John morrison 2010 mlb system

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  • donnsjuan
    SBR Rookie
    • 12-14-09
    • 25

    #281
    Originally posted by DukeJohn
    Let me say, I do not endorse this system, however, since you listed the Atlanta game in September, I might point out the Texas Game in September. They were swept by the Yankees... just fyi.

    BoL,

    hope i quoted correctly.. anyhoo..
    the reason the texas game is not listed is because they play 2 games on aug 10th-11th as well.

    and for Postman78, Official means that on the day we need to bet on these games, the team your betting on's RPI is no more than .015 lower than the opponents. Unofficial means there is more than .015 difference (these most of us would not recommend betting on).
    now if that unofficial bet wins on the first day then you can make a 3.0 bet on the next game on the opposite team (the team that did the sweep in the original series) IF they are .025 higher than the team that won the unofficial bet(the team that got swept in the original series).
    3.0 was a system he made later to make more betting opportunities.
    Comment
    • InsideKing
      SBR Hustler
      • 05-06-10
      • 55

      #282
      I seem to have the system mostly figured out only thing that is confusing me is how Detroit wouldnt be the V.1 play? They were swept and although the difference in RPI is .037 they are on the higher side and are statistically the better team why would we be laying off of the game 1? Wouldnt you only lay off game one if the shittier team like cleveland was swept first and now you have to bet on them game one but there RPI is too much lower, over the .025 threshold?
      Comment
      • donnsjuan
        SBR Rookie
        • 12-14-09
        • 25

        #283
        Originally posted by InsideKing
        I seem to have the system mostly figured out only thing that is confusing me is how Detroit wouldnt be the V.1 play? They were swept and although the difference in RPI is .037 they are on the higher side and are statistically the better team why would we be laying off of the game 1? Wouldnt you only lay off game one if the shittier team like cleveland was swept first and now you have to bet on them game one but there RPI is too much lower, over the .025 threshold?
        detroit was not swept, they did the sweeping. which means you are supposed to bet on cleveland, the team that was swept, in this rematch series. but because cleveland is too shitty like you say, and dont make the .015 RPI filter its unofficial.

        not that it isnt a good idea to bet on detroit 1st game, its just not how it is on paper in JM's system. because they are the team that swept in the last series they are only eligible for JM's 3.0 system. 1.0 is only teams that were swept.
        and if you look lower at one of stevex's posts, you can see that it actually is not a bad idea too just bet on detroit first game in a scenario like this so you can have an A, B, and C bet instead of just A and B. but thats at your own risk of course.
        Comment
        • Matweizman
          SBR High Roller
          • 04-28-10
          • 199

          #284
          Very well-put
          Comment
          • xmen
            SBR Rookie
            • 05-05-10
            • 28

            #285
            RPI Difference:
            Tigers .507
            Indians .478

            .029 Difference
            Comment
            • InsideKing
              SBR Hustler
              • 05-06-10
              • 55

              #286
              Thanks donn...It was confusing the hell out of me because I was under the impression that Detroit was swept. Had detroit been swept, on rematch there RPI only has to be .012 higher then the opposing team or .015 higher?
              Comment
              • stevex
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 05-02-10
                • 5122

                #287
                Yeh sorry about confusing you guys with that little twist I put in there, it's only if you want to do that to have more bets. Just letting everyone know, SATURDAY is a potential version 3 play on Detroit IF Cleveland wins tomorrow

                stevex
                Comment
                • Kelloggs
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 06-14-08
                  • 958

                  #288
                  Originally posted by Kelloggs
                  I made a schedule that I will update as the season progresses if anyone is interested http://www.sahlsa.dk/junk/jm_mlb_schedule_2010.xls
                  Added:
                  Cle-Tor 28/6
                  Bal-Nyy 8/6
                  Det-Min 28/6

                  Not sure if Bos-Laa should be added, 3 first game out of 4 have been won by Bos
                  Comment
                  • Matweizman
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 04-28-10
                    • 199

                    #289
                    Only if it's a sweep for all 4
                    Comment
                    • donnsjuan
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 12-14-09
                      • 25

                      #290
                      Originally posted by xmen
                      RPI Difference:
                      Tigers .507
                      Indians .478

                      .029 Difference
                      yah espn updates the RPI after every complete day of baseball, so it is subject to change
                      Comment
                      • donnsjuan
                        SBR Rookie
                        • 12-14-09
                        • 25

                        #291
                        tomorrow morning i'll do a an update to the list/rpi again since the game is at 7 there is a lot of time beforehand.

