Betting Favorites - 2011 Season Thread - Round 3

[Panekkkk]

April 20th, 2011

2 * Reds ML
1 * Reds RL

2 * Cardinals ML
1 * Cardinals RL

Both Cardinals games are in fact a play, but I'm going to wait n see how the first one goes before I make a decision on the second.

GL all!

One bad inning the difference so far. Garcia is a far better pitcher than Westbrook. I'll be doubling up:

4 * STL ML
2 * STL RL

Pretty much broke even thanks to the Cards second game. Will update units tomorrow.

[merikson]

I missed getting action in the 1st STL game, but did double-up on the second. Sometimes, it pays to be late.

[Panekkkk]

April 21

Cards are a play again today. Will update record at end of day.

2 * STL ML
1 * STL RL

[Panekkkk]

I missed getting action in the 1st STL game, but did double-up on the second. Sometimes, it pays to be late.

[Panekkkk]

Season Record

ML 4-3 +3.06 units
RL 2-5 +.78 units

Total = +3.84 units

Updated record.

[Panekkkk]

April 21

Cards are a play again today. Will update record at end of day.

2 * STL ML
1 * STL RL

Season Record

ML 5-3 +5.06 units
RL 3-5 +2.08 units

Total = +7.14 units

Updated record.

[merikson]

April 21

Cards are a play again today. Will update record at end of day.

2 * STL ML
1 * STL RL

Sometime it doesn't pay to be late. Nice picks.

[Panekkkk]

April 22

Tigers the play today.

2 * Tigers ML
1 * Tigers RL

Season Record

ML 5-3 +5.06 units
RL 3-5 +2.08 units

Total = +7.14 units

[Panekkkk]

Sometime it doesn't pay to be late. Nice picks.

If you're gonna tail, you gotta make sure to play every game (at your own risk) otherwise you risk hitting only losers by chance. Then again, you may hit only winners!

[merikson]

If you're gonna tail, you gotta make sure to play every game (at your own risk) otherwise you risk hitting only losers by chance. Then again, you may hit only winners!

That's for sure. I'm a tailing S.O.B. right now.

GL today

[playr101]

missed the last 2 days... GL today bro

-playr101

[Panekkkk]

April 22

Tigers the play today.

2 * Tigers ML
1 * Tigers RL

Tigers rocked it!

Season Record

ML 6-3 +7.06 units
RL 4-5 +3.48 units

Total = +10.54 units

[playr101]

nice

-playr101

[blackeyeshamus]

most definitely.

[Panekkkk]

April 23

Going back to the well with the Cards. Big play, let's hope it hits!

4 * STL ML
2 * STL RL

Season Record

ML 6-3 +7.06 units
RL 4-5 +3.48 units

Total = +10.54 units

[the-phenomenal-1]

run line

i like betting the run line on alot of the games

[Panekkkk]

i like betting the run line on alot of the games

Well then you'll like this thread, 'cause I bet run line every game.

[kingofmonash]

GL mate . seems a good strategy

[Panekkkk]

Ugh, weather is screwing the Cards game!

[Panekkkk]

Rain blows the game. Rain-related error and a bunch of walks... **** I swear, if Cinci gains the lead and the game gets called due to rain...

[Panekkkk]

Well, that was a tough loss. Cards up 3-2 rain and lightning strikes and umps contemplate calling the game. Sure enough, after 45 minutes, they resume in the soaked field just long enough to let the Cards blow the game.

[Panekkkk]

April 25

4 * Rangers ML
2 * Rangers RL

4 * Phillies ML
2 * Phillies RL

Update record after today's games. GL all!

[merikson]

Wow, Colby absolutely imploded in the 5th. With 2 outs and 1 on, he gave up a single, a HR, a HR, a walk, a HR, and finally a groundout.

[Panekkkk]

Wow, Colby absolutely imploded in the 5th. With 2 outs and 1 on, he gave up a single, a HR, a HR, a walk, a HR, and finally a groundout.

Yeah, when the Rangers got 2 on in the first with no outs and then Young grounded into a double play, I had a feeling it was going to be a bad day. Lewis just not looking like the same pitcher. These heavy plays have been killing me lately... Might have to re-evaluate and drop to smaller unit size. Definitely the worst month in two years but that's how it goes sometimes. Do not tail!

[Panekkkk]

April 23

Going back to the well with the Cards. Big play, let's hope it hits!

4 * STL ML
2 * STL RL

Season Record

ML 6-3 +7.06 units
RL 4-5 +3.48 units

Total = +10.54 units

April 25

4 * Rangers ML
2 * Rangers RL

4 * Phillies ML
2 * Phillies RL

Update record after today's games. GL all!

