**** MLB Totals ** 478-343 + 83 units Last Year ****

[blanda]

Hey, DD - Any good overs today?

[doubledime]

Points Awarded:

thekoreanmang gave doubledime 2 Betpoint(s) for this post. dman5601 gave doubledime 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.

Thank you, alway appreciated!

[doubledime]

Good luck on your plays tonight DD bro !!

Thank LC Was not online last night so just catching up this morning.

[doubledime]

Well DD the sides finished 5-4, solid turnaround after rough start. With juice that put me -.10 units which is basically even for the day. It sucks that with prop bets the juice is so high, but books are dicks and know people will pay it. GL today

Chad, I'm not sure when you placed your plays, but if you placed them when I posted and lost .10 units you got some bad lines. Just saying.....

[DU46]

Some nice dog money last night, thanks as always DD

[doubledime]

Good morning,

No Reliever Play(s)
No VMI
No xFIP Totals
No second half totals

xFIP first 5 inning sides:

Clev -.5 runs
Tor -.5 runs
TB

Cubs were a play, but even at -.5 they are -160 which is too much for me so NO PLAY

May have one more on the night card. Just waiting for some info.

Good luck

[NLChad11]

Chad, I'm not sure when you placed your plIays, but if you placed them when I posted and lost .10 units you got some bad lines. Just saying.....

Yes I did get bad lines, oh well. Here's what I got today...
Clev -.5 runs -125
Tor -.5 runs -130
TB even money

Cubs are at -.5 runs for -155 at my book but too much to play still.

[doubledime]

Some nice dog money last night, thanks as always DD

Thanks DU and thanks for "holding the fort down" while I was not around last night.

[DU46]

Thanks DU and thanks for "holding the fort down" while I was not around last night.

Been away for a few weeks, figured I needed to get things cleaned up around here

[doubledime]

Good morning,

Reliever Plays:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 102-81

Regular Plays:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 1-10

VMI:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 27-17 +11.70

xFIP first 5 innings totals:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 55-48

xFIP first 5 innings sides:

Yesterday: 1-2
YTD: 63-42 +29.70

Second Half Plays: (tracking)

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 19-11

[juicername]

DD, correct me if I'm wrong, but you have a way to determine xFIP first 5 innings sides and second half plays where you look at both teams separately.

Should there be times where the stars align and the xFIP first 5 innings side play also is deemed to have a second half advantage, making it a heck of a full game play? Maybe you've looked into this already, but just a thought.

[doubledime]

DD, correct me if I'm wrong, but you have a way to determine xFIP first 5 innings sides and second half plays where you look at both teams separately.

Should there be times where the stars align and the xFIP first 5 innings side play also is deemed to have a second half advantage, making it a heck of a full game play? Maybe you've looked into this already, but just a thought.

Yes to your first statement

The problem is, I have admitted previously, that I just have not been good at picking sides, but as fate would have it, just this morning I was thinking (as I looked at the reliever stats) what if the first five xFIP play indicated one side and the rest/work of the bullpen indicated the same side. I may start seeing if this shows a profit. Right now I am posting more plays than I normally would like to, but as long as everyone is cognisant of the the fact that this is a marathon and not a sprint, I will keep doing so, or until they start losing.

[juicername]

Yes to your first statement

The problem is, I have admitted previously, that I just have not been good at picking sides, but as fate would have it, just this morning I was thinking (as I looked at the reliever stats) what if the first five xFIP play indicated one side and the rest/work of the bullpen indicated the same side. I may start seeing if shows a profit. Right now I am posting more plays than I normally would like to, but as long as everyone is cognisant of the the fact that this is a marathon and not a sprint, I will keep doing so, or until they start losing.

The bolded was exactly what I was trying to say

I know you have a ton of plays already though, so might be too much. Thanks for posting your plays.

[doubledime]

Good morning,

The Reliever Play for Friday:

Cinci/Mia over 3.5 second half
Note: Keep in mind this is based strictly on the bullpen stats. Marlins Park is an under park.

xFip first half total:

At/Phil over 5

xFIP Sides:

Cinci
Milw
TB
Tor -.5 runs
Hou -.5 runs
Clev -.5 runs (This vig is a little high -145, but since we have enough dogs today, I'm including it)
Mets

Second Half Totals:

AZ/St. L under 3.5
Min/Oak over 3.5

No VMI

Good luck

[doubledime]

The bolded was exactly what I was trying to say



I know you have a ton of plays already though, so might be too much. Thanks for posting your plays.

I know, great minds think alike.

[doubledime]

Points Awarded:

juicername gave doubledime 5 Betpoint(s) for this post.

Thank juice

[matt711]

Those 7 sides are 1st 5 innings.......

[matt711]

I misread them......srry

[doubledime]

Those 7 sides are 1st 5 innings.......

