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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #5846
    Originally posted by EXhoosier10
    Where are you getting -102, Bovada? I swear they shade me. They're -102 before i log in and -104 after.
    Yeah, that's where I got it.

    What do you think of PIT/CIN?
    Comment
    • EXhoosier10
      SBR MVP
      • 07-06-09
      • 3122

      #5847
      Won't be playing any series bets; will be doing a game at a time. Not sure what to expect from Cueto, but Pitt should definitely put up a fight with their offense. Throw in the fact that Dusty is managing, and they surely have the edge.

      edit: im an idiot. Obviously this pit/cin game isn't a series. I wouldn't back cincy with cueto going, but Liriano -130 isn't necessarily my favorite at first glance.
      Last edited by EXhoosier10; 09-30-13, 06:37 PM.
      Comment
      • italianbandit
        SBR MVP
        • 05-17-11
        • 2622

        #5848
        Go Rays.
        Comment
        • Reno_Thor
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 04-12-12
          • 525

          #5849
          Taking TX @ +100. I like them at home and believe TB will play tired. Best of luck to all.
          Cheers!
          Comment
          • No coincidences
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-18-10
            • 76300

            #5850
            Originally posted by EXhoosier10
            Won't be playing any series bets; will be doing a game at a time. Not sure what to expect from Cueto, but Pitt should definitely put up a fight with their offense. Throw in the fact that Dusty is managing, and they surely have the edge.
            I want to hammer PIT, but man, I don't trust Liriano in this spot. At all.
            Comment
            • BiffTFinancial
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 01-29-09
              • 22670

              #5851
              With you guys on Rays ML. Hope this game goes about 18 innings and all non-position players pitch in advance of Wednesday's wild card game at the Jake.
              Comment
              • Dexter
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 12-24-08
                • 25829

                #5852
                Originally posted by No coincidences
                I want to hammer PIT, but man, I don't trust Liriano in this spot. At all.
                amazing season - great work.

                against you tonight as im not liking what ive seen out of price the last few months. ive watched a lot of his starts and it wouldnt shock me if hes injured. his velocity his down 2mph this year and hes just not missing bats when he needs to. throw in the fact that texas is rolling and im going to take the angle that they are the hot team to roll late into the postseason. at least until ronnie has to manage in the NL. ha

                yeah, i remember you saying liriano wasnt to be trusted come postseason - i think at home tomorrow he'll be fine. GL bro..
                Comment
                • J_smiff
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 09-06-12
                  • 643

                  #5853
                  Rangers are the best team in all of baseball vs left handers with a .282 average, .353 OBP, and .447 SLG (1st in all 3 of those categories in the league).

                  In 8 starts vs the Rangers, Price has an ERA of 5.98, which is the 2nd worst of his entire career vs any team. David Prices ERA at the ballpark in Arlington? 10.86.

                  Andrus in 17 ABs .353


                  Beltre in 23 ABs .348

                  Rios in 16 ABs .500 with a couple bombs

                  Cruz in 12 ABs .500 with a couple bombs

                  I gotta take the Rangers is this spot. Perez definitely scares me a little, but Ogando and Garza are available out of the pen if the Rays get to him early. BOL.
                  Comment
                  • No coincidences
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-18-10
                    • 76300

                    #5854
                    Originally posted by Dexter
                    amazing season - great work.

                    against you tonight as im not liking what ive seen out of price the last few months. ive watched a lot of his starts and it wouldnt shock me if hes injured. his velocity his down 2mph this year and hes just not missing bats when he needs to. throw in the fact that texas is rolling and im going to take the angle that they are the hot team to roll late into the postseason. at least until ronnie has to manage in the NL. ha

                    yeah, i remember you saying liriano wasnt to be trusted come postseason - i think at home tomorrow he'll be fine. GL bro..
                    Agree that Price has struggled. We'll see what happens.

                    Good luck, Dex.
                    Comment
                    • No coincidences
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-18-10
                      • 76300

                      #5855
                      Question re: BTCL....

                      Tampa opened at -129. I got them at -104 and -102. They're going to close probably around -115/-120. I am going to technically "beat the closing number" by a pretty wide margin because of the late bounce in the Rays' favor, but is that really accomplishing anything considering how far the ML has dropped in the first place against them?
                      Comment
                      • EXhoosier10
                        SBR MVP
                        • 07-06-09
                        • 3122

                        #5856
                        Originally posted by No coincidences
                        Question re: BTCL....

