Will there be a run scored in the first? Yes or no

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  • rydaphotoguy
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 03-31-10
    • 753

    #176
    Originally posted by Bswitz32
    TEX/NY YES......I have a feeling Tex will be scoring but even if they dont NY is 2 tough

    BOL
    You could very well be right. BOL to you.
    Comment
    • rydaphotoguy
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 03-31-10
      • 753

      #177
      Here is system for everyone who doesn't understand it.

      National league:
      Pick Yes if line is +115 to -200

      Pick No if line is -150 to -200

      American league

      Pick Yes if it is even or favored if not pick no. This is the part that might end up having to change again but not sure. Might have to push it to -110 or favored more than -110. But for now if the yes line is even or favored then take the Yes if the Yes line isn't even or favored take no.
      Comment
      • rydaphotoguy
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 03-31-10
        • 753

        #178
        NYM/ATL Yes +115 Win +1.15U

        Fla/Phi Yes +115 Win +1.15U

        Mil/Was No -150 Loss -1.5U

        Pit/Cin Yes Even Win +1U

        Min/TB No -150 Win +1U

        Bal/Cle No -135 Win +1U

        Bos/Tor Yes Even Loss -1U

        SD/Hou No -160 Win +1U

        LAA/CWS No -150 Loss -1.5U

        Sea/KC No -155 Win +1U

        CHC/Col Yes -105 Win +1U

        Stl/Lad No -160 Win +1U

        Det/Oak No -150 Win +1U

        SF/Ari Yes -120 Loss -1.2U


        Tex/NYY No -140 Loss -1.4U


        10-5 today +3.7U
        Record for new system: 20-9 +8.7U
        Comment
        • rydaphotoguy
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 03-31-10
          • 753

          #179
          Originally posted by Bswitz32
          TEX/NY YES......I have a feeling Tex will be scoring but even if they dont NY is 2 tough

          BOL
          Nice call

          Comment
          • Beefcakes
            SBR Sharp
            • 04-11-11
            • 368

            #180
            so many favourites picked tho, don't you think with a losing day you'd defintely get hit hard? just wondering though
            Comment
            • Beefcakes
              SBR Sharp
              • 04-11-11
              • 368

              #181
              but..

              from +115 to -200... isn't -150 inbetween there?

              Originally posted by rydaphotoguy
              Here is system for everyone who doesn't understand it.

              National league:
              Pick Yes if line is +115 to -200

              Pick No if line is -150 to -200

              American league

              Pick Yes if it is even or favored if not pick no. This is the part that might end up having to change again but not sure. Might have to push it to -110 or favored more than -110. But for now if the yes line is even or favored then take the Yes if the Yes line isn't even or favored take no.
              Comment
              • rydaphotoguy
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 03-31-10
                • 753

                #182
                Originally posted by Beefcakes
                but..

                from +115 to -200... isn't -150 inbetween there?
                Yes it is. So if yes line is -150 then that means no is +120 so yes is the play. And about the favorites....If the dogs start winning higher percentages then we can play more dogs but for now this seems to be hitting the biggest number of wins. But I don't know so if you notice anything or can see a different trend then let me know so we can tweak system again.
                Comment
                • paul051966
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 04-09-11
                  • 185

                  #183
                  Originally posted by rydaphotoguy
                  Yes it is. So if yes line is -150 then that means no is +120 so yes is the play. And about the favorites....If the dogs start winning higher percentages then we can play more dogs but for now this seems to be hitting the biggest number of wins. But I don't know so if you notice anything or can see a different trend then let me know so we can tweak system again.
                  Another solid day, can't ask for anything more. It's also good to being open to new trends and adjust if necessary.
                  Comment
                  • rydaphotoguy
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 03-31-10
                    • 753

                    #184
                    Originally posted by paul051966
                    Another solid day, can't ask for anything more. It's also good to being open to new trends and adjust if necessary.
                    I agree. Last thing I want to do is stick with something too long. We only had one big losing day. Then made changes and followed it with two more great days. Even if we have to have one bad day every two weeks and reevaluate things we will still be up huge numbers.
                    Comment
                    • rydaphotoguy
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 03-31-10
                      • 753

                      #185
                      Tor/Bos Yes -120
                      Comment
                      • paul051966
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 04-09-11
                        • 185

