o/u 0.5 1st inning plays

[doubledime]

Btw, I took a nice long look at maxumsports (wagerminds link), be extremely carefull with him. Sure he is up 149 units but this is over a TWO WEEK SPAN and he is risking 5 units per bet. That would only be 40 units over two weeks, while risking only 1 unit per bet.

I've seen hundreds of people do this in the past, how many can do this over a span of 3-4 months?? Tread carefully with him my man!

Spot on

[oilcountry99]

Nice stuff here TT! Thanks

[TechnicalTrader]

Thanks guys. Super excited about the second inning plays. just going to be a pain in the a$$ to stay up for them.

I got 8 picks today but am going to post them around 11AM just to make sure I don't get screwed like I did yesterday with Boston.

[blackHIPPY]

i feel like nitrogen puts lines up for 2nd inning o/u before game but i can't remember. I think they do it a little closer to game time

[TechnicalTrader]

i feel like nitrogen puts lines up for 2nd inning o/u before game but i can't remember. I think they do it a little closer to game time

Please let me know if you can find a book which does that. Would be greatly appreciated! Thanks!!

[BetweenHerCheeks]

"Oh, one last thing! My daily performance was only 2%! This is what you can do if you adjust your "unit size" daily. 2% a day can be huuuuge! Baby steps!"

TT what are you saying here?

Are you saying your average DAILY win was 2% of your bank? Does this include losses is this net?

[TechnicalTrader]

"Oh, one last thing! My daily performance was only 2%! This is what you can do if you adjust your "unit size" daily. 2% a day can be huuuuge! Baby steps!"

TT what are you saying here?

Are you saying your average DAILY win was 2% of your bank? Does this include losses is this net?

My bad, I'll try to be a little more clear here:

-My avg bet size was 3-4% of my bankroll
-I averaged about 4-6 best a day
-On the avg (including losses, streaks, everything) I added 2% to my BR.

I readjusted my bet size every day. At first I was betting $14-$28 (2-4%) a day, right now I am at $84 (on a 4% bet) a day. Tomorrow could be $79, maybe $84.

Does that make sense.

I'll say this again and again, forget unit size, I'd even look in to EU style odds because betting units is counterproductive and extremely difficult to manage your cash with. Maybe I'm just used to a clear, transparent strategy from FX maybe it's just the books trying to rip everyone off. You make the call...

[jlani93]

Sure you can make that many picks every day. Just manage your money properly.

-reserve a certain amount of your BR for his picks (let's say 25%)
-simply divide the 25% by the amount of picks he has pending and that will give you your new unit size

Again, a fixed unit size makes zero sense if you ask me. Risking a certain % of BR every bet will keep you away from huge down days and will also multiply your gains when you are on a streak.

Forget units, just go by %/BR at risk.

Thanks for the info TT. I would have no free time (or work time) if I followed multiple cappers, or bet on every game daily. lol.

Your thread is the only one I follow daily since Lep left. I started adding a couple of my own 1st innings in the last 2 weeks. I sometimes add Hawk's picks (when I see them on time). I also make 1-2 full game bets I choose on my own daily. So far I've been happy with how things have been going so far. There's no need to add more to it.

You've been awesome with taking the time to explain and teach us a thing or two to help us be more profitable. I literally keep notes on my MacBook.

Just want you to know I appreciate you.

[TechnicalTrader]

Thanks for the info TT. I would have no free time (or work time) if I followed multiple cappers, or bet on every game daily. lol.

Your thread is the only one I follow daily since Lep left. I started adding a couple of my own 1st innings in the last 2 weeks. I sometimes add Hawk's picks (when I see them on time). I also make 1-2 full game bets I choose on my own daily. So far I've been happy with how things have been going so far. There's no need to add more to it.

You've been awesome with taking the time to explain and teach us a thing or two to help us be more profitable. I literally keep notes on my MacBook.

Just want you to know I appreciate you.

Thanks jlani

I completely understand and am here to help everyone out. Actually, we should all be here helping eachother out! let's make some money and have fun while we're doing it!

[thekoreanmang]

I echo jlani93's sentiments. I used to see a lot of trolling and bashing on this forum, but ever since I found TT and doubledime's threads things have certainly turned around for the better or maybe it's more because I just focus on these profit generating threads where people are trying to go about sports investing, trying to be smarter about things and help each other out. Hawk is pretty good too but he doesn't tend to update his records or release picks as early, which is fine. He's probably just busier during the time before games. What can you do.

I pretty much only bet TT and DD pick for pick. I'll also follow most of Trmeyer's picks as well despite his lack of updated records. JayDr3am and Capybara have been strong too but for some reason I can't get myself to follow them. Probably because it seems they've gotten most of their profits already earlier on in the season. There's not as much fruit left to pick it seems.

[doubledime]

I echo jlani93's sentiments. I used to see a lot of trolling and bashing on this forum, but ever since I found TT and doubledime's threads things have certainly turned around for the better or maybe it's more because I just focus on these profit generating threads where people are trying to go about sports investing, trying to be smarter about things and help each other out. Hawk is pretty good too but he doesn't tend to update his records or release picks as early, which is fine. He's probably just busier during the time before games. What can you do.

