Mets ML (-170), RL (-120), Over 10 (-115): The over just missed yesterday, but all the same factors hold here. Seddon is likely to be a bit of a sitting duck against the Mets. If Maine pitches well, the RL will be a likely win and the over will be a test. If Maine gets hit, the opposite will be the case, but both are reasonably likely to win IMO.
KC ML (+230), Over 9 (-115): Verlander may well rebound from his last start with a shut-down outing here, but he tired at the end of last season, and the chances that that may happen again makes this huge dog line too high to pass up. If Verlander is a bit off, the over is very likely to come in, but even if he isn't, Detroit is entirely capable of getting to 9 all by themselves.
Boston ML (-170), RL (-115): Wakefield has had a few rough starts in a row, but his dominance at Tropicana is attributable to real factors, and I think he is likely to have another high-quality start. Even if he doesn't, Jackson looks like he may be reverting back to his old disastrous form, and he may well get hit hard here. His September has been awful so far, even worse than any of his early season months when he was possibly the worst regular starter in the majors.
Houston ML (-155), Over 8.5 (-110): Houston has some solid bats in their lineup as the season winds down, and they should be able to get to Wellemeyer, who wasn't terribly effective as a starter. If Houston gets 4, one of these will win, but I think there is value with both.
Bal/Tex Over 10 (-120): Texas day games have trended under this year, but I think that is anomalous. The pitching here just isn't too solid in general, and the runs are more likely to reach double digits than not IMO.
Cincinnati ML (-155), Under 8.5 (-105): Harang is likely to have a strong start, and Cincinnati may have a hard time getting most of this total on their own. If the game goes over, it is much more likely to result in a Cincy win than an SF win, but I see both bets as having value.
KC ML (+230), Over 9 (-115): Verlander may well rebound from his last start with a shut-down outing here, but he tired at the end of last season, and the chances that that may happen again makes this huge dog line too high to pass up. If Verlander is a bit off, the over is very likely to come in, but even if he isn't, Detroit is entirely capable of getting to 9 all by themselves.
Boston ML (-170), RL (-115): Wakefield has had a few rough starts in a row, but his dominance at Tropicana is attributable to real factors, and I think he is likely to have another high-quality start. Even if he doesn't, Jackson looks like he may be reverting back to his old disastrous form, and he may well get hit hard here. His September has been awful so far, even worse than any of his early season months when he was possibly the worst regular starter in the majors.
Houston ML (-155), Over 8.5 (-110): Houston has some solid bats in their lineup as the season winds down, and they should be able to get to Wellemeyer, who wasn't terribly effective as a starter. If Houston gets 4, one of these will win, but I think there is value with both.
Bal/Tex Over 10 (-120): Texas day games have trended under this year, but I think that is anomalous. The pitching here just isn't too solid in general, and the runs are more likely to reach double digits than not IMO.
Cincinnati ML (-155), Under 8.5 (-105): Harang is likely to have a strong start, and Cincinnati may have a hard time getting most of this total on their own. If the game goes over, it is much more likely to result in a Cincy win than an SF win, but I see both bets as having value.
