2013 MLB thread

[No coincidences]

I love fading Dan Haren but even against him I'm not sure the Rockies can score! At least they've got Fowler back, hopefully he can get on CaGo can do his thing.

I'd go bigger than 2U if I had more confidence in the COL offense.

[2daBank]

Road chalk will kill u dog. Thought u Learned that by now. Goodnight.

banker, how'd that fish FF turn out? Lmao

if by some tragedy you are still alive could you tell me what losing a +170 line and winning a +139 line in same gm comes out to? thanx dipshit

[Big Bear]

i'll throw a unit on the Rockies. Public is on the Nationals for some reason.


Can't touch the white sox or mets ... i don't like teams that can't hit.

[Gus Fring]

i'll throw a unit on the Rockies. Public is on the Nationals for some reason.


Can't touch the white sox or mets ... i don't like teams that can't hit.

Rockies have a hard time hitting after the Tulo injury

[Big Bear]

Yeah Tulo is a great player. But Cuddyer , Fowler, Cargo , and some of these other guys have some pop.

hey whatever happened to that second basemen the Rockies had to start the season who was straight up mashing? i can't remember his name but he was killin the ball the first couple weeks of the season.

[Big Bear]

great start Rockies backers! 3 runs so far in the 1st inning hell yeah!

[Big Bear]

wish i put more than $20 on this lol

[whtsox13]

Won't be around at all until Sunday.
NYM +109 (4U to win 4.36)
CHW +120 (4U to win 4.8)
COL +113 (2U to win 2.26)
Only three plays for Saturday. Really like the first two a lot.

Well you made it almost 30 minutes! What's your angle in the White Sox game?

[hubbard689]

why oh why did I tail you on the mets for the first time then immediately after my boy @stuckey2 says phillies, and of course phils cruising

[Bostongambler]

why oh why did I tail you on the mets for the first time then immediately after my boy @stuckey2 says phillies, and of course phils cruising

The guy goes 2-1 at worst ( mets game still going on, but i'll call it a loss for argument ) and you are pissed. smh

[Big Bear]

Mets suck. but good calls on the other 2.

[Big Bear]

The guy goes 2-1 at worst ( mets game still going on, but i'll call it a loss for argument ) and you are pissed. smh

i don't think he is pissed at no coin, just pissed that his bet is losing. Maybe he tried to parlay all 3.

[Grizzlies918]

Mets!

[No coincidences]

Should've been 3-0. Mets had an amazing comeback and got screwed on a blown call. Oh well.

Hope everyone had a profitable night.

[No coincidences]

2-1, +3.06U today
363-345, +75.85U thread

[No coincidences]

Have leans on Boston and Miami +1.5 for Sunday. Maybe Houston and the Mets. Don't see much else. Might just pass altogether.

[italianbandit]

2-1, +3.06U today
363-345, +75.85U thread

[No coincidences]

Thanks, IB. I'd really like to start cutting down on # of plays like I did today and going a little bigger. I've toyed with the notion of upping my $ per unit as well. We'll see. The action junkie in me is a pesky devil on my shoulder.

[italianbandit]

Awesome. You're smart enough to do so. Less games more units is a great evolution. As your criteria gets tighter you will have less games and as you get better you'll want more risk. If you lowered the number of games you played without upping the $$$ you would get frustrated, but if you risk more you won't have a problem.

Cain -190 is too high.

[No coincidences]

Awesome. You're smart enough to do so. Less games more units is a great evolution. As your criteria gets tighter you will have less games and as you get better you'll want more risk. If you lowered the number of games you played without upping the $$$ you would get frustrated, but if you risk more you won't have a problem.

Cain -190 is too high.

Agree, though I'm going to have to do a little more digging re: Eovaldi. I might just go +1.5.

I've been trying to convince myself of quality over quantity for a long, long time. Just hard to do because I love getting my hands in a lot of cookie jars -- even if it costs me and I know it costs me.

[2daBank]

Thanks, IB. I'd really like to start cutting down on # of plays like I did today and going a little bigger. I've toyed with the notion of upping my $ per unit as well. We'll see. The action junkie in me is a pesky devil on my shoulder.

ThAt shit tricky business to me. I mean I try not to play shit just for the sake of action (very often) but I mean some days there a lot of solid plays on a card and if I go trying to cut off plays I like I have a bad habit of axing winners and keeping losers. Of coarse u might be able to pull it off better cause U differentiate units better than me. I start trying to say I like 1 gm more than another inevitably I miss the gm I put more on, there few exceptions for me but for most part I'm generally better w volume and flat betting, sometimes I wish I could be a guy that maybe hit a lower clip but hit big plays. Just always been opposite for me.

[italianbandit]

-200 on Giants now. Bought Miami +186 and +1.5.

[Big Bear]

-200 on Giants now. Bought Miami +186 and +1.5.

not sure if they can hit Cain but that marlins pitcher throws close to 100mph

[No coincidences]

ThAt shit tricky business to me. I mean I try not to play shit just for the sake of action (very often) but I mean some days there a lot of solid plays on a card and if I go trying to cut off plays I like I have a bad habit of axing winners and keeping losers. Of coarse u might be able to pull it off better cause U differentiate units better than me. I start trying to say I like 1 gm more than another inevitably I miss the gm I put more on, there few exceptions for me but for most part I'm generally better w volume and flat betting, sometimes I wish I could be a guy that maybe hit a lower clip but hit big plays. Just always been opposite for me.

Me too and me too.

[No coincidences]

MIN +140 (1U to win 1.4)
MIA +1.5 -125 (1.25U to win 1)
HOU +1.5 -130 (1.3U to win 1)
HOU +162 (.5U to win .81)

[italianbandit]

not sure if they can hit Cain but that marlins pitcher throws close to 100mph

Miami wins more than the odds given to them at +186, that's a guarantee.

[No coincidences]

Looked at the Yanks and Mets, but passing for now.

[fitguy67]

... better w volume and flat betting...

...reduced number of larger plays...a recipe for increased variance (and risk of ruin)

same goes for more-aggressive bet-size weighting...

____________

on the other hand we have..."carpet bombing" (lots of small same-/similar-calibre bullets) which is the low-variance way to get the same large % of roll in action

if plays pass the quality threshold (whatever level of "confidence" u guage), play 'em all...and play 'em all small...

playing 12-a-day with 1%-units a smoother (and less crash-prone) path to the same target as 4-a-day (with 8 that you somehow managed to "filter out") at 3%-units

[italianbandit]

Bought Mets FF, Pitt FF, and Wash -131. Good luck all.

[No coincidences]

ATL -131 (2.62U to win 2)

Tailing studMLB on this one.

[Big Bear]

Braves are due.

Their bats been kinda cold lately

[CaptainNemo89]

NC, have you taken a look at the pit/angels game yet? the line took a jump in the angels direction, presumably because mccutchen and martin are out... but if you look at their previous at-bats vs blanton, they weren't that great, and i think being out of the lineup has inflated the line to the point where there is value in pitt at +143 (especially being vs blanton)... maybe at least see how the line moves in the next 30 minutes at pinny


nevermind, looks like late line movement is still in angels favor

[No coincidences]

ATL -131 (2.62U to win 2)

Tailing studMLB on this one.

It's, umm, interesting to see how hard the Braves are making this.

I'm starting to wonder, especially given the late movement on the line.

[No coincidences]

OAK +250 live (1U to win 2.5)

[italianbandit]

OAK +250 live (1U to win 2.5)

Good bet.