the plays I believe are the highest percentage win plays for the night. When combined in a parlay, they are what I BELIEVE gives you the best expected value edge on the parlay compared to the other plays.

7 and 8 oclock games:

LAA -137 (7u)
BOS -161 (6u)
STL -1 RL [-123] (6u)
FLA +118 (5u)
CHC +135 (5u)
NYM +132 (4u)
CWS +142 (3u)
SF +150 (2u)
PIT +169 (2u)

GL. Sorry for the delay

Here are the late games:

LAD -1 RL [-109] (6u)
OAK +114 (6u)
ARI +108 (4u)

GL boys.

July 26: 7-4, +29.34 units
Last 3 days: 16-15 (51.61%), +47.50 units
Last Week: 38-40 (48.72%), +16.55 units
YTD: 245-204 (54.57%), +229.54 units
*NEW UNITS PEAK: July 26, +229.54 units
Winning Days %: 68.42%

GL today everyone.

Also, idk if any of you saw the call that ended the Braves game and ruined my Pirates play, but it was possibly the worst call I've seen in my life of watching baseball. No complaints though, great night. Streak continues today.

Beast

[grind4moneyz]

Here's yesterday's recap. Passed the former YTD peak by about 15 units. As I said before, I am treating any pushes as no action for simplicity. I don't have my spreadsheet set up to deal with pushes and don't feel like adding that because I shouldn't have many pushes since I don't play totals.

I hope some of you hopped on the parlay picks last night with a round robin. 5 of 6 hit, made for a nice round robin profit. Will have some more parlay picks for anyone who wants em tonight.

I don't plan on keeping a detailed record of parlay picks unless you all want me to. I will mention them in each recap, and I figure you guys following me will see if they are doing well or not. I just don't feel like calculating parlay odds and all. The parlay picks I provide are the plays I believe are the highest percentage win plays for the night. When combined in a parlay, they are what I BELIEVE gives you the best expected value edge on the parlay compared to the other plays.





July 26: 7-4, +29.34 units
Last 3 days: 16-15 (51.61%), +47.50 units
Last Week: 38-40 (48.72%), +16.55 units
YTD: 245-204 (54.57%), +229.54 units
*NEW UNITS PEAK: July 26, +229.54 units
Winning Days %: 68.42%

GL today everyone.

Also, idk if any of you saw the call that ended the Braves game and ruined my Pirates play, but it was possibly the worst call I've seen in my life of watching baseball. No complaints though, great night. Streak continues today.

Beast

Horrible call and may have cost us units.

Oh well, like you said great night so can't complain. Let's set another YTD high

[bea$tmode]

Horrible call and may have cost us units.

Oh well, like you said great night so can't complain. Let's set another YTD high

That's the goal. GL bud, let's get it.

Also, I wanted to mention to all of you... You may want to check if your book offers "Open Parlays". I just discovered them at 5dimes, and I feel like a little kid on Christmas. They are parlays that you can open at any time for a set number of teams. However, unlike normal parlays, you can set "open teams" which stay open and allow you to fill them throughout the day (until one of your parlay plays loses).

For example. This morning, I opened a 6 teamer with only the Indians in it right now. If the Indians win, then throughout today I can fill in the other teams I want in it. If the Indians lose, it's over. Pretty cool idea.

These work especially well for my plays since I usually post them close to each game time rather than all at once. Just wanted to mention this to everyone. GL. Tribe on the board early. Lets go!

[mtcook21]

Beast - nice work so far. Couple questions for you - What percentage of your bankroll to use as 1 unit? I only ask because some nights you have a lot of units in play. Also, can I assume you're playing to win the listed unit size with (-) odds, and risking the unit size with (+) odds? thanks.

[grind4moneyz]

That's the goal. GL bud, let's get it.

Also, I wanted to mention to all of you... You may want to check if your book offers "Open Parlays". I just discovered them at 5dimes, and I feel like a little kid on Christmas. They are parlays that you can open at any time for a set number of teams. However, unlike normal parlays, you can set "open teams" which stay open and allow you to fill them throughout the day (until one of your parlay plays loses).

For example. This morning, I opened a 6 teamer with only the Indians in it right now. If the Indians win, then throughout today I can fill in the other teams I want in it. If the Indians lose, it's over. Pretty cool idea.

These work especially well for my plays since I usually post them close to each game time rather than all at once. Just wanted to mention this to everyone. GL. Tribe on the board early. Lets go!

I know you mentioned Pinnacle previously. Do you mainly bet a Pinnacle and 5Dimes? I'm considering signing up to a new Book and was wondering what you consider the best book? Currently I have a BetOnline account and a Bodog account (never used for Sportsbetting).

One more thing. Did you see my question on the A's pick last night? I noticed the RLM on it and I assume that is why you went with the A's, or atleast a good portion of the reason why?