                        also there is potential for more sweeps today, in Pittsburgh, Boston, San Fran, Milwaukee, and Tampa!
                        hopefully all these teams win so we can add more games to the list.
                        Comment
                        • stevex
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 05-02-10
                          • 5122

                          #292
                          Patience is the key with the system guys, there has not been a play yet (V1, 2 or 3) but get ready because May has the potential for a good month. My only problem is going to be when there are 2 V1 plays on the same day, any ideas?
                          Comment
                          • donnsjuan
                            SBR Rookie
                            • 12-14-09
                            • 25

                            #293
                            you just need to bet lower, say half, so that if they both go to B its a similar risk.
                            but if one bet wins and one goes to b you can bet more on that b to make up for it.
                            there is a whole bunch of things you can do, but its all up to you. different situations will call for different things.
                            Comment
                            • Postman78
                              SBR MVP
                              • 04-28-10
                              • 1159

                              #294
                              i have a question for anyone who has been using his system for a while how often have you seen the team youre betting on (the team that got swept) sweep their opponents in the series?
                              Comment
                              • Matweizman
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 04-28-10
                                • 199

                                #295
                                In MLB it happened maybe 1 or two times last year. I can't remember for NHL/NBA..
                                Comment
                                • Fishhead
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 08-11-05
                                  • 40179

                                  #296
                                  Originally posted by donnsjuan
                                  tomorrow morning i'll do a an update to the list/rpi again since the game is at 7 there is a lot of time beforehand.

                                  also there is potential for more sweeps today, in Pittsburgh, Boston, San Fran, Milwaukee, and Tampa!
                                  hopefully all these teams win so we can add more games to the list.

                                  Thank you for your work
                                  Comment
                                  • CatPulp
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 11-13-09
                                    • 265

                                    #297
                                    Originally posted by Postman78
                                    i have a question for anyone who has been using his system for a while how often have you seen the team youre betting on (the team that got swept) sweep their opponents in the series?
                                    It's happened a few times but once the team that got swept wins, then that chase is over and the series is considered concluded. I would not consider it a good betting strategy to continually play the series after your team has won either the A or B bet in the progression.
                                    Comment
                                    • Postman78
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 04-28-10
                                      • 1159

                                      #298
                                      Originally posted by CatPulp
                                      It's happened a few times but once the team that got swept wins, then that chase is over and the series is considered concluded. I would not consider it a good betting strategy to continually play the series after your team has won either the A or B bet in the progression.
                                      oh no I wasn't thinking that what I was thinking is in MLB since the team that got swept pretty much never sweeps the same team the next time they meet, then I'll bet on the team that got swept ( which would be a v.1 play) at one sb,and I'll bet on their opponents at another sb and chase them til I win at both sb accounts just a thought probably retarded but if you understand what I'm saying let me know what you think I figured this would be the best place to throw it out there
                                      Comment
                                      • Nick6570
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 04-15-09
                                        • 163

                                        #299
                                        Im pretty pumped about the system this year
                                        Comment
                                        • cmdyrds
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 08-20-09
                                          • 522

                                          #300
                                          thoughts on the indians tigers today? reverse?
                                          Comment
                                          • tcarn01
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 10-27-09
                                            • 1993

                                            #301
                                            when does it start?
                                            Comment
                                            • dvb02
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 06-30-09
                                              • 2941

                                              #302
                                              Originally posted by Postman78
                                              oh no I wasn't thinking that what I was thinking is in MLB since the team that got swept pretty much never sweeps the same team the next time they meet, then I'll bet on the team that got swept ( which would be a v.1 play) at one sb,and I'll bet on their opponents at another sb and chase them til I win at both sb accounts just a thought probably retarded but if you understand what I'm saying let me know what you think I figured this would be the best place to throw it out there
                                              I would think you would play the system normally (bet on the team that got swept previously), and if the A bet won, then maybe do a 2 game chase on the team that previously did the sweep (with the thinking that they will not get swept). This would reduce your exposure (and your number of plays unfortunately). Backtesting this may be a good idea.
                                              Comment
                                              • pelos879
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 03-19-09
                                                • 222

                                                #303
                                                Tigers RPI .499
                                                Indians RPI .472

                                                .027 Difference

                                                If the Indians win the first game the RPI difference might be below the .025 needed for a V3 play.
                                                Comment
                                                • donnsjuan
                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                  • 12-14-09
                                                  • 25

                                                  #304
                                                  ok so yesterday 4 of the 5 possible sweeps happened! heres my update,

                                                  first all caps team is the one your betting on in 1.0 & Unofficial
                                                  ** - makes official .015 difference

