John morrison 2010 mlb system

**donnsjuan** · 05-05-10, 11:40 PM

Originally posted by DukeJohn

Let me say, I do not endorse this system, however, since you listed the Atlanta game in September, I might point out the Texas Game in September. They were swept by the Yankees... just fyi.

BoL,

hope i quoted correctly.. anyhoo..
the reason the texas game is not listed is because they play 2 games on aug 10th-11th as well.

and for Postman78, Official means that on the day we need to bet on these games, the team your betting on's RPI is no more than .015 lower than the opponents. Unofficial means there is more than .015 difference (these most of us would not recommend betting on).
now if that unofficial bet wins on the first day then you can make a 3.0 bet on the next game on the opposite team (the team that did the sweep in the original series) IF they are .025 higher than the team that won the unofficial bet(the team that got swept in the original series).
3.0 was a system he made later to make more betting opportunities.

**InsideKing** · 05-06-10, 12:40 AM

I seem to have the system mostly figured out only thing that is confusing me is how Detroit wouldnt be the V.1 play? They were swept and although the difference in RPI is .037 they are on the higher side and are statistically the better team why would we be laying off of the game 1? Wouldnt you only lay off game one if the shittier team like cleveland was swept first and now you have to bet on them game one but there RPI is too much lower, over the .025 threshold?

**donnsjuan** · 05-06-10, 12:57 AM

Originally posted by InsideKing

I seem to have the system mostly figured out only thing that is confusing me is how Detroit wouldnt be the V.1 play? They were swept and although the difference in RPI is .037 they are on the higher side and are statistically the better team why would we be laying off of the game 1? Wouldnt you only lay off game one if the shittier team like cleveland was swept first and now you have to bet on them game one but there RPI is too much lower, over the .025 threshold?

detroit was not swept, they did the sweeping. which means you are supposed to bet on cleveland, the team that was swept, in this rematch series. but because cleveland is too shitty like you say, and dont make the .015 RPI filter its unofficial.

not that it isnt a good idea to bet on detroit 1st game, its just not how it is on paper in JM's system. because they are the team that swept in the last series they are only eligible for JM's 3.0 system. 1.0 is only teams that were swept.
and if you look lower at one of stevex's posts, you can see that it actually is not a bad idea too just bet on detroit first game in a scenario like this so you can have an A, B, and C bet instead of just A and B. but thats at your own risk of course.

**Matweizman** · 05-06-10, 05:02 AM

Very well-put

**xmen** · 05-06-10, 09:23 AM

RPI Difference:
Tigers .507
Indians .478

.029 Difference

**InsideKing** · 05-06-10, 09:53 AM

Thanks donn...It was confusing the hell out of me because I was under the impression that Detroit was swept. Had detroit been swept, on rematch there RPI only has to be .012 higher then the opposing team or .015 higher?

**stevex** · 05-06-10, 11:00 AM

Yeh sorry about confusing you guys with that little twist I put in there, it's only if you want to do that to have more bets. Just letting everyone know, SATURDAY is a potential version 3 play on Detroit IF Cleveland wins tomorrow

stevex

**Kelloggs** · 05-06-10, 01:02 PM

Originally posted by Kelloggs

I made a schedule that I will update as the season progresses if anyone is interested http://www.sahlsa.dk/junk/jm_mlb_schedule_2010.xls

Added:
Cle-Tor 28/6
Bal-Nyy 8/6
Det-Min 28/6

Not sure if Bos-Laa should be added, 3 first game out of 4 have been won by Bos

**Matweizman** · 05-06-10, 02:37 PM

Only if it's a sweep for all 4

**donnsjuan** · 05-06-10, 02:51 PM

Originally posted by xmen

RPI Difference:
Tigers .507
Indians .478

.029 Difference

yah espn updates the RPI after every complete day of baseball, so it is subject to change

**donnsjuan** · 05-06-10, 02:58 PM

tomorrow morning i'll do a an update to the list/rpi again since the game is at 7 there is a lot of time beforehand.

also there is potential for more sweeps today, in Pittsburgh, Boston, San Fran, Milwaukee, and Tampa!
hopefully all these teams win so we can add more games to the list.

