1st Inning run scored Yes or No Experiment Daily Chase

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  • superblaaze
    SBR Sharp
    • 12-14-09
    • 498

    #351
    System now 10-0 100%
    Played Picks
    (10-7) 58.8%
    Actual Picks(19-13) 59%
    Money being tracked in my spreadsheet
    Comment
    • Qman1
      SBR Hustler
      • 09-07-09
      • 58

      #352
      Originally posted by superblaaze
      System now 10-0 100%
      Played Picks (10-7) 58.8%
      Actual Picks(19-13) 59%
      Money being tracked in my spreadsheet

      Great Job..Again Blaze..That just doesn't get old!
      Comment
      • Brian891
        SBR MVP
        • 04-28-10
        • 2049

        #353
        Hey blaaze just curious. looked at your spreadsheet. Haved u changed your wager strategy? up until today u were doubling after a loss, but today u went a lil higher.... figured it out. your winnings came to double the first wager. Guess with change in odds. Good luck to all of us tom and thanks again blaaze!
        Comment
        • rgbraves
          SBR Sharp
          • 04-21-10
          • 282

          #354
          Blaze I just found this thread last night. Very interesting keep up the great work.
          Comment
          • chilidog
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 04-05-09
            • 10305

            #355
            let's go with another winning day
            Comment
            • HalColdvice
              SBR Rookie
              • 06-02-10
              • 25

              #356
              Originally posted by superblaaze
              System now 10-0 100%
              Played Picks (10-7) 58.8%
              Actual Picks(19-13) 59%
              Money being tracked in my spreadsheet
              Good stuff here.

              Quick and fun wins!
              Comment
              • superblaaze
                SBR Sharp
                • 12-14-09
                • 498

                #357
                1. SD vs NYM 7:10 pm NO 2 of the Best no run teams this season

                2. DET vs CHW 8:10 pm YES my chart indicates yes play on both teams

                3. HOU vs COL 8:40 pm YES 2 of the top 1st inning scoring teams

                4. STL vs LAD 10:10 pm YES counting on Kuroda to continue to give up 1st inning runs (carpenter only 1 run 12 starts)
                Comment
                • Sawyer
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 06-01-09
                  • 7720

                  #358
                  Originally posted by Sawyer
                  Good luck Blaaze!

                  Labouchere Serie#2


                  23
                  -23-23-23

                  Our goal is to eliminate these two 23! (Bold ones)

                  23 + 23 = 46.

                  So our goal is to win 46. Risking 52.9 to win 46.

                  If we lose, we will add 52.9 to right.

                  If we win, we will erase 2 outside numbers and only 23-23 will remain. Another winner will complete series and we will start to Serie#3. Our stakes will increase since our bankroll grows too.

                  Game-1 Padres vs phillies YES 7:05 -115 (Risking 52.9 to win 46)

                  Game-2 Mariners vs Rangers NO 8:05 -120 (Risked 91 to win 75.9)

                  NEXT 3. Astros vs`Rockies YES 8:40 -115

                  NEXT 4. Braves vs D'Backs YES 9:40 -110

                  Update:

                  23-23-23-23-52.9

                  Next bet (TEX VS SEA) is "to win" 75.9, (52.9 + 23)
                  Risk is 91.


                  Win!

                  Serie before TEX vs SEA,

                  23
                  -23-23-23-52.9

                  Serie after TEX vs SEA,

                  23-23-23

                  Next bet is YES for COL-HOU.

                  Our goal is to win 46.
                  Risking 52.9 to win 46.

                  Lost

                  23-23-23-52.9

                  NEXT BET Braves vs D'Backs YES -110
                  Risk 83.5 to win 75.98


                  If we win next bet, series will be 23-23. If we lost, then we will add 83.5 to the right (So Serie will be like this: 23 23 23 52.9 83.5)

                  Win!

                  Serie Before ATL vs ARI YES,

                  23-23-23-52.9

                  Serie After ATL vs ARI YES,

                  23-23

                  One more win tomorrow and Step-2 will be completed! (+115 Units profit (23x5), so new bankroll will be 1235, +%23.5 increase)
                  Let's have an another winning night, GL Blaaze!

