Big Dog MLB 2011

[bombCanada]

4/30:

Angels +143 5.00u
Blue Jays +142 5.00u
Mariners +181 5.00u
Pirates +162 5.00u

Best luck!

[bombCanada]

Wow,6-0,all dogs-very nice job.

That was great night!

Thank you! Glad you guys are playing along. It's an awful lot more exciting to win all 6 in a night (even if they're small wagers) than to win (or lose!) one big one, don't you think?

[rkelly110]

Nice job, BC. (Bookie Crusher) Cash out some of that money and roll around on it!

[VicVega91]

best of luck today !!

[ChicagoCover]

Wow, tailing here!

Let's get todays picks!

[ChicagoCover]

bombcanada, is this the system you gotta use the list from usatoday for? cause i know that system is hitting as hard as yours

[Vastey]

Sure. you are right. I don't like big bets at all. Several small bets are very good. Especially when they win.

[bombCanada]

4/30:

Angels +143 5.00u *lose*
Blue Jays +142 5.00u *lose*
Mariners +181 5.00u *win*
Pirates +162 5.00u *lose*

Biggest dog of the day wins!

now 61-62 +134u

[bombCanada]

Nice job, BC. (Bookie Crusher) Cash out some of that money and roll around on it!

Dirty, but I like it.

best of luck today !!

Thank you Vicvega.

Wow, tailing here!

Let's get todays picks!

Thanks, good luck to us both!

bombcanada, is this the system you gotta use the list from usatoday for? cause i know that system is hitting as hard as yours

Nope, it's my very own system with some inspiration from my hockey friend rkelly.

Sure. you are right. I don't like big bets at all. Several small bets are very good. Especially when they win.

Yeah buddy.

[bombCanada]

5/1:

Pirates +183 5.00u
Cubs +155 5.00u
Mets +163 5.00u

Best luck!

[rkelly110]

End of month stats I've been following.

+1.5 RL favs 163-96 63% (using decimal odds/ American odds would be higher than ML)
Same games on ML 125-134 48% (+ odds)

+1.5 RL odds higher than ML 78-47 62% (American odds would be lower than ML)
Same games on ML 56-69 45% (+ odds)

+110 (1.91) away teams. ML 15-10 60%
-1.5 RL 14-11 56% (some were +1.5, most + odds)

+160 (2.60) ML 9-5 64%. +1.5 RL using +160 as a guide, 12-2 86%

+160 -1.5 RL 20-18 53%. Same games on ML 26-12 68%

GL today.

[bombCanada]

5/1:
Pirates +183 5.00u *win*
Cubs +155 5.00u *lose*
Mets +163 5.00u *win*

now 63-63, +147

Can't sleep, just watched the Mets avoid the sweep in 14 after scoring 1 and leaving 3 on in the top. A lot of cold tired people in those stands! I'm cold and tired sitting on my couch, have to get up in 4 hours.

[bombCanada]

End of month stats I've been following.

+1.5 RL favs 163-96 63% (using decimal odds/ American odds would be higher than ML)
Same games on ML 125-134 48% (+ odds)

+1.5 RL odds higher than ML 78-47 62% (American odds would be lower than ML)
Same games on ML 56-69 45% (+ odds)

This basically is the entire universe of dogs on the +1.5 RL, yes? If so, that 62% is a highly exploitable edge with lab lines. I had to think about baseball RLs some more, because my runline thinking was shaped by NHL puckline odds, which tend to get way out of hand very quickly. But it appears it's the rare RL which is worse than -200 / 1.5.

Thanks for this!

[bombCanada]

5/2:
Astros +163 5.00u
Marlins +160 5.00u
Pirates +140 5.00u
Cubs +184 5.00u

Best luck!

[bombCanada]

63-63, +147

It has occurred to me that this is an average win of more than 1 unit per wager, win or lose. How can this be happening?

[Dollar Bin]

Nice month! I've been tailing for the last two weeks and had to say... Thanks!

