GOLDENGREEK's 2011 MLB SEASON LONG THREAD

[SlaytheBook]

GG, thanks for taking time to post plays. You crush it as your record indicates (which has been tripled-checked multiple times).
The fact that you pay any attention to the riff raff is comical and not consistent with your balling capper skills. Don't engage as their nonsense is far beneath you. Get familiar with the ignore feature and keep splittin heads on the bases so we can all slaythebook.
thanks again!

[boondoggle]

STL has franklin pitching...lol.

How many blown games has franklin lost for STL this year. You really need to be aware of this when you bet on STL.

[chevy6]

How many blown games has franklin lost for STL this year. You really need to be aware of this when you bet on STL.

gtfoh you act like they list him before the game starts dumb people

[boondoggle]

gtfoh you act like they list him before the game starts dumb people

You have one less person reading your posts now as I have added you to my illustrious list of ignored people...it just grows and grows

[lunchbawks]

You can't win everyday, but the hot streaks make it all worth it.

You should have tailed GG during NBA season, you would be rich, he's seriously that good

[Lord and Master]

You can't win everyday, but the hot streaks make it all worth it.

You should have tailed GG during NBA season, you would be rich, he's seriously that good

i would've been rich if i tailed him in the playoffs, -110 units in a week that is epic

[MrShrink]

gtfoh you act like they list him before the game starts dumb people

Here... this will explain why the first 5 on STL was the play. Maybe someone can get through the thick skull of yisman and help him understand as well... http://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-h...ok-pickem.html

[R23k]

If everyone learned to ignore all the morons and stop responding this thread they would go away. The get off when they are getting under everyone skin so just ignore them

[boondoggle]

If everyone learned to ignore all the morons and stop responding this thread they would go away. The get off when they are getting under everyone skin so just ignore them

GG really needs to learn how to do this.

[lunchbawks]

i would've been rich if i tailed him in the playoffs, -110 units in a week that is epic

So what? He backs over 6 figures at several books. a 110u loss is nothing compared to a 400u season win.

It's called gambling and GG has proven to be one of SBRs best. If you don't like it, GTFO

[MrShrink]

Nah.... He's a hoops killer, bro.... So am I, IMO, and I would frequently consider and compare his thoughts and plays to mine, a fair amount of which were in concurrence. I'm not comparing our skills, but I prefer not to make many plays in the postseason of ANYTHING, and this is why. Waayyyyy tougher than the regular season, at least past the first round (in which I was moderately successful). Just not as many SPOTS (which GG is fantastic at identifying. Just ask him how many T-Wolves tickets he cashed last year). Another example I can give is I was pretty successful during the last half of the season and through the conference tourneys in NCAA hoops (GG was as well, possibly better. Not sure. I certainly don't make as many plays as he, that's for sure.). I mostly closed shop on the dance, and thankfully so. I would've been burnt to a crisp even though I felt like I had a pretty good gauge on where everyone stood due to my recent success. Anyways, point is the playoffs are not the place to make your profits. Just NOT as many SPOTS. Don't know how he feels about this, but this is exactly why I never go too big in the postseason of anything, regardless of how accurate my perspectives have been leading up to it.

[thedrifter]

Its werid there is some new ghost bashing this thread ever since that Stalker Ralphie was banned...

[boondoggle]

8* WSOX + 135 = +10.8

6* CUBS -115 = -6.9

4* WASH + 130 = +5.2

4* UNDER 9.5 CUBS / HOUST = +4

4* OVER 10 WSOX/ BOSTON = +4

2* TB - 140 = -2.8

10* OAKLAND - 110 = -11

7* UNDER 6.5 SEATTLE / BALTY = +7

5* KC - 110 = +5

2* UNDER 7.5 OAK/ NYY = +2

5* SD + 1.5 ( -135 ) = +5

3* SD + 180 = -3

6* ST LOUIS + 100 = -6

6* TOR - 105 = -6.3

6* LAD + 110 = -6

3* ZONA -165 = +3

3* ZONA - 1.5 ( + 130 ) = -3

5* UNDER 7 LAD / COL = +5

4* METS - 120 = -4.8

4* UNDER 7 SD / ATL = push

4* UNDER 7.5 PITT/ NYM = -4.4


tonight 10-10-1 = -3.2 units

2011 GOLDENGREEK MLB season totals 452-387 = 53.87% +395.40 units.

LAST TWO DAYS UP ~7.05 UNITS

[hardball]