                                                  PITTSBURGH vs Milwaukee - april 26th =FINISHED=
                                                  CLEVELAND vs Detroit - may 7th .027 =TODAY=
                                                  CINCINNATI vs Pittsburgh - may 10th over **
                                                  TORONTO vs Boston - may 10th .005 **
                                                  SAN FRANSISCO vs San Diego - may 11th over **
                                                  BALTIMORE vs Seattle - may 11th over **
                                                  CHICAGO vs Pittsburgh - may 14th over ** =NEW=
                                                  SEATTLE vs Tampa Bay - may 14th .088 =NEW=
                                                  HOUSTON vs San Fran - may 14th .086
                                                  BOSTON vs Tampa Bay - may 24th .045
                                                  TORONTO vs LAA - may 24th over **
                                                  CWS vs Cleveland - may 24th over **
                                                  BALTIMORE vs Toronto - may 28th .024
                                                  HOUSTON vs Cincinnati - may 28th .045
                                                  BALTIMORE vs NYY - jun 1st .064
                                                  BOSTON vs Baltimore - Jun 4th over **
                                                  SEATTLE vs Texas - jun 7th .042
                                                  MILWAUKEE vs CHC - jun 8th over **
                                                  DETROIT vs Minnesota - Jun 28th .021
                                                  CLEVELAND vs Toronto - Jun 28th .031
                                                  PITTSBURGH vs Houston - Jul 6th over **
                                                  ARIZONA vs San Diego - Jul 16th .037
                                                  SEATTLE vs CWS Jul 19th .020
                                                  BALTIMORE vs Tampa Bay - Jul 19th .074
                                                  LAD vs NYM - Jul 22nd^^^ .055
                                                  LAA vs Boston - jul 26th .008 ** =NEW=
                                                  FLORIDA vs San Fran - jul 26th .037 =NEW=
                                                  LAA vs Detroit - aug 6th over **
                                                  HOUSTON vs Atlanta - aug 9th .047
                                                  HOUSTON vs philly - aug 23rd .101
                                                  ATLANTA vs St louis - Sep 9th .041


                                                  RPI is subject to change.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • donnsjuan
                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                    • 12-14-09
                                                    • 25

                                                    #305
                                                    Originally posted by pelos879
                                                    Tigers RPI .499
                                                    Indians RPI .472

                                                    .027 Difference

                                                    If the Indians win the first game the RPI difference might be below the .025 needed for a V3 play.
                                                    it needs to be ABOVE .025 to bet on the tigers in 3.0
                                                    Comment
                                                    • xmen
                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                      • 05-05-10
                                                      • 28

                                                      #306
                                                      Read what pelos879 is saying... If the Indians win this first game, the RPI difference might be below .025. If the RPI difference is below .025 then there is no V3.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Postman78
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 04-28-10
                                                        • 1159

                                                        #307
                                                        So even though cle/det is unofficial is anyone playin on either of them today?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • stevex
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 05-02-10
                                                          • 5122

                                                          #308
                                                          Yeh, doesn't look like there will be a Version 3 play tomorrow if Cleveland wins tonight, the RPI difference will drop below .025. No worries though, next monday and Tuesday there are a possible 4 different version 1 plays, so get ready...
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Kelloggs
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 06-14-08
                                                            • 958

                                                            #309
                                                            Originally posted by Kelloggs
                                                            I made a schedule that I will update as the season progresses if anyone is interested http://www.sahlsa.dk/junk/jm_mlb_schedule_2010.xls
                                                            Added
                                                            Chc-Pit 14/5
                                                            Sea-Tam 14/5
                                                            Flo-San 26/7
                                                            Laa-Bos 26/7
                                                            Comment
                                                            • xmen
                                                              SBR Rookie
                                                              • 05-05-10
                                                              • 28

                                                              #310
                                                              The Indians will probably not sweep the Tigers but you do not want to get burned by screwing with the system.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Hawk007
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-26-09
                                                                • 2492

                                                                #311
                                                                Is there an official play today?
                                                                NCAA Basketball
                                                                '08-'09 (12-8) 60%
                                                                '09-'10 (63-46) 58%
                                                                WNBA
                                                                '10 (45-29) 64%
                                                                CFL
                                                                '10 (20-18)
                                                                NCAAF
                                                                '10 (16-7)
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Peregrine Stoop
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 10-23-09
                                                                  • 869

                                                                  #312
                                                                  can the thinking members here please help chime in and end this crap that flushes people's money down the drain
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • xmen
                                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                                    • 05-05-10
                                                                    • 28

                                                                    #313
                                                                    No official play today... The RPI difference is not within the range
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • stevex
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 05-02-10
                                                                      • 5122

                                                                      #314
                                                                      Just to get everyone on the same path here....

                                                                      1. There has been no plays yet using the Morrison System (V1, 2 or 3)
                                                                      2. Tonight, IF Cleveland wins there won't be V.3 play on Detroit on Saturday because there RPI difference won't be above .025.
                                                                      3. There are no plays this weekend
                                                                      4. On Monday morning I will update you guys with the official or unofficial plays for Monday and Tuesday since there are a couple of system plays that day and Tuesday.

                                                                      stevex
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Postman78
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 04-28-10
                                                                        • 1159

                                                                        #315
                                                                        Well put stevex
                                                                        Comment
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