Should i blindly hammer MLB Faves?

[statnerds]

+31.89 Units

yowzers

[TheLock]

I like these updates. While the updates don't shock me (I bet more dogs than faves and I'm having a negative unit season) it's nice to see just ridiculous it is (albeit a small sample size)

[20Four7]

When someone is so concerned about win percentages in a ML sport, it's fairly indicative that they have no idea what they're talking about. I hope you realize that favorites could be 56% and have a negative ROI.

you are correct monkey, and my data shows that fav's win at just under a 58% clip. However that stat alone is meaningless.

[RockBottom]

It should even out as the dog prices get bigger

[statnerds]

I like these updates. While the updates don't shock me (I bet more dogs than faves and I'm having a negative unit season) it's nice to see just ridiculous it is (albeit a small sample size)

sorry about the sample size. i tried to get them to have played more than 1,500 games to this point, but they weren't going for it.

[LarryF]

Based upon my unscientific research, fav's win at about a 60% clip (May thru August).

[rkelly110]

My combo, Fav and Underdog (+RL ) system is hitting @ 75%. Avg. about 8 gms. a day.
Betting the +RL has about the same odds as a fav. I've only been paper trading for a short
while and don't have a unit value. Of 128 gms, 96 won. 1/2 of those won on -RL w/ odds
over 2-1. I don't bet the fav. blindly. The system will pick the games for me. Mostly fav's,
and some dogs of which I bet +RL.

[statnerds]

+35.19 Units

[Rookie-Capper]

when playing bigger favs try 2 team parlays it lowers your cost and risk and you have to win both to make money anyway...

[CapNWatch]

It feels like there have been fewer +250ish and above cashes than in recent seasons.

[J-Ro11]

always blindly hammer the faves, thats how you get ahead in this game. ...or maybe thats how to get head. i dunno, i forget.

STL
NYM (blech)
TOR
CINCI

[sapidoc]

So which book do you work for again?

[lordswing]

Can't wait for the NFL fav ML method to come up as well

[statnerds]

Can't wait for the NFL fav ML method to come up as well

here is a freebie, cause i am that kind of guy

since 2000, NFL faves of 14 or more points are 65-7 SU for 90% winners.

now go here and get started

Odds+Converter

[statnerds]

+13.97 Units

i am in a giving kind of mood today

MLB Faves 2009:
1,476 - 1,116
-84.0 Units

[mrmarket]

Solid system. I think it should be referred to as HUBRIS or NANANANANAIMNOTWRONGDESPITECOMMONSENSE. Couple of people would probably buy it too. Such is life.

[JerseyShop101]

here is a freebie, cause i am that kind of guy

since 2000, NFL faves of 14 or more points are 65-7 SU for 90% winners.

now go here and get started

Odds+Converter

+13.97 Units

i am in a giving kind of mood today

MLB Faves 2009:
1,476 - 1,116
-84.0 Units

Thats great, then as Taylor says, How about throwing me some SBR points? lol.
j/k

I remember last season, at 5dimes, you can buy a shtload of points, but w/heavy juice. But the good thing was you could do up to 15 team parlays with them. And barring any off the wall final score, it was a pretty consistent way to make a few dollars. (I wouldn't risk too big on the bigger parlays though).

Good luck this NFL season!

[lordswing]

here is a freebie, cause i am that kind of guy

since 2000, NFL faves of 14 or more points are 65-7 SU for 90% winners.

now go here and get started

Odds+Converter

Half Point calculator converts 14 pt spread to -3500 ML. Since I've never bought 14 points down, do tell how much it costs to buy down 14 points.

[shock11]

yes you should they suck

[sharpcat]

here is a freebie, cause i am that kind of guy

since 2000, NFL faves of 14 or more points are 65-7 SU for 90% winners.

now go here and get started

Odds+Converter

Unfortunately 90% falls shy of the 93% win ratio that would be required to break even SU betting the ML

Ironically dogs in this situation would not have been profitable either

It appears like always that the market is efficient and the juice wins

[JerseyShop101]

Half Point calculator converts 14 pt spread to -3500 ML. Since I've never bought 14 points down, do tell how much it costs to buy down 14 points.

I just punched these in at 5dimes to see how much it costs to buy 14 points for sides and the totals, its way less than -3500.

• 8/12/2010 7:30 PM NFL Football 252 New England Patriots* +13 -1455 vs New Orleans Saints
• 8/12/2010 8:00 PM NFL Football 253 Carolina Panthers/Baltimore Ravens* Over 20½ -1000
• 8/12/2010 8:00 PM NFL Football 255 Oakland Raiders/Dallas Cowboys* Over 20½ -1000
• 9/2/2010 7:30 PM College Football 134 South Carolina* pk -1273 vs Southern Mississipi
• 9/2/2010 12:30 PM College Football 154 Missouri* pk -1273 vs Illinois

Risking $100.00 To Win $50.00

[ngates815]

I just punched these in at 5dimes to see how much it costs to buy 14 points for sides and the totals, its way less than -3500.

• 8/12/2010 7:30 PM NFL Football 252 New England Patriots* +13 -1455 vs New Orleans Saints
• 8/12/2010 8:00 PM NFL Football 253 Carolina Panthers/Baltimore Ravens* Over 20½ -1000
• 8/12/2010 8:00 PM NFL Football 255 Oakland Raiders/Dallas Cowboys* Over 20½ -1000
• 9/2/2010 7:30 PM College Football 134 South Carolina* pk -1273 vs Southern Mississipi
• 9/2/2010 12:30 PM College Football 154 Missouri* pk -1273 vs Illinois

Risking $100.00 To Win $50.00

Wouldn't it just be better to do a 13pt teaser on spreads? and get it at -120 ?

[TheLock]

This thread has staying power

[Willie Bee]

This thread has staying power

That's because we're all sharps here and understand the +ev to blindly hammering all money line favorites and going all in at least two times a day. I could be wrong