                        Tampa opened at -129. I got them at -104 and -102. They're going to close probably around -115/-120. I am going to technically "beat the closing number" by a pretty wide margin because of the late bounce in the Rays' favor, but is that really accomplishing anything considering how far the ML has dropped in the first place against them?
                        As much as we talk about it in the regular season, I think this is actually what we see as public pounding early and late money coming in on TB. As much as we say it in the reg season, i would bet that this game is already one of the top 5 most bet games of the season.

                        Whether that means TB is the right side based on BTCL, who the hell knows. I look it as I got the best number available throughout the day. If this were the stock market, you would be lauded for doing such a thing consistently. As long as you're not solely basing your plays on line movement, no reason to worry.
                        Comment
                        • No coincidences
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-18-10
                          • 76300

                          #5857
                          Originally posted by EXhoosier10
                          As much as we talk about it in the regular season, I think this is actually what we see as public pounding early and late money coming in on TB. As much as we say it in the reg season, i would bet that this game is already one of the top 5 most bet games of the season.

                          Whether that means TB is the right side based on BTCL, who the hell knows. I look it as I got the best number available throughout the day. If this were the stock market, you would be lauded for doing such a thing consistently.
                          Yeah, but I'd also be lauded if I'd posted TEX last night at +124, you know what I mean?
                          Comment
                          • EXhoosier10
                            SBR MVP
                            • 07-06-09
                            • 3122

                            #5858
                            Originally posted by No coincidences
                            Yeah, but I'd also be lauded if I'd posted TEX last night at +124, you know what I mean?
                            I hear ya. From that side, i think you just shake your head and say you were unlucky. After 20 cents moveemnt though, the line was surely going to bounce at least a few cents from -104/-104 back towards the opener.
                            Comment
                            • EXhoosier10
                              SBR MVP
                              • 07-06-09
                              • 3122

                              #5859
                              Young's ball looked like the wind tunnel is active tonight
                              Comment
                              • No coincidences
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-18-10
                                • 76300

                                #5860
                                Originally posted by EXhoosier10
                                I hear ya. From that side, i think you just shake your head and say you were unlucky. After 20 cents moveemnt though, the line was surely going to bounce at least a few cents from -104/-104 back towards the opener.
                                I suppose if you were smart, you hit Texas at around +120 and then Tampa at -104.
                                Comment
                                • italianbandit
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 05-17-11
                                  • 2622

                                  #5861
                                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                                  Question re: BTCL....

                                  Tampa opened at -129. I got them at -104 and -102. They're going to close probably around -115/-120. I am going to technically "beat the closing number" by a pretty wide margin because of the late bounce in the Rays' favor, but is that really accomplishing anything considering how far the ML has dropped in the first place against them?
                                  Buying Tex at open or TB at -104 (which is what I did) are both smart and winning propositions.
                                  Comment
                                  • No coincidences
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-18-10
                                    • 76300

                                    #5862
                                    Originally posted by italianbandit
                                    Buying Tex at open or TB at -104 (which is what I did) are both smart and winning propositions.
                                    Yeah, I guess that's the ideal situation.
                                    Comment
                                    • EXhoosier10
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 07-06-09
                                      • 3122

                                      #5863
                                      Nice hit, NC. Will take a look at Pitt tomorrow afternoon, but probably will try and get a live bet in if Pitt gets down early.
                                      Comment
                                      • No coincidences
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-18-10
                                        • 76300

                                        #5864
                                        Good ol' Ronny....

                                        Comment
                                        • No coincidences
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-18-10
                                          • 76300

                                          #5865
                                          Originally posted by EXhoosier10
                                          Nice hit, NC. Will take a look at Pitt tomorrow afternoon, but probably will try and get a live bet in if Pitt gets down early.
                                          Thanks. I'll probably just lay off that one.
                                          Comment
                                          • 2daBank
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-26-09
                                            • 88966

                                            #5866
                                            price at that cheap ass price was a no brainer..hopefully they entirety of the playoffs gives us such gifts..

