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  • Brocc
    SBR MVP
    • 12-25-09
    • 1660

    #8716
    Originally posted by lakerboy
    Interesting numbers i found on pinny regarding NL pennant winner.



    Wed 10/6Will the Phillies win the NL Pennant?
    02:05 PM1221 Yes-128 1222 No+110

    Wed 10/6Will the Braves win the NL Pennant?
    02:05 PM1223 Yes+617 1224 No-769

    Wed 10/6Will the Reds win the NL Pennant?
    02:05 PM1225 Yes+546 1226 No-667

    Wed 10/6Will the Giants win the NL Pennant?
    02:05 PM1229 Yes+335 1230 No-387


    pinny is basically giving the braves no chance in there series with sf.


    Slightly worse of a chance than the Reds beating Philly
    Comment
    • lakerboy
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 04-02-09
      • 94372

      #8717
      Originally posted by Brocc
      Slightly worse of a chance than the Reds beating Philly
      Exactly and that is very telling.
      Comment
      • Bo$$ Bet$
        Restricted User
        • 07-08-10
        • 3062

        #8718
        Originally posted by lakerboy
        Exactly and that is very telling.
        Do tell
        Comment
        • DaAce
          SBR MVP
          • 03-28-10
          • 1415

          #8719
          Originally posted by Bo$$ Bet$
          Do tell
          calling the Reds an underdog against the Phillies is an understatement... the odds of the Braves winning the pennant are even worse... see where im getting at
          Comment
          • Bo$$ Bet$
            Restricted User
            • 07-08-10
            • 3062

            #8720
            Ahh yes yes Ty my lil brain is trying to learn as much as possible I gotcha though thanks
            Comment
            • lakerboy
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 04-02-09
              • 94372

              #8721
              Actually i think i might take the Reds ML in game 1.
              Comment
              • ayuntalo
                SBR MVP
                • 08-01-10
                • 1692

                #8722
                Wow..seriously lb?
                Why?
                .
                http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basketball-handicapping/769535-streaking-towards-nba.html


                NBA thread record:
                17-22-1 (+14.85 units) on Straight wagers and Dogs
                2-3 on parlays (+9.23 units)

                TOTAL THREAD EARNINGS (+24.08 units)
                Comment
                • lakerboy
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 04-02-09
                  • 94372

                  #8723
                  Why not. No one thinks they have any chance. They are a playoff team. I think the phils lost one of the first 2 games in the div round every time if im right.
                  Comment
                  • DaAce
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-28-10
                    • 1415

                    #8724
                    Originally posted by lakerboy
                    Actually i think i might take the Reds ML in game 1.
                    Comment
                    • ayuntalo
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-01-10
                      • 1692

                      #8725
                      Wow..really feeling nervous..
                      First my Yankee bet, now the phillies..goodluck lb!
                      I'm sure one of us will win
                      .
                      http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basketball-handicapping/769535-streaking-towards-nba.html


                      NBA thread record:
                      17-22-1 (+14.85 units) on Straight wagers and Dogs
                      2-3 on parlays (+9.23 units)

                      TOTAL THREAD EARNINGS (+24.08 units)
                      Comment
                      • ND_IS_BACK
                        SBR Hustler
                        • 03-21-10
                        • 87

                        #8726
                        LMAO AT DaAce
                        Comment
                        • rockaflocka
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 08-07-10
                          • 482

                          #8727
                          +1.5 is -130 , probably worth a shot w these low scoring games . ML is really good value for a playoff game, esp if phillies struggle offensively
                          Comment
                          • mvp123
                            SBR MVP
                            • 07-24-06
                            • 1736

                            #8728
                            Originally posted by lakerboy
                            Why not. No one thinks they have any chance. They are a playoff team. I think the phils lost one of the first 2 games in the div round every time if im right.

                            nope not the yr they wonit all , not the first game
                            Comment
                            • ayuntalo
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-01-10
                              • 1692

                              #8729
                              To answer the question why not...
                              Its because the phillies are much much greater at all aspect..
                              Powerhouse bats, phenomenal pitching, and momentum..
                              The phils almost killed braves playoff hopes with their playoffs warm up if you will.. And also remember the phils game where the other unfamous batters hit homeruns? I think franciso hit 2 if I'm not mistaken..

