Accuscore MLB Pick System

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  • CatPulp
    SBR Sharp
    • 11-13-09
    • 265

    #631
    Thanks dbevil!!
    Comment
    • Skware
      SBR High Roller
      • 08-25-10
      • 117

      #632
      Originally posted by TxBulldog
      Cat has the correct plays. For those not afraid of a dog or small fav, there is also good Accuscore value on CWS and TXS. These plays have been doing very well for me lately!

      Again. Only STL and MIL meet the filters of this thread, CWS and TEX are also solid plays.

      Note: STL is a day game folks
      Tailed your bonus picks CWS & TEX filter off, nice call
      Comment
      • Skware
        SBR High Roller
        • 08-25-10
        • 117

        #633
        Originally posted by bdevil
        25 of Sep, the chart and two plays, KC Royals and CHI White Sox.

        Thanks bdevil
        Comment
        • bdevil
          Restricted User
          • 02-16-10
          • 1807

          #634
          Best of luck guys. I want to finish the system and see in the end how efficient will be.
          Comment
          • TxBulldog
            SBR High Roller
            • 08-03-10
            • 185

            #635
            My pleasure on the "bonus" plays. I will post them again today. I am a little leary because they have been scorching hot this week and there are quite a few today! You can usually spot them using devils charts, although my method converts SIM to ML and works from there.

            Today:
            WAS
            STL*
            PHI*
            CIN**
            BAL
            TXS
            KC
            CWS

            * I NEVER lay over -160
            ** must be +101 or better and was when/where I played it

            Again: disclaimer these are from a similiar system with different filters (most off)
            Comment
            • bdevil
              Restricted User
              • 02-16-10
              • 1807

              #636
              25 of Sep

              KC - LOST
              CWS - WIN


              We had 1 - 1, -0.30 units.
              Total balance : 47 - 30, + 8.07 units, 61 %.
              Comment
              • CatPulp
                SBR Sharp
                • 11-13-09
                • 265

                #637
                9/26/10 - Today's card
                Milwaukee Brewers @ 66.5% sim win rate
                St Louis Cardinals @ 63.1% sim win rate
                New York Yankees @ 64.8% sim win rate
                Comment
                • TxBulldog
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 08-03-10
                  • 185

                  #638
                  Originally posted by TxBulldog
                  My pleasure on the "bonus" plays. I will post them again today. I am a little leary because they have been scorching hot this week and there are quite a few today! You can usually spot them using devils charts, although my method converts SIM to ML and works from there. Today: WAS STL* PHI* CIN** BAL TXS KC CWS * I NEVER lay over -160 ** must be +101 or better and was when/where I played it Again: disclaimer these are from a similiar system with different filters (most off)
                  I was afraid of laying an egg on yesterday. Anytime I have been on a roll and have a large card, bad things happen. Bad day, but still up for the week. That is the way you go with this activity ;-)

                  Today, my version of the system is on: STL, TXS and NYY.
                  Comment
                  • bdevil
                    Restricted User
                    • 02-16-10
                    • 1807

                    #639
                    Heya guys, sorry for being late. Here it is the chart for today and as my table shows, just one play was today, STL.

                    26 of Sep, the chart and one play, STL.
                    Comment
                    • bdevil
                      Restricted User
                      • 02-16-10
                      • 1807

                      #640
                      26 of Sep

                      STL - WIN


                      We had 1 - 0, +1 unit.
                      Total balance : 48 - 30, + 9.07 units, 61 %.
                      Comment
                      • bdevil
                        Restricted User
                        • 02-16-10
                        • 1807

                        #641
                        The Yankees haven't started yet, but as you can see, they are a no play.
                        Comment
                        • bdevil
                          Restricted User
                          • 02-16-10
                          • 1807

                          #642
                          27 Sep, the table and two plays, SD Padres and MIN Twins.
                          Comment
                          • CatPulp
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 11-13-09
                            • 265

                            #643
                            Thanks bdevil, and best of luck to everyone today.
                            Comment
                            • Skware
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 08-25-10
                              • 117

                              #644
                              Originally posted by bdevil
                              27 Sep, the table and two plays, SD Padres and MIN Twins.
                              Thanks bdevil
                              Comment
                              • TxBulldog
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 08-03-10
                                • 185

                                #645
                                Originally posted by bdevil
                                27 Sep, the table and two plays, SD Padres and MIN Twins.
                                In looking at the DLR for today, I think STL is also a play in your system. They have a SIM of 65.6% and a LW% of 59.0%. Devil, please confirm.