A nice simple idea that works. Couldn't get any better.

[Vastey]

63-63, +147

It has occurred to me that this is an average win of more than 1 unit per wager, win or lose. How can this be happening?

This is the labby system: when you lose, you don't lose money because you get it back the next times when you win. And in this case when you win several games a day with +130 or more, your profit is much better that 1 unit per bet.

[figue]

2-1

[bombCanada]

5/2:
Astros +163 5.00u *ppd*
Marlins +160 5.00u *win*
Pirates +140 5.00u *win*
Cubs +184 5.00u *lose*

65-64 +157u

[bombCanada]

5/3:

Astros +167 5.00u
Brewers +143 5.00u
Pirates +143 5.00u
Cubs +145 5.00u
Blue Jays +154 5.00u
Tigers +150 5.00u
Angels +142 5.00u

Best luck!

[bombCanada]

This is the labby system: when you lose, you don't lose money because you get it back the next times when you win. And in this case when you win several games a day with +130 or more, your profit is much better that 1 unit per bet.

I wasn't really expecting an answer, but thanks just the same!

[bombCanada]

Nice month! I've been tailing for the last two weeks and had to say... Thanks!

A nice simple idea that works. Couldn't get any better.

Thanks muchly for the support.

[bombCanada]

2-1

Thanks! What happened to your pants?

[dharma2u]

Would you happen to know, or know where I could find out, how often, if ever, there is a day during the season that every underdog wins?

[figue]

Thanks! What happened to your pants?

i lose it

[bombCanada]

Would you happen to know, or know where I could find out, how often, if ever, there is a day during the season that every underdog wins?

Its certainly possible, just not likely. On a day with 10 games the chance of all dogs winning is 1 in 1024, assuming the dog is just as likely to win as the favorite.

Why do you ask?

[dharma2u]

Its certainly possible, just not likely. On a day with 10 games the chance of all dogs winning is 1 in 1024, assuming the dog is just as likely to win as the favorite.

Why do you ask?

Thanks for the reply. I was interested in putting the dogs each day into a parlay. The payoff for 10-15 games is enormous. But I would only risk the daily output if there has been at least one day every year or two where all the dogs won.

[bombCanada]

5/3:

Astros +167 5.00u *win*
brewers +143 5.00u *ppd*
pirates +143 5.00u *lose*
cubs +145 5.00u *win*
blue jays +154 5.00u *lose*
tigers +150 5.00u *win*
angels +142 5.00u *lose*

68-67 +165

[bombCanada]

5/4:
Astros +184 5.00u
Nationals +144 5.00u
Marlins +171 5.00u
Twins +159 5.00u
Angels +173 5.00u
Indians +136 5.00u

Best luck!

[bombCanada]

Thanks for the reply. I was interested in putting the dogs each day into a parlay. The payoff for 10-15 games is enormous. But I would only risk the daily output if there has been at least one day every year or two where all the dogs won.

Not worth it IMO.

[VicVega91]

best of luck today !!

[rkelly110]

A 2 team boxed parlay would work with a day of 3 games, but dharma is going for the gold.

I had my wife do a coin flip on yesterday's Wash/ Philly game. Philly came out on top.
Might have to do that again today, now that you're on Wash.

Why wasn't Wash. a play yesterday?

GL today. Maybe a good day for a 6 team parlay.

[dharma2u]

My wife recently won a six game underdog parlay. $10 bet won her $2500! I stopped playing the dogs because it seemed like a lot of work for a little bit of money. However, I have decided to play them again in hopes they make enough to cover the cost of betting them all in a parlay. I am just trying to cover the parlay bets with money won in the underdog system. I would also like to play all the dogs in a given day ($5 will win $200K) but won't unless there is some history of all the dogs winning. Do you know where I could find stats like that?

[ShowMeDaMoney]

been gettin crushed lately... I'm jumpon on board here. Got a few other guys I look at... seems like dharma is hot.

[ShowMeDaMoney]

meant bombcanada...sorry