                        #186
                        Early start today, 51* right now in Boston, and windy.
                        Comment
                        • GGPLAYER
                          SBR MVP
                          • 03-26-09
                          • 2981

                          #187
                          Originally posted by rydaphotoguy
                          Tor/Bos Yes -120
                          Early winner, nice!
                          Comment
                          • rydaphotoguy
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 03-31-10
                            • 753

                            #188
                            Starting the day off right

                            Tor/Bos Yes -120 Win +1U

                            Today: 1-0 +1U

                            Overall: 21-9 +9.7U
                            Comment
                            • firehoyt
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-02-10
                              • 3569

                              #189
                              Mil/Phil Yes -110
                              Pit/Cin Yes +105
                              SDG/Cub Yes +115
                              SFO/Col Yes +105
                              Atl/LAD Yes +115

                              CWS/TAM No -140
                              Min/Bal Yes EV
                              LAA/Tex Yes -110
                              Det/Seat No -145
                              Cle/KC Yes -110

                              This look like what youre gonna have today RYDA??!?!
                              Comment
                              • stc9357
                                Restricted User
                                • 04-18-10
                                • 2005

                                #190
                                That above looks straight except Col should be a No and LAA/Tex should be a No.
                                Comment
                                • rydaphotoguy
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 03-31-10
                                  • 753

                                  #191
                                  I have

                                  CWS/TB No -140

                                  Mil/Phi Yes -110

                                  Pit/Cin Yes Even

                                  SF/Col Yes +110

                                  Atl/Lad No -150

                                  Det/Sea No -150

                                  And these plays below make me nervous since last two days AL has went 0-2 on games that were even or -105. Could be just a coincidence so I will play them. But if you are playing it safe these might be some to just watch and see what happens because this could be next system tweak if these don't hit. If they don't then we might have to change the line to -110 or favored more for yes on AL. But I am playing them for now

                                  Min/Bal Yes -105

                                  LAA/Tex Yes -105

                                  Cle/KC Yes -105
                                  Comment
                                  • roguewager
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 09-17-09
                                    • 277

                                    #192
                                    Originally posted by Beefcakes
                                    but..

                                    from +115 to -200... isn't -150 inbetween there?
                                    Ryda,
                                    Do you mean in theNL pick No if No line is -150 to -200?

                                    Also what is the math the books use to determine the difference between yes line and no line odds, thanks
                                    Comment
                                    • roguewager
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 09-17-09
                                      • 277

                                      #193
                                      Sdg/Cub. Yes?
                                      Comment
                                      • rydaphotoguy
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 03-31-10
                                        • 753

                                        #194
                                        Originally posted by roguewager
                                        Ryda,
                                        Do you mean in theNL pick No if No line is -150 to -200?

                                        Also what is the math the books use to determine the difference between yes line and no line odds, thanks
                                        Yes if no line is favored -150 or favored more for NL then take the no. And have no clue how they determine any lines.
                                        Comment
                                        • rydaphotoguy
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 03-31-10
                                          • 753

                                          #195
                                          Originally posted by roguewager
                                          Sdg/Cub. Yes?
                                          Bodog doesn't have a line for this game
                                          Comment
                                          • roguewager
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 09-17-09
                                            • 277

                                            #196
                                            Originally posted by rydaphotoguy
                                            Yes it is. So if yes line is -150 then that means no is +120 so yes is the play. And about the favorites....If the dogs start winning higher percentages then we can play more dogs but for now this seems to be hitting the biggest number of wins. But I don't know so if you notice anything or can see a different trend then let me know so we can tweak system again.
                                            Ryda
                                            I mean is there a set difference yes line and no line odds?
                                            Comment
                                            • paul051966
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 04-09-11
                                              • 185

                                              #197
                                              Originally posted by roguewager
                                              Sdg/Cub. Yes?
                                              Correct. Bookmaker current line:
                                              Yes Sd/Chi - 105.
                                              Comment
                                              • rydaphotoguy
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 03-31-10
                                                • 753

                                                #198
                                                Originally posted by roguewager
                                                Ryda
                                                I mean is there a set difference yes line and no line odds?
                                                Yes they are 30 cent lines. So they will always be 30 apart. Is that what you mean? So if line is Yes +120 then no will be -150. Is that what you mean?
                                                Comment
                                                • rydaphotoguy
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 03-31-10
                                                  • 753

