Week 2 I was 6-2.
Weeks 3 and 4 I was .500
Pittsburgh -1 -----------> Loss
Denver -10.5 best bet --> WIN
Denver/Eagles over 57 -> WIN
Atlanta -2 ---------------> Loss
Denver is my preseason super bowl pick and I have been riding them all year. Lines still aren't caught up and they might have the largest spread in NFL history next week. Denver has a shot at going 16-0 or 19-0. Losing 1 or 2 games is more likely but they are clearly the best team in the league.
Thursday night
Bills @ Browns
The Browns defense has actually been very good. They gave up 6 points vs Cincinnati, 6 at Baltimore and 10 vs Miami. They are giving up 4.4 yards per play and 291 yards per game. Yes their schedule has been good from a defensive point of view but so far 1st round pick Mingo has 3 sacks, Paul Krueger can play, D'Qwell Jackson rounds out a solid LB core. Joe Hayden is supposed to be one of the best corners in the game.
Brian Hoyer has played well in his first 2 starts but I highly doubt he will be the answer long term. Backup QB's don't suck, they can fill in and have good games but you usually can't build a team around them. That's probably what Hoyer is. That's not to say he can't play or have a hot hand, but let's be real here.
The Browns defense may not have played very good offenses, Ponder, Tannehill, Dalton, Flacco but EJ Manuel is not very good either. I know his stats give him an 80 QB rating but this guy has been living off of dump off passes to his backs. He is not a competent NFL QB at this point and most likely never will be. Guys like him are a lot easier to defend... They might not make as many mistakes as passing down field QB's but they are easier to defend. The Browns have excelled against guys like Manuel this year and I'd expect it to continue.
No play for me although I'd lean Browns and the Under.
Weeks 3 and 4 I was .500
Pittsburgh -1 -----------> Loss
Denver -10.5 best bet --> WIN
Denver/Eagles over 57 -> WIN
Atlanta -2 ---------------> Loss
Denver is my preseason super bowl pick and I have been riding them all year. Lines still aren't caught up and they might have the largest spread in NFL history next week. Denver has a shot at going 16-0 or 19-0. Losing 1 or 2 games is more likely but they are clearly the best team in the league.
Thursday night
Bills @ Browns
The Browns defense has actually been very good. They gave up 6 points vs Cincinnati, 6 at Baltimore and 10 vs Miami. They are giving up 4.4 yards per play and 291 yards per game. Yes their schedule has been good from a defensive point of view but so far 1st round pick Mingo has 3 sacks, Paul Krueger can play, D'Qwell Jackson rounds out a solid LB core. Joe Hayden is supposed to be one of the best corners in the game.
Brian Hoyer has played well in his first 2 starts but I highly doubt he will be the answer long term. Backup QB's don't suck, they can fill in and have good games but you usually can't build a team around them. That's probably what Hoyer is. That's not to say he can't play or have a hot hand, but let's be real here.
The Browns defense may not have played very good offenses, Ponder, Tannehill, Dalton, Flacco but EJ Manuel is not very good either. I know his stats give him an 80 QB rating but this guy has been living off of dump off passes to his backs. He is not a competent NFL QB at this point and most likely never will be. Guys like him are a lot easier to defend... They might not make as many mistakes as passing down field QB's but they are easier to defend. The Browns have excelled against guys like Manuel this year and I'd expect it to continue.
No play for me although I'd lean Browns and the Under.