[bea$tmode]

Beast - nice work so far. Couple questions for you - What percentage of your bankroll to use as 1 unit? I only ask because some nights you have a lot of units in play. Also, can I assume you're playing to win the listed unit size with (-) odds, and risking the unit size with (+) odds? thanks.

Your assumption about the sizes is correct. Concerning unit size, I play my units about .5% of my bankroll (50 cents per $100 bank). Some may want to play smaller units because I put so many units in play. To be honest, I'm a recently graduated, unemployed (start work late august), college student and don't have a lot of money to play with. My bankroll is very small right now so if I were to lose it all (won't happen), It wouldn't kill me.

My unit ratings are basically a ranking system of my confidence on each play. I play every unit, but some may just chose certain plays over a certain rating. Hope this all helps understand my style. Let me know if you have more questions.

[bea$tmode]

I know you mentioned Pinnacle previously. Do you mainly bet a Pinnacle and 5Dimes? I'm considering signing up to a new Book and was wondering what you consider the best book? Currently I have a BetOnline account and a Bodog account (never used for Sportsbetting).

One more thing. Did you see my question on the A's pick last night? I noticed the RLM on it and I assume that is why you went with the A's, or atleast a good portion of the reason why?

I don't use Pinnacle cause I'm in the U.S. I wish I could. I use Pinnacle odds a lot to look at line behavior compared to others cause they are often a first mover.

I use 5 dimes, and I love 5 dimes. They have insane amounts of betting options. I used to have a bodog account. I like bodog a lot, they give fast payouts and have good customer service, but I didn't like their lines much...

Overall, I strongly recommend 5dimes. Tons of betting options, easy to use. Everything.

[bea$tmode]

I know you mentioned Pinnacle previously. Do you mainly bet a Pinnacle and 5Dimes? I'm considering signing up to a new Book and was wondering what you consider the best book? Currently I have a BetOnline account and a Bodog account (never used for Sportsbetting).

One more thing. Did you see my question on the A's pick last night? I noticed the RLM on it and I assume that is why you went with the A's, or atleast a good portion of the reason why?

And about the A's play, the RLM played a big role in my pick. I was also confident in Brandon McCarthy (picked him up in my fantasy league for a spot start yesterday). Line movement played a big role though.

[bea$tmode]

2:00 play:

CWS -114 (5u)

GL.

[grind4moneyz]

Santana has a no-hitter through 7 and has only thrown 72 pitches. Cleveland scored on a passed ball, btw.

[bea$tmode]

Santana has a no-hitter through 7 and has only thrown 72 pitches. Cleveland scored on a passed ball, btw.

Yeah, I just realized that, haha. Can't compete with a guy who's unconscious. Hopefully they break through. Glad it was a 4 unit play. Got 2 frames left, lets go Tribe.

[grind4moneyz]

Yeah, I just realized that, haha. Can't compete with a guy who's unconscious. Hopefully they break through. Glad it was a 4 unit play. Got 2 frames left, lets go Tribe.

Yea, what can you do? The score should be tied as Huff left with 2 outs and runners on the corner and the run scored on a passed ball

[grind4moneyz]

Finished the no-hitter

[bea$tmode]

Finished the no-hitter

Very impressive. Santana is an absolute beast when he's on. Rough loss, but first game of the day, lots to go. Need the M's to get out of this trouble and get this win.

[bea$tmode]

Tonight's Plays:

TB -125 (9u)
CIN -147 (7u)
ATL -1 RL [-125] (6u)
WAS -104 (6u)
TOR -1 RL [-135] (5u)
SD -110 (4u)
SF +146 (3u)
CHC +162 (2u)
COL +134 (2u)

GL. Parlay picks will be up soon.

[bea$tmode]

Parlay Picks (Preferably Round Robin):

TB
ATL
TOR
SD
STL
CIN

GL.

[bea$tmode]

if you haven't taken the parlay picks yet, add WAS and take out SD...if you have taken them, I still think you're alright.

[mtcook21]

Parlay Picks (Preferably Round Robin):

TB
ATL
TOR
SD
STL
CIN

GL.

When you do your RR's, do you do parlays of 2s,3s,4s,5s, and 6? Or just 2s and 3s, or 4s....etc. Thanks.

[bea$tmode]

When you do your RR's, do you do parlays of 2s,3s,4s,5s, and 6? Or just 2s and 3s, or 4s....etc. Thanks.

I do RR's of all of em (2,3,4,5,6). Once you have laid the cash for the 2,3,4, it's not much more risk for the 5,6s and the payout increases substantially. I recommend doing all if possible.

[bea$tmode]

Not looking good tonight.

[I_WILL_WIN]

Too bad on the Oakland pick!!

Sorry Bro

[cashville03]

Yeah does not look too good today. Tampa bay is so bad though! I have been chasing my losses with them and they have costed me a fortune over the past few weeks. I have no idea why i continue to bet them i said last night that i would stop betting them but i couldnt resist today with shields on the mound, but ive learned my lesson and will never bet them again! Was 4/5 yesterday cuz tampa lost and today im going to be 2/3 cuz of them. That team just needs to unload all their players cuz something is seriously wrong with them. Jays will pass them in the division lol not that it matters but atleast we all know tampa isn't making the playoffs this year!

