who is the better sbr MLB capper here betting to win 1 or risking 1 unit per game ?? what is his units record ??
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nobody bets this way. units change depending....Comment -
BigPage25 is 83-53 this year. pacocn is 178-147 and hits a lot of dogs in his picks.Comment -
from one site :
Sports Gambling - Winning Percentage vs. Units Won
If somebody were to ask you if you would rather be a 60-percent handicapper or a 55-percent handicapper, which would you choose? The obvious answer is that it's better to be a 60-percent handicapper, but that isn't necessarily true.
The only statistic that sports bettors should be concerned with is units won, which is the amount of profit, or loss, they have over time, and not worry nearly as much about winning percentage. In the question above, it would be much better to be a 55-percent handicapper if you were playing 150 games a month, as opposed to a 60-percent handicapper playing one game a day. At the end of the month, the 55-percent handicapper would have gone 83-67 for a gain of 9.3 units, while the 60-percent handicapper would have gone 18-12 for a profit of 4.8 units, so the 55-percent handicapper has made nearly twice as much.
The 55-percent handicapper is using what is commonly referred to as the Wal-Mart Approach, which is to have a lot of volume with the expectation of grinding out a small profit. And as is the case with the Arkansas-based giant, many times this will be more profitable than being extremely selective and doing a small amount of volume, even if the mark-up is higher.
With baseball season just around the corner, many sports gamblers will soon be seeing ads from different sports services claiming winning percentages of 65-percent for baseball, and that's entirely possibly, but what the services aren't saying is that the majority of their selections were favorites of -200 or more, turning that 65-percent handicapping into a losing proposition.
Making it more difficult for sports bettors is that some sports services will claim to have won 200 units in a particular sport, but don't mention that they release 10- or 20-unit plays, along with several 100-unit "locks" at the end of the year if things aren't going so well and they need something to base next year's advertising on.
For the bettors that do their own handicapping, however, units won is really the only thing you should be concerned with, as that ultimately is going to translate into the bottom line. A winning percentage of 55-percent sure doesn't sound as sexy as a 60-percent handicapper, but if your volume of plays is high enough, it can certainly be much more profitable.
Betting Underdogs
The other area where winning percentage can be essentially meaningless is when it comes to moneyline bets, such as baseball and hockey. A high winning percentage in either sport doesn't really tell you anything about the success or failure of a particular handicapper. Are they betting all heavy favorites or underdogs? That is far more important than winning percentage.
A person betting nothing but -150 favorites will need to win 60 percent of their wagers to break even. A person betting only underdogs will show a solid profit at 50 percent winners. Which is more important to you?
There are plenty of sports services in baseball who advertise a winning percentage in the upper 60-percent range. And some of these claims are actually true, although they will neglect to inform you that they are down money for the year because they release nothing but -180 favorites, or higher.
When betting the money line sports, units won, or money won if you prefer, is the only way to gauge the ability of a handicapper. Sure, a high winning percentage is nice, but I've yet to see anyplace accept a high winning percentage instead of cash as a method of payment.Comment