I pretty much only bet TT and DD pick for pick. I'll also follow most of Trmeyer's picks as well despite his lack of updated records. JayDr3am and Capybara have been strong too but for some reason I can't get myself to follow them. Probably because it seems they've gotten most of their profits already earlier on in the season. There's not as much fruit left to pick it seems.

Thanks for putting me in the same sentence as TT

[TechnicalTrader]

Thanks for putting me in the same sentence as TT

Woah, slow down there sir. It should be the other way around!!!

As for trolls and negativity. I'm too old for that crap and it sounds like DD is also. I enjoy helping people out. I own a small executive search firm and that's all I do the whole day. Find great talent and offer them great opportunities. Everything will eventually catch up to you. Anyone older than 40 will confirm this. I'd much prefer to surround myself with positive, good people than to waste my time on immature people.

I'm happy people enjoy being in our threads and will do my best to make some money for you guys and also provide you with whatever type of help I can. Mang, you also put a crapload of work in on your series thread. I'd say you are one of the hardest workers on here.

So enough of that. Here are today's picks:

Posting a little early and keeping my eye on lineups! If you notice that a lineup has been rearranged, feel free to lay off of the pick. I'll place my bets later.

Overs:
HOU/BAL, 4%
BOS/DET, 2%
MIA/PIT, 3%
WAS/ATL, 2%
MIN/KC, 3%
CHC/COL, 3%
ARZ/SD, 3%

Under:
NYY/LAA, 3%

My personal favorites are the CHC/COL, ARZ/SD and NYY/LAA picks. But it's not me making these bets, it's the system.

Let's get em tonight and please checkout my 2nd inning thread. I might add a pick or two after the first games start! Livein-game bets can get very exciting if you ask me!

[white powder]

Please let me know if you can find a book which does that. Would be greatly appreciated! Thanks!!

well pinny allows me to put up to 6.7k per bet so lets say i recommend them

[thekoreanmang]

Awesome stuff, mang!

Is the reduced risk % a function of just wanting shift the focus from bankroll generation to bankroll preservation?

[TechnicalTrader]

well pinny allows me to put up to 6.7k per bet so lets say i recommend them

6.7K on 1st inning o/u bets??? Really? Do they also have the 2nd inning lines up yet?

[TechnicalTrader]

Awesome stuff, mang!

Is the reduced risk % a function of just wanting shift the focus from bankroll generation to bankroll preservation?

No, I use various methods when capping. I might not get a strong signal from one method but a very strong one from another and would consider that a mixed sign, 2%. A 4% signal is when all lights are green. If I get a more than 5 or 6 green-light games, I might drop the % on one or two manually just because I don't want 30% of my BR at risk using one system. I hope that make sense my man!

[white powder]

Btw, I took a nice long look at maxumsports (wagerminds link), be extremely carefull with him. Sure he is up 149 units but this is over a TWO WEEK SPAN and he is risking 5 units per bet. That would only be 40 units over two weeks, while risking only 1 unit per bet.

I've seen hundreds of people do this in the past, how many can do this over a span of 3-4 months?? Tread carefully with him my man!

yes you are right, a good capper isnt the one who can makes money when the streak is hot, a good one is the one who doesnt crack under pressure and loose all that he made during bad streaks

[thekoreanmang]

No, I use various methods when capping. I might not get a strong signal from one method but a very strong one from another and would consider that a mixed sign, 2%. A 4% signal is when all lights are green. If I get a more than 5 or 6 green-light games, I might drop the % on one or two manually just because I don't want 30% of my BR at risk using one system. I hope that make sense my man!

It does. Thanks.

Oh, and I'm excited to try out the 2nd inning O/U thread tonight. Hopefully I'll have some time to watch and bet live.

Also, it'll be interesting to see how the BOS/DET and WAS/ATL games do because those pitchers suggest an under.

[white powder]

6.7K on 1st inning o/u bets??? Really? Do they also have the 2nd inning lines up yet?

yes, 6,7k even more. no, bad side of pinny account is that u dont have many options to bet especially when betting live, but they have best odds (maybe not for baseball but for football yes)

[TechnicalTrader]

Another breakeven day... disappointing! I'll update the numbers and add the picks later today.

[TechnicalTrader]

Here we go. I'd wait until the lineups are announced, just in case. Make sure the first starting six are each teams regulars.

Overs
HOU/BAL, 2%
TOR/CLE, 2%
WSH/ATL, 3%
ARZ/SD, 4%

Under
NYM/SF, 3%

[thekoreanmang]

Do you think yesterday's results were due to lineup deviations that weren't/couldn't be accounted for?

[TechnicalTrader]

Do you think yesterday's results were due to lineup deviations that weren't/couldn't be accounted for?

MIA/PIT was a normal loss. Runners on 1st and 2nd, 1 out and Osuna jogs out a grounder. Harrison was safe on that steal. We got robbed. LOL
MIN/KC We all saw how terrible Berrios is. Dyson leading off should've been a reason to call off the bet. I already placed it. Damn late games!
ARZ/SD Clean loss, oh well can't win them all.
NYY/LAA Ellsbury has 1, yes 1 HR in his last 30 games. It came in the first. Oh well, can't win them all and do not expect him to do that again soon.

