Hey all,
Back for a third year with my Betting Favorites system. See past threads for verification.
After two years of development, I have a very firm formula and filtering method. Over the last two seasons, it has hit at 72%. Last year was the first year of prospective tracking (you can see that the home ML hit at 69% by the time I stopped posting). I have put all my focus on MLB and nothing else.
So far to start the season it has hit at 6-3 (66%) with RL 4-5. With an average ML of -152 over 2 seasons, in order to remain profitable, on the ML, I need to maintain above a 60% winning percentage. As I said, I expect this to continue to hit at around 70%. With one more win, I'll be right back at ~70%. I usually let the first two weeks run by before posting (although I bet the start just for fun) so I'll be posting from now on. I realize that 70% is incredibly ambitious, so judge for yourself and tail with caution.
The runline has hit at exactly 50% making it very profitable. Again, that's extremely ambitious to maintain.
That said, this system is extremely selective, typically averages 1 play every other day. It is highly conservative and highly selective. No room for heavy action.
I will be betting flat, 2 units ML and 1 unit RL, or 4 units ML and 2 units RL. I will also be prospectively tracking a fractional Kelly style of betting, and, after this year, if it proves more successful than flat betting, I will apply it next year.
I'll try and have picks up each morning but many days there will be nothing. Tail at your own risk and good luck to all!
Back for a third year with my Betting Favorites system. See past threads for verification.
After two years of development, I have a very firm formula and filtering method. Over the last two seasons, it has hit at 72%. Last year was the first year of prospective tracking (you can see that the home ML hit at 69% by the time I stopped posting). I have put all my focus on MLB and nothing else.
So far to start the season it has hit at 6-3 (66%) with RL 4-5. With an average ML of -152 over 2 seasons, in order to remain profitable, on the ML, I need to maintain above a 60% winning percentage. As I said, I expect this to continue to hit at around 70%. With one more win, I'll be right back at ~70%. I usually let the first two weeks run by before posting (although I bet the start just for fun) so I'll be posting from now on. I realize that 70% is incredibly ambitious, so judge for yourself and tail with caution.
The runline has hit at exactly 50% making it very profitable. Again, that's extremely ambitious to maintain.
That said, this system is extremely selective, typically averages 1 play every other day. It is highly conservative and highly selective. No room for heavy action.
I will be betting flat, 2 units ML and 1 unit RL, or 4 units ML and 2 units RL. I will also be prospectively tracking a fractional Kelly style of betting, and, after this year, if it proves more successful than flat betting, I will apply it next year.
I'll try and have picks up each morning but many days there will be nothing. Tail at your own risk and good luck to all!
this year!
