1st Inning Stats and Betting

**Timmah2483** · 05-24-11, 01:23 PM

17-7: +6.8 Units

DBacks (Collmenter: 6-NO 3-yes)
Rockies (De La Rosa: 6-NO 3-yes) THE PLAY IS NO RUNS

**SamWise** · 05-24-11, 01:29 PM

hey timmah, so does this mean. out of Saunders's 9 starts 5 were no score and 4 were yes score?
De la Rosa out of 9 6 was no and 3 was yes?

**Timmah2483** · 05-24-11, 01:32 PM

Correct! but Saunders was scratched according to 5dimes! and that changed my play... read the edit above

**jnsbanman** · 05-24-11, 01:44 PM

and now delayed!

**doubledime** · 05-24-11, 02:36 PM

Originally posted by Timmah2483

Correct! but Saunders was scratched according to 5dimes! and that changed my play... read the edit above

He was scratched.... on to tonight

**thebonzman** · 05-24-11, 02:54 PM

1-0 Nice start!

**BennyMac17** · 05-24-11, 02:55 PM

Thanks for the early winner

**lilb999** · 05-24-11, 02:56 PM

Are all your unit sizes always the same?

Between this thread and the other first inning thread (mac millers) theres a bevy on information that looks like it will make this season very profitable!

**jnsbanman** · 05-24-11, 03:10 PM

damn... my book didnt get a prop up after the change... looked like arz was gonna get a couple in but de la rosa fought them off.

**Timmah2483** · 05-24-11, 03:30 PM

18-7 Record: +7.8 Units

Royals (Duffy: 1-NO 0-yes)
Orioles (Britton: 9-NO 0-yes) THE PLAY IS NO RUNS

RedSox (Beckett: 9-NO 0-yes)
Indians (Carmona: 8-NO 2-yes) THE PLAY IS NO RUNS

Reds (Cueto: 3-NO 0-yes)
Phillies (Worley: 2-NO 0-yes) THE PLAY IS NO RUNS

Tigers (Verander: 8-NO 2-yes)
Rays (Davis: 6-NO 3-yes) THE PLAY IS NO RUNS

Braves (Jurrjens: 6-NO 1-yes)
Pirates (Morton: 7-NO 1-yes) THE PLAY IS NO RUNS

BlueJays (Romero: 8-NO 1-yes)
Yankees (Sabathia: 7-NO 3-yes) THE PLAY IS NO RUNS

Mets (Niese: 5-no 4-YES)
Cubs (Dempster: 6-no 4-YES) THE PLAY IS YES, RUNS

WhiteSox (Peavy: 1-NO 1-yes)
Rangers (Holland: 8-NO 1-yes) THE PLAY IS NO RUNS

Dodgers (Billingsley: 9-NO 1-yes)
Astros (Happ: 5-NO 4-yes) THE PLAY IS NO RUNS

Mariners (Fister: 6-NO 3-yes)
Twins (Blackburn: 7-NO 2-yes) THE PLAY IS NO RUNS

Nationals (Hernandez: 8-NO 2-yes)
Brewers (Narveson: 9-NO 0-yes) THE PLAY IS NO RUNS

Dbacks (Saunders: 5-no 4-YES)
Rockies (Chacin: 8-no 1-YES) THE PLAY IS YES, RUNS

Cardinals (McClellan: 8-NO 1-yes)
Padres (Harang: 5-NO 4-yes) THE PLAY IS NO RUNS

Marlins (Nolasco: 7-NO 2-yes)
Giants (Cain: 9-NO 0-yes) THE PLAY IS NO RUNS

A's (Moscoso: N/A)
Angels (Haren: 9-NO 1-yes) THE PLAY IS NO RUNS

**thenatti** · 05-24-11, 03:35 PM

There are some strong plays tonight!

**Timmah2483** · 05-24-11, 03:40 PM

The reason for runs in the gm#2 Rockies/Dbacks and not in Padres/Cards, even though they have the same record, is for several reasons

#1- Ball Parks, Padres field keeps the ball in the Park and Colorado night air drives 'em out
#2- is avg. runs per first inning
#3- Happ, although 5-no 4-yes, is 3-no 1-yes at home

The no's seem to be heavy today. I'll tell you right off the bat, I do not like the young pitchers games. which is Reds/Phillies and A's/Angels. A's Moscoso has only pitched 0.2 innings this year and he allowed 2 runs. so who knows how to take that game... I wont be playing that one for sure, Reds/Phillies I might play.