8* WSOX + 135 = +10.8 6* CUBS -115 = -6.9 4* WASH + 130 = +5.2 4* UNDER 9.5 CUBS / HOUST = +4 4* OVER 10 WSOX/ BOSTON = +4 2* TB - 140 = -2.8 10* OAKLAND - 110 = -11 7* UNDER 6.5 SEATTLE / BALTY = +7 5* KC - 110 = +5 2* UNDER 7.5 OAK/ NYY = +2 5* SD + 1.5 ( -135 ) = +5 3* SD + 180 = -3 6* ST LOUIS + 100 = -6 6* TOR - 105 = -6.3 6* LAD + 110 = -6 3* ZONA -165 = -4.95 3* ZONA - 1.5 ( + 130 ) = -3 5* UNDER 7 LAD / COL = +5 4* METS - 120 = -4.8 4* UNDER 7 SD / ATL = push 4* UNDER 7.5 PITT/ NYM = -4.4 tonight 9-11-1 = -11.15 units 2011 GOLDENGREEK MLB season totals 451-388 = 53.75% +387.45 units. LAST TWO DAYS DOWN ~0.9 UNITS

For what its worth:
3* ZONA -165 = -4.95 Actually cashed.

Arizona 6 Florida 5

[fitguy67]

I am one of the forum's largely-"silent-minority", aka a lurker (i prefer the term "non-clutterer of threads", which could be shortened to a handy acronym, "NCT" if it ever caught on)...occasionally, I am drawn in to make some sort of what i hope will be considered as a contribution to the thread.

This is unfortunately one of those times...what i have to say pertains to post #6725...and it is a suggestion to all readers of this thread that find this and a large % of previous posts by this author as childish and annoying as I do...please consider applying exactly the same use of the "ignore" button that he so happily uses when anyone ruffles his pedantic little feathers.

The last straw (apart from and prior to the above latest of many incidents of "you said something i don't like so i'm ignoring you") was in cluttering to thread to announce that GG had put on "too many" plays on one team and he had decided to sidestep that one...this after several times scolding (correctly) fellow forum-mates for their tendency to "cherry pick" GG's plays.

Reading anything from this aptly-named poster is most annoying to my lurking (or should i say, my experience as a Non-Clutterer of Threads...BTW, I'm sure this twit will accuse me of doing just that...but guess what, i won't ever read it cuz I've pre-ignored you...and you are the ONLY one I've ever found truly annoying enough to make my "short and hopefully shrinking" list...nya nya nya nya nya nya...i ignored you first, and i'll never ever read your silly-assed response...nya nya nya nya nya nya).

Other pests like Ralphie, and most recently Lord&Master at least provide comedy relief...but Mr. "my heavens, we're down 1.428 units already and my corn flakes are soggy" adds nothing but petty little snippets of pompous drivel.

I suggest to the rest of the regular readers of this post, who might share my "lack of appreciation" for posts such as #6725 and that we apply the same pest control tactic that he recommends......

[chevy6]

yall on his nuts GTFOH

[boondoggle]

For what its worth: 3* ZONA -165 = -4.95 Actually cashed. Arizona 6 Florida 5

Fixed. Thanks Hardball! Swing of almost 8 units. I compiled it when zona was down and did not see it. Thanks again!

[boondoggle]

I am one of the forum's largely-"silent-minority", aka a lurker (i prefer the term "non-clutterer of threads", which could be shortened to a handy acronym, "NCT" if it ever caught on)...occasionally, I am drawn in to make some sort of what i hope will be considered as a contribution to the thread. This is unfortunately one of those times...what i have to say pertains to post #6725...

blah blah blah..I have added you to my ignore list as well

[fitguy67]

now back to NCT-mode, protected from getting into a pissing contest, by the selective use of the "ignore" feature that I didn't even know existed until i saw it weilded so often by the one i'm now using it for...for the first and hopefully last time.

BTW, as a parting shot to all you whiners that clutter this great thread...GG is a rare treasure...a hi-volume low-chalk 55% capper. Most moaners do not apply common sense to unit-size and consistency. I'd suggest a unit be at MOST 1/2 of 1% of your bank (i do 1/5th...so the max bet is a very sleepable 2%). Also, if you want to play the picks exactly as presented, but you want a "smoother ride" than what your getting...consider playing every single pick at the same flat rate...my tracking indicates substantially the same result over time...but with considerably less volatitlity.

Back to my normal state of appreciatively lurking the genius of GG....BOL all, on our bumpy upward GG-powered ride.

[boondoggle]

GG this is what you need to learn to do and you would not have to tweet "ask mods how long I am banned!"

Just add people to your ignore list.

This message is hidden because fitguy67 is on your ignore list.

easy peasy and no more trolls.

[MrShrink]

Also, if you want to play the picks exactly as presented, but you want a "smoother ride" than what your getting...consider playing every single pick at the same flat rate...my tracking indicates substantially the same result over time.

Are those "flat rate" results available for viewing? Thanks, if so.

[MrShrink]

I'm sure he appreciates your advice, as we all do, bd.

[chinoloco212]

lets get'em tom!

