1st Inning Stats and Betting

**thebonzman** · 05-25-11, 10:23 AM

Thanks for the effort!

**SamWise** · 05-25-11, 10:46 AM

not gonna be able to put the 12:00 pm ET games.

**Timmah2483** · 05-25-11, 11:03 AM

Yea I'm not going to be able to put in 12 game or 12:30. Should have 1oclock games tho

**jnsbanman** · 05-25-11, 11:05 AM

For those interested for Bos/Cle - Combined RPI scored .94, Combined RPI allowed .76, combined NO average 66.6% but indians pitcher only has 2 starts this year.

**doubledime** · 05-25-11, 11:32 AM

Originally posted by Timmah2483

Yea I'm not going to be able to put in 12 game or 12:30. Should have 1oclock games tho

For what's worth, I don't see either of those first 2 games a play.

**Timmah2483** · 05-25-11, 11:45 AM

Covered up at work not gonna be able to drop 1:00 games either,

doubledime it's all u, if u have any research

**SamWise** · 05-25-11, 11:48 AM

how do you find this info?
woud like to know

**doubledime** · 05-25-11, 11:59 AM

Sorry don't have enough time to do the 1:05 games. Next time just give me a little notice and I'll be glad to help out if I can.

**skyscrapers** · 05-25-11, 12:05 PM

I took WSH/MIL no runs because Jason Marquis only 3 of his 9 starts yielded a 1st inning run and that's back in Apr. while Zack Greinke yielded a run in 1 of his 4 starts but that's the very first game back from injury.

**SamWise** · 05-25-11, 12:24 PM

Scoreeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee!
Cash!

**skyscrapers** · 05-25-11, 12:30 PM

Damn...5 of the 6 morning games have a 1st inning score

**dee_jas** · 05-25-11, 01:20 PM

does you wager stand for the 1st Inning if there's a pitchers change to the orignal pitchers.

**Timmah2483** · 05-25-11, 01:38 PM

Dee_jas, not if it was changed pre-game. if there is an injury then yes.

**Timmah2483** · 05-25-11, 05:28 PM

OK, Back to Business!

Record; 26-14 +6.4 Units

Cardinals (Carpenter: 6-no 4-YES)
Padres (Latos: 3-no 5-YES) THE PLAY IS YES, RUNS

**doubledime** · 05-25-11, 05:28 PM

Remember: They are not Tim's plays, and his plays have a better record!! He just lets me use my filters on his thread.

The only two I see tonight are:

KC/Balt NO
Oak/LAA NO

Both IMO are very solid

Good luck to all

**Timmah2483** · 05-25-11, 05:44 PM

wrong color above... Cards/Pads above should read... THE PLAY IS YES, RUNS

Continued....

Reds (Wood: 7-NO 3-yes)
Phillies (Halladay: 9-NO 1-yes) THE PLAY IS NO RUNS

Royals (Hochevar: 7-NO 3-yes)
Orioles (Arietta: 9-NO 1-yes) THE PLAY IS NO RUNS

Mets (Gee: 7-NO 1-yes)
Cubs (Coleman: 6-NO 1-yes) THE PLAY IS NO RUNS

Dbacks (Kennedy: 8-no 2-YES)
Rockies (Hammel: 5-no 4-YES) THE PLAY IS YES, RUNS

Marlins (Volstad: 5-NO 3-yes)
Giants (Bumgarner: 9-NO 0-yes) THE PLAY IS NO RUNS

A's (Cahill 9-NO 1-yes)
Angels (Santana: 9-NO 1-yes) THE PLAY IS NO RUNS

**Timmah2483** · 05-25-11, 05:45 PM

Cards/Padres already a WINNER!

**Timmah2483** · 05-25-11, 05:53 PM

I know what I said yesterday, But I truely like every play left today! I played Cards/Padres, and Im playing the rest!

**doubledime** · 05-25-11, 05:54 PM

Thanks Tim

After posting your info I am adding:

Mets/Cubs NO
DBacks/Rockies YES

Thanks and BOL with your plays

**Timmah2483** · 05-25-11, 05:58 PM

GL!

**Timmah2483** · 05-25-11, 06:31 PM

Cards/Padres YES +130 W
Reds/Phillies NO -155 L
KC/Orioles NO -135 W
Cubs/Mets NO -130 L
Dbacks/Rockies YES -115 L
Fla/SFGiants NO -150 L
A's/Angels NO -165 W

3-4 (- 2.2 Units)

**calmeat** · 05-25-11, 07:00 PM

only game i have an issue with is the dbacks/Rockies game, think that is going to be a no score.