**thenatti** · 05-24-11, 04:00 PM

Timmah,
Will you post your plays again and parlays?

**Timmah2483** · 05-24-11, 04:02 PM

Originally posted by lilb999

Are all your unit sizes always the same?

Yes, I have an urge to drop the parlays, and up my Units size, but I dont want to bet one harder than the other because they are all equally possible despite my feelings... and If I think for example: ATL/PIT is a sure win. I play it at double unit, and I lose... its gonna take double to cover it or as high as 4-1. Im sure you know this, but that is why i keep them the same. anyone else is free to do as they please.

lilnatti, Yes I will shortly.

**cash$bro91** · 05-24-11, 04:28 PM

This site <a href="http://dailybaseballdata.com/>this</a> was mentioned in another thread. Its got weather data but I liked the batter vs pitcher info.

**cash$bro91** · 05-24-11, 04:29 PM

I tried posting a link but it didn't work. The site is dailybaseballdata.com

**doubledime** · 05-24-11, 05:22 PM

Okay, based on Tim's info and average first inning runs scored overall and home/away plus umpires here are my filtered plays. Note:

These are not Tim's, but he is allowing me to post these in his thread and they are using his info:

Royals/Orioles NO
Brave/Pirates NO
White Sox/Rangers NO
Dodgers/Astros NO
SMariner/Twins NO
Nats/Brewers NO
DBacks/Rockies YES
Cards/Pads NO
A's/Angles NO

Good luck to all

**Timmah2483** · 05-24-11, 05:24 PM

My plays 17-5 record.

Sox/Indians NO
Braves/pirates NO
Royals/Orioles NO
Rays/tigers NO
Cubs/Mets YES
Dodgers/Astros NO
Nats/Brewers NO
Giants/Marlins NO
Cards/Padres NO
Rockies/Dbacks YES

**dlunc3** · 05-24-11, 05:30 PM

so lets take the 6 you both agree on, and make some money!

**Timmah2483** · 05-24-11, 05:33 PM

Parlays,

$20.00 $171.44 Pending 4 Team Parlay
5/24/11 7:00pm Props Baseball 2902 ATL/PIT no score 1st inn -145* vs ATL/PIT score 1st inn yes
5/24/11 7:00pm Props Baseball 2918 KAN/BAL no score 1st inn -115* vs KAN/BAL score 1st inn yes
5/24/11 7:00pm Props Baseball 2922 BOS/CLE no score 1st inn -135* vs BOS/CLE score 1st inn yes
5/24/11 7:00pm Props Baseball 2924 TAM/DET no score 1st inn -135* vs TAM/DET score 1st inn yes

15.00 $1,010.37 Pending 7 Team Parlay
5/24/11 7:00pm Props Baseball 2902 ATL/PIT no score 1st inn -145* vs ATL/PIT score 1st inn yes
5/24/11 8:00pm Props Baseball 2906 LOS/HOU no score 1st inn -130* vs LOS/HOU score 1st inn yes
5/24/11 8:00pm Props Baseball 2907 NYM/CUB score 1st inn yes +110* vs NYM/CUB no score 1st inn
5/24/11 8:05pm Props Baseball 2910 WAS/MIL no score 1st inn -120* vs WAS/MIL score 1st inn yes
5/24/11 7:00pm Props Baseball 2918 KAN/BAL no score 1st inn -115* vs KAN/BAL score 1st inn yes
5/24/11 7:00pm Props Baseball 2922 BOS/CLE no score 1st inn -135* vs BOS/CLE score 1st inn yes
5/24/11 7:00pm Props Baseball 2924 TAM/DET no score 1st inn -135* vs TAM/DET score 1st inn yes

**Timmah2483** · 05-24-11, 05:34 PM

Dlunc3, Thats a good method...

