Why is tor such heavy favorites

stevenash · 06-17-13, 04:52 PM

Interesting question, line is sitting now at Jays -155, 17 cents higher than the opening line.
Fowler, who was questionable is now leading off tonight.
Loss of Tulo hurts, but the Rox still can rake without him.

Dexter Fowler CF
D.J. LeMahieu 2B
Carlos Gonzalez DH
Michael Cuddyer RF
Todd Helton 1B
Wilin Rosario C
Tyler Colvin LF
Nolan Arenado 3B
Jonathan Herrera SS
(Jorge De la Rosa P)

Melky Cabrera DH
Jose Bautista RF
Edwin Encarnacion 3B
Adam Lind 1B
Mark DeRosa 2B
Rajai Davis LF
Colby Rasmus CF
J.P. Arencibia C
Maicer Izturis SS
(Josh Johnson P)

I'd give a slight edge to Johnson starting at home, but I don't think he's worth a play at -155.
The line movement is curious.

I'd say the value play would be the Rox, but small, I am passing, but if I had to play the game, I'd take the + money

GoBlue23 · 06-17-13, 04:57 PM

Sharp post Nasher

TtownAZboy · 06-17-13, 05:01 PM

6 out of the 9 players in TOR lineup have batted against Delarosa and their combined AVG is ONLY .090. 7 out of the 9 COL players have faced J. Johnson and they batted an AVG of .167... Plus, Delarosa 3.49 ERA. J.Johnson 5.4 ERA. It's smelling Fishy.

MonkeyMoney · 06-17-13, 05:05 PM

i like the over

stevenash · 06-17-13, 06:15 PM

Originally posted by TtownAZboy

6 out of the 9 players in TOR lineup have batted against Delarosa and their combined AVG is ONLY .090. 7 out of the 9 COL players have faced J. Johnson and they batted an AVG of .167... Plus, Delarosa 3.49 ERA. J.Johnson 5.4 ERA. It's smelling Fishy.

I think the same way, however the sample size is not big enough.

stevenash · 06-17-13, 09:27 PM

2-0 Jays, final.
Didn't want any part of that game.