PARLAY VERLANDER R.L,CARDS BRAVES MARLINS AND ANGELS OVER
Comment
therber2
Restricted User
12-22-08
3715
#6
Originally posted by new kid in town
PARLAY VERLANDER R.L,CARDS BRAVES MARLINS AND ANGELS OVER
Lol. GL NKIT. I hope that is GM1 (Verlander).
Remember high juice doesn't always mean worthy of a big ol' parlay. I have ATL and FLA both extremely overpriced. Also why do a RL in the Parlay. If you like the play that much just bet DET for what you would have. Parlays like this should be all fun and games although....
I was running a 4 game parlay system; where I find what I feel will be low scoring games or blowouts and take all of my teams for +2.5 (you can do this at 5DIMES). You end up with something like +115 or so for a real solid bet. Didn't do many but didn't lose one.
Hope this one hit for you..
Comment
therber2
Restricted User
12-22-08
3715
#7
7.17
Going to run a couple batches of experimental leans (for the record). Actual picks will come later or I may pass tomorrow...we'll see.
Filter set #1:
SFO
LAA
DET GM1
DET GM2
NYY
STL
PIT
ATL
CIN
OAK
FLA
MIN
Filter set #2: SFO
LAA
DET GM1
STL
ATL
CIN
OAK
FLA
MIN
crap man your gonna go with the cubbies here? Sigh. I have phillies on the ML.
Comment
peterpan19
Restricted User
11-02-08
3377
#23
very smart play on the cubs here
GL
Comment
Mybologne
SBR Posting Legend
09-20-09
13507
#24
it's ok, as long as philly's win by 1 your both good
Comment
CindyCryBaby
SBR Sharp
07-16-10
303
#25
hey therb what's your reasoning here for phillies? We know the Cubs won't score a lot...lucky to get two way Roy is pitching. You have confidence in Gorzelanny? gl gl
Comment
CindyCryBaby
SBR Sharp
07-16-10
303
#26
great bet therber! just over halladay's performance!
Comment
therber2
Restricted User
12-22-08
3715
#27
Originally posted by yomillionaire
crap man your gonna go with the cubbies here? Sigh. I have phillies on the ML.
Number of reasons. A ton of value on the Cubs at home with Phillies on their get-away day. Today is an odd day, and there is a particular angle that I think some don't consider on odd days like this. Just think about it....
I calculated the Cubs being worth -120 against Philly, a very erratic team easily capable of folding even with their ace on the mound. Cubs got set at +148 and +1.5 -110 or -105 if you found it. Now that is huge value for me.
Originally posted by peterpan19
very smart play on the cubs here
GL
Yeap. Always a little luck involved. Still ended up negative units for the day unfortunately.
Originally posted by Mybologne
it's ok, as long as philly's win by 1 your both good
They more than covered
Originally posted by CindyCryBaby
hey therb what's your reasoning here for phillies? We know the Cubs won't score a lot...lucky to get two way Roy is pitching. You have confidence in Gorzelanny? gl gl
No I don't know who Gorzelanny is I look at numbers and figures and people as people. Some are exceptional though I'll just say that.
Originally posted by CindyCryBaby
great bet therber! just over halladay's performance!
So often I see the bats not supporting the ace; often huge value in fading the ace when the rest of the team doesn't have heart in the game.
Cheers guys.
Comment
therber2
Restricted User
12-22-08
3715
#28
Great call by iloseagain...let's see
I saw poster "Iloseagain" do this nice writeup/analysis for his pick today.
cle/min o9 -120
10 MPH wind out to right field
Over is 2-0-2 in Bakers last 4 home starts vs. Indians.
Over is 4-0 in Laffeys last 4 road starts vs. Twins.
Over is 5-1-2 in Bakers last 8 starts vs. Indians.
Over is 5-1-1 in Laffeys last 7 starts vs. Twins.
Over is 5-2-4 in the last 11 meetings in Minnesota.
Over is 9-1-2 in Twins last 12 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5
Over is 12-3-2 in Twins last 17 overall.
GL to you on this one sir. With ya. Don't normally look at these angles.