                  Labouchere Serie#2


                  23-23

                  SDG vs NYM NO -135 (Towin 46)

                  Let's cash this one and complete Serie#2
                  Comment
                  • superblaaze
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 12-14-09
                    • 498

                    #359
                    Originally posted by Brian891
                    Hey blaaze just curious. looked at your spreadsheet. Haved u changed your wager strategy? up until today u were doubling after a loss, but today u went a lil higher.... figured it out. your winnings came to double the first wager. Guess with change in odds. Good luck to all of us tom and thanks again blaaze!
                    Since I dropped the D bet I think I will play to win dbl what ever my 1st bet is especially on the higher juice games. if you look at June 4th I just dbld and only netted a few bucks for what I ended up risking on the day.
                    Comment
                    • mvp123
                      SBR MVP
                      • 07-24-06
                      • 1736

                      #360
                      thats how i do it blaze i take the first bet depending how risky i want to be that day and just keep doubling so if first bet is 50 most i can lose is 400 plus juice on that day ......some days first bet could be 75 or 25 or 100 . just all depends how much i feel like risking on a given day but that system that brother sawyer is using interests me alot , i might play that soon too
                      Comment
                      • fletch49
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 04-12-10
                        • 407

                        #361
                        Thanks for all the work on this system Sawyer. Adding this to superblaaze picks we have a definite winner. Kudos guys on your wisdom you make a great team
                        Comment
                        • Tower
                          SBR MVP
                          • 04-15-10
                          • 1331

                          #362
                          Wow, I got the first play at -155...... thats a bit high don't you think? Should I still play it or would you guys pass???
                          Comment
                          • superblaaze
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 12-14-09
                            • 498

                            #363
                            Originally posted by Tower
                            Wow, I got the first play at -155...... thats a bit high don't you think? Should I still play it or would you guys pass???

                            we can substute Indians and redsox Yes in that time slot
                            Comment
                            • peterpan19
                              Restricted User
                              • 11-02-08
                              • 3377

                              #364
                              Tower
                              Which book did you use?
                              Comment
                              • superblaaze
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 12-14-09
                                • 498

                                #365
                                Originally posted by peterpan19
                                Tower
                                Which book did you use?

                                its gone up every where must be a winner lol
                                Comment
                                • superblaaze
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 12-14-09
                                  • 498

                                  #366
                                  Originally posted by lcf
                                  A great job is being done here but I really don't understand why you're not initiating another chase right after you win a game. If you were able to find an edge on the listed games, why don't you initiate a series independently of the day? Make it continuously if you are really able to find an edge in all these games and you'll be up more units faster.
                                  any one else think this is what we should be doing?

                                  makes a good point previous 2 days we would have netted 5 units 3 on Sunday and 2 yesterday...
                                  Comment
                                  • GGPLAYER
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 03-26-09
                                    • 2981

                                    #367
                                    Originally posted by superblaaze
                                    any one else think this is what we should be doing?

                                    makes a good point previous 2 days we would have netted 5 units 3 on Sunday and 2 yesterday...

                                    Yes this makes sense to me. I think since I'm getting on on these late (again) I will have to pass on the NYM/SD play. My book has NO at -150 and that's just too risky. I may play the Bos/Clev Yes but it's at -135 which is borderline for my liking. Just would hate to play one and not the other if that "other" wins.
                                    Comment
                                    • southmadejd
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 08-27-09
                                      • 1059

                                      #368
                                      Originally posted by superblaaze
                                      any one else think this is what we should be doing?

                                      makes a good point previous 2 days we would have netted 5 units 3 on Sunday and 2 yesterday...
                                      I am not sure Blaze....I guess the plus side of the way we are doing it now is if we do lose one chase then maybe you can revise your data and see if there is a problem with it. I would hate to make it a continual chase on a system that still seems relatively new (not saying I don't love it, just from the way you began the thread it seems like this system isn't based on years of research).

                                      Just my two cents.
                                      Comment
                                      • lcf
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 11-24-09
                                        • 367

                                        #369
                                        You also have to be careful chasing games with so much juice.
                                        Comment
                                        • superblaaze
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 12-14-09
                                          • 498

                                          #370
                                          Here is the skinny on continuing the chase would have carried over to the next day 1 c bet and 2 b bets all won on the following day units we have now is 10 give or take with juice depending on how one plays. units would of had 20. What i like about the way it is now every day is fresh... I am not sure if the days that started with b and c bets would have caused me to think too much into it or over analyze.

