Good morning,
For the last week I have been refining and tracking my "Reliever Plays". Over the years these have been my bread and butter, and now that the xFIP web site I used in the past, is no longer posting that data, I am going to just use what I have used for years and handicap based on the work/rest of the bullpen. Time permitting, I will handicap umpires and weather into the plays. With that said, these have shown a profit over the years.
These games are all second half plays, innings 6 thru 9. Some sports books offer them before the game starts (Bookmaker) and most you can play as a live play. If second half plays are not available to you, these have also shown a profit by playing the entire game.
Saturday's 2nd Half Plays:
Atl/Phil over 3.5
Stl/Pi over 3.5
Oak/Hou under 3.5
Cin/Min over 3.5
Good luck