                              And on the reds..looks like they will just concede defeat on Halliday, and challenge the other games with wood or cueto..
                              That's just my thought..
                              .
                              http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basketball-handicapping/769535-streaking-towards-nba.html


                              NBA thread record:
                              17-22-1 (+14.85 units) on Straight wagers and Dogs
                              2-3 on parlays (+9.23 units)

                              TOTAL THREAD EARNINGS (+24.08 units)
                              Comment
                              • Brocc
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-25-09
                                • 1660

                                #8730
                                Originally posted by lakerboy
                                I think the phils lost one of the first 2 games in the div round every time if im right.
                                Nope, perfect 3-0 past 2 Division Series & 4-1 past 2 NLCS'
                                Comment
                                • lakerboy
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 04-02-09
                                  • 94372

                                  #8731
                                  Originally posted by mvp123
                                  nope not the yr they wonit all , not the first game

                                  2007 lost game 1

                                  2008 won both home games

                                  2009 won game 1 but lost game 2

                                  so they are 4-2 in the 6 home games of the NLDS.

                                  so at +190 i like the reds.
                                  Comment
                                  • lakerboy
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 04-02-09
                                    • 94372

                                    #8732
                                    Originally posted by Brocc
                                    Nope, perfect 3-0 past 2 Division Series & 4-1 past 2 NLCS'
                                    Incorrect sir. THe NLCS part is right but they are 4-2 at home the last 3 div series. THey lost game 2 last year.
                                    Comment
                                    • Brocc
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-25-09
                                      • 1660

                                      #8733
                                      Originally posted by lakerboy
                                      Incorrect sir. THe NLCS part is right but they are 4-2 at home the last 3 div series. THey lost game 2 last year.
                                      You are correct amigo, I was looking at wrong column

                                      But Phils still win Game 1 & Series
                                      Comment
                                      • MannyWood
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 06-01-10
                                        • 263

                                        #8734
                                        Hey Lb, 81% of the public is on the Phils but yet the line has not moved from -205
                                        Comment
                                        • DaAce
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 03-28-10
                                          • 1415

                                          #8735
                                          Originally posted by MannyWood
                                          Hey Lb, 81% of the public is on the Phils but yet the line has not moved from -205

                                          dont tell him that... youre feeding his justification for the Reds ML
                                          Comment
                                          • rockaflocka
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 08-07-10
                                            • 482

                                            #8736
                                            Reds pitching held phillys bats to 1 run in 2 games in july, granted though, the reds scored 0
                                            Comment
                                            • lakerboy
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 04-02-09
                                              • 94372

                                              #8737
                                              Originally posted by MannyWood
                                              Hey Lb, 81% of the public is on the Phils but yet the line has not moved from -205

                                              100% correct sir.

                                              Originally posted by DaAce
                                              dont tell him that... youre feeding his justification for the Reds ML

                                              . Someone needs to make the books money.
                                              Comment
                                              • MannyWood
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 06-01-10
                                                • 263

                                                #8738
                                                Just out of curiousity, with 81% on the Phils, how much would the line need to move before we bet on them???
                                                Comment
                                                • hawley
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 05-10-10
                                                  • 14270

                                                  #8739
                                                  interesting spot to perhaps fade halladay in his first play off appearance?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • msj0001
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 08-09-10
                                                    • 1562

                                                    #8740
                                                    Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                    Why not. No one thinks they have any chance. They are a playoff team. I think the phils lost one of the first 2 games in the div round every time if im right.
                                                    hard to bet against the phils after the ended the season on that 19-5 streak, but i kind of like the reds tomorrow too. I think Joey Votto comes through big tomorrow
                                                    Comment
                                                    • lakerboy
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 04-02-09
                                                      • 94372

                                                      #8741
                                                      Originally posted by MannyWood
                                                      Just out of curiousity, with 81% on the Phils, how much would the line need to move before we bet on them???

                                                      It wont move. The phils will stay around -205 and the books will pray for the reds RL to cash.

                                                      Originally posted by hawley
                                                      interesting spot to perhaps fade halladay in his first play off appearance?

                                                      100% correct. This clown has never pitched a playoff game before and we got a thread in this section dedicated to him. Thats pure fade material. Also the game is at that weird 5:05 PM time slot that will allow it to start in the evening but end in the dark. All the philly folks will be piss drunk and booing this fukker if he allows a few early runs. Im telling you guys the Reds ML (small)and RL (double the small) are the plays. On top of that why is the total only 7 if the reds are throwing volquez out there? volquez is gold as a dog pitcher. Just think twice before you bet on the phils. They should win the game but in sports you dont make money by taking -200 ML's.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Schnebs
                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                        • 06-20-10
                                                        • 19

                                                        #8742
                                                        ok so what about the other game tomorrow? any thoughts? i pick rays at home but they seem to have lost momentum at the end of the season. and tey are not favored by very much.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • MidgetTossers
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 11-06-09
                                                          • 13376

                                                          #8743
                                                          Originally posted by Bo$$ Bet$
                                                          MT what up pimp
                                                          not much boss..how u been bro?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Brocc
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-25-09
                                                            • 1660

                                                            #8744
                                                            Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                            It wont move. The phils will stay around -205 and the books will pray for the reds RL to cash.