                                          I am confident when I put up picks at least 1 will win.
                                          Comment
                                          • superblaaze
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 12-14-09
                                            • 498

                                            #371
                                            Originally posted by southmadejd
                                            I am not sure Blaze....I guess the plus side of the way we are doing it now is if we do lose one chase then maybe you can revise your data and see if there is a problem with it. I would hate to make it a continual chase on a system that still seems relatively new (not saying I don't love it, just from the way you began the thread it seems like this system isn't based on years of research).

                                            Just my two cents.
                                            not sure how one would back test a system like this...
                                            Comment
                                            • superblaaze
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 12-14-09
                                              • 498

                                              #372
                                              Originally posted by lcf
                                              You also have to be careful chasing games with so much juice.
                                              Agreed

                                              Games was posted prior to the lines going mets games has continued to increase as the day went on.

                                              also if you read my prior post I usually do not play the No bets because of juice.
                                              Comment
                                              • J-Ro11
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 05-01-10
                                                • 525

                                                #373
                                                Couldn't find the prop on TheGreek, but did manage to take Det/CHW over 3 R,H,E First Inning.

                                                GL
                                                Comment
                                                • Sawyer
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 06-01-09
                                                  • 7720

                                                  #374
                                                  TheGreek is not offering this prop bet anymore since they admitted that they lost tons of money because of this prop. Don't be surprised if 5Dimes removes it soon, LoL!

                                                  PS: Books are very vulnerable in this prop. That's why limits are low.
                                                  Last edited by Sawyer; 06-08-10, 05:26 PM.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • superblaaze
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 12-14-09
                                                    • 498

                                                    #375
                                                    getting close to kick off Good luck all !!!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • jose21_us
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 05-24-10
                                                      • 3844

                                                      #376
                                                      goodluck guys
                                                      Comment
                                                      • mvp123
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 07-24-06
                                                        • 1736

                                                        #377
                                                        lets go guys money to be made
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Sawyer
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 06-01-09
                                                          • 7720

                                                          #378
                                                          Labouchere Serie#2

                                                          23-23

                                                          SDG vs NYM NO -135 Risked 63 to win 46, Lost

                                                          23-23-63

                                                          Next Bet,

                                                          -110 Det vs Cws YES (To win 86, so we will clear 23 and 63)
                                                          -120 Hou vs Col YES
                                                          +105 Stl vs Lad YES
                                                          Last edited by Sawyer; 06-08-10, 06:26 PM.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Sawyer
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 06-01-09
                                                            • 7720

                                                            #379
                                                            Originally posted by superblaaze
                                                            we can substute Indians and redsox Yes in that time slot
                                                            Cleveland 1-0, Nice call mate..

                                                            Wish I had sticked with Bos vs Cle Yes. Got killed by -135 (It was -145 at Bookmaker btw!)

                                                            Blaaze, "YES" are doing better then "NO" bets? Or they're equal?
                                                            Last edited by Sawyer; 06-08-10, 06:28 PM.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • superblaaze
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 12-14-09
                                                              • 498

                                                              #380
                                                              Originally posted by Sawyer
                                                              Cleveland 1-0, Nice call mate..

                                                              Wish I had sticked with Bos vs Cle Yes. Got killed by -135 (It was -145 at Bookmaker btw!)

                                                              Blaaze, "YES" are doing better then "NO" bets? Or they're equal?

                                                              Juice wise the yes is always better so it seems as far as actual stats no is still ahead of yes's how ever there is a few teams where the yes is much higher than the no's
                                                              Comment
                                                              • mvp123
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 07-24-06
                                                                • 1736

                                                                #381
                                                                damn wish i woulda played the boston /clev

                                                                we will get the next one ......
                                                                Comment
                                                                • jose21_us
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 05-24-10
                                                                  • 3844

                                                                  #382
                                                                  same...
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • mvp123
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 07-24-06
                                                                    • 1736

                                                                    #383
                                                                    anybody like thebraves tonite??? im just thinking ahead in case i lose the chase tonite think i might load up on the bravos but notsure ......anyone have any thoughts ???
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • chilidog
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 04-05-09
                                                                      • 10305

                                                                      #384
                                                                      we'll take this one in about 15 minutes
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • superblaaze
                                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                                        • 12-14-09
                                                                        • 498

                                                                        #385
                                                                        Originally posted by mvp123
                                                                        anybody like thebraves tonite??? im just thinking ahead in case i lose the chase tonite think i might load up on the bravos but notsure ......anyone have any thoughts ???

                                                                        i went with the yankees and boston run lines
                                                                        Comment
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