Disaster weekend! Learning the lesson to never make heavy plays in April because of lack of enough data. A lot of weird games this April compared last few years. It's a long season, hopefully will turn around soon.

One play for today, will update record after ...

April 26

4 * Indians ML
2 * Indians RL

[Panekkkk]

Disaster weekend! Learning the lesson to never make heavy plays in April because of lack of enough data. A lot of weird games this April compared last few years. It's a long season, hopefully will turn around soon.

One play for today, will update record after ...

April 26

4 * Indians ML
2 * Indians RL

Season Record

ML 7-6 -6.86 units
RL 5-8 +0.28 units

Total = -6.58 units

Time to turn things around

[Panekkkk]

April 27

Sticking with heavy units for now as I'm hoping for an upswing.

4 * LAA ML
2 * LAA RL

4 * NYY ML
2 * NYY RL

Don't love the Yankees pick ... teams that are on a 2 game losing streak haven't done so well in this system historically. That said, they've gone under 3 games in a row and I expect their bats to carry through. Quite a few of the last few plays have been a bit abnormal in that it was picking a lot of teams on 3+ win streaks or 3+ losing streaks that are have showed a bit more variation in the past, especially early in the season.

Here's to salvaging April!

[Panekkkk]

April 27

Sticking with heavy units for now as I'm hoping for an upswing.

4 * LAA ML
2 * LAA RL

4 * NYY ML
2 * NYY RL

Don't love the Yankees pick ... teams that are on a 2 game losing streak haven't done so well in this system historically. That said, they've gone under 3 games in a row and I expect their bats to carry through. Quite a few of the last few plays have been a bit abnormal in that it was picking a lot of teams on 3+ win streaks or 3+ losing streaks that are have showed a bit more variation in the past, especially early in the season.

Here's to salvaging April!

Well, another close game (Angels) means we drop a unit or so. April continues to be a disaster. I'll have to go back and make some adjustments. I'll continue posting my plays but it's safe to say to stay away :P Will update record after tonight.

Two games for today:

April 28

4 * Rangers ML
2 * Rangers RL

6 * Indians ML
3 * Indians RL

[Panekkkk]

Well, another close game (Angels) means we drop a unit or so. April continues to be a disaster. I'll have to go back and make some adjustments. I'll continue posting my plays but it's safe to say to stay away :P Will update record after tonight.

Two games for today:

April 28

4 * Rangers ML
2 * Rangers RL

6 * Indians ML
3 * Indians RL

Screwed by errors late again. But, finally a positive day. Hoping that these games smooth out next month.

Season Record (updated)

ML 9-7 -9.26 units
RL 7-10 +2.68 units

Total = -6.58 units

[merikson]

Things are going to start turning......I can feel it.

[blackeyeshamus]

no doubt. keep at it, bros.
it is coming around soon. seems
like fortunes change on the bases
with the quickness... thanks.

[Panekkkk]

Things are going to start turning......I can feel it.

no doubt. keep at it, bros.
it is coming around soon. seems
like fortunes change on the bases
with the quickness... thanks.

Thanks boys!



One play for today:

April 29

4 * CWS ML
2 * CWS RL

Sox got rocked by the Yanks and have been playing pretty damn poorly of late. That said, Baltimore is a paltry 1-5 against Lefties, hitting only .165 this season and have terrible numbers against Danks (the only guy that worries me is Scott, who's homered off him before and is somewhat heating up). Sox returning home, let's hope they bench Beckham and Konerko and Quentin can light up Arrieta.

[bigsmitty]

Good luck Panek. I've had similar plays. Do you ever parlay the pair of plays to offset heavy lines? I know there's mixed feelings on this-I personally do but I'm only minor in ball, much more NHL. Cheers

[Panekkkk]

Thanks boys!



One play for today:

April 29

4 * CWS ML
2 * CWS RL

Sox got rocked by the Yanks and have been playing pretty damn poorly of late. That said, Baltimore is a paltry 1-5 against Lefties, hitting only .165 this season and have terrible numbers against Danks (the only guy that worries me is Scott, who's homered off him before and is somewhat heating up). Sox returning home, let's hope they bench Beckham and Konerko and Quentin can light up Arrieta.

Units droppin' fast. No plays today but gonna take some time to re-evaluate what's up!

[Panekkkk]

4 * Diamondbacks ML
2 * Diamondbacks RL

Consider these experimental for now!