                                My version of the system will also play FLA today

                                Just a note: The reason you saw confusion over whether NYY and MIL were plays yesterday was two things: Lines moved pretty substantially on some games and the SIM% moved more on some games yesterday than I have seen in quite a while. I was amazed at some of the differences in SIM between the early and late reports with no pitching change.

                                Good Luck to All
                                Comment
                                • CHAZ
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-09-09
                                  • 4978

                                  #646
                                  Originally posted by TxBulldog
                                  I was amazed at some of the differences in SIM between the early and late reports with no pitching change.
                                  I never understood what caused some to move when there was no lineup changes or anything to cause it to move.
                                  Comment
                                  • bdevil
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 02-16-10
                                    • 1807

                                    #647
                                    The updated chart for 27 Sep. At the time i made the chart, most of the bookmakers hadn't the pitchers and the odds for PHI and PIT. So here it is, STL has been added as a play. Three plays, STL, SD Padres and MIN Twins.
                                    Comment
                                    • bdevil
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 02-16-10
                                      • 1807

                                      #648
                                      27 of Sep

                                      STL - WIN
                                      SD - LOST
                                      MIN - LOST


                                      We had 1 - 2, -1.46 units.
                                      Total balance : 49 - 32, + 7.61 units, 60 %.
                                      Comment
                                      • Fishscale
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 08-24-10
                                        • 411

                                        #649
                                        Originally posted by bdevil
                                        27 of Sep

                                        STL - WIN
                                        MIN - LOST
                                        SD - WIN

                                        We had 2 - 1, +0.75 units.
                                        Total balance : 50 - 31, + 9.82 units, 61 %.
                                        Are you high on crack? San Diego lost a snoozer tonight.
                                        Comment
                                        • bdevil
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 02-16-10
                                          • 1807

                                          #650
                                          Yeah, you're right, put it by mistake. I edited it. It was kinda late when i updated the stats.

                                          28 Sep, the chart and the plays, PHI and SD Padres again.
                                          Comment
                                          • CatPulp
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 11-13-09
                                            • 265

                                            #651
                                            Damn! Missed the STL win, which would have taken a little sting out of last night.
                                            Oh well, back to the grind. Best of luck everyone!
                                            Comment
                                            • Skware
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 08-25-10
                                              • 117

                                              #652
                                              Originally posted by bdevil
                                              28 Sep, the chart and the plays, PHI and SD Padres again.
                                              Thanks bdevil
                                              Comment
                                              • bdevil
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 02-16-10
                                                • 1807

                                                #653
                                                28 of Sep

                                                SD - LOST
                                                PHI - LOST


                                                We had 0 - 2, -2.76 units.
                                                Total balance : 49 - 34, + 4.85 units, 59 %.
                                                Comment
                                                • Skware
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 08-25-10
                                                  • 117

                                                  #654
                                                  HOU (R) Figueroa, N +100 VO%50 VW%49 SIM%38 Diff-11
                                                  CIN (R) Cueto, J -110 VO%52 VW%51 SIM%62 Diff+11

                                                  OAK (L) Cramer, B +120 VO%45 VW%44 SIM%35 Diff-9
                                                  LAA (R) Pineiro, J -140 VO%58 VW%56 SIM%65 Diff+9

                                                  DET (R) Verlander, J -150 VO%60 VW%58 SIM%65 Diff+7
                                                  CLE (R) Tomlin, J +130 VO%43 VW%42 SIM%35 Diff-7

                                                  MIL (R) Gallardo, Y -130 VO%57 VW%55 SIM%38 Diff-17
                                                  NYM (L) Niese, J +120 VO%45 VW%45 SIM%62 Diff+17

                                                  DET (R) Scherzer, M -150 VO%57 VW%56 SIM%65 Diff+9
                                                  CLE (R) Talbot, M +130 VO%44 VW%44 SIM%35 Diff-9


                                                  YMMV GLA
                                                  Comment
                                                  • CatPulp
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 11-13-09
                                                    • 265

                                                    #655
                                                    Crap! Come on AccuScore, let's turn this downward trend around.
                                                    Today's games look like this:
                                                    LA Angels @ 65% sim win rate
                                                    Cincinatti Reds @ 62.4% sim win rate.

