I read somewhere that the public overbets favorites after the all star break. I am wondering if this overbetting becomes more pronounced the closer we get to the end of the season.
Does anyone have any stats on this?
The article where I read the "after the all star break" overbetting theory said that blind betting all home dogs > +150 was a positive expectation (after the all star break).
Personally, I don't like blind betting anything. But, if the public does overbet favorites it might be worthwhile to look more closely at dogs > +150.
I am guessing that this overbetting (if it does exist) would become more pronounced as the penant races heat up between now and the end of the season.
Does anyone have any stats on this?
The article where I read the "after the all star break" overbetting theory said that blind betting all home dogs > +150 was a positive expectation (after the all star break).
Personally, I don't like blind betting anything. But, if the public does overbet favorites it might be worthwhile to look more closely at dogs > +150.
I am guessing that this overbetting (if it does exist) would become more pronounced as the penant races heat up between now and the end of the season.