                                                            100% correct. This clown has never pitched a playoff game before and we got a thread in this section dedicated to him. Thats pure fade material. Also the game is at that weird 5:05 PM time slot that will allow it to start in the evening but end in the dark. All the philly folks will be piss drunk and booing this fukker if he allows a few early runs. Im telling you guys the Reds ML (small)and RL (double the small) are the plays. On top of that why is the total only 7 if the reds are throwing volquez out there? volquez is gold as a dog pitcher. Just think twice before you bet on the phils. They should win the game but in sports you dont make money by taking -200 ML's.
                                                            Now Halladay's a clown


                                                            Good luck with the Reds being "the play" LB....Didn't you say say Miami was "the play" Monday night?

                                                            The Play is the one that wins, almost counts in horseshoes & grenades.

                                                            Certainly not going to argue with you in your thread, carry on.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • lakerboy
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 04-02-09
                                                              • 94372

                                                              #8745
                                                              Originally posted by Brocc
                                                              Now Halladay's a clown


                                                              Good luck with the Reds being "the play" LB....Didn't you say say Miami was "the play" Monday night?

                                                              The Play is the one that wins, almost counts in horseshoes & grenades.

                                                              Certainly not going to argue with you in your thread, carry on.

                                                              Yes i lost on Miami and i will lose many more going forward. Calling Halladay a clown is just a term that i use when im posting. I guess cause i lost the Miami play i cant ever be right again. I wish i took the Pats but i stick with what has gotten me to the dance and keeps my bankroll growing and thats my system. It is a winning system- not every time but overall. Dont forget i was down 68 units in MLB this year and people were laughing at me but i kept going and made my money. Some people were so scared to post baseball plays the last 2 months even though they were still betting it but not me. I stopped for 10 days to refresh. Brocc my friend philly should win but the game has to be played still. Dont forget you are a homer. Your vision isnt perfect. The local Toronto former GM Gillick won for you guys. You wont win without him.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Bo$$ Bet$
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 07-08-10
                                                                • 3062

                                                                #8746
                                                                Originally posted by MidgetTossers
                                                                not much boss..how u been bro?
                                                                Chillin man chillin...reading all these posts trying to learn something from these "sports gurus" some very intriguing stuff
                                                                Comment
                                                                • BookieOweMe
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 05-01-10
                                                                  • 2106

                                                                  #8747
                                                                  LB, Im already locked in for Yankes and Giants to win their series. Good move?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • TylerDurden
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 05-06-10
                                                                    • 1427

                                                                    #8748
                                                                    Originally posted by lakerboy


                                                                    It wont move. The phils will stay around -205 and the books will pray for the reds RL to cash.




                                                                    100% correct. This clown has never pitched a playoff game before and we got a thread in this section dedicated to him. Thats pure fade material. Also the game is at that weird 5:05 PM time slot that will allow it to start in the evening but end in the dark. All the philly folks will be piss drunk and booing this fukker if he allows a few early runs. Im telling you guys the Reds ML (small)and RL (double the small) are the plays. On top of that why is the total only 7 if the reds are throwing volquez out there? volquez is gold as a dog pitcher. Just think twice before you bet on the phils. They should win the game but in sports you dont make money by taking -200 ML's.
                                                                    Might be the best advice you can give people on this forum LB...question though, what is the maximum ML you will personally take? I realize this might vary a bit dependent upon the sport/situation but generally speaking what is your cut-off point?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • lakerboy
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 04-02-09
                                                                      • 94372

                                                                      #8749
                                                                      Originally posted by TylerDurden
                                                                      Might be the best advice you can give people on this forum LB...question though, what is the maximum ML you will personally take? I realize this might vary a bit dependent upon the sport/situation but generally speaking what is your cut-off point?

                                                                      Tyler i have taken -400 in the past but its not worth it. Obviously it depends on the sit. Reds are a little bit over 500 on the road this year hence they are not +190 this game. Also i look at certain books and one i like is not giving good odds on reds ML compared to others and that has worked in the past for me.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Mikail
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 07-19-09
                                                                        • 21689

                                                                        #8750
                                                                        LB is right here. Reds RL looks like the best play value wise. I personally like the under 7.5 buying the half point.
                                                                        Comment
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