I posted an angle the other day that has been successful in MLB over the years:
In Game 1 of a series, play any road underdog of +105 or more that won its last game.
There are two qualifiers tonight:
Florida +149
Atlanta +136
As best as I can tell from another site, ALL road underdogs in Game 1 of a series that are off of a win were 856-1040, +148.26 units from 1999 through last year, for an ROI of +7.8% over an eight-season span. This site does not do an odds breakdown though, so if anyone (Ganch HG?) can run the exact numbers for this adding the +105 or more filter (and if you are really nice, run it for this season
), it would be very much appreciated.
Remember that these are merely system selections and not necessarily my real plays. In this case, I do like Florida for other reasons though, so I am playing them. Most likely passing on Braves game.
In Game 1 of a series, play any road underdog of +105 or more that won its last game.
There are two qualifiers tonight:
Florida +149
Atlanta +136
As best as I can tell from another site, ALL road underdogs in Game 1 of a series that are off of a win were 856-1040, +148.26 units from 1999 through last year, for an ROI of +7.8% over an eight-season span. This site does not do an odds breakdown though, so if anyone (Ganch HG?) can run the exact numbers for this adding the +105 or more filter (and if you are really nice, run it for this season
), it would be very much appreciated.Remember that these are merely system selections and not necessarily my real plays. In this case, I do like Florida for other reasons though, so I am playing them. Most likely passing on Braves game.