It's a numbers game. I am still fine with the work I put in, doesn't feel like I got sloppy or was too aggressive.

[omega]

Here we go. I'd wait until the lineups are announced, just in case. Make sure the first starting six are each teams regulars.

Overs
HOU/BAL, 2%
TOR/CLE, 2%
WSH/ATL, 3%
ARZ/SD, 4%

Under
NYM/SF, 3%

so to be clear, these are plays just on the first inning? I don't even know if Bookmaker offers that.

[TechnicalTrader]

so to be clear, these are plays just on the first inning? I don't even know if Bookmaker offers that.

Yes, the top 4 are all over 0.5Run, the bottom pick is the under

[thekoreanmang]

so to be clear, these are plays just on the first inning? I don't even know if Bookmaker offers that.

They do. Check the props link next to the full game bets in the MLB section.

Personally, I go between BetOnline and BookMaker to get the best prices. Sometimes the variation is wide between the two. I'm sure this is the case with other books.

[thekoreanmang]

MIA/PIT was a normal loss. Runners on 1st and 2nd, 1 out and Osuna jogs out a grounder. Harrison was safe on that steal. We got robbed. LOL
MIN/KC We all saw how terrible Berrios is. Dyson leading off should've been a reason to call off the bet. I already placed it. Damn late games!
ARZ/SD Clean loss, oh well can't win them all.
NYY/LAA Ellsbury has 1, yes 1 HR in his last 30 games. It came in the first. Oh well, can't win them all and do not expect him to do that again soon.

It's a numbers game. I am still fine with the work I put in, doesn't feel like I got sloppy or was too aggressive.

I hear ya. Thanks for the recap. Trust in TT.

[TechnicalTrader]

I hear ya. Thanks for the recap. Trust in TT.

Thanks buddy. It just seems like I can't get blazing hot like I was earlier on. I thinking I've been stuck at around 57-58% over the last three weeks. I'm going to shut it down on Wednesday so let's hope we can get a few more profitable days out of it! Starting today!!!

[doubledime]

I hear ya. Thanks for the recap. Trust in TT.

[blackHIPPY]

Why are you stoppin on Wednesday ?

[pairadux]

Gasp!!!

Shutting it down Wednesday???? That's the most heartbreaking thing I've read all weekend. It's almost as shocking as Ryan Lochtie lying about getting mugged. But then again, I have more faith in anything TT posts than what most people vomit out into message boards.

Alright then, let's finish up strong and get our foundation built for next season.

[TechnicalTrader]

Gasp!!!

Shutting it down Wednesday???? That's the most heartbreaking thing I've read all weekend. It's almost as shocking as Ryan Lochtie lying about getting mugged. But then again, I have more faith in anything TT posts than what most people vomit out into message boards.

Alright then, let's finish up strong and get our foundation built for next season.

LOL, you guys are awesome in here.

How about I just keep on posting but will just stop playing them live.

I don't like betting any sport around the first few and last few days of the season. I usually wait a few weeks for baseball. Sorta like trading FX right before big financial news is released. it's just better to stay away.

BTW, That posts / join date ratio you have is wicked dude!! You post on the average 3 times a year! I think I got about three of four of your posts in here, correct?

[doubledime]

Here we go. I'd wait until the lineups are announced, just in case. Make sure the first starting six are each teams regulars.

Overs
HOU/BAL, 2%
TOR/CLE, 2%
WSH/ATL, 3%
ARZ/SD, 4%

Under
NYM/SF, 3%

Let's nail it today TT

[pairadux]

LOL, you guys are awesome in here.

How about I just keep on posting but will just stop playing them live.

I don't like betting any sport around the first few and last few days of the season. I usually wait a few weeks for baseball. Sorta like trading FX right before big financial news is released. it's just better to stay away.

BTW, That posts / join date ratio you have is wicked dude!! You post on the average 3 times a year! I think I got about three of four of your posts in here, correct?

Ha! I hadn't noticed what a lurker I appear to be.

I guess I've never found a thread to call home. True, my ratio is pretty wack. I tried starting a 1st inning thread in the past, but got mocked as it being a fools game. Then I found your thread, and alas, a 1st Inning Brother (and some sisters here too). I think at least 10 of my career posts are here - I'm almost "active" enough to be able to PM people.

[TechnicalTrader]

Ha! I hadn't noticed what a lurker I appear to be.

I guess I've never found a thread to call home. True, my ratio is pretty wack. I tried starting a 1st inning thread in the past, but got mocked as it being a fools game. Then I found your thread, and alas, a 1st Inning Brother (and some sisters here too). I think at least 10 of my career posts are here - I'm almost "active" enough to be able to PM people.

Hey, grab a beer, stretch your legs and feel at home here! Great to have you.

What are your thoughts on the picks and what are your 1st inning picks for today.

I think the NYM/SF pick is risky but the system is asking for it. Not really feeling it at all.