**thenatti** · 05-24-11, 06:20 PM

shame both parlays are shot

**Timmah2483** · 05-24-11, 06:35 PM

yep, I started 3 of 7, now Im 3 for 11... Im going to eliminate the Parlays. if others want to play them, I can post potential parlays but Im done playing them.

But 13 Games goes 6-7, 24-13 +5.4 Units...

My plays went 5-5, making me 22-10 +3.15 Units... damn Parlays killin my Units.

**Timmah2483** · 05-24-11, 06:42 PM

A jump in the Tex/CWS NO, its at +105. I am Adding This play, I really like Peavy and Holland, they are solid.

Soo wrong! four Teams Im thinking of avoiding in the Future: Yankees, Texas, White Sox, and Reds

**Timmah2483** · 05-24-11, 07:10 PM

Id like to see Soriano go Yard for that Yes in this Cubs/Mets game.

** Edit: HAHA, not even in the top of the lineup anymore... **

**Timmah2483** · 05-24-11, 09:02 PM

Adding Angels score first -120, Not comfortable Betting the 1st Inning with such a Bad Pitcher for A's. I like Score 1st option here... LOSS

UPDATE ON PLAYS:

15 Games goes 8-7, 26-14 +6.4 Units...

My plays went 6-6, (-.8 Units) making me 23-11 +2.95 Units

**Timmah2483** · 05-24-11, 09:46 PM

Not a good night, but not bad. -.8 Units for the nite. The run got my betting higher #s than normal. gonna drop back to about 3-4 plays a night

**lilb999** · 05-24-11, 09:54 PM

Yea I think playing this many games, you are bound to get a few bad breaks. Best to narrow your games down and be selective

**Timmah2483** · 05-24-11, 10:22 PM

Look at my Buddies Parlay tonight! he missed a monster Parlay by 1 F'd up 1st Inning!

5.00 $1,609.44 $0.00 Loss 7 Team Parlay

Win 5/24/11 8:30pm NBA Basketball 515 CHI/MIA goes to overtime +1200* vs CHI/MIA no overtime
Win 5/24/11 7:00pm Props Baseball 2902 ATL/PIT no score 1st inn -145* vs ATL/PIT score 1st inn yes (Fixed Price)
Win 5/24/11 8:00pm Props Baseball 2906 LOS/HOU no score 1st inn -130* vs LOS/HOU score 1st inn yes (Fixed Price)
Loss 5/24/11 10:00pm Props Baseball 2914 STL/SDG no score 1st inn -155* vs STL/SDG score 1st inn yes (Fixed Price)
Win 5/24/11 10:10pm Props Baseball 2916 FLA/SFO no score 1st inn -150* vs FLA/SFO score 1st inn yes (Fixed Price)
Win 5/24/11 7:00pm Props Baseball 2922 BOS/CLE no score 1st inn -135* vs BOS/CLE score 1st inn yes (Fixed Price)
Win 5/24/11 7:00pm Props Baseball 2924 TAM/DET no score 1st inn -135* vs TAM/DET score 1st inn yes (Fixed Price)

**calmeat** · 05-24-11, 10:48 PM

Timmah2483,
Between your help and some other threads im up 12 units today, Your hard work is greatly appreciated it and i will be following the rest of the year. Thanks

**doubledime** · 05-25-11, 06:01 AM

Originally posted by Timmah2483

Not a good night, but not bad. -.8 Units for the nite. The run got my betting higher #s than normal. gonna drop back to about 3-4 plays a night

Your 6-6 was better than my 4-5. (8-7 YTD) Agree that 3-4 plays may be the way to go. Let's come right back tonight.

**VicVega91** · 05-25-11, 06:09 AM

Thanks for all of the hard work guys !! It is much appreciated

**Timmah2483** · 05-25-11, 09:22 AM

first thing that jumps out at me, and it really ended up being the killer of the night, was our adjustment to the cards/padres game. should have been a no play. Harang was 5-4. I wont be playing those guys anymore.

**calmeat** · 05-25-11, 09:40 AM

Timmah2483,
are you going to have plays for the early games up?

**Timmah2483** · 05-25-11, 09:43 AM

yes, Going to be working on it shortly.