**stevex** · 05-06-10, 04:15 PM

Patience is the key with the system guys, there has not been a play yet (V1, 2 or 3) but get ready because May has the potential for a good month. My only problem is going to be when there are 2 V1 plays on the same day, any ideas?

**donnsjuan** · 05-06-10, 04:43 PM

you just need to bet lower, say half, so that if they both go to B its a similar risk.
but if one bet wins and one goes to b you can bet more on that b to make up for it.
there is a whole bunch of things you can do, but its all up to you. different situations will call for different things.

**Postman78** · 05-06-10, 09:28 PM

i have a question for anyone who has been using his system for a while how often have you seen the team youre betting on (the team that got swept) sweep their opponents in the series?

**Matweizman** · 05-06-10, 11:43 PM

In MLB it happened maybe 1 or two times last year. I can't remember for NHL/NBA..

**Fishhead** · 05-07-10, 05:51 AM

Originally posted by donnsjuan

tomorrow morning i'll do a an update to the list/rpi again since the game is at 7 there is a lot of time beforehand.

also there is potential for more sweeps today, in Pittsburgh, Boston, San Fran, Milwaukee, and Tampa!
hopefully all these teams win so we can add more games to the list.

Thank you for your work

**CatPulp** · 05-07-10, 07:37 AM

Originally posted by Postman78

i have a question for anyone who has been using his system for a while how often have you seen the team youre betting on (the team that got swept) sweep their opponents in the series?

It's happened a few times but once the team that got swept wins, then that chase is over and the series is considered concluded. I would not consider it a good betting strategy to continually play the series after your team has won either the A or B bet in the progression.

**Postman78** · 05-07-10, 08:33 AM

Originally posted by CatPulp

It's happened a few times but once the team that got swept wins, then that chase is over and the series is considered concluded. I would not consider it a good betting strategy to continually play the series after your team has won either the A or B bet in the progression.

oh no I wasn't thinking that what I was thinking is in MLB since the team that got swept pretty much never sweeps the same team the next time they meet, then I'll bet on the team that got swept ( which would be a v.1 play) at one sb,and I'll bet on their opponents at another sb and chase them til I win at both sb accounts just a thought probably retarded but if you understand what I'm saying let me know what you think I figured this would be the best place to throw it out there

**Nick6570** · 05-07-10, 09:25 AM

Im pretty pumped about the system this year

**cmdyrds** · 05-07-10, 09:25 AM

thoughts on the indians tigers today? reverse?

**tcarn01** · 05-07-10, 09:26 AM

when does it start?

**dvb02** · 05-07-10, 09:34 AM

Originally posted by Postman78

oh no I wasn't thinking that what I was thinking is in MLB since the team that got swept pretty much never sweeps the same team the next time they meet, then I'll bet on the team that got swept ( which would be a v.1 play) at one sb,and I'll bet on their opponents at another sb and chase them til I win at both sb accounts just a thought probably retarded but if you understand what I'm saying let me know what you think I figured this would be the best place to throw it out there

I would think you would play the system normally (bet on the team that got swept previously), and if the A bet won, then maybe do a 2 game chase on the team that previously did the sweep (with the thinking that they will not get swept). This would reduce your exposure (and your number of plays unfortunately). Backtesting this may be a good idea.

**pelos879** · 05-07-10, 09:40 AM

Tigers RPI .499
Indians RPI .472

.027 Difference

If the Indians win the first game the RPI difference might be below the .025 needed for a V3 play.

