o/u 0.5 1st inning plays

[jlani93]

Thanks, maybe we can get a little chatroom going during the offseason where we can bounce back ideas and strategies. I'm ok with sharing the strat, just needs to be with the right "type of people"!

I'd also be real interested in refining it and creating something that evolves. I've messed around with plenty of trading systems in fx and one thing is for sure, if you don't evolve as a trader and evolve your system you will eventually go broke. The markets, just like sports lines are live, it's almost like they live. The only way to survive is to understand how and where they are moving.

In other words, my system just isnt in tune with the "market" and I need to find out why and how to fix it... Or, walk away. Again, my workload is massive right now but I love this game of baseball and finding trends too much to give up that easily. Sure, it helps that today is Friday! LOL

I think starting a chatroom during the offseason sounds like a good idea. You make a lot of sense and I definitely see why any system needs to evolve and change as the market (or lines) change.

I'm glad you decided to give today another try. Although I do hope you get some rest over the weekend. Even just a little R&R does wonders...mentally and physically.

[Hawk007]

GL today TT.

Hope you have a big day, or at least show a profit.

Have any systems for the upcoming football season?

[TechnicalTrader]

GL today TT.

Hope you have a big day, or at least show a profit.

Have any systems for the upcoming football season?

Thanks fellow 1st inning capper! Get em today, get em good and keep it coming!

[thekoreanmang]

we are going 0-7

I think he's just trying to reverse jinx.

[TechnicalTrader]

I think he's just trying to reverse jinx.

??xnij esrever eht

[blackHIPPY]

??xnij esrever eht

sey

[thekoreanmang]

??xnij esrever eht

What does this mean?

Hawk007 got his picks up early and looks like you guys overlap on four picks. The two you both have overs on are:

KC/BOS, 2%
CLE/TEX, 3%

However, he's also going over on

CIN/ARZ, 2%
ATL/SF, 3%

which you are going under on.

[Looking4Winners]

What does this mean?

Try reading the message backwards..

[TechnicalTrader]

What does this mean?

Hawk007 got his picks up early and looks like you guys overlap on four picks. The two you both have overs on are:

KC/BOS, 2%
CLE/TEX, 3%

However, he's also going over on

CIN/ARZ, 2%
ATL/SF, 3%

which you are going under on.

the reverse jinx ¦ xnij esrever eht

I can understand the over play on CIN/ARZ based strictly off of ERA's and how teams have been playing over the last few matchups. However, Finnegan has only givin up one run in his last 5 outings, while Shipley put up nothing but zeroes in his last 5 starts. I usually only look at SP's last 4-8 outings and I think there is a lot of value in this matchup.

As for the ATL/SF game; similar situation with Folty and I like to take pitchers (only in the first) who are coming off of bullpen roles. And the fact that Peavy has started in the past also gave me some additional confidence.

[TechnicalTrader]

Can't edit, that should say:

However, Finnegan has only givin up one run in the first during his last 5 outings, while Shipley put

[white powder]

Thanks, maybe we can get a little chatroom going during the offseason where we can bounce back ideas and strategies. I'm ok with sharing the strat, just needs to be with the right "type of people"!

I'd also be real interested in refining it and creating something that evolves. I've messed around with plenty of trading systems in fx and one thing is for sure, if you don't evolve as a trader and evolve your system you will eventually go broke. The markets, just like sports lines are live, it's almost like they live. The only way to survive is to understand how and where they are moving.

In other words, my system just isnt in tune with the "market" and I need to find out why and how to fix it... Or, walk away. Again, my workload is massive right now but I love this game of baseball and finding trends too much to give up that easily. Sure, it helps that today is Friday! LOL

tt since u mentioned trading fx here can i ask a favor from you. can u pm me which one of bulkowski's books should i start reading first, which one 2nd, than 3rd and until the last one, im gonna have some time for reading books during autumn and winter time so i plan to learn some more about fx.

[Looking4Winners]

I can see why the over -- Arizona is averaging 5.2 rpg against lefty starters, and they have the highest OPS against LHP in the league. The DBacks roughed Finnegan up for 6 runs in 5 innings a month ago.

Shipley has been pretty solid in the 1st. Only once has he given up a run in his 6 starts.

SDQL
season = 2016 and starter = Braden Shipley and o:R1 > .05
season = 2016 and starter = Brandon Finnegan and o:R1 > .05

[nash13]

if you need help with backtesting some ideas i can code you some queries in SDQL. hope this helps.

[doubledime]

Good luck tonight TT

[HeeluvaGuy]

I can see why the over -- Arizona is averaging 5.2 rpg against lefty starters, and they have the highest OPS against LHP in the league. The DBacks roughed Finnegan up for 6 runs in 5 innings a month ago.

Shipley has been pretty solid in the 1st. Only once has he given up a run in his 6 starts.

SDQL
season = 2016 and starter = Braden Shipley and o:R1 > .05
season = 2016 and starter = Brandon Finnegan and o:R1 > .05

Where have I seen that before? Lol Glad you found it useful.

[Looking4Winners]

Where have I seen that before? Lol Glad you found it useful.

The guy I got it from gives out very good info ..

[thekoreanmang]

the reverse jinx ¦ xnij esrever eht

I can understand the over play on CIN/ARZ based strictly off of ERA's and how teams have been playing over the last few matchups. However, Finnegan has only givin up one run in his last 5 outings, while Shipley put up nothing but zeroes in his last 5 starts. I usually only look at SP's last 4-8 outings and I think there is a lot of value in this matchup.

As for the ATL/SF game; similar situation with Folty and I like to take pitchers (only in the first) who are coming off of bullpen roles. And the fact that Peavy has started in the past also gave me some additional confidence.