                                                  #199
                                                  Originally posted by paul051966
                                                  Correct. Bookmaker current line:
                                                  Yes Sd/Chi - 105.
                                                  That is weird cause I have no at -155 at bodog
                                                  Comment
                                                  • rydaphotoguy
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 03-31-10
                                                    • 753

                                                    #200
                                                    I am playing

                                                    SD/Chi No -155
                                                    Comment
                                                    • rydaphotoguy
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 03-31-10
                                                      • 753

                                                      #201
                                                      Tor/Bos Yes -120 Win +1U

                                                      CWS/TB No -140 Loss -1.4U

                                                      Mil/Phi Yes -110 Win +1U

                                                      Pit/Cin Yes Even Win +1U

                                                      Min/Bal Yes -105 Loss -1.05U


                                                      Today: 3-2 +0.55U

                                                      Overall: 23-11 +9.25U

                                                      That makes AL Even or -105 0-3. I should have not played and just watched but I am a degenerate what can I say. But if we would have changed syste to favored by -110 or better for AL then record would be 26-8 +15.35U. We will see what other two games do tonight that are -105 but will probably be making the change after tonight.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • paul051966
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 04-09-11
                                                        • 185

                                                        #202
                                                        Originally posted by rydaphotoguy
                                                        Tor/Bos Yes -120 Win +1U

                                                        CWS/TB No -140 Loss -1.4U

                                                        Mil/Phi Yes -110 Win +1U

                                                        Pit/Cin Yes Even Win +1U

                                                        Min/Bal Yes -105 Loss -1.05U


                                                        Today: 3-2 +0.55U

                                                        Overall: 23-11 +9.25U

                                                        That makes AL Even or -105 0-3. I should have not played and just watched but I am a degenerate what can I say. But if we would have changed syste to favored by -110 or better for AL then record would be 26-8 +15.35U. We will see what other two games do tonight that are -105 but will probably be making the change after tonight.
                                                        Makes sense. I'm a degenerate too. I was really swinging on that game.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • paul051966
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 04-09-11
                                                          • 185

                                                          #203
                                                          Originally posted by rydaphotoguy
                                                          I am playing

                                                          SD/Chi No -155
                                                          what is your yes line right now? Bookmaker is +115.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • rydaphotoguy
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 03-31-10
                                                            • 753

                                                            #204
                                                            Originally posted by paul051966
                                                            what is your yes line right now? Bookmaker is +115.
                                                            Still the same. It's +125
                                                            Comment
                                                            • paul051966
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 04-09-11
                                                              • 185

                                                              #205
                                                              Cleveland big 2 out hit
                                                              Comment
                                                              • ColdBeerHere
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 03-25-11
                                                                • 3626

                                                                #206
                                                                .......
                                                                Comment
                                                                • paul051966
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 04-09-11
                                                                  • 185

                                                                  #207
                                                                  SD no
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • rydaphotoguy
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 03-31-10
                                                                    • 753

                                                                    #208
                                                                    Tor/Bos Yes -120 Win +1U

                                                                    CWS/TB No -140 Loss -1.4U

                                                                    Mil/Phi Yes -110 Win +1U

                                                                    Pit/Cin Yes Even Win +1U

                                                                    Min/Bal Yes -105 Loss -1.05U

                                                                    LAA/Tex Yes -105 Loss -1.05U

                                                                    Cle/KC Yes -105 Win +1U

                                                                    SD/Chi No -155 Win +1U

                                                                    Today: 5-3 +1.5U

                                                                    Overall: 25-12 +10.2U

                                                                    We got the Indians play but still that is 1-4 on those. I am thinking change it to -110 or better or just make it a no play for even or -105 but I know I will end up playing it anyways lol.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • paul051966
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 04-09-11
                                                                      • 185

                                                                      #209
                                                                      Originally posted by rydaphotoguy
                                                                      That is weird cause I have no at -155 at bodog
                                                                      Was going to go with Yes due to my BM line, but changed it to No based on your line.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • rydaphotoguy
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 03-31-10
                                                                        • 753

                                                                        #210
                                                                        And also in Indians game I don't think it is crazy to say that we got pretty lucky and KC didn't get a hit in bottom half of inning
                                                                        Comment
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