**Qman1** · 05-25-11, 07:06 PM

Thanks for all the hard work Tim

**calmeat** · 05-25-11, 10:19 PM

We have early games again guys so hopefully you can get your picks up before the first game 12:35
Here are my leans hope your picks come up the same as mine
No Run Scored
CIN/PHL
FLA/SFG
CWS/TOR
BOS/DET
OAK/LAA

And Yes there will be a run scored
ARI/COL
NYM/CHC

**unclebuzz1** · 05-26-11, 05:48 AM

Originally posted by Timmah2483

Yeah. that's sad, I hope pride doesn't keep them losing money.

I don't know if you still follow the other thread but after I see your next post (I assume you'll have something to say) I'm gonna stop. Check out the current SS. It's turned into ... I can't handle this long LL so I'll flat bet it until I lose 231 units then because I got lucky on a few bets, I'm gonna forget the long LL and start over with 100 units. Unreal!!!

Oh, I forgot, could you change your avatar? I could always find my posts because of the blue sky. Just kidding.

**cash$bro91** · 05-26-11, 08:21 AM

lets bounce back today.

**jnsbanman** · 05-26-11, 09:32 AM

Here is my interpretation of todays games

KC Bal - Combined 68% of starts = No but KC pitcher is 5-5 (N-Y). Combined 1st inning runs score .5, Allowed 1.22. Hard to choose here.

Bos Det - 2 good offensive and defensive teams here. Combined 90% No but Bos pitcher only has 1 start. Combined first inning runs scored is .99 and runs allowed is .8. Like the NO here but Aceves worries me.

Oak LAA - NO! Probably gonna be tons of juice again

Cws Tor - Combined 60% no, but Morrow is 50/50. 1st inning runs scored 1.04, allowed .92. no play for me

Cin Phi - Been burnt 3 times by these buggers... Today we got 85% No combined, runs scored 1.17, allowed 1.13. All pitching stats look good for a NO but may leave this one alone today

Nym CHC - Combined 75% no, Runs scored 1.2, allowed 1.17. Despite Dickey's questionable numbers he has a good 9-1 (N-Y) first inning record. Zambrano is 6-4 but as of late has been pitching first innings well. Staying away from this one.

Fla Sf - No almost seems a given here but No only has 40% of starts here... Sanchez had a rough start to the year and Vogelsong has only started 5 games. Combined runs scored 1.24 allowed 1.06.

Arz Col - Combined these 2 pitchers only have 4 starts so not much to build off of here, of those 4 starts No is 50/50. These 2 teams both have good numbers for scoring in the first. I say this is a yes

**Timmah2483** · 05-26-11, 10:04 AM

I have a vacation starting today I was still gonna lay out the lines but that's done (thanks). I won't be back till Monday so everyone chip in help everybody and I'll poke in via phone and maybe lay some bets on ur research... Won't have my own. Guys have a great memorial day weekend. Hope it's profitable!

**doubledime** · 05-26-11, 10:14 AM

Originally posted by Timmah2483

I have a vacation starting today I was still gonna lay out the lines but that's done (thanks). I won't be back till Monday so everyone chip in help everybody and I'll poke in via phone and maybe lay some bets on ur research... Won't have my own. Guys have a great memorial day weekend. Hope it's profitable!

Thanks Tim, enjoy your vacation.

**jnsbanman** · 05-26-11, 10:16 AM

Have a good long weekend.

**doubledime** · 05-26-11, 10:20 AM

Thanks JSNB. In the early games my filters say:

FL/SF YES
Oak/LAA NO

BOL to all

**jnsbanman** · 05-26-11, 10:22 AM

What stats do you use to determine yes or no?

**jnsbanman** · 05-26-11, 10:25 AM

I put a unit on KC Bal No... Bal not so great against lefties. and Bal pitcher 8-1 record (N-Y). Also big line movement from opening to the No from Yes.

**calmeat** · 05-26-11, 10:34 AM

So i am trying something new to see how things work out, Using my criteria if i played all games yesterday i would have been 12-2, so going to be tracking that for a bit before i present anything.
Im playing
KC/Balt No score 1x

Cinci/PHL No Score 2.5x (batters will be tired quick turnaround from late one last night will take a while for bats to wake up vs 2 good pitchers, i have been burned 3 times and havent learned my lesson yet)

Bos/Det No Score 3x

OAK/LAA No Score 2x

FLA/SFG No score 1x

CWS/TOR No Score 1x

Ari/COl Yes score 1x

**Timmah2483** · 05-26-11, 10:36 AM

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this is something to consider also when Betting. A few early lineup are sitting guys, backup bats arent nearly as good.