2013 MLB thread

italianbandit · 10-03-13, 05:34 PM

Nice start gentlemen.

EXhoosier10 · 10-03-13, 06:12 PM

Coin, don't get too excited about fading Lynn in the postseason. There isn't a single team in the NL that is lefty heavy like Oak/TB/Bos can be.
Walker/Morneau/Alvarez, Crawford/Agon, nor Freeman/Heyward/Mccann can do much damage when the rest of the lineups are getting shut down.

EXhoosier10 · 10-03-13, 06:13 PM

Originally posted by italianbandit

Nice start gentlemen.

Side note -- don't get too excited about fading Lynn in the postseason. There isn't a single team in the NL that is lefty heavy like Oak/TB/Bos can be.
Walker/Morneau/Alvarez, Crawford/Agon, nor Freeman/Heyward/Mccann can do much damage when the rest of the lineups are getting shut down.

No coincidences · 10-03-13, 06:53 PM

Originally posted by EXhoosier10

Coin, don't get too excited about fading Lynn in the postseason. There isn't a single team in the NL that is lefty heavy like Oak/TB/Bos can be.
Walker/Morneau/Alvarez, Crawford/Agon, nor Freeman/Heyward/Mccann can do much damage when the rest of the lineups are getting shut down.

Agree. Plus, he pitched really well in the last month.

2daBank · 10-03-13, 07:39 PM

Originally posted by EXhoosier10

Coin, don't get too excited about fading Lynn in the postseason. There isn't a single team in the NL that is lefty heavy like Oak/TB/Bos can be.
Walker/Morneau/Alvarez, Crawford/Agon, nor Freeman/Heyward/Mccann can do much damage when the rest of the lineups are getting shut down.

i think you either play cards or pass, i planned on passing then pounding pit gm 3 but my homer juices are flowing and it is a rookie against cards in the playoffs after all,,,will be small compared to today but think stl-1.5 where i be..

EXhoosier10 · 10-03-13, 09:05 PM

Well 1-2 and +0.5 is good enough for me. Any leans for the games tomorrow? Haven't had a chance to look yet

No coincidences · 10-03-13, 09:22 PM

Originally posted by EXhoosier10

Well 1-2 and +0.5 is good enough for me. Any leans for the games tomorrow? Haven't had a chance to look yet

Haven't looked yet, other than I liked Detroit way back when it was like -105 but that number is long gone.

No coincidences · 10-04-13, 08:21 AM

Lean Cardinals, Rays, Braves today.

2daBank · 10-04-13, 08:33 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Haven't looked yet, other than I liked Detroit way back when it was like -105 but that number is long gone.

i really wanna play oaktown but think i may be emotionally invested due to the fact they won me a bunch of money last few years..

2daBank · 10-04-13, 08:33 AM

explain braves to me please..

goduke · 10-04-13, 09:15 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Lean Cardinals, Rays, Braves today.

like these and tigers

No coincidences · 10-04-13, 09:16 AM

Originally posted by 2daBank

explain braves to me please..

Until Greinke proves otherwise, there's no way in hell we should be backing him in a postseason game.

2daBank · 10-04-13, 09:20 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Until Greinke proves otherwise, there's no way in hell we should be backing him in a postseason game.

in years past i would agree with this but seems they got his meds worked out as he been far better on the road this season...

No coincidences · 10-04-13, 11:02 AM

Might just pass altogether today. I'm not feeling enough of an edge on any game to make a wager at this point.

No coincidences · 10-04-13, 11:05 AM

553-566, +91.02U thread

EXhoosier10 · 10-04-13, 11:24 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Might just pass altogether today. I'm not feeling enough of an edge on any game to make a wager at this point.

With you here. Greinke +110 may have been the only play i woudl have considered.

No coincidences · 10-04-13, 12:02 PM

Originally posted by EXhoosier10

With you here. Greinke +110 may have been the only play i woudl have considered.

If the Braves go to +105 or better, I might take a stab.

leetreaper · 10-04-13, 12:06 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

553-566, +91.02U thread

italianbandit · 10-04-13, 12:08 PM

I'm looking at Det FF and TB. I could also be talked into LAD.

No coincidences · 10-04-13, 12:41 PM

Originally posted by italianbandit

I'm looking at Det FF and TB. I could also be talked into LAD.

