Big Dog MLB 2011

[BOSTONFAN]

gl with your plays tonight

[BigJ]

Nice work.

Love the concept.

[bombCanada]

Keel, it ain't broke yet. Why fix it?

[bombCanada]

wow u really made 200 hundred units just by betting underdogs?

Yes. Read the entire thread and you'll see how I did it.

its awesome aye. and it currently has a losing record. as expected mind you, but this is amazing

Thank You. I'm quite pleased.

[bombCanada]

Good luck today!!

Thank you!

BC do you still keep track of all your bets on that graph you showed about a month ago? Would love to see it in that representation..Great Job..man. I'v e been going through a rough streak of 1-14 lately...
Looking to follow your great system and finally make some doe...Tired of losing.Thanks guys.

Not even Labouchere can overcome 1-14. But today could be the beginning of a turnaround for you, whatever you do. Best luck.

[bombCanada]

No. I am not up to the challenge. I understand what you are trying to do. I was trying to get you to talk more about your philosophy and to add perspective. Your response is satisfactory and I hope it ends well.

I appreciate your kind wish. This isn't philosophy, it's a math problem with a goal in mind. Running the NHL big dog system with rkelly's support opened my mind to things I hadn't considered before. It's not a zen thing... it's six sigma for the brain. I may not be the smartest guy on the block, but I am a problem solver, and winning at sports wagering is a fun and challenging problem.

[bombCanada]

How'd you go 2-3 with all 7 unit straight bets and end up winning a unit?! I understand all the bets are >even $ but still the two wins didn't make more than the 3 losses. Am I missing something?!

I've been rounding down. So went from 207.68 (207u) to 208.17 (208u) yesterday. Close enough for horseshoes.

[bombCanada]

The math works out firehoyt, all depends on what your unit value is.
Mine is $5. $5 x 7 units would be $35 on each game. Pirates win would be $86.80,
Minn. win would be $90.65. Total bet $175, total won $177.45 +$2.45 1/2 unit.
If his unit value is $10, he won a unit.

That's the power of his dogs. Keeps costs down, and if you have a night like last night,
you still won. As he states under his avatar, "be glad for what you get".

He started this, betting 2 units, he's up to 8 units now. If you're just starting out, bet
one unit and work your way up at your comfort level. At level 5, you're betting with
their money.

Actually they do.

At posted odds...
3 losses = 21units down

2 wins = 21.49 units up

0.49 units profit

All units have been posted in whole numbers.

Thank you both. I"m a little behind.

[bombCanada]

Tell that to my girlfriend the algebra teacher!!! She'd mark a 4.90 rounded to 10 WRONG!!!

I'll be checking to see how this thread is doing in the future! BOL

I'm normally a detail oriented person, but at some point rounding errors really are rounding errors. But I'm glad to be tested here for accuracy and to be found, unlike some other posters, to be accurate. I think if you look back several pages you'll find that I made a mistake and corrected myself a day later. I'm a lot of awful things, but dishonest and egotistical isn't one of them.

[bombCanada]

Maybe he had .5 of a unit dangling somewhere from previous days and did not post it.

Like +207.5

I mean it is close enough.

[bombCanada]

It's a modified Labby that works for his specific approach, not a chase or playing one game at a time.

BC is doing better than anyone else I've seen on these threads and pretty much been posting in whole numbers. So it is very possible that he won .49 units but that added to a prior fractional amount pushed it over .5 and thus it rounded up.

So instead of questioning, just kick back, tail, and enjoy the profits!

:-)

Thanks for the support, but I think you'll see that I don't mind being questioned. This is a learning exercise for me in many ways, and questions are part of the deal.

[bombCanada]

doesnt look like a labby system, hes just betting SU

Beefcakes! I respect your Athoritah!

Figue!!! I haven't seen your pants yet! hope you're not getting cold.

[bombCanada]

Nice work with the dogs here pal.

Hey man. Thanks and hope you enjoy the ride. Appreciate the support.

[bombCanada]

gl with your plays tonight

Thanks. Best luck with your plays tonight!

Nice work.

Love the concept.

Thanks BigJ. I just keep turning the crank, and the units keep popping out. Some days more, some days less. But it's all good.

[og4667]

so you are just betting dogs +140 or higher???

[pacocn]

og did you look through the thread?

[grilldog24]

nice day in baseball today !

[Boxing Champ]

Interleague play today...Can someone who has axess to stats look at last year's results please.
I think that the lines should be off target the first couple of days of interleague play. There for all the favorites should be a great play. Do you guys agree??

[bombCanada]

5/19:

Pirates +171 8.00u *win*
Astros +161 8.00u *loss*
Cubs +153 8.00u *win*
Twins +161 8.00u *win*

97-101 +238u

[bombCanada]

This is a new system high, and just one week after "The Disaster" of Friday the 13th, we have completely recovered, plus an additional 18 units for good measure. Where is that guy with the dice in his picture? Bernie Lootz?

[bombCanada]

5/20:
I don't have a good feel for Interleague so these are nonsystem, unofficial, don't count plays. This is just for learning:

Rangers +158 IL 6.00u
Nationals +141 IL 6.00u
Astros +146 IL 6.00u
Mets +157 IL 6.00u
Rays +150 IL 6.00u
Dodgers +138 IL 6.00u
Twins +167 IL 6.00u

But as always: Best luck!