Makes sense. Tailed you.

What wasn't made clear with Hawk007's picks is that sometimes he bets his picks as single picks and other times they are three games chases. So in his most recent posts he is doing three game chases but in other prior posts there is no indication that it is a chase. Don't really understand the purpose of posting on a forum without being clear about what you're trying to do.

[TechnicalTrader]

I can see why the over -- Arizona is averaging 5.2 rpg against lefty starters, and they have the highest OPS against LHP in the league. The DBacks roughed Finnegan up for 6 runs in 5 innings a month ago.

Shipley has been pretty solid in the 1st. Only once has he given up a run in his 6 starts.

SDQL
season = 2016 and starter = Braden Shipley and o:R1 > .05
season = 2016 and starter = Brandon Finnegan and o:R1 > .05

Great stuff, hadn't really looked that deep. Thank you and please keep this type of infocoming!

[TechnicalTrader]

if you need help with backtesting some ideas i can code you some queries in SDQL. hope this helps.

I might get back to you on that. Thanks!!!

[thekoreanmang]

Wow. Every game so far has featured a first inning run!

[TechnicalTrader]

Remember what I said here: "Wow, just noticed that only 2 of the 11 games saw runs in the first inning. Now that doesn't happen that often. Expect the laws of averages to take over soon..."

Actually, I'm happy so many of them went over. Leaves some room for a few unders...

[thekoreanmang]

Great start. Great stuff, TT.

[TechnicalTrader]

Yeah, we'll see. I sorta put myself in a win-win situation. If we have a bad night, I go on baseball-betting vacation. We win, we make money!

I want at least one of those two final picks!!

[TechnicalTrader]

We had ourselves a nice day yesterday,after two very, very bad days. All in all we went 9-10 over the last three days, losing $319.92. I guess/hope those two days were only a dry streak and we can put up some good numbers for the last few weeks of the season.

We are still a good $400.00 below our peak and my goal is to end the season on a high. That amount in 15-20 days should be doable!

Yesterday: 5:2

Bankroll day 1: $700.00
Record: 180-127
Total Profit: 143.83%
Bankroll day 66: $1706.86

Hit rate: 58.63%

[TechnicalTrader]

the reverse jinx ¦ xnij esrever eht

I can understand the over play on CIN/ARZ based strictly off of ERA's and how teams have been playing over the last few matchups. However, Finnegan has only givin up one run in his last 5 outings, while Shipley put up nothing but zeroes in his last 5 starts. I usually only look at SP's last 4-8 outings and I think there is a lot of value in this matchup.

As for the ATL/SF game; similar situation with Folty and I like to take pitchers (only in the first) who are coming off of bullpen roles. And the fact that Peavy has started in the past also gave me some additional confidence.

HOLY SH!T, I just realized that I capped today's ATL/SF game, rather than yesterday's!! And not one of you caught that??? Not sure if I'll go under today after what SF did in the first yesterday. But still surprised nobody picked that up!

[thekoreanmang]

HOLY SH!T, I just realized that I capped today's ATL/SF game, rather than yesterday's!! And not one of you caught that??? Not sure if I'll go under today after what SF did in the first yesterday. But still surprised nobody picked that up!

Damn. That sucks. I didn't even check the pitching matchup for that game. I just trusted you. Haha.

[jlani93]

Damn. That sucks. I didn't even check the pitching matchup for that game. I just trusted you. Haha.

Same here. Haha. Had a really busy day and was on the go sporadically all day so just went with it. However, I am surprised I didn't catch it when I glanced over my list of the pitchers 1st inning stats yesterday. Like he said...I just trusted you. Lol

[TechnicalTrader]

No plays on the early games, my only lean would be the BAL/NYY game but Green doesn't have enough exp to fit in to my model.

Here we go:

(I might scratch plays if lineups are irregular)
Overs:
PIT/MIL, 4%
CLE/TEX, 3%
TB/HOU, 3%
CIN/ARZ, 4%

Unders:
KC/BOS, 3%
SD/MIA, 3%

The TB and both unders are the riskiest plays if you ask me, but that's what the system is asking for.

Let's get it today!!

[TechnicalTrader]

Adding ATL/SF, over at 3% with Suarez starting for SF.

[TechnicalTrader]

Looking good so far. Really, really want the SFG game!

Overs:
PIT/MIL, 4% WON
CLE/TEX, 3% WON
TB/HOU, 3% LOSS
CIN/ARZ, 4% WON

Unders:
KC/BOS, 3% LOSS
SD/MIA, 3% WON
ATL/SF, 3% PENDING

[thekoreanmang]

Seriously. Looking very good. Neither BetOnline nor BookMaker is offering a first inning score prop for ATL/SF. First time I've seen this since betting these.

[doubledime]

Very good night indeed!!

[TechnicalTrader]

Bankroll day 1: $700.00
Record: 184-130
Total Profit: 150.85%
Bankroll day 67: $1756.01

Hit rate: 58.60%

Damn SF game, should've laid off of it. Would've been a great day. Well, we still gained another 3%. I'll have today's picks up a good hour before the first games start.

[TechnicalTrader]

if you need help with backtesting some ideas i can code you some queries in SDQL. hope this helps.

Hi Nash, please check your inbox. Thanks

[thekoreanmang]

Bankroll day 1: $700.00
Record: 184-130
Total Profit: 150.85%
Bankroll day 67: $1756.01

Hit rate: 58.60%

Damn SF game, should've laid off of it. Would've been a great day. Well, we still gained another 3%. I'll have today's picks up a good hour before the first games start.

I guess your capping of ATL/SF from yesterday still held up today. Good job nonetheless.