                                            2marro i assume pit will win but think under is the play i like best..
                                            Comment
                                            • No coincidences
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-18-10
                                              • 76300

                                              #5867
                                              551-565, +89.02U thread
                                              Comment
                                              • No coincidences
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 01-18-10
                                                • 76300

                                                #5868
                                                Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                2marro i assume pit will win but think under is the play i like best..
                                                Really? Liriano schizo and Cueto rusty -- good luck. I'm just going to watch.
                                                Comment
                                                • 2daBank
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 01-26-09
                                                  • 88966

                                                  #5869
                                                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                  Really? Liriano schizo and Cueto rusty -- good luck. I'm just going to watch.
                                                  complete trust liraino does his thing 2marro..both have had great success vs the opposing hitters, no 1 on pit has hit cueto especially well and liriano has handled jay/bruce/phillips well this yr..i think it a no brainer with these starters and pens..cincy worse vs lefties pit vs righties, liriano nails at home..i dunno 4-2 seems like the high end to me,, i guess i could get beat with 4-3 but think percentages favor the under here..
                                                  Comment
                                                  • No coincidences
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 01-18-10
                                                    • 76300

                                                    #5870
                                                    Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                    complete trust liraino does his thing 2marro..both have had great success vs the opposing hitters, no 1 on pit has hit cueto especially well and liriano has handled jay/bruce/phillips well this yr..i think it a no brainer with these starters and pens..cincy worse vs lefties pit vs righties, liriano nails at home..i dunno 4-2 seems like the high end to me,, i guess i could get beat with 4-3 but think percentages favor the under here..
                                                    Good luck as usual. Can't wait for the playoffs to get in full swing. I think my Tigers might be in trouble vs. Oakland, though.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • 2daBank
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 01-26-09
                                                      • 88966

                                                      #5871
                                                      Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                      Good luck as usual. Can't wait for the playoffs to get in full swing. I think my Tigers might be in trouble vs. Oakland, though.
                                                      sorry to say but yea i love oaktown..
                                                      Comment
                                                      • No coincidences
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 01-18-10
                                                        • 76300

                                                        #5872
                                                        Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                        sorry to say but yea i love oaktown..
                                                        Tigers just have too many bullpen issues, and Cabrera's nowhere near healthy.

                                                        What do you think of LAD/ATL?

                                                        Both the A's and Braves are around +140 right now.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • 2daBank
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 01-26-09
                                                          • 88966

                                                          #5873
                                                          Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                          Tigers just have too many bullpen issues, and Cabrera's nowhere near healthy.

                                                          What do you think of LAD/ATL?

                                                          Both the A's and Braves are around +140 right now.
                                                          dont trust bravos..to many free swinging strike out artist, that shit typically doesnt play well in the postseason..not as if lad coming in playing great ball but far as series price ill pass and take it gm by gm. gun to head id say lad wins but im not laying that juice..
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Gee
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 04-08-10
                                                            • 4547

                                                            #5874
                                                            Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                            551-565, +89.02U thread


                                                            First time I think I've checked in all season. Great job. One of the good guys on the site.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • No coincidences
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 01-18-10
                                                              • 76300

                                                              #5875
                                                              Originally posted by Gee


                                                              First time I think I've checked in all season. Great job. One of the good guys on the site.
                                                              Thanks, Gee. Appreciate it.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • italianbandit
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 05-17-11
                                                                • 2622

                                                                #5876
                                                                Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                                551-565, +89.02U thread
                                                                Awesome.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • EXhoosier10
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 07-06-09
                                                                  • 3122

                                                                  #5877
                                                                  Probably going to pass on tonight's game...

                                                                  Landers thread -- http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-ta...on.html?slf=28
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Bengals28
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 04-20-11
                                                                    • 2164

                                                                    #5878
                                                                    Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                                    551-565, +89.02U thread
                                                                    What a season, congrats.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • No coincidences
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 01-18-10
                                                                      • 76300

                                                                      #5879
                                                                      Originally posted by EXhoosier10
                                                                      Probably going to pass on tonight's game...

                                                                      Landers thread -- http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-ta...on.html?slf=28
                                                                      Hard to argue with the pick.

                                                                      I'm not sure if someone's been pumping Brock full of winners or what, but the guy's been on fire lately with his chalky selections.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • No coincidences
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 01-18-10
                                                                        • 76300

                                                                        #5880
                                                                        Originally posted by italianbandit
                                                                        Awesome.
                                                                        Originally posted by Bengals28
                                                                        What a season, congrats.
                                                                        Thanks fellas. Hopefully the best is yet to come. I'd love to clear the elusive triple-digit mark. Still haven't won a bet in the entire thread for more than 7U (at least, not that I can remember).
                                                                        Comment
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