Yes always

[doubledime]

Points Awarded:

matt711 gave doubledime 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.

Thanks matt

[doubledime]

Good morning,

Reliever Plays:

Yesterday: 1-0
YTD: 103-81

Regular Plays:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 1-10

VMI:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 27-17 +11.70

xFIP first 5 innings totals:

Yesterday: 1-0
YTD: 56-48

xFIP first 5 innings sides:

Yesterday: 3-4
YTD: 66-46 +28.70

Second Half Plays: (tracking)

Yesterday: 1-1
YTD: 20-12

[doubledime]

Good morning,

Last night Seattle scores four runs in the bottom of the 5th to make our Mets xFIP first five inning play a 5-4 loser. Last week the opposite happened, so as I mentioned before, these situations even out over time, but it still was a disappointing loss.

The Reliever Play for Saturday:

Cinci/Mia over 3.5 second half

VMI:

Balt full game

xFIP first five inning sides:

Cubs -.5 runs
AZ
LAA
Det
KC
Balt
Mets
Note: San Francisco was a big fat dog (+255) that almost qualified, but I just could not pull the trigger on it.

xFIP first five inning totals:

LAA/Tor under 5.5
Min/Oak over 5

Second Half Plays:

Hou/Det over 4
KC/Bost under 3.5
Min/Oak over 3.5

Good luck

[DU46]

I watched that Mets collapse, was frustrating. We've had a couple of tough losses this week with 2 outs in the 5th and the other team scores. Like you said, over time it generally evens out. Good luck today DD!

[thekoreanmang]

DD, I assume that should say HOU/DET, right?

Second Half Plays:

Hou/Seat over 4
KC/Bost under 3.5
Min/Oak over 3.5

[doubledime]

DD, I assume that should say HOU/DET, right?

Second Half Plays:

Hou/Seat over 4
KC/Bost under 3.5
Min/Oak over 3.5

Yes thanks

[doubledime]

Thanks for points kman

[Slipknot26]

Nice work
Got an excellent thread with detail , consistent winners overall .
Best of luck going forward as well DD

[doubledime]

DD, correct me if I'm wrong, but you have a way to determine xFIP first 5 innings sides and second half plays where you look at both teams separately.

Should there be times where the stars align and the xFIP first 5 innings side play also is deemed to have a second half advantage, making it a heck of a full game play? Maybe you've looked into this already, but just a thought.

There are two games today where the stars align on the starters xFIP and the bullpen.

The two games are LAA and the Cubs.

LAA was a xFIP side today and so are the Cubs. LAA lost the first five innings, but as I post this they are winning in the late innings. Cubs play tonight. These are NOT plays but since Juice asked the question and I had a little time I just thought I would share this.

DD

[doubledime]

Nice work
Got an excellent thread with detail , consistent winners overall .
Best of luck going forward as well DD

Thanks Slip. Looks as if your dog is catching some air conditioning.

[doubledime]

Good morning,

Reliever Plays:

Yesterday: 0-1
YTD: 103-82

Regular Plays:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 1-10

VMI:

Yesterday: 1-0
YTD: 28-17 +12.70

xFIP first 5 innings totals:

Yesterday: 2-0
YTD: 58-48

xFIP first 5 innings sides:

Yesterday: 2-5
YTD: 68-51 +25.20

Second Half Plays: (tracking)

Yesterday: 0-2-1
YTD: 20-14

[thekoreanmang]

There are two games today where the stars align on the starters xFIP and the bullpen.

The two games are LAA and the Cubs.

LAA was a xFIP side today and so are the Cubs. LAA lost the first five innings, but as I post this they are winning in the late innings. Cubs play tonight. These are NOT plays but since Juice asked the question and I had a little time I just thought I would share this.

DD

2-0 on these thoughts of yours!

[juicername]

There are two games today where the stars align on the starters xFIP and the bullpen.

The two games are LAA and the Cubs.

LAA was a xFIP side today and so are the Cubs. LAA lost the first five innings, but as I post this they are winning in the late innings. Cubs play tonight. These are NOT plays but since Juice asked the question and I had a little time I just thought I would share this.

DD

Damn, I missed this post and only bet the starters xFIP plays.

Please keep posting these though if you have the time.

[doubledime]

Good morning,

Reliever Plays:

Cubs/Mil over 3.5 second half
KC/Bost over 3.5 second half

No VMI

xFIP sides first 5 inning sides:

Cinci
TB
Tor

xFIP first 5 inning totals:

Mets/Seat under 4.5

Second Half totals (tracking)

Clev/WS under 3.5

Good luck

[doubledime]

2-0 on these thoughts of yours!

None today thekoreanmang

[thekoreanmang]

None today thekoreanmang

Sall good. Didnt expect you too. Just recognizing your success.

Have a great Sabbath, everyone!