I feel like perhaps you are a rookie, or a "freshman" betting baseball, and as a sophomore, or junior myself, (in baseball 2 years now - not anything compared to others on here, but somethin') I will voice my opinion and give you my advice on things ive noticed all this time.
Baseball is NOT like football, or soccer, or even tennis, where the MONSTERS or JUGERNAUTS are nearly untouchable, and there are several reasons why - The pitcher is the key to almost every baseball game played.
For the sake of argument, who on here actually played baseball in their life? I played highschool in venezuela and then some college in Texas. When you face a tough pitcher the whole game changes..when your pitcher is weak, you are almost sure you are going to loose a game...
Also, the pitcher can be seen almost as the quarterback of a team. So imagine one game you have tony romo, the next you dont, the following you have some other guy, and so on and so forth...So a team is totally different with each pitcher, and also FACING DIFFERENT PITCHERS.
That being said, baseball is all about value, streaks, and pitching. Newbies or squares LOVE slugging...Love high numbers, love homeruns, etc...but in reality its the pitching that makes a team untouchable.
So, why are the yankees believed to be UNTOUCHABLE? public perception...but, they are great to take a RL if under the right circumstances, like facing a weak pitcher and sending a good solid pitcher to the mound in the same game...
But while you are out wagering on the Yanks, there are probably 3 to 5 other games the same night who have a better pitcher, better circumstances, and above all BETTER PRICE...what is the moral of the story? its about pitching, and value.
How to bet? there are a million different strategies, but whichever you chose, in Baseball its all about money management. WHy? Too many games DAILY! Its not like you have ONE BIG SATURDAY like in football where you study your plays all week etc etc...So, since its a DAILY GRIND, you gotta manage the LOOT!
different strategies:
look for good dogs...There is a good columnist for USA TODAY who has the TOP PITCHERS listed daily...if you look for the daily dogs and find one or two who 1. is not facing one of the top 20-30 pitchers in the league, 2. is sending one of the top 20-30 pitchers in the league up to the mound,then the dog is worth a good look.
look for value in each of the plays you zero in on (as mentioned above by SOXWIN).
NO LIVE BETTING!
NO laying chalk, like i have my personal rule, NO -150 or worse EVER!!!!!!!!! I dont remember last time i took a -140 or worse line honestly. Everytime i am SO SURE of a team i just play the -1 line or the RUN LINE.
Try to stay away from -1.5 RUN LINES. many ppl ply them but you will be BLOWN away at how many games end with a one run differential...you were warned, you WILL GET BITTEN...
some ppl love totals, some swear by them, some swear at them!!! I cant say pros or cons for TOTALS..they can be tricky so make sure if you do pick a total you can prove it to yourself BEYOND A SHADOW OF A DOUBT why your total is a good play...BTW, the totals mostly lie on the pitcher and on the hot/cold bats. most ppl say DUH!!! but just in case..make sure you dont only look at recent runs for the teams, ook at the recent runs surrendered by the pitchers, and BY THE BULLPENS.
Mentioning bullpens - some never even look at it, and ive been learning to do so..look at how much rest each bullpen has coming into the game, and how good the teams bullpens are respectively. You were bitten,i believe, by the CLEVELAND BULLPEN...notorious of giving up games and a ton of runs late...also the FLA, and the SEA bullpen and CRUD (IN MY OPINION).
Look for streaks...dont be a hero a pick a dog that is on a 4 or 5 game losing streak, mostly stay away for negative streaks, or FADE TEAMS on bad streaks...i made a killing fading the cubs and the marlins earlier this month...
sorry for such a long write up, but hope we can continue to help you so you realize the potential in betting baseball instead of droppin it because of a bad run...remember, in baseball there are a billion streaks..and those of us who bet it ALSO go on streaks...good ones, and bad ones...
Baseball is NOT like football, or soccer, or even tennis, where the MONSTERS or JUGERNAUTS are nearly untouchable, and there are several reasons why - The pitcher is the key to almost every baseball game played.
For the sake of argument, who on here actually played baseball in their life? I played highschool in venezuela and then some college in Texas. When you face a tough pitcher the whole game changes..when your pitcher is weak, you are almost sure you are going to loose a game...
Also, the pitcher can be seen almost as the quarterback of a team. So imagine one game you have tony romo, the next you dont, the following you have some other guy, and so on and so forth...So a team is totally different with each pitcher, and also FACING DIFFERENT PITCHERS.
That being said, baseball is all about value, streaks, and pitching. Newbies or squares LOVE slugging...Love high numbers, love homeruns, etc...but in reality its the pitching that makes a team untouchable.
So, why are the yankees believed to be UNTOUCHABLE? public perception...but, they are great to take a RL if under the right circumstances, like facing a weak pitcher and sending a good solid pitcher to the mound in the same game...
But while you are out wagering on the Yanks, there are probably 3 to 5 other games the same night who have a better pitcher, better circumstances, and above all BETTER PRICE...what is the moral of the story? its about pitching, and value.
How to bet? there are a million different strategies, but whichever you chose, in Baseball its all about money management. WHy? Too many games DAILY! Its not like you have ONE BIG SATURDAY like in football where you study your plays all week etc etc...So, since its a DAILY GRIND, you gotta manage the LOOT!
different strategies:
look for good dogs...There is a good columnist for USA TODAY who has the TOP PITCHERS listed daily...if you look for the daily dogs and find one or two who 1. is not facing one of the top 20-30 pitchers in the league, 2. is sending one of the top 20-30 pitchers in the league up to the mound,then the dog is worth a good look.
look for value in each of the plays you zero in on (as mentioned above by SOXWIN).
NO LIVE BETTING!
NO laying chalk, like i have my personal rule, NO -150 or worse EVER!!!!!!!!! I dont remember last time i took a -140 or worse line honestly. Everytime i am SO SURE of a team i just play the -1 line or the RUN LINE.
Try to stay away from -1.5 RUN LINES. many ppl ply them but you will be BLOWN away at how many games end with a one run differential...you were warned, you WILL GET BITTEN...
some ppl love totals, some swear by them, some swear at them!!! I cant say pros or cons for TOTALS..they can be tricky so make sure if you do pick a total you can prove it to yourself BEYOND A SHADOW OF A DOUBT why your total is a good play...BTW, the totals mostly lie on the pitcher and on the hot/cold bats. most ppl say DUH!!! but just in case..make sure you dont only look at recent runs for the teams, ook at the recent runs surrendered by the pitchers, and BY THE BULLPENS.
Mentioning bullpens - some never even look at it, and ive been learning to do so..look at how much rest each bullpen has coming into the game, and how good the teams bullpens are respectively. You were bitten,i believe, by the CLEVELAND BULLPEN...notorious of giving up games and a ton of runs late...also the FLA, and the SEA bullpen and CRUD (IN MY OPINION).
Look for streaks...dont be a hero a pick a dog that is on a 4 or 5 game losing streak, mostly stay away for negative streaks, or FADE TEAMS on bad streaks...i made a killing fading the cubs and the marlins earlier this month...
sorry for such a long write up, but hope we can continue to help you so you realize the potential in betting baseball instead of droppin it because of a bad run...remember, in baseball there are a billion streaks..and those of us who bet it ALSO go on streaks...good ones, and bad ones...
