LB thread for MLB plays 2010

Brocc · 10-05-10, 10:37 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Interesting numbers i found on pinny regarding NL pennant winner.

Wed 10/6Will the Phillies win the NL Pennant?
02:05 PM1221 Yes-128 1222 No+110

Wed 10/6Will the Braves win the NL Pennant?
02:05 PM1223 Yes+617 1224 No-769

Wed 10/6Will the Reds win the NL Pennant?
02:05 PM1225 Yes+546 1226 No-667

Wed 10/6Will the Giants win the NL Pennant?
02:05 PM1229 Yes+335 1230 No-387

pinny is basically giving the braves no chance in there series with sf.

Slightly worse of a chance than the Reds beating Philly

lakerboy · 10-05-10, 10:37 PM

Originally posted by Brocc

Slightly worse of a chance than the Reds beating Philly

Exactly and that is very telling.

Bo$$ Bet$ · 10-05-10, 10:46 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Exactly and that is very telling.

Do tell

DaAce · 10-05-10, 10:50 PM

Originally posted by Bo$$ Bet$

Do tell

calling the Reds an underdog against the Phillies is an understatement... the odds of the Braves winning the pennant are even worse... see where im getting at

Bo$$ Bet$ · 10-05-10, 10:54 PM

Ahh yes yes Ty

my lil brain is trying to learn as much as possible

I gotcha though thanks

lakerboy · 10-05-10, 11:00 PM

Actually i think i might take the Reds ML in game 1.

ayuntalo · 10-05-10, 11:01 PM

Wow..seriously lb?
Why?

lakerboy · 10-05-10, 11:03 PM

Why not. No one thinks they have any chance. They are a playoff team. I think the phils lost one of the first 2 games in the div round every time if im right.

DaAce · 10-05-10, 11:03 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Actually i think i might take the Reds ML in game 1.

ayuntalo · 10-05-10, 11:07 PM

Wow..really feeling nervous..
First my Yankee bet, now the phillies..goodluck lb!
I'm sure one of us will win

ND_IS_BACK · 10-05-10, 11:07 PM

LMAO AT DaAce

rockaflocka · 10-05-10, 11:07 PM

+1.5 is -130 , probably worth a shot w these low scoring games . ML is really good value for a playoff game, esp if phillies struggle offensively

mvp123 · 10-05-10, 11:08 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Why not. No one thinks they have any chance. They are a playoff team. I think the phils lost one of the first 2 games in the div round every time if im right.

nope not the yr they wonit all ,

not the first game

ayuntalo · 10-05-10, 11:12 PM

To answer the question why not...
Its because the phillies are much much greater at all aspect..
Powerhouse bats, phenomenal pitching, and momentum..
The phils almost killed braves playoff hopes with their playoffs warm up if you will.. And also remember the phils game where the other unfamous batters hit homeruns? I think franciso hit 2 if I'm not mistaken..

And on the reds..looks like they will just concede defeat on Halliday, and challenge the other games with wood or cueto..
That's just my thought..

Brocc · 10-05-10, 11:12 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

I think the phils lost one of the first 2 games in the div round every time if im right.

Nope, perfect 3-0 past 2 Division Series & 4-1 past 2 NLCS'

lakerboy · 10-05-10, 11:14 PM

Originally posted by mvp123

nope not the yr they wonit all ,

not the first game

2007 lost game 1

2008 won both home games

2009 won game 1 but lost game 2

so they are 4-2 in the 6 home games of the NLDS.

so at +190 i like the reds.

lakerboy · 10-05-10, 11:16 PM

Originally posted by Brocc

Nope, perfect 3-0 past 2 Division Series & 4-1 past 2 NLCS'

Incorrect sir. THe NLCS part is right but they are 4-2 at home the last 3 div series. THey lost game 2 last year.

Brocc · 10-05-10, 11:19 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Incorrect sir. THe NLCS part is right but they are 4-2 at home the last 3 div series. THey lost game 2 last year.

You are correct amigo, I was looking at wrong column

But Phils still win Game 1 & Series

MannyWood · 10-05-10, 11:20 PM

Hey Lb, 81% of the public is on the Phils but yet the line has not moved from -205

DaAce · 10-05-10, 11:21 PM

Originally posted by MannyWood

Hey Lb, 81% of the public is on the Phils but yet the line has not moved from -205

dont tell him that... youre feeding his justification for the Reds ML

rockaflocka · 10-05-10, 11:21 PM

Reds pitching held phillys bats to 1 run in 2 games in july, granted though, the reds scored 0

lakerboy · 10-05-10, 11:23 PM

Originally posted by MannyWood

Hey Lb, 81% of the public is on the Phils but yet the line has not moved from -205

100% correct sir.

Originally posted by DaAce

dont tell him that... youre feeding his justification for the Reds ML

. Someone needs to make the books money.

MannyWood · 10-05-10, 11:28 PM

Just out of curiousity, with 81% on the Phils, how much would the line need to move before we bet on them???

hawley · 10-05-10, 11:31 PM

interesting spot to perhaps fade halladay in his first play off appearance?

msj0001 · 10-05-10, 11:31 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Why not. No one thinks they have any chance. They are a playoff team. I think the phils lost one of the first 2 games in the div round every time if im right.

hard to bet against the phils after the ended the season on that 19-5 streak, but i kind of like the reds tomorrow too. I think Joey Votto comes through big tomorrow

lakerboy · 10-05-10, 11:36 PM

Originally posted by MannyWood

Just out of curiousity, with 81% on the Phils, how much would the line need to move before we bet on them???