[bombCanada]

Interleague play today...Can someone who has axess to stats look at last year's results please.
I think that the lines should be off target the first couple of days of interleague play. There for all the favorites should be a great play. Do you guys agree??

I don't know but we'll find out.

[VicVega91]

best of luck today bc !!

[keel44]

You just might kick yourself for not playing these. But what do you care your up 238 units!!

Anyway, could you post your Labby Line(s) so we can see what it would look like? Just what it looks like now. Not every time. I am interested in money managements, and I would like to see how your doing this.

[Dollar Bin]

Tell that to my girlfriend the algebra teacher!!! She'd mark a 4.90 rounded to 10 WRONG!!!

I'll be checking to see how this thread is doing in the future! BOL

I know you said you're not trying to be a smartass but it really isn't hard to figure the accounting of units and even your algebra teacher girlfriend would agree that this...

Nobody would round $4.90 to $10.00. But if your reporting units in whole numbers and your previous unit total was rounded down to the nearest whole number adding 0.49 of a unit would easily be rounded up to the next whole unit.

As a teacher myself I would grade this correct.

[Reds_FAN]

^ and the union is probably saving your job

Just playing with you, I barley read your post

[rkelly110]

Did some research on last years inter-league games.

ML dogs +135 to +180 7-10 41%

ML dogs +130 to +200 8-12 40% +RL 1.5 10-10 50%

+1.5 RL fav 14-10 58%

All dogs ML 16-24 40%. +1.5 RL 21-19 52%

ML favs 24-17 58%. -1.5 RL 17-24 41%

Not setting the world on fire, no matter what you bet on.

The best chance for success was game 2 and 3 for ML dogs +135- +180. 6-5 54%

Games 1 and 2 were great for ML faves. Gm 1 hit 10-5, Gm 2 hit 9-4.
Game 1 was best for ML faves betting the -1.5 RL 8-7 53%

Hope this helps. GL

[Dollar Bin]

^ and the union is probably saving your job

Just playing with you, I barley read your post

And I'm glad you're not a spelling teacher.

I barely get involved in these types of forum discussions. Just returning the favor.



Have a good one.

[Soon2BRich]

i only started tailing you yesterday so i have made the units you've made so im thinking of not tailing the interleauge plays. what do you think? i dont wanna lose cuz it been a up and down first season for me lol. what do u think?

[Dollar Bin]

Did some research on last years inter-league games.

ML dogs +135 to +180 7-10 41%

ML dogs +130 to +200 8-12 40% +RL 1.5 10-10 50%

+1.5 RL fav 14-10 58%

All dogs ML 16-24 40%. +1.5 RL 21-19 52%

ML favs 24-17 58%. -1.5 RL 17-24 41%

Not setting the world on fire, no matter what you bet on.

The best chance for success was game 2 and 3 for ML dogs +135- +180. 6-5 54%

Games 1 and 2 were great for ML faves. Gm 1 hit 10-5, Gm 2 hit 9-4.
Game 1 was best for ML faves betting the -1.5 RL 8-7 53%

Hope this helps. GL

Thanks for this. So are you going to use your RL system this weekend or lay off the interleague play?

[rkelly110]

You know about my +RL system? Thank you, I thought I was posting to myself about that.
I haven't been betting it, just tracking. They have been kicking ass though.

Looking at my stats, unless there's a +160 play today, I'll bet BC's dogs tomorrow. I might bet high odds faves for the 1st two games.

[Boxing Champ]

Did some research on last years inter-league games.

ML dogs +135 to +180 7-10 41%

ML dogs +130 to +200 8-12 40% +RL 1.5 10-10 50%

+1.5 RL fav 14-10 58%

All dogs ML 16-24 40%. +1.5 RL 21-19 52%

ML favs 24-17 58%. -1.5 RL 17-24 41%

Not setting the world on fire, no matter what you bet on.

The best chance for success was game 2 and 3 for ML dogs +135- +180. 6-5 54%

Games 1 and 2 were great for ML faves. Gm 1 hit 10-5, Gm 2 hit 9-4.
Game 1 was best for ML faves betting the -1.5 RL 8-7 53%

Hope this helps. GL

Thanks man great job doing the dirty work... I think I will play these, just not so many units.

[og4667]

og did you look through the thread?

yea kinda but it gave me a headache. Doesn't seem as simple as just picking dogs +140 or higher but wanted to see how this is so successful.

Whats the deal?

[Reds_FAN]

And I'm glad you're not a spelling teacher.

I barely get involved in these types of forum discussions. Just returning the favor.



Have a good one.

You have no idea how bad a speller I am

[Dollar Bin]

You know about my +RL system? Thank you, I thought I was posting to myself about that.
I haven't been betting it, just tracking. They have been kicking ass though.

Looking at my stats, unless there's a +160 play today, I'll bet BC's dogs tomorrow. I might bet high odds faves for the 1st two games.

I've been following your posts since the start of the thread with interest. It seems like they have been hitting at a pretty good rate and wasn't sure if you had started betting with it yet.

I've never had much luck with interleague play but I am confident in my money management so I'm on the big dog's as well.

Good luck and thanks again for the info.