                                                    Anyone confirm?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • tytticarrol
                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                      • 07-20-10
                                                      • 28

                                                      #656
                                                      hoping for you
                                                      Comment
                                                      • TxBulldog
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 08-03-10
                                                        • 185

                                                        #657
                                                        Originally posted by CatPulp
                                                        Crap! Come on AccuScore, let's turn this downward trend around. Today's games look like this: LA Angels @ 65% sim win rate Cincinatti Reds @ 62.4% sim win rate. Anyone confirm?
                                                        Yes, those would be the plays. I would have no bonus plays. I would advise extreme caution this week. This is like betting week 17 of the NFL....very dicey business. I won't risk any significant $ this week.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • TxBulldog
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 08-03-10
                                                          • 185

                                                          #658
                                                          Originally posted by Skware
                                                          HOU (R) Figueroa, N +100 VO%50 VW%49 SIM%38 Diff-11 CIN (R) Cueto, J -110 VO%52 VW%51 SIM%62 Diff+11 OAK (L) Cramer, B +120 VO%45 VW%44 SIM%35 Diff-9 LAA (R) Pineiro, J -140 VO%58 VW%56 SIM%65 Diff+9 DET (R) Verlander, J -150 VO%60 VW%58 SIM%65 Diff+7 CLE (R) Tomlin, J +130 VO%43 VW%42 SIM%35 Diff-7 MIL (R) Gallardo, Y -130 VO%57 VW%55 SIM%38 Diff-17 NYM (L) Niese, J +120 VO%45 VW%45 SIM%62 Diff+17 DET (R) Scherzer, M -150 VO%57 VW%56 SIM%65 Diff+9 CLE (R) Talbot, M +130 VO%44 VW%44 SIM%35 Diff-9 YMMV GLA
                                                          Skware,

                                                          There are some problems with the 5 plays you are postings I am showing the SIM on Det-Verlander at only 54.7%, so it is NO PLAY.

                                                          The SIM on the NYM is also only 47.0%, so obvious NO PLAY

                                                          The other plays there is some variance in numbers but they would be plays under the bdevil monitored system. Look for the Devil to post soon, but I anticipate he will post:

                                                          Det - Scherzer
                                                          LAA
                                                          CIN

                                                          Good Luck All-
                                                          Comment
                                                          • bdevil
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 02-16-10
                                                            • 1807

                                                            #659
                                                            29 of Sep, the chart and three plays, CIN, LAA and DET (M Scherzer).
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Skware
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 08-25-10
                                                              • 117

                                                              #660
                                                              Originally posted by TxBulldog
                                                              Skware,

                                                              There are some problems with the 5 plays you are postings I am showing the SIM on Det-Verlander at only 54.7%, so it is NO PLAY.

                                                              The SIM on the NYM is also only 47.0%, so obvious NO PLAY

                                                              The other plays there is some variance in numbers but they would be plays under the bdevil monitored system. Look for the Devil to post
                                                              Not sure where you got DET Verlander SIM54.7% or NYM SIM47% hmmm

                                                              Please review bdevil DET Verlander is 65% SIM
                                                              ML -150/+130 made it a play at +7,
                                                              bdevil's -149/+140 did not +6.

                                                              Please review bedevil MYM Niese is 62% SIM DOG - option.

                                                              Originally posted by bdevil
                                                              29 of Sep, the chart and three plays, CIN, LAA and DET (M Scherzer).
                                                              Thanks bdevil
                                                              ________________________________________ _____________________________

                                                              Um does anyone think posting early lines is not such a good idea?

                                                              Er should we wait for bdevil's late lines & compare our own ML to see if they make his filter?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • bdevil
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 02-16-10
                                                                • 1807

                                                                #661
                                                                29 of Sep

                                                                CLE - LOST
                                                                LAA - WIN
                                                                CIN - LOST


                                                                We had 1 - 2, -1.47 units.
                                                                Total balance : 50 - 36, + 3.38 units, 58 %.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • CatPulp
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 11-13-09
                                                                  • 265

                                                                  #662
                                                                  Cincinnati and Minnesota today, right?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Skware
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 08-25-10
                                                                    • 117

                                                                    #663
                                                                    Originally posted by CatPulp
                                                                    Cincinnati and Minnesota today, right?
                                                                    and Baltimore
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • TxBulldog
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 08-03-10
                                                                      • 185

                                                                      #664
                                                                      Guys...I went to recreational size plays. (.1 unit) for the last week. I won't even be doing that the rest of the week. Things WILL NOT "be to form" the rest of the week. For example, Dusty Baker rested his entire regular lineup yesterday. Numbers based systems suffer in these conditions.....proceed with caution!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • CatPulp
                                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                                        • 11-13-09
                                                                        • 265

                                                                        #665
                                                                        Originally posted by TxBulldog
                                                                        Guys...I went to recreational size plays. (.1 unit) for the last week. I won't even be doing that the rest of the week. Things WILL NOT "be to form" the rest of the week. For example, Dusty Baker rested his entire regular lineup yesterday. Numbers based systems suffer in these conditions.....proceed with caution!
                                                                        You'd think AccuScore would take these kind of things into consideration, right?
                                                                        Comment
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