[grind4moneyz]

My Reds are constantly killing me. They've been underachieving all year.

Well, today will be a bounce back day

[wade1]

SD won the 5inning game last nite but I am convinced over the long haul you will win as many late inning games as lose. It's just that you remember the loses more than the wins. bullpens should be a big part of anybodys handycapping. Who has the fresh bullpen, will the best pictures be able to pitch that nite and will the starters have to go late into the game to save the bullpen. With that said I'm done betting the first 5, It's more exciting betting the whole game. Good Luck to all

[wade1]

Don't count on Reds winning today. They are my team too and they suck. Strike out way too much. They need new manager and coaches and they need to get rid of Brandon Phillips. He hurts them in clubhouse more than he helps them in the field. Sorry I needed to vent my anger

[grind4moneyz]

Don't count on Reds winning today. They are my team too and they suck. Strike out way too much. They need new manager and coaches and they need to get rid of Brandon Phillips. He hurts them in clubhouse more than he helps them in the field. Sorry I needed to vent my anger

I agree with a new coach. Not so sure I agree about getting rid of Phillips. He's a good fielder and a decent hitter. If he was causing a problem in the clubhouse, then I agree he should go. Not sure that he is a problem in the clubhouse, but it seems they don't have the same chemistry they did last year. Something is off, and it may be him.

After SF series they have a nice stretch of schedule and if they are going to make a move for the division, that would be the time. I just don't see it though as they've been unable to put together winning streaks and have underachieved all year long. If Walt can make a move, without giving up the farm, and that would benefit the team this year AND next year, I would do it. There are still rumblings about Shields and Jimenez and I would like to have either, but wouldn't give up the farm for them. Yonder Alonso(and maybe some B-type prospects) for Shields seem to fit since he's going to be stuck behind Votto. I guess we'll see.

Bailey's been pitching solid over the last few starts, but they are just so unpredictable. I'm leaning towards the Reds today, but haven't made a final decision. Not sure I can pull the trigger on that game as they constantly kill me.

Today's a new day though and we're going to have a good one

[bea$tmode]

Here's a recap of yesterday. Today will be a bounce back day. Frustrating losses last night. The Rays are pathetic. Joe Maddon needs to get rid of his gay glasses and figure out how to whip that team into shape. Reds are in a rough spot right now. Bronson Arroyo is extremely frustrating. He's either on or off. Whatever. Putting last night behind me. Early picks up soon.

2:00 play:

CWS -114 (5u)

GL.

Tonight's Plays:

TB -125 (9u)
CIN -147 (7u)
ATL -1 RL [-125] (6u)
WAS -104 (6u)
TOR -1 RL [-135] (5u)
SD -110 (4u)
SF +146 (3u)
CHC +162 (2u)
COL +134 (2u)

CLE +111 (4u)
SEA +135 (2u)

July 27: 5-6, -18.42 units
LAst 3 days: 15-14 (51.72%), +15.56 units
Last Week: 37-39 (48.68%), +11.99 units
YTD: 250-210 (54.35%), +211.12 units
Unit Peak: July 26, +229.54 units
Positive Days %: 66.67%

[wade1]

Beast remark about Maddon glasses

[bea$tmode]

Beast remark about Maddon glasses

haha, those things are absolutely awful. Here are my early plays. Despite hating the Reds for last night, I am going with them again today. They have had some big line movement. All faves on the early games. These are the games up through 1:00. I will be back with the 2:00 and later games. GL as always.:

CIN -150 (5u)
DET -132 (4u)
WAS -150 (3u)

GL. be back soon with the other plays.

[bea$tmode]

Despite what it may look like, these are not chase plays. I don't chase. I like both WAS and CIN in these spots. Lannan and Bailey at home facing the sweep. These are two good pitchers and I feel good going with them.

[benandjerry]

Hope reds can pull out at least one win, you considering playing the boston game or you find the juice being too high even on RL?

[bea$tmode]

Hope reds can pull out at least one win, you considering playing the boston game or you find the juice being too high even on RL?

Geez, Bailey let a run in the 1st...not a good start. The Reds offense has to wake up, right? Their lineup is solid, i just don't understand this inability to crack the Mets rotation.

Did see that Capuano is 2-0 in his 5 starts at Great American Ballpark, which makes me like the Reds play even more. Just need some damn offense!

Concerning the Red Sox game, the juice is just way too high for me to consider putting a play on it. The 1.5 RL is -135. May be some value in taking the Sox RL and the Royals straight up, cause I see the Sox either blowing them out again or the Royals winning, but I'm gonna lay off of it.

[bea$tmode]

Taking a small play on the Brewers Runline:

MIL -1.5 RL [+115] (2u)

GL.