[fitguy67]

Mr. Shrink, GG generates about 15 plays a day, at various "weights" from 2 to 10. I've taken a half dozen recent "slates" (= days of play") and found that the average weight is in the "5 + small change" units area (5.17 over my sample)...if you put all the plays from these slates on a spreadsheet and evaluate the result "as if" each play were a 5.17 unit play...not surprisingly you'll discover some days GG hurts himself by his weighting/helps himself with his weighting on others...Look back on some recent days that have been seen as "terrible"...you'll find a hit% that's not far off (sometimes comfortably over) his long term 55%-plus average...it's the unfortunate distribution of "which ones hit/which ones missed" that hurts...eg..a few 10-star losers wipe out the gains of the rest of the card and create the illusion that GG "did bad".

On the flip side...when tons of units are gained and the whining becomes "you da man"...its mostly because of a nice distribution...big-baggers hitting/small-baggers losing.

Flat betting everything at a flat %....without variation...) is much smoother. $Gains and hi-fives won't be near as intense on good days as if you'd followed along, unit for unit....but the $Losses won't be near as devastating either.

I suspect that GG is better than average at "capping himself"...which is essentially what is involved in variable bet-sizing...so that if you are prepared to ride the roller coaster with GG (WITHOUT WHINING, please)...there probably is a nice upside to it...but it comes at the price of much higher short-term volatility. Myself, I ride with the man, cuz i know my max bet is a manageable 2% the way i've configured things...but given the tremendous tendency to bitch'n'moan whenever "Murphy's Law" dictates a bad distribution of Ws and Ls....i thought i'd mention this option to the more "twitchy-nerved" amont us...who are most likely to vent after a "bad $" day...Just, don't expect to whoop it up as much, either...

Just do an "as if" paper tally the next time you follow and entire slate of GG. Try it both ways...play everything as usual and compare to the result that would have happened if everything was played at the same, say 5 units. Then one session play everything flat across the board, and compare to what would have happened if you varied as per the thread. Which one "suits" you best. Action junkies will prefer the thrill of the heavy-baggers to cheer for...grinders will appreciate the more "sleepable" stability of the flat style.

But either way, as long as you know yourself, and you bankroll, and are consistent...GG's picks on this thread are a goldmine.

[twelvejewelz]

You can't win everyday, but the hot streaks make it all worth it. You should have tailed GG during NBA season, you would be rich, he's seriously that good

i would've been rich if i tailed him in the playoffs, -110 units in a week that is epic

yessir lunch. Hes still up over 200k are you stupid Lord? You would have lost your house fading him. Dont worry gg my company is making a site as we speak and you will not be banned for posting in your own thread the trolls will, this site is getting bad and childish , you ban the person posting their plays for everyone free of charge but not the troll?? WTF sense does that make wow. Everyone comes here to beat the books and make money, you little troll children are pathetic and need to get a life. Its sad that you have nothing better to do than post sh!t talking in someone elses thread.

[MrShrink]

Yeah, pretty much everything i was thinking. Was just curious if you had a profit figure for the flat-rate style vs. his normal style up to this point. Thanks for the detailed response anyways, buddy.

[columnsicky]

Waiting for goldengreek to post again...........

[fitguy67]

Shrink, a month of GG is like a year of most other cappers (about 500 picks)...if/when i hand-enter all of May's picks into my spreadsheet, i'll work out a solid avg unit size and have a good idea how flat-betting vs. "as is" methods compare with respect to long-term profit and volatilility. I suspect the profit won't be affected much at all, unless GG is exceptionally good at capping himself, but the ride up the graph will be much smoother with the flat betting.

One thing is for sure, GG is hi%wins with very modest chalk with very hi daily volume. It pisses me off that bitchnmoaners push GG's buttons (and he lets them...but it is easier said than done to just ignore a dick).

Damn, we got a master carpenter here...let's stay out of his light...let him work...damn, whenever there's a down day talk about "biting the hand that feeds"

twelvejewels...great idea if you can set up a better workshop for the man...and keep the clutterering and shit-disturbing to a minimum

[columnsicky]

looking forward for goldengreek to post again.

[MrShrink]

GG's awaiting sentencing...

[MrShrink]

FG... Maybe just start keeping track now rather than bog yourself down. What's done is done anyhow and we're now in a different phase of the season. Perhaps he wouldn't mind you keeping track of that and posting it for him if, of course, you're up to it as well. I'm sure others would appreciate it also.

[fitguy67]

That'll be no problem...i already have a nice xls where i enter the plays and the given weights once...a separate sheet in the file picks up that same data and treats it as if everything had been done at the constantly adjusting average unit-weight...so i can pull off two separate reports side-by-side...the exciting bumpy variable-units ride and the smooth, boring fixed-units ride.

Starting accurate record-keeping right now is do-able...and i'll aim for a report at the end of calendar weeks.

[MrShrink]

Sweet... Everybody else will probably throw you a couple points as well. Much appreciated, FG.

[gregg91]

best of luck today !!

[funnyman]

really can't understand why these imbeciles bash GG .They are not paying for his picks.Morons.