It wont move. The phils will stay around -205 and the books will pray for the reds RL to cash.

Originally posted by hawley

interesting spot to perhaps fade halladay in his first play off appearance?

100% correct. This clown has never pitched a playoff game before and we got a thread in this section dedicated to him. Thats pure fade material. Also the game is at that weird 5:05 PM time slot that will allow it to start in the evening but end in the dark. All the philly folks will be piss drunk and booing this fukker if he allows a few early runs. Im telling you guys the Reds ML (small)and RL (double the small) are the plays. On top of that why is the total only 7 if the reds are throwing volquez out there? volquez is gold as a dog pitcher. Just think twice before you bet on the phils. They should win the game but in sports you dont make money by taking -200 ML's.

Schnebs · 10-05-10, 11:43 PM

ok so what about the other game tomorrow? any thoughts? i pick rays at home but they seem to have lost momentum at the end of the season. and tey are not favored by very much.

MidgetTossers · 10-05-10, 11:50 PM

Originally posted by Bo$$ Bet$

MT what up pimp

not much boss..how u been bro?

Brocc · 10-05-10, 11:53 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

It wont move. The phils will stay around -205 and the books will pray for the reds RL to cash.

100% correct. This clown has never pitched a playoff game before and we got a thread in this section dedicated to him. Thats pure fade material. Also the game is at that weird 5:05 PM time slot that will allow it to start in the evening but end in the dark. All the philly folks will be piss drunk and booing this fukker if he allows a few early runs. Im telling you guys the Reds ML (small)and RL (double the small) are the plays. On top of that why is the total only 7 if the reds are throwing volquez out there? volquez is gold as a dog pitcher. Just think twice before you bet on the phils. They should win the game but in sports you dont make money by taking -200 ML's.

Now Halladay's a clown

Good luck with the Reds being "the play" LB....Didn't you say say Miami was "the play" Monday night?

The Play is the one that wins, almost counts in horseshoes & grenades.

Certainly not going to argue with you in your thread, carry on.

lakerboy · 10-06-10, 12:01 AM

Originally posted by Brocc

Now Halladay's a clown

Good luck with the Reds being "the play" LB....Didn't you say say Miami was "the play" Monday night?

The Play is the one that wins, almost counts in horseshoes & grenades.

Certainly not going to argue with you in your thread, carry on.

Yes i lost on Miami and i will lose many more going forward. Calling Halladay a clown is just a term that i use when im posting. I guess cause i lost the Miami play i cant ever be right again. I wish i took the Pats but i stick with what has gotten me to the dance and keeps my bankroll growing and thats my system. It is a winning system- not every time but overall. Dont forget i was down 68 units in MLB this year and people were laughing at me but i kept going and made my money. Some people were so scared to post baseball plays the last 2 months even though they were still betting it but not me. I stopped for 10 days to refresh. Brocc my friend philly should win but the game has to be played still. Dont forget you are a homer. Your vision isnt perfect. The local Toronto former GM Gillick won for you guys. You wont win without him.

Bo$$ Bet$ · 10-06-10, 12:04 AM

Originally posted by MidgetTossers

not much boss..how u been bro?

Chillin man chillin...reading all these posts trying to learn something from these "sports gurus" some very intriguing stuff

BookieOweMe · 10-06-10, 12:06 AM

LB, Im already locked in for Yankes and Giants to win their series. Good move?

TylerDurden · 10-06-10, 12:12 AM

Originally posted by lakerboy

It wont move. The phils will stay around -205 and the books will pray for the reds RL to cash.

100% correct. This clown has never pitched a playoff game before and we got a thread in this section dedicated to him. Thats pure fade material. Also the game is at that weird 5:05 PM time slot that will allow it to start in the evening but end in the dark. All the philly folks will be piss drunk and booing this fukker if he allows a few early runs. Im telling you guys the Reds ML (small)and RL (double the small) are the plays. On top of that why is the total only 7 if the reds are throwing volquez out there? volquez is gold as a dog pitcher. Just think twice before you bet on the phils. They should win the game but in sports you dont make money by taking -200 ML's.

Might be the best advice you can give people on this forum LB...question though, what is the maximum ML you will personally take? I realize this might vary a bit dependent upon the sport/situation but generally speaking what is your cut-off point?

lakerboy · 10-06-10, 12:32 AM

Originally posted by TylerDurden

Might be the best advice you can give people on this forum LB...question though, what is the maximum ML you will personally take? I realize this might vary a bit dependent upon the sport/situation but generally speaking what is your cut-off point?

Tyler i have taken -400 in the past but its not worth it. Obviously it depends on the sit. Reds are a little bit over 500 on the road this year hence they are not +190 this game. Also i look at certain books and one i like is not giving good odds on reds ML compared to others and that has worked in the past for me.

Mikail · 10-06-10, 12:38 AM

LB is right here. Reds RL looks like the best play value wise. I personally like the under 7.5 buying the half point.