Tampa awfully temping now that it's almost +140.

EXhoosier10 · 10-04-13, 12:53 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Tampa awfully temping now that it's almost +140.

Weird thing i noticed early this morning -- 5d hung BOS -131 while pinny was at -142 i believe. probably just trying to even out action, but still interesting

italianbandit · 10-04-13, 01:38 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Tampa awfully temping now that it's almost +140.

Buy it Coin, it's a good deal. I don't have an account with Bovada anymore. I'm going to do .75 unit at +135 at my local. Just spent a bunch of time looking at their head to head matchups this season...Actually like them at +1.5 too, but too juicy for my taste.

italianbandit · 10-04-13, 01:40 PM

My gut is telling me Det vs TB in ALCS, as I haven't had time to crunch numbers as in previous years (I'm too old to have a newborn )

italianbandit · 10-04-13, 01:52 PM

This is neat

Analyzing the Umpires: ALDS Edition

http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/analyzing-the-umpires-alds-edition/

After examining the National League division round umpires yesterday, I will look at the American ones today. I will look to see if they have any unique strike calling patterns and post their 2013 K/9…

italianbandit · 10-04-13, 03:23 PM

Bartolo Colon	53.2%	34.8%	18.4%	1635
Doug Fister	58.4%	45.0%	13.4%	1805
Ubaldo Jimenez	48.8%	37.2%	11.6%	1589
Kyle Kendrick	52.5%	41.4%	11.1%	1474
Scott Diamond	52.7%	42.0%	10.7%	1209
Ian Kennedy	43.2%	32.6%	10.6%	1768
Rick Porcello	58.8%	48.7%	10.1%	1768
Ricky Romero	57.2%	47.2%	10.0%	1235
Tommy Milone	38.6%	28.7%	9.9%	1183
Edinson Volquez	54.4%	44.6%	9.8%	1347

Interesting chart on Colon's big weakness on facing lefties and not inducing groundballs.

EXhoosier10 · 10-04-13, 04:04 PM

who hosts these splits, ib? i've never seen these color formats before

RavensFan2k3 · 10-04-13, 04:13 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

If the Braves go to +105 or better, I might take a stab.

How you feeling about it? I think I like the Braves

fitguy67 · 10-04-13, 04:41 PM

I just locked in some Det -1 at +110 at Pinny (for those in the land of the free it's +102 at 5dimes...not nearly as tempting...altho if u "roll your own" can get it nearer to +105 or even better...& no need to do both parts at the same book...if u take the best ML u can get and combine it with the best RL you can get--even if this is at another book, you can get a surprisingly good price on the -1)

No coincidences · 10-04-13, 04:43 PM

Glad I passed early. Rays completely fell apart.

ATL +109 (2U to win 2.18)

No coincidences · 10-04-13, 04:44 PM

Originally posted by fitguy67

I just locked in some Det -1 at +110 at Pinny (for those in the land of the free it's +102 at 5dimes...not nearlty as tempting...altho if u "roll your own" can get it nearer to +105 or even better...& no need to do both parts at the same book...if u take the best ML u can get and combine it with the best RL you can get--even if this is at another book, you can get a surprisingly good price on the -1)

Good luck. I think it's the right play.

YOUNGBUCK · 10-04-13, 04:47 PM

So ur just strictly fading Greinke Coin???

No coincidences · 10-04-13, 04:47 PM

Originally posted by YOUNGBUCK

So ur just strictly fading Greinke Coin???

Also Dodgers vs. a pretty solid/crafty lefty.

bringdownthehous · 10-04-13, 05:01 PM

GL NoCoin...on Atl as well, backs against the wall, w'll see if they can bring it...got em ov3 too

No coincidences · 10-04-13, 05:04 PM

Originally posted by bringdownthehous

GL NoCoin...on Atl as well, backs against the wall, w'll see if they can bring it...got em ov3 too

I see a 3-2/4-3 type Atlanta win, hopefully.

TheLeague · 10-04-13, 05:04 PM

Originally posted by EXhoosier10

Coin, don't get too excited about fading Lynn in the postseason. There isn't a single team in the NL that is lefty heavy like Oak/TB/Bos can be.
Walker/Morneau/Alvarez, Crawford/Agon, nor Freeman/Heyward/Mccann can do much damage when the rest of the lineups are getting shut down.

the gift that keeps on giving