**donnsjuan** · 05-07-10, 09:55 AM

ok so yesterday 4 of the 5 possible sweeps happened! heres my update,

first all caps team is the one your betting on in 1.0 & Unofficial
** - makes official .015 difference

PITTSBURGH vs Milwaukee - april 26th =FINISHED=
CLEVELAND vs Detroit - may 7th .027 =TODAY=
CINCINNATI vs Pittsburgh - may 10th over **
TORONTO vs Boston - may 10th .005 **
SAN FRANSISCO vs San Diego - may 11th over **
BALTIMORE vs Seattle - may 11th over **
CHICAGO vs Pittsburgh - may 14th over ** =NEW=
SEATTLE vs Tampa Bay - may 14th .088 =NEW=
HOUSTON vs San Fran - may 14th .086
BOSTON vs Tampa Bay - may 24th .045
TORONTO vs LAA - may 24th over **
CWS vs Cleveland - may 24th over **
BALTIMORE vs Toronto - may 28th .024
HOUSTON vs Cincinnati - may 28th .045
BALTIMORE vs NYY - jun 1st .064
BOSTON vs Baltimore - Jun 4th over **
SEATTLE vs Texas - jun 7th .042
MILWAUKEE vs CHC - jun 8th over **
DETROIT vs Minnesota - Jun 28th .021
CLEVELAND vs Toronto - Jun 28th .031
PITTSBURGH vs Houston - Jul 6th over **
ARIZONA vs San Diego - Jul 16th .037
SEATTLE vs CWS Jul 19th .020
BALTIMORE vs Tampa Bay - Jul 19th .074
LAD vs NYM - Jul 22nd^^^ .055
LAA vs Boston - jul 26th .008 ** =NEW=
FLORIDA vs San Fran - jul 26th .037 =NEW=
LAA vs Detroit - aug 6th over **
HOUSTON vs Atlanta - aug 9th .047
HOUSTON vs philly - aug 23rd .101
ATLANTA vs St louis - Sep 9th .041

RPI is subject to change.

**donnsjuan** · 05-07-10, 09:56 AM

Originally posted by pelos879

Tigers RPI .499
Indians RPI .472

.027 Difference

If the Indians win the first game the RPI difference might be below the .025 needed for a V3 play.

it needs to be ABOVE .025 to bet on the tigers in 3.0

**xmen** · 05-07-10, 10:02 AM

Read what pelos879 is saying... If the Indians win this first game, the RPI difference might be below .025. If the RPI difference is below .025 then there is no V3.

**Postman78** · 05-07-10, 10:37 AM

So even though cle/det is unofficial is anyone playin on either of them today?

**stevex** · 05-07-10, 10:38 AM

Yeh, doesn't look like there will be a Version 3 play tomorrow if Cleveland wins tonight, the RPI difference will drop below .025. No worries though, next monday and Tuesday there are a possible 4 different version 1 plays, so get ready...

**Kelloggs** · 05-07-10, 11:20 AM

Originally posted by Kelloggs

I made a schedule that I will update as the season progresses if anyone is interested http://www.sahlsa.dk/junk/jm_mlb_schedule_2010.xls

Added
Chc-Pit 14/5
Sea-Tam 14/5
Flo-San 26/7
Laa-Bos 26/7

**xmen** · 05-07-10, 12:20 PM

The Indians will probably not sweep the Tigers but you do not want to get burned by screwing with the system.

**Hawk007** · 05-07-10, 12:38 PM

Is there an official play today?

**Peregrine Stoop** · 05-07-10, 12:46 PM

can the thinking members here please help chime in and end this crap that flushes people's money down the drain

**xmen** · 05-07-10, 12:52 PM

No official play today... The RPI difference is not within the range

**stevex** · 05-07-10, 01:10 PM

Just to get everyone on the same path here....

1. There has been no plays yet using the Morrison System (V1, 2 or 3)
2. Tonight, IF Cleveland wins there won't be V.3 play on Detroit on Saturday because there RPI difference won't be above .025.
3. There are no plays this weekend
4. On Monday morning I will update you guys with the official or unofficial plays for Monday and Tuesday since there are a couple of system plays that day and Tuesday.

stevex

**Postman78** · 05-07-10, 02:57 PM

Well put stevex