MLB - Wednesday, 4/30/14

[LT Profits]

1 MLB Play Wednesday

Padres +165 (DSI)


YTD: 47-78-1, -24.29

[Big Bear]

Worst hitting team in the history of baseball facing Tim Hudson who has been lights out....

take a look at Rockies +100

[LT Profits]

Worst hitting team in the history of baseball facing Tim Hudson who has been lights out....

take a look at Rockies +100

Padres also have the best bullpen in baseball and Giants are not offensive juggernauts either. Key is Erin getting them five innings before bringing in pen, and Giants are one team he could do that against without imploding, making the +165 worthwhile.

[intriguing]

Giants LARGE !!!!! Thanks LT

[LT Profits]

1 MLB Addition at 1:45 ET

2 MLB Plays Wednesday

Brewers +130 (Heritage)
Padres +165 (DSI)

[Joe D. 416]

Why Milwaukee?

[OhMyEli]

Why Milwaukee?

As much as I admire the guy, look at his record and that's why.

[Big Bear]

Why Milwaukee?

Brewers are 20-7 and 11-1 on the road with Matt Garza on the mound.

Now i dont agree with most of LT's picks but this one has logic behind it. Its +130 and you get the better baseball team.

The time to play underdogs is when you get some kind of edge with a + number. for example the better overall team, better pitcher , hotter team etc...

now take the Padres play for example... no value whatsoever bc the Padres are a bad team with a double A caliber offense who has only scored 75 runs all season.

Not to mention the starting pitcher Erlin is the worst pitcher the Padres have and the Giants send out arguably their most effective pitcher tonight in Tim Hudson. And the Giants are pretty damn good at home.

[No coincidences]

Brewers are 20-7 and 11-1 on the road with Matt Garza on the mound.

Now i dont agree with most of LT's picks but this one has logic behind it. Its +130 and you get the better baseball team.

The time to play underdogs is when you get some kind of edge with a + number. for example the better overall team, better pitcher , hotter team etc...

now take the Padres play for example... no value whatsoever bc the Padres are a bad team with a double A caliber offense who has only scored 75 runs all season.

Not to mention the starting pitcher Erlin is the worst pitcher the Padres have and the Giants send out arguably their most effective pitcher tonight in Tim Hudson. And the Giants are pretty damn good at home.

Typical Bear, acting all high and mighty in April when everything makes sense. You did the exact same thing last year, because 2+2=4 in MLB early. By August, you'll be broke and begging for plays using this kind of simpleton "logic." Again.

[LT Profits]

Also no Molina washed out no Braun.

[Big Bear]

Typical Bear, acting all high and mighty in April when everything makes sense. You did the exact same thing last year, because 2+2=4 in MLB early. By August, you'll be broke and begging for plays using this kind of simpleton "logic." Again.

i agree baseball is much more predictable now than in July.

now is the time to ride the hot pitchers. Every year a group of starting pitchers start out the season almost unbeatable for example Tim Hudson this year is one of those guys. Also Sonny Gray , Yordano Ventura, Tanaka , Jose Fernandez, Zach Greinke, Cliff Lee and some others are pretty consistent..

by all-star break many of these guys will have a regression and hit a rough patch as their arms start to tire.

Right now they continue to get more arm strength and go deeper into games with each start.

After all-star break many newcomers join the big leagues, some of the veterans like Justin Verlander will get in "cruise control mode" and lose to teams they shouldnt... and then as the playoffs near they will turn it back up to a high gear and get serious again.

But the beauty of baseball is that you dont have to over think it... its not fixed .. capp the games based on what you observe.

The time to take dogs is when you get one of these really good pitchers at as a dog like you did with Sonny Gray on Monday at +130.

If you watch the Padres at the plate they are totally lost.

Coiner you and LT both do a good job getting the best number and you guys are disciplined with money management... something i'm still trying to fine tune.

[Big Bear]

Brewers are losing now hopefully they come back but when or lose the value today was undeniable

[whtsox13]

Typical Bear, acting all high and mighty in April when everything makes sense. You did the exact same thing last year, because 2+2=4 in MLB early. By August, you'll be broke and begging for plays using this kind of simpleton "logic." Again.

Think it'll take that long? sigh...

[No coincidences]

Brewers are losing now hopefully they come back but when or lose the value today was undeniable

[labones00]

1 MLB Play Wednesday

Padres +165 (DSI)


YTD: 47-78-1, -24.29

how much do you bet on games? down 24.29 units equals how much in actual $$?

[farmhouse1]

VALUE VALUE VALUE. There's no VALUE on a play that will end up losing....

[LT Profits]

1 More MLB Addition

3 MLB Plays Wednesday

Brewers +130 (Heritage)
Blue Jays +124 (Heritage)
Padres +165 (DSI)

[Big Bear]

What you laughing at pal?

Garza got injured in the 4th .

you saying there is no value in a team that was 20-7 at +130?

[intriguing]

Fade LT to the bank. It's unreal how many losers this guy picks. This is really amazing !!! I love you Lt your the man.

[Big Bear]

Fade LT to the bank. It's unreal how many losers this guy picks. This is really amazing !!! I love you Lt your the man.

When the average price of a game you bet on is +150 its extremely hard to profit. Especially if you don't really be patient and pick your spots.

LT is a good guy though i like his articles

[intriguing]

When the average price of a game you bet on is +150 its extremely hard to profit. Especially if you don't really be patient and pick your spots.

LT is a good guy though i like his articles

hes a great guy. I love him. Been trying to get his Paypal so I can send him money for all the winners I got from fading him

[visualrealism]

What you laughing at pal?
Garza got injured in the 4th .

you saying there is no value in a team that was 20-7 at +130?

83 pitches... lmao

[DoubleR90]

you saying there is no value in a team that was 20-7 at +130?

Are you saying that the books are stupid and didn't know they were giving +130 on a team that was 20-7? The line was set that way for a reason....the 20-7 Brewers were not the same team that played against the Cards tonight and that was evident in both the line and the outcome of the game. Just because you see a 20-7 team with a + next to their moneyline doesn't mean auto bet for value because that's exactly what the books want you to do

[DoubleR90]

I'm completely convinced that LT either fades his own picks and is actually making big money secretly, or he doesn't put real dollars down on these games. There is no way you pick this many losers consistently and continue betting real money....I hope for LT and his family's sake that the former is the case

[No coincidences]

What you laughing at pal?

Garza got injured in the 4th .

you saying there is no value in a team that was 20-7 at +130?

No Braun, no Aramis, no Segura, and I don't suppose you bothered to look up Garza's career numbers at Busch?

[FranchisePlayer]

Takes alot of balls to keep posting losers day after day!