Pinny somehow always knows

TwoWays · 06-25-13, 12:26 AM

you forgot, was it a full moon yesterday?

Gus Fring · 06-25-13, 12:27 AM

Guy can't make up his mind. He said this when Phil's were up 3-0 heading to the 9th

Originally posted by No coincidences

Can't believe I didn't just go ahead and take Philly. Seemed to make all the sense in the world. Have no idea what the late line drop at Pinny was all about; Phils went from -122 to -110 in less than 10 minutes before first pitch at Pinny. SD closed at +102 there vs. +114 at Bovada.

Giants strand another runner in scoring position. Unreal.

No coincidences · 06-25-13, 12:28 AM

Originally posted by TwoWays

you forgot, was it a full moon yesterday?

Are you telling me it's just a coincidence that they're closing anywhere from 10-14 cents more favorable to the underdog home winner than rec. books? They're either sharp as hell or someone sharp as hell is hammering the right side late. Either way, track Pinnacle's moves vs. other books and you will win. Period.

Same was true today for Tampa -- Pinny was regularly moving the Rays to a higher number and practically begging for Toronto money. Whenever Pinny's line is moving and other books follow vs. the other way around, you should pay attention.

No coincidences · 06-25-13, 12:29 AM

Originally posted by Gus Fring

Guy can't make up his mind. He said this when Phil's were up 3-0 heading to the 9th

Exactly -- and pinnacle was right, like usual. I said I had no idea what the late line drop was all about, and then my question was answered.

DeezusWINSTREAKT · 06-25-13, 12:30 AM

For sure I get it. Post a thread and track this action Cuz I noticed u pointed this out before dude!!! Good way to get paid lately

No coincidences · 06-25-13, 12:31 AM

Originally posted by DeezusWINSTREAKT

For sure I get it. Post a thread and track this action Cuz I noticed u pointed this out before dude!!! Good way to get paid lately

It won't always work, but in the long run, it cashes a hell of a lot more often than not.

Hotnicks · 06-25-13, 12:32 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Are you telling me it's just a coincidence that they're closing anywhere from 10-14 cents more favorable to the underdog home winner than rec. books? They're either sharp as hell or someone sharp as hell is hammering the right side late. Either way, track Pinnacle's moves vs. other books and you will win. Period.

Same was true today for Tampa -- Pinny was regularly moving the Rays to a higher number and practically begging for Toronto money. Whenever Pinny's line is moving and other books follow vs. the other way around, you should pay attention.

You Also have to look at % on sportsbook spy. I think it was in the 70's RL and ML for Philly. ESPN SFTC also had this game to choose from and SD was about 7%. Perfect storm.

DeezusWINSTREAKT · 06-25-13, 12:33 AM

Line on favs + public bet , moving into a more buyable number (down Or better value) has been losing a lot!!!

DeezusWINSTREAKT · 06-25-13, 12:34 AM

Also huge favs being at a buyable number then moving upwards like -180 into -220 has been losing often also

Big Bear · 06-25-13, 02:30 PM

Vasco · 06-25-13, 02:51 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Look specifically at what happened to the lines late tonight with SD/PHI and Saturday night with SEA/OAK.

Incredible. Two miracle comebacks and the book basically called both shots beforehand.

Pinny knew nothing. If anything they were wrong because 99% of the time Philly holds that 3-0 lead. Pinny couldn't predict a passed ball with 2 outs in the 9th. The Pinny line movement means nothing in relation to how the 9th played out.

OhMyEli · 06-25-13, 02:51 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Exactly -- and pinnacle was right, like usual. I said I had no idea what the late line drop was all about, and then my question was answered.

Call me crazy but the book is right and wrong about plays very often! I know its crazy that a sportsbook doesnt dictate what happens hundreds of miles away but I have this theory that maybe you don't notice the movement when it doesnt matter, than when it does all of a sudden the books are the illuminati.

It's a working theory but perhaps you can post 2000 more times on the same bewilderment you have with how bookmaking works.

Vinnie Paz · 06-25-13, 03:07 PM

Originally posted by Vasco

Pinny knew nothing. If anything they were wrong because 99% of the time Philly holds that 3-0 lead. Pinny couldn't predict a passed ball with 2 outs in the 9th. The Pinny line movement means nothing in relation to how the 9th played out.

This^ just pure luck really. If the pads just manhandled philly then ok, they knew what was what but let's be real here this was a bullshit win that nobody had playing out the way it did.

freakydave · 06-25-13, 03:08 PM

Originally posted by Vasco

Pinny knew nothing. If anything they were wrong because 99% of the time Philly holds that 3-0 lead. Pinny couldn't predict a passed ball with 2 outs in the 9th. The Pinny line movement means nothing in relation to how the 9th played out.

Not to mention Young striking out with Rollins on 3rd in the top of the tenth or the philly reliever walking 2 guys & hitting Quentin before giving up the game winning single. It's a joke if you bet based on line movement & nothing more in the long run you won't have much to show for it.

freakydave · 06-25-13, 03:16 PM

on a side note- if a passed ball is an error on the catcher why was the game tieing run a an earned one?

joco · 06-25-13, 03:25 PM

or maybe the game was fixed and pinny knew the whole time....hmmmm

freakydave · 06-25-13, 03:31 PM

Originally posted by freakydave

on a side note- if a passed ball is an error on the catcher why was the game tieing run a an earned one?

So it was an unearned run--nvm

Gus Fring · 06-25-13, 04:09 PM

Originally posted by Vasco

Pinny knew nothing. If anything they were wrong because 99% of the time Philly holds that 3-0 lead. Pinny couldn't predict a passed ball with 2 outs in the 9th. The Pinny line movement means nothing in relation to how the 9th played out.

Finally, someone with a brain. NoCoin is the most paranoid poster in all of forum land

Big Bear · 06-26-13, 10:25 AM

Originally posted by OhMyEli

Call me crazy but the book is right and wrong about plays very often! I know its crazy that a sportsbook doesnt dictate what happens hundreds of miles away but I have this theory that maybe you don't notice the movement when it doesnt matter, than when it does all of a sudden the books are the illuminati.

It's a working theory but perhaps you can post 2000 more times on the same bewilderment you have with how bookmaking works.

lol anybody got a " Pinny Lean" today?

LMFAO