Mebaran's 2011 MLB

[mebaran]

Kind of a large card today including two plays on the Oakland game that I booked BEFORE the pitching change...got a bad price on the A's, but a good price on the total:

SF/SD Under 7.5 -115
LAL/TB Under 8 -115
Red Sox -155
BOS/CLE Under 9 -115
Athletics -120
OAK/TOR Over 8.5 -120
Mets +185
Astros +151
LAD/COL Over 8 -115
PIT/STL Under 8.5 -110

[mebaran]

Come on Cubs bullpen...lol, please don't do what I think you're about to do...

Shame too, because Cashner pitched a beauty today. Hope he's not out for too long.

[mebaran]

Today: 5-4-1, +0.95 units
Overall: 12-8-1, +6.51 units

Had a couple games get away from us, but take my advice...NEVER be upset with a positive day.

[mebaran]

Plays for 4/5:

Pirates +185
Dbacks +160
LAD/COL Under 8.5 -115 (2 UNITS)
Mets +145 (2 UNITS)
Astros +175
Nationals +130
Twins +140
BOS/CLE Under 9 +105

Figured I'd post them early because I'll be a little busy tomorrow.
on all plays tomorrow.

[Ring_28_2011_NY]

do you mean plays for 4/6?

[mebaran]

Plays for 4/5:

Pirates +185
Dbacks +160
LAD/COL Under 8.5 -115 (2 UNITS)
Mets +145 (2 UNITS)
Astros +175
Nationals +130
Twins +140
BOS/CLE Under 9 +105

Figured I'd post them early because I'll be a little busy tomorrow.
on all plays tomorrow.

Meant plays for Wednesday, April 6th.

do you mean plays for 4/6?

Thanks for catching that!

[mebaran]

Plays for 4/5:

Pirates +185
Dbacks +160
LAD/COL Under 8.5 -115 (2 UNITS)
Mets +145 (2 UNITS)
Astros +175
Nationals +130
Twins +140
BOS/CLE Under 9 +105

Figured I'd post them early because I'll be a little busy tomorrow.
on all plays tomorrow.

Adding Giants -143

[mebaran]

Adding ARI/CHC Over 8.5 -105

[mebaran]

4-0, +6.45 units in the early games, boys....these are what I like to call the "no sweat days". Time to kick back and relax for the night games.

on everyone's plays

[BeatingBaseball]

4-0, +6.45 units in the early games, boys....these are what I like to call the "no sweat days". Time to kick back and relax for the night games.

on everyone's plays

Dodgers/Rocks went OVER. Isn't it 3-1?

Still a great start on your day.

[mebaran]

Dodgers/Rocks went OVER. Isn't it 3-1?

Still a great start on your day.

4-7, isn't it? I double checked too..maybe my feeds are stale or something strange like that? Thanks, though!

[mebaran]

Dodgers/Rocks went OVER. Isn't it 3-1?

Still a great start on your day.

OOPS! Dammit, I logged a play on the over, but wrote under in the thread. Careless careless mistake.

I will grade it as a loss in this thread, but will post the ticket:

04/05/2011 by ONLINE at 01:13 PM
[Ticket #: 95303874] STRAIGHT BET
04/06/2011 @ 12:20 PM MLB [905] TOTAL o8½-115 (LA DODGERS vrs COL ROCKIES)
( BILLINGSLEY-R / J HAMMEL-R )

[mebaran]

With my mistake, the early games went 3-1, +2.15 units...

[mebaran]

OOPS! Dammit, I logged a play on the over, but wrote under in the thread. Careless careless mistake.

I will grade it as a loss in this thread, but will post the ticket:

04/05/2011 by ONLINE at 01:13 PM
[Ticket #: 95303874] STRAIGHT BET
04/06/2011 @ 12:20 PM MLB [905] TOTAL o8½-115 (LA DODGERS vrs COL ROCKIES)
( BILLINGSLEY-R / J HAMMEL-R )

https://docs.google.com/leaf?id=0B4gHEmaWvcw8YjUxOTc1ZTgtYjlkYy00ZjA4LWFhNGEtOTg2ODk0OWJhYWMx&hl=en

[mebaran]

Above is a link to a screenshot of my mistake lol...just to let you all know that I'm honest and not yanking any chains around here. That is something I really want to stress this year in my thread: just honest, quality information and opinions that everyone is welcome to add!

Thanks everyone.

[mebaran]

Apparently I jinxed myself earlier. I'll end up positive for the day in my books, but here I will most likely be negative for the day due to my dumb error. Plays will be graded shortly.

[mebaran]

Today: 4-5-1, -1.85 units
Overall: 16-13-2, +4.66 units

Amazing what a 2 unit swing will do to your bottom line. My posting mistake cost me 4.3 units (I'm actually up units for today, but will be honest and post a loss on the COL over).

Hope everyone had a good day. Will be back tomorrow morning with more plays.

[BeatingBaseball]

I'll end up positive for the day in my books, but here I will most likely be negative for the day due to my dumb error.

Don't sweat it, mebs. It happens. Probably won't be the last time. Doing a baseball thread - if you take it seriously - is a load. That's exactly why I don't do it any more. It can actually interfere with your handicapping at times. There's enough to do with handicapping, shopping prices and getting your own plays in. If you enjoy doing it I understand - but don't bank on many here appreciating it - you'll be disappointed. Sweetjones55 is the best NBA capper I have ever known. He bends over backwards for these guys and they only put more demands on him. And many give him shit if he loses a couple. I often wonder why he does it. A good capper doesn't need it. Nothing to prove.

Good luck. And don't take the thread too seriously. It's not worth it.

[mebaran]

Don't sweat it, mebs. It happens. Probably won't be the last time. Doing a baseball thread - if you take it seriously - is a load. That's exactly why I don't do it any more. It can actually interfere with your handicapping at times. There's enough to do with handicapping, shopping prices and getting your own plays in. If you enjoy doing it I understand - but don't bank on many here appreciating it - you'll be disappointed. Sweetjones55 is the best NBA capper I have ever known. He bends over backwards for these guys and they only put more demands on him. And many give him shit if he loses a couple. I often wonder why he does it. A good capper doesn't need it. Nothing to prove.

Good luck. And don't take the thread too seriously. It's not worth it.

That is one way to look at it. But the way I see it, I have gotten so much from this forum, this is a way to give a little back while learning even more.

The learning never stops in this life...

[mebaran]

Astros +125
Mets +205
WAS/FLA OVER 7.5 -105
Red Sox -175
BOS/CLE UNDER 8.5 -110
Twins +125
Rays -105 (2 UNITS)
Tigers +120 (2 UNITS)

[mebaran]

adding 1 unit to the Tigers +120

[mebaran]

Today: 3-6, -5.60 units
Overall: 19-19-2, -1.06 units

Had a rough day and the Orioles are just completely on fire right now. They hit when they need to hit, and they get good pitches when they need them.

[mebaran]

Rangers -125 (2 UNITS)
Rays +141
CLE/SEA Under 8 -115
Nationals +135
Cardinals+151 (2 UNITS)
Marlins -130

[mebaran]

Strange news in the baseball world today, Manny Ramirez has decided to retire as an active player because of an issue involving the league's drug use policies. There isn't much information available yet, but without ManRam, are the Rays in serious trouble? There is no doubt that the young arms in the starting rotation will have to carry this team on their backs...at least until Longoria comes back.

[bhssoccer89]

haha yes the rays were already in trouble with how much they lost in the offseason. manny was not going to be their savior anyways

[mebaran]

4/9/11: 3-2-1, +0.61 units
Overall: 22-21-3, -0.45 units

[mebaran]

NYY/BOS Over 9.5 -114 (2 UNITS)
Rays +115 (3 UNITS, I really like this play)
TB/CHW Over 9 -105 (2 UNITS)
Royals +135
Astros +115
Nationals +110
Cardinals +145

Boston's offense finally back on the board, and Nova is HARDLY a starter that NY is confident in.

[mebaran]

Adding: Athletics -105 (2 UNITS)

[mebaran]

Today's plays:

Royals +146
Brewers -1.5 +120
Indians +115

[mebaran]

Yesterday: 3-5-0, -2.75 units
Overall: 25-26-3, -3.20 units

Had a rough day yesterday. All of my underdog plays were looking good, and they all got away at the end of the games. We move on.

[JR007]

ever hear from TA..i know you were monitoring his plays for a bit last year.......he was a chaser though......lead to his downfall

[mebaran]

ever hear from TA..i know you were monitoring his plays for a bit last year.......he was a chaser though......lead to his downfall

No, I haven't seen or heard from him in months.

I'm not one to bash other people's plays, but you are correct, he was employing some sort of chase system. At one point, I tried going back and rating his plays by giving him a z-score or measuring how well he beat the market price, but he never posted the price he got...so that was impossible.

[mebaran]

Today's plays:

Royals +146
Brewers -1.5 +120
Indians +115

Today: 2-1-0, +1.61 units
Overall: 27-27-3, -1.59 units

Brewers won by only 1, so we miss out -1.5 opportunity by a hair. That will be all for tonight. Going to be back tomorrow with another full card.

[mebaran]

CHC/HOU Under 8.5 -120
Cardinals +100 (3 UNITS) <---Love this play, Pujols is busting his slump soon in a big way
Reds +100
LAD/SF Over 6.5 -115
Rangers +120
Indians +170 (before pitching change)

Getting the Rangers at + money right now is unbelievable...they are the hottest team in baseball.

[mebaran]

Today: 5-1-0, +6.70 